mid-long term bottom

i think 40-42k is not bottom, with so many bad funds on btc. based on 4 year cycle that ends with bear market (2014-2018-2022) im expecting further dump into that trendline and even im not sure if thats the bottom
notice that this is a weekly chart and dont expect it to dump to 34k without rallies

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so far bounced off the trend, but im now more convinced it will break down in mid term, maybe by next week