Since we are dropping so quickly to 20K so early in the bear cycle, My new thoughts for a likely target is 12K
Reasons are: Global markets are in a abnormal bear cycle due to many global issue's.
To keep inflation under control the governments across the world are raising interest rates & we have a very nervous global market. Issue's arising with China & current Russian aggression has created a energy shortage adding to inflation & scaring the market investors away. Unemployment across many countries is very low ATM however with recession taking hold this may see many business & jobs fold.
So my conclusion is that if the market keeps failing from this post we are going to see the crypto market follow. I feel this is almost a certinty to happen.
BTC next halving is around early to mid 2024 so that leaves plenty of time to grind lower & I really cant see any logical reasons why BTC will go bullish until then.
Advice for any one reading this is to trade carefully & save those dollars for the next BTC halving bull run.
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