AMZN has been trading within an ascending channel, showing a consistent upward trend over the past week. The price recently tested the upper trendline of the channel, indicating strong bullish momentum but also a potential point of exhaustion.
Volume Analysis:
Volume has been decreasing slightly during the most recent rally, suggesting possible weakening buying pressure. Watch for a volume spike as confirmation of a breakout or potential reversal.
Moving Averages:
The 9 EMA and 21 EMA are providing dynamic support, with the price currently trading above both. This indicates strong short-term bullish sentiment. However, a break below these EMAs could signal a potential pullback. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $212.25 (Recent high and upper channel boundary)
Support Levels: First Support: $204.41 (previous breakout level) Second Support: $200.43 (psychological and strong support zone) Critical Support: $197.57 (breakdown level below which the bearish sentiment could accelerate)
MACD Analysis:
MACD is currently bullish, but the lines are converging, hinting at potential momentum loss. A bearish crossover could indicate a pullback or consolidation phase. Price Action Expectation:
Bullish Scenario: If AMZN breaks above $212.25 with increased volume, it could test the next psychological level of $215. Monitor the breakout and watch for a retest of the upper channel as confirmation.
Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above $204.41 could lead to a pullback towards $200.43, where buyers may step in. A break below $197.57 could shift the momentum to the downside.
Conclusion: Given the broader market rally over the last two days, AMZN may continue its upward momentum. However, traders should watch for potential resistance at the upper trendline and be prepared for a possible pullback, especially if volume does not support the current rally.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please perform your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
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