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Dual Bayesian For Loop [QuantAlgo]Discover the power of probabilistic investing and trading with Dual Bayesian For Loop by QuantAlgo , a cutting-edge technical indicator that brings statistical rigor to trend analysis. By merging advanced Bayesian statistics with adaptive market scanning, this tool transforms complex probability calculations into clear, actionable signals—perfect for both data-driven traders seeking statistical edge and investors who value probability-based confirmation!
🟢 Core Architecture
At its heart, this indicator employs an adaptive dual-timeframe Bayesian framework with flexible scanning capabilities. It utilizes a configurable loop start parameter that lets you fine-tune how recent price action influences probability calculations. By combining adaptive scanning with short-term and long-term Bayesian probabilities, the indicator creates a sophisticated yet clear framework for trend identification that dynamically adjusts to market conditions.
🟢 Technical Foundation
The indicator builds on three innovative components:
Adaptive Loop Scanner: Dynamically evaluates price relationships with adjustable start points for precise control over historical analysis
Bayesian Probability Engine: Transforms market movements into probability scores through statistical modeling
Dual Timeframe Integration: Merges immediate market reactions with broader probability trends through custom smoothing
🟢 Key Features & Signals
The Adaptive Dual Bayesian For Loop transforms complex calculations into clear visual signals:
Binary probability signal displaying definitive trend direction
Dynamic color-coding system for instant trend recognition
Strategic L/S markers at key probability reversals
Customizable bar coloring based on probability trends
Comprehensive alert system for probability-based shifts
🟢 Practical Usage Tips
Here's how you can get the most out of the Dual Bayesian For Loop :
1/ Setup:
Add the indicator to your TradingView chart by clicking on the star icon to add it to your favorites ⭐️
Start with default source for balanced price representation
Use standard length for probability calculations
Begin with Loop Start at 1 for complete price analysis
Start with default Loop Lookback at 70 for reliable sampling size
2/ Signal Interpretation:
Monitor probability transitions across the 50% threshold (0 line)
Watch for convergence of short and long-term probabilities
Use L/S markers for potential trade signals
Monitor bar colors for additional trend confirmation
Configure alerts for significant trend crossovers and reversals, ensuring you can act on market movements promptly, even when you’re not actively monitoring the charts
🟢 Pro Tips
Fine-tune loop parameters for optimal sensitivity:
→ Lower Loop Start (1-5) for more reactive analysis
→ Higher Loop Start (5-10) to filter out noise
Adjust probability calculation period:
→ Shorter lengths (5-10) for aggressive signals
→ Longer lengths (15-30) for trend confirmation
Strategy Enhancement:
→ Compare signals across multiple timeframes
→ Combine with volume for trade validation
→ Use with support/resistance levels for entry timing
→ Integrate other technical tools for even more comprehensive analysis
Options Series - Anchored VWAP Ribbon➤ AVWAP On different chart symbols:
⭐ Overview and Key Features:
Anchored VWAP Calculation:
The script implements the Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (AVWAP), a tool used by professional traders to identify key price levels weighted by volume, starting from a specific timestamp (anchor point).
Bullish and Bearish Analysis:
It determines the dominance of bullish or bearish momentum based on the relationship between the close price and AVWAP levels across multiple time points.
Dynamic Visualization:
The background of the chart changes color based on overall bullish or bearish sentiment, making it easier to interpret market trends.
Multi-Time Anchors:
By defining multiple anchor points (e.g., 09:15, 09:20), the script calculates a series of AVWAP values for fine-grained intraday analysis.
Customizable Inputs:
Users can select the source price (e.g., hlc3), date, and time for AVWAP calculation.
⭐ How It Works and Functionality:
AVWAP Logic:
Uses the timestamp() function to establish a reference (anchor point).
Calculates the cumulative weighted price (price * volume) and cumulative volume from this anchor point.
The ratio of these sums gives the AVWAP, which updates dynamically with new bars.
