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Bitcoin 2014 vs. 2018 weekly 50 MA breakdown analysis

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Bear case: I can see a small recovery rally reaching ideally 7050 level before next major move down below 5k if we play out in similar fashion to 2014 but on a faster timescale.
Bull case, we need to really get above and close well above weekly 50 MA. So far I don't see any indication as the wyckoff spring that we could have formed was higher volume than necessary so this looks really overall much more bearish.

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