Kiri Industries Ltd. Based on Rectangle Pattern Breakout
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1. Pattern Analysis - Rectangle Pattern: - Timeframe: 8 Years - Description: The stock exhibited a prolonged consolidation within a rectangle pattern, with a well-defined resistance at ₹640 and support at ₹240. This extended period of consolidation reflects equilibrium between buyers and sellers over a long duration, indicating a potential for a significant move once the breakout occurs. - The breakout above ₹640 signals a strong bullish trend, breaking the resistance level after years of indecision.
2. Volume Analysis - Volume Behavior: - During the consolidation phase, volume remained muted, reflecting a lack of strong interest from participants. - A sharp spike in volume during the breakout above ₹640 confirms the validity of the breakout, indicating substantial buying interest and participation from institutional investors or larger market participants.
3. Price Action Analysis - Resistance Levels: - ₹640: The breakout level, now acting as a strong support. - ₹800 (Target 1): The intermediate target based on the initial bullish momentum. - Support Levels: - ₹500–₹520: Key area to watch if a retracement occurs. - ₹400–₹450: Long-term support if the breakout fails.
- Candlestick Behavior: - The breakout candlestick is strong and bullish, closing near the highs with significant volume, which reinforces the upward move's strength.
4. Validation of Bullish Signal - The breakout is supported by heavy volume, confirming genuine buying interest rather than a false breakout. - The 8-year consolidation phase adds to the breakout's significance, as longer consolidation phases tend to result in more substantial price movements when the breakout occurs.
6. Entry and Stop Loss - Entry Levels: - Primary Entry: Above ₹640 after breakout confirmation. - Pullback Entry: Near ₹500–₹520 if the stock retraces to retest the breakout level.
- Stop Loss: - Place a stop loss at ₹500, just below the breakout level and a key support zone.
7. Trade Setup Summary - Entry Levels: - Above ₹640 for momentum traders or near ₹500–₹520 for swing traders. - Targets: - Target 1: ₹800 (+25%). - Target 2: ₹1,040 (+62%). - Stop Loss: ₹500.
8. Final Notes The breakout of Kiri Industries Ltd. from an 8-year rectangle pattern marks the beginning of a significant bullish phase. The breakout is well-supported by volume, indicating strong market participation. A pullback to the ₹500–₹520 zone would offer an attractive entry for long-term investors. Sustaining above ₹640 will be crucial for the uptrend to remain intact.
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