Welcome to the first episode of our weekly BTC analysis, where we carefully examine the market to identify the most likely setup that could unfold.
Over the past few weeks, the market has been confined within a tight range, with prices fluctuating between 31,500 and 29,500. Despite several attempts to break out on both the upside and downside, none have been successful so far.
Currently, the recent price action seems to be tilting towards a potential breakdown rather than a breakout to the upside. This observation raises caution as the lack of significant positive momentum, despite positive news and uptrending traditional markets, suggests that BTC might face downward pressure.
Notably, even amidst positive developments in other markets, BTC has remained sideways throughout this period. If these events fail to push the price higher, there is an increasing likelihood of a downward move towards the 28,000 mark.
Additionally, we need to consider the impact of options expiring on Friday, which has tended to be bearish three out of the last four weeks. As we are already at the bottom of the range and the increased volume from these expirations may contribute to a potential slide down towards 28,000. If the options give a lot of selling pressure.
Thank you for taking the time to read our analysis, and we look forward to sharing more market updates and trade ideas in our upcoming episodes. Don't forget to follow us for regular insights and updates!