Bullish and Bearish Signals:
Binary flags (1 or 0) are set for each time point depending on whether the closing price is above or below the AVWAP for that time.
Aggregates these flags into AVWAP_bull and AVWAP_bear to represent the overall market sentiment.
Decision Logic:
Determines final market conditions (bullish or bearish dominance) based on aggregated scores.
Visual feedback (background and bar colors) is applied accordingly.
⭐ Visualizations and User Experience:
Background Colors:
Green or red background highlights the overall sentiment (bullish or bearish), providing a quick market overview.
Bar Coloring:
Bars are color-coded based on bullish, bearish, or neutral conditions, making it easier to identify trends directly on the chart.
AVWAP Levels:
The calculated AVWAP values are plotted as colored lines for each anchor point, giving precise intraday levels of significance.
Bright colors (fluorescent green/red) are used for additional clarity when the close price is above or below these levels.
🎨 Settings and Customization:
Anchor Point:
Fully customizable anchor points allow users to set specific dates and times (e.g., 09:15 on December 13, 2024) for AVWAP calculations.
Source Price:
Users can choose from hlc3, close, or any other price source to calculate the AVWAP, tailoring the indicator to their strategy.
Visual Appearance:
The transparency, colors, and line styles are adjustable, enabling users to customize the chart to match their trading preferences.
Dynamic Signals:
The script accommodates numerous AVWAP levels, providing flexibility for scalpers and swing traders alike.
⭐ Uniqueness of the Concept:
Precise Intraday Analysis:
Unlike static VWAP, this script allows anchoring to specific times during the day, offering granular insights into market behavior.
Cumulative Sentiment Approach:
Aggregates signals across multiple time intervals, providing a comprehensive view of intraday momentum rather than a single-point reference.
Blending AVWAP with Visual Feedback:
Combines traditional AVWAP calculations with visually impactful features like background shading and bar coloring to enhance decision-making.
Scalability:
Supports adding multiple additional anchor points and customization for broader applicability in different market conditions.
🚀 Conclusion:
The Anchored VWAP Ribbon script is a powerful tool for traders seeking to analyze price behavior relative to volume-weighted levels anchored at specific times. It provides a visually intuitive way to assess intraday market sentiment, combining traditional technical indicators with customizable visualization features. The script’s flexibility makes it suitable for a variety of trading styles, from scalping to swing trading, while its unique cumulative sentiment logic sets it apart from conventional VWAP tools.
Simple Decesion Matrix Classification Algorithm [SS]Hello everyone,
It has been a while since I posted an indicator, so thought I would share this project I did for fun.
This indicator is an attempt to develop a pseudo Random Forest classification decision matrix model for Pinescript.
This is not a full, robust Random Forest model by any stretch of the imagination, but it is a good way to showcase how decision matrices can be applied to trading and within Pinescript.
As to not market this as something it is not, I am simply calling it the "Simple Decision Matrix Classification Algorithm". However, I have stolen most of the aspects of this machine learning algo from concepts of Random Forest modelling.
How it works:
With models like Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forest (RF) and Gradient Boosted Machine Learning (GBM), which are commonly used in Machine Learning Classification Tasks (MLCTs), this model operates similarity to the basic concepts shared amongst those modelling types. While it is not very similar to SVM, it is very similar to RF and GBM, in that it uses a "voting" system.
What do I mean by voting system?
How most classification MLAs work is by feeding an input dataset to an algorithm. The algorithm sorts this data, categorizes it, then introduces something called a confusion matrix (essentially sorting the data in no apparently order as to prevent over-fitting and introduce "confusion" to the algorithm to ensure that it is not just following a trend).
From there, the data is called upon based on current data inputs (so say we are using RSI and Z-Score, the current RSI and Z-Score is compared against other RSI's and Z-Scores that the model has saved). The model will process this information and each "tree" or "node" will vote. Then a cumulative overall vote is casted.
How does this MLA work?
