The EURJPY pair has been on a long-term bullish trend since the May 2020 bottom, best illustrated with the help of the Fibonacci Channel on this 1D time-frame. The price broke yesterday below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 25, ringing the first bearish bell. The second could come from the MACD indicator, which on the 1W time-frame is close to a Bearish Cross formation. This pattern above the 1.000 mark has signaled sell-off sequences at least on the medium-term towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
In fact the price action leading to today is quite similar to September 2020. After a break below of the 1D MA50 and a re-test as a Resistance resulting in a rejection, the price dropped near the 1D MA200. Same to June 22 2021. As a result we are bearish targeting 134.100 and then turning bullish towards 144.00. However, a 1D candle close below the 1D MA200 will be a bearish signal, so be ready to reverse to a sell towards the 1W MA200 (red trend-line).
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