China stocks ready to go? #DeepSeek another reason..

27 de jan.

This is a chart of the benchmark index for Hong Kong - HK50
It's up on Monday, while Nvidia is down 10+%
If funds are flowing out of Nvidia - China (home of DeepSeek) could be one place they end up.

The Hang Seng is a perfect example of how long a trend can take to reverse.

How many times would traders have tried to go long this index only to see it slump right back towards the bottom?

Now while this trend reversal might be delayed further - and might fail altogether - we think there is enough evidence to suggest a reversal is happening.

1. The price is above a rising weekly 30 week SMA
   
2. A long term trendline has broken
   
3. Crucially - the price made a double bottom pattern around 15,000
   

DAILY CHART



On the daily chart we see the strong surge in buying interest from September has given way to a long multi-month correction.

We are looking for a breakout above the down trendline to demonstrate the correction has finished and a new up-leg is beginning.

The final confirmation would come from a break of resistance (not drawn) from the November and December highs at 21,350.

Should the price turn lower and make a new fractal low under 19,650 then we’ll have to wait a bit longer for the Hang Seng trend reversal.


But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think?

Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!

15 de fev.

Trade ativo

Working out as planned so far.

Could take some off the table under 23K and wait for a breakout to get back in