Bitcoin/US Dollar (BTC/USD)
Price Action Observations:
Trend: Strong bullish trend — price is above the middle Bollinger Band and riding the upper band.
Current Price: ~$95,410 (as of the chart time).
Immediate resistance near the upper Bollinger Band (~$95,921).
A major horizontal resistance is at around $98,000 (thick black line).
Local pivot/support zone marked around $92,400 – $93,100 (purple horizontal lines).
20-SMA (middle BB) acts as dynamic support (~$93,085).
Stronger support around $90,200 (lower BB).
Volume increasing on the bullish candles after the breakout around the 21st-22nd April.
Higher volume on green candles suggests genuine buying interest — not just a low-volume rally.
Bollinger Bands: Bands are expanding — classic signal for a volatile move.
Price is walking the upper band → continuation pattern as long as price doesn't break below the 20-SMA.
Trendlines: Ascending trendline beneath the current price → confirming higher lows.
There is a larger upper channel line sloping upwards targeting ~$105,000–$106,000.
Bias: Strong Bullish
Above 92,400–93,100 pivot zone = bullish structure maintained.
Immediate target: $98,000
Stretch target: $100,000 - $105,000 (upper channel resistance)
Invalidation: If price closes below ~$92,000 (break below pivot + mid-BB).
Fundamental Analysis (as of April 25, 2025):
If US Dollar (DXY) is weakening, it favors Bitcoin.
Fed policies — if there’s talk of rate cuts or holding rates steady, Bitcoin rallies.
Halving hype: Bitcoin halving happened earlier in 2024. Historically, it leads to a delayed but strong rally about 12-18 months later — we are now entering that "parabolic" zone.
ETF Inflows: BTC ETFs launched earlier have been drawing huge institutional interest.
Supply Shock: Fewer Bitcoins available on exchanges post-halving = price pressure upwards.
Global uncertainty (recession fears, wars, bank failures) = safe-haven demand for BTC.
Bitcoin being seen as "digital gold" strengthens its position.
My Final View:
Bitcoin remains in a strong bullish structure technically and fundamentally.
As long as it holds above ~$92,000–$93,000 zone, expect moves toward $98,000–$100,000+. A deeper retrace to $90,200 could still maintain the bull trend, but below that would signal weakness.
Price Action Observations:
Trend: Strong bullish trend — price is above the middle Bollinger Band and riding the upper band.
Current Price: ~$95,410 (as of the chart time).
Immediate resistance near the upper Bollinger Band (~$95,921).
A major horizontal resistance is at around $98,000 (thick black line).
Local pivot/support zone marked around $92,400 – $93,100 (purple horizontal lines).
20-SMA (middle BB) acts as dynamic support (~$93,085).
Stronger support around $90,200 (lower BB).
Volume increasing on the bullish candles after the breakout around the 21st-22nd April.
Higher volume on green candles suggests genuine buying interest — not just a low-volume rally.
Bollinger Bands: Bands are expanding — classic signal for a volatile move.
Price is walking the upper band → continuation pattern as long as price doesn't break below the 20-SMA.
Trendlines: Ascending trendline beneath the current price → confirming higher lows.
There is a larger upper channel line sloping upwards targeting ~$105,000–$106,000.
Bias: Strong Bullish
Above 92,400–93,100 pivot zone = bullish structure maintained.
Immediate target: $98,000
Stretch target: $100,000 - $105,000 (upper channel resistance)
Invalidation: If price closes below ~$92,000 (break below pivot + mid-BB).
Fundamental Analysis (as of April 25, 2025):
If US Dollar (DXY) is weakening, it favors Bitcoin.
Fed policies — if there’s talk of rate cuts or holding rates steady, Bitcoin rallies.
Halving hype: Bitcoin halving happened earlier in 2024. Historically, it leads to a delayed but strong rally about 12-18 months later — we are now entering that "parabolic" zone.
ETF Inflows: BTC ETFs launched earlier have been drawing huge institutional interest.
Supply Shock: Fewer Bitcoins available on exchanges post-halving = price pressure upwards.
Global uncertainty (recession fears, wars, bank failures) = safe-haven demand for BTC.
Bitcoin being seen as "digital gold" strengthens its position.
My Final View:
Bitcoin remains in a strong bullish structure technically and fundamentally.
As long as it holds above ~$92,000–$93,000 zone, expect moves toward $98,000–$100,000+. A deeper retrace to $90,200 could still maintain the bull trend, but below that would signal weakness.
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Publicações relacionadas
Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não devem ser e não constituem conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, de negociação ou de qualquer outro tipo, fornecidas ou endossadas pela TradingView. Leia mais em Termos de uso.