Distribution in Action: BankNifty Analysis

420
Hello TradingView community, hope you’re doing well! Today I’m sharing an important BankNifty setup as the index approaches a critical make or break zone.

The BankNifty has recently displayed a rounded top structure, a classic sign of distribution and gradual weakness. After weeks of sideways-to-down movement, the index has now broken below the 55000 psychological mark, bringing attention to the major support zone, which also aligns with the 200-day moving average.

Key Observations-:

Rounded Top Distribution-: The slow curve down suggests that sellers are gaining strength while buyers are losing momentum.

Critical Zone at 55000-: Once a strong support, this level has now turned into resistance, confirming supply pressure.

200-Day Moving Average Test-: The index is currently testing its long-term trend indicator. A sustained breakdown below this line can accelerate bearish sentiment.

Volume Dynamics-: Notice how selling volumes are increasing on down days – a further sign of distribution.

Possible Scenarios-:

Bullish Case (Green Path): A short-term rebound from support zone back towards 55000 is possible, but will likely face strong resistance. Only a decisive close above 55500 can negate the bearish structure.

Bearish Case (Red Path): Failure to hold this support may trigger further downside, with potential targets around 52000 and even 51000 in the medium term.

Trading Viewpoint-:

This is a make-or-break zone for BankNifty. While short-term bounces are possible, the overall structure leans bearish unless bulls reclaim 55000+ with strength. Risk management is crucial here traders may consider positioning with caution and keeping stops tight.

This publication purely I am sharing for educational purpose and did not contain any trading advice.

Regards- Amit

Aviso legal

As informações e publicações não devem ser e não constituem conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, de negociação ou de qualquer outro tipo, fornecidas ou endossadas pela TradingView. Leia mais em Termos de uso.