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ECB October Meeting Could Start Tapering

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Quote:

"A hawkish ECB has placed German bund yields squarely in the spotlight

Once described as the “short of a lifetime” by the likes of bond gurus Jeffrey Gundlach and Bill Gross, bets on German government bond yields, or bunds, heading higher have preoccupied the minds of investors who highlight the divergence between German and U.S. bonds.

Yet, talk of investors wagering for the gap to narrow have gathered momentum recently.

What’s the catalyst?

European Central Bank President Mario Draghi has hinted that a more substantial discussion of the tapering of the ECB’s €60 billion ($71.7 billion) monthly asset purchases at its October meeting. Many investors have bet on that yield differential to narrow, with many wagering for the value of bunds to fall, pushing yields higher."
Source: marketwatch.com/story/a-hawkish-ecb-has-placed-german-bund-yields-squarely-in-the-spotlight-2017-09-15

Opinion: The multi year support of financial markets with QE's and QQE's could come to an end. Usually stockmarkets react to steps like this with short term or medium term falling prices.

Nota
In shedding bonds, Fed aims for boring end to crisis-era measures
investing.com/news/economy-news/in-shedding-bonds-fed-aims-for-boring-end-to-crisisera-measures-529814
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FUNDAMENTAL VIEW, EUROPEAN PMI

Eurozone growth seen picking up in September — Markit PMI
ft.com/content/715dc0e2-9025-3fed-8d94-ef8f66dfd48d
Nota
FUNDAMENTAL VIEW: US TAX REFORM

Remark: US TAX cuts likel to cut tax revenues as well. US T-Bonds should face more headwinds and pressure long term.

Quote: "If Senate can pass budget resolution, tax cuts have strong chance: Zoellick
Source: marketwatch.com/story/if-senate-can-pass-budget-resolution-tax-cuts-have-good-chance-zoellick-2017-10-14?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts
Nota
Germany's Greens warn against blind adherence to balanced budget investing.com/news/world-news/germanys-greens-warn-against-blind-adherence-to-balanced-budget-546660
Trade ativo
snapshot
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Short Term Target Reached: US TBond Yield 2,60%
snapshot
Stockmarktes vs. Bond Markets:
investing.com/news/stock-market-news/asian-shares-step-back-from-2007-peak-oil-at-threeyear-high-1084803
Beyond Technical AnalysisTrend Analysis

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