Sobre mim" The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent" John Maynard Keynes.
Observe, adapt, change/evolve/grow...or perish. Imagine different scenarios and take the one that confirms. If x occurs do x1, if y occurs do y1.
price moves from confluence to confluence in waves and patterns..if x occurs do x1 if y occurs do y1..imagine different scenarios, take the one that confirms..imagine the high probability first, you may not have time for the second.