This model accepts 2 independent variables. In order to keep things simple, this model was kept as a three node model. This means that there are 3 separate votes that go in to get the result. A vote is casted for each of the two independent variables and then a cumulative vote is casted for the overall verdict (the result of the model's prediction).
The model actually displays this system diagrammatically and it will likely be easier to understand if we look at the diagram to ground the example:
In the diagram, at the very top we have the classification variable that we are trying to predict. In this case, we are trying to predict whether there will be a breakout/breakdown outside of the normal ATR range (this is either yes or no question, hence a classification task).
So the question forms the basis of the input. The model will track at which points the ATR range is exceeded to the upside or downside, as well as the other variables that we wish to use to predict these exceedences. The ATR range forms the basis of all the data flowing into the model.
Then, at the second level, you will see we are using Z-Score and RSI to predict these breaks. The circle will change colour according to "feature importance". Feature importance basically just means that the indicator has a strong impact on the outcome. The stronger the importance, the more green it will be, the weaker, the more red it will be.
We can see both RSI and Z-Score are green and thus we can say they are strong options for predicting a breakout/breakdown.
So then we move down to the actual voting mechanisms. You will see the 2 pink boxes. These are the first lines of voting. What is happening here is the model is identifying the instances that are most similar and whether the classification task we have assigned (remember out ATR exceedance classifier) was either true or false based on RSI and Z-Score.
These are our 2 nodes. They both cast an individual vote. You will see in this case, both cast a vote of 1. The options are either 1 or 0. A vote of 1 means "Yes" or "Breakout likely".
However, this is not the only voting the model does. The model does one final vote based on the 2 votes. This is shown in the purple box. We can see the final vote and result at the end with the orange circle. It is 1 which means a range exceedance is anticipated and the most likely outcome.
The Data Table Component
The model has many moving parts. I have tried to represent the pivotal functions diagrammatically, but some other important aspects and background information must be obtained from the companion data table.
If we bring back our diagram from above:
We can see the data table to the left.
The data table contains 2 sections, one for each independent variable. In this case, our independent variables are RSI and Z-Score.
The data table will provide you with specifics about the independent variables, as well as about the model accuracy and outcome.
If we take a look at the first row, it simply indicates which independent variable it is looking at. If we go down to the next row where it reads "Weighted Impact", we can see a corresponding percent. The "weighted impact" is the amount of representation each independent variable has within the voting scheme. So in this case, we can see its pretty equal, 45% and 55%, This tells us that there is a slight higher representation of z-score than RSI but nothing to worry about.
If there was a major over-respresentation of greater than 30 or 40%, then the model would risk being skewed and voting too heavily in favour of 1 variable over the other.
If we move down from there we will see the next row reads "independent accuracy". The voting of each independent variable's accuracy is considered separately. This is one way we can determine feature importance, by seeing how well one feature augments the accuracy. In this case, we can see that RSI has the greatest importance, with an accuracy of around 87% at predicting breakouts. That makes sense as RSI is a momentum based oscillator.
Then if we move down one more, we will see what each independent feature (node) has voted for. In this case, both RSI and Z-Score voted for 1 (Breakout in our case).
You can weigh these in collaboration, but its always important to look at the final verdict of the model, which if we move down, we can see the "Model prediction" which is "Bullish".
If you are using the ATR breakout, the model cannot distinguish between "Bullish" or "Bearish", must that a "Breakout" is likely, either bearish or bullish. However, for the other classification tasks this model can do, the results are either Bullish or Bearish.
Using the Function:
Okay so now that all that technical stuff is out of the way, let's get into using the function. First of all this function innately provides you with 3 possible classification tasks. These include:
1. Predicting Red or Green Candle
2. Predicting Bullish / Bearish ATR
3. Predicting a Breakout from the ATR range
The possible independent variables include:
1. Stochastics,
2. MFI,
3. RSI,
4. Z-Score,
5. EMAs,
6. SMAs,
7. Volume
The model can only accept 2 independent variables, to operate within the computation time limits for pine execution.
