China's Economy is dangerously on the ropes...things have gotten so bad, CCP had to make an announcement on a Sunday night (AEST/UC+10) that they're going to intervene in their domestic market with a raft of "measures" in hopes of boosting market confidence:
- Halve stamp duty on stock trading - Tighten pace of IPO listings - Cut margin financing requirements - Restrict listed companies' refinancing - Restrict share reductions by major shareholders
My gut instinct tells me this will be a financial disaster...luckily we've got charts to tell us what's really going on.
Taking a (Snapshot TA) look, 000001 appears to be developing a Bearish H&S. Extrapolating Head-to-Neckline indicates price could be heading towards a pretty interesting Confluence Zone:
- Gap fill (weekly) - Retrace to previous 2014 break-out (aka Return to Scene of Crime) - Key demand/support zone - Multi-decade trend line
Note: While chart patterns (ie H&S) are great at spotting trends, etc. it's important to focus on associated demand/supply zones & how price interacts with key levels to determine when & where to scale in/out of positions.
All (technical) signs point to SHCOMP in process of capitulating...problem with Govt interventions is it becomes a momentum play in either direction & technicals take a back seat.
We'll just have to take note of critical levels, set alerts & wait for the dust to settle..
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