As you all know i recently came out with a TA regarding the bullish divergence for BTC and we have since seen bitcoin make some nice moves to the upside starting our path to this trend reversal to an uptrend after a strong short term downtrend. We are currently facing some heavy resistance at 48K aprx as we expected, this level over the past year has been either very strong support or really strong resistance pending which side we are on, now my thoughts are that we are due for a little couple day cooloff after making 5 strong green candles and posting a % gain of 19.5% from the bottom of our first green candle to the top of our current candle, plus due to the fact that we are really struggling to take back this level, we have had 4 touches and attempts at 48K and we have been unsuccessful, now we will have to see about todays daily candle at close but even then i think we could see a little cooldown for even a day than get back to business. A retest of 47.3K and 47K could be a likely scenario and a healthy one for sure if we can hold without breaking down and would strengthen these supports, we have many many under laying support levels so i wouldn't count on going to far if we do see a red day soon. On the other hand we do have many overhead resistances but honestly i don't think these levels will be much of a problem once we really start gaining momentum. Now looking at the pivot bands, many traders or TA guys may look at the bollinger bands and think we are easily going to keep pushing up to grab onto that top band but i don't think this is the case yet, thats why i put on the pivot bands, we notice we are constantly poking into that red zone and what usually happens shortly after having a few touches we see a little bit of a pushback from the bears, vise versa on in the green zone as you can look and backtest, we are on our forth touch in this zone and that is part of the reason i believe we are going to see a red day or two but like i said before there is absolutely no need to panic, this would be natural price movement after getting these 5 green candles in a row. Also to add to our support we have the PB midline which is currently acting as support just like the bollinger bands, so we have quite the solid floor below us. Now lets check out the RSI, as we can see we are currently facing some longer term downtrend resistance coming from back in early august, we look too be getting a bounce off here but the main thing is that we are once again above the midline back in uptrend territory, i've highlighted the midline because as most of you are aware we have to continue to hold this level we don't want to break below here and get stuck because like i said we are in uptrend territory and don't want to loose that already. Now the MACD is looking fantastic we are seeing steady increases in the green bars on the histogram showing a rise in bullish momentum and we are getting some great separation from the blue MA, we are quite a ways away from a bearish cross and that brings me to my final point. If we do happen to see this more than likely day or two of red candles that realistically shouldn't affect this MACD cycle due to the fact that we have big spread in the MA's and the Blue can afford to fall a little bit without even coming close to a bearish cross! Not financial advice just my opinion!