Let's quickly go over what the numbers in the diagram mean:
The numbers being pointed at with the yellow arrows represent the cases the model is sorting and voting on. These are the most identical cases and are serving as the voting foundation for the model.
The numbers being pointed at with the pink candle is the voting results.
Extrapolating the functions (For Pine Developers:
So this is more of a feature application, so feel free to customize it to your liking and add additional inputs. But here are some key important considerations if you wish to apply this within your own code:
1. This is a BINARY classification task. The prediction must either be 0 or 1.
2. The function consists of 3 separate functions, the 2 first functions serve to build the confusion matrix and then the final "random_forest" function serves to perform the computations. You will need all 3 functions for implementation.
3. The model can only accept 2 independent variables.
I believe that is the function. Hopefully this wasn't too confusing, it is very statsy, but its a fun function for me! I use Random Forest excessively in R and always like to try to convert R things to Pinescript.
Hope you enjoy!
Safe trades everyone!
QuantifyPS - 1Library "QuantifyPS"
normdist(z)
Parameters:
z (float) : (float): The z-score for which the CDF is to be calculated.
Returns: (float): The cumulative probability corresponding to the input z-score.
Notes:
- Uses an approximation method for the normal distribution CDF, which is computationally efficient.
- The result is accurate for most practical purposes but may have minor deviations for extreme values of `z`.
Formula:
- Based on the approximation formula:
`Φ(z) ≈ 1 - f(z) * P(t)` if `z > 0`, otherwise `Φ(z) ≈ f(z) * P(t)`,
where:
`f(z) = 0.3989423 * exp(-z^2 / 2)` (PDF of standard normal distribution)
`P(t) = Σ [c * t^i]` with constants `c` and `t = 1 / (1 + 0.2316419 * |z|)`.
Implementation details:
- The approximation uses five coefficients for the polynomial part of the CDF.
- Handles both positive and negative values of `z` symmetrically.
Constants:
- The coefficients and scaling factors are chosen to minimize approximation errors.
gamma(x)
Parameters:
x (float) : (float): The input value for which the Gamma function is to be calculated.
Must be greater than 0. For x <= 0, the function returns `na` as it is undefined.
Returns: (float): Approximation of the Gamma function for the input `x`.
Notes:
- The Lanczos approximation provides a numerically stable and efficient method to compute the Gamma function.
- The function is not defined for `x <= 0` and will return `na` in such cases.
- Uses precomputed Lanczos coefficients for accuracy.
- Includes handling for small numerical inaccuracies.
Formula:
- The Gamma function is approximated as:
`Γ(x) ≈ sqrt(2π) * t^(x + 0.5) * e^(-t) * Σ(p / (x + k))`
where `t = x + g + 0.5` and `p` is the array of Lanczos coefficients.
Implementation details:
- Lanczos coefficients (`p`) are precomputed and stored in an array.
- The summation iterates over these coefficients to compute the final result.
- The constant `g` controls the precision of the approximation (commonly `g = 7`).
t_cdf(t, df)
Parameters:
t (float) : (float): The t-statistic for which the CDF value is to be calculated.
df (int) : (int): Degrees of freedom of the t-distribution.
Returns: (float): Approximate CDF value for the given t-statistic.
Notes:
- This function computes a one-tailed p-value.
- Relies on an approximation formula using gamma functions and standard t-distribution properties.
- May not be as accurate as specialized statistical libraries for extreme values or very high degrees of freedom.
Formula:
- Let `x = df / (t^2 + df)`.
- The approximation formula is derived using:
`CDF(t, df) ≈ 1 - * x^((df + 1) / 2) / 2`,
where Γ represents the gamma function.
Implementation details:
- Computes the gamma ratio for normalization.
- Applies the t-distribution formula for one-tailed probabilities.
tStatForPValue(p, df)
Parameters:
p (float) : (float): P-value for which the t-statistic needs to be calculated.
Must be in the interval (0, 1).
df (int) : (int): Degrