Chart looks identical to May 2021...may be in for some hurt

Just a simple low IQ comparison. Looking at the weekly circa May 2021 looks identical to what we're seeing today. Drew the same pattern in red and a bull case in case we still see a new high with the 4 year cycle, but it's looking bleak. We're getting close to completing another weekly cycle and should expect the new low within the next 2 candles. Question is, are we about to retrace 55% like May 2021, or continue the bull run into a new high later this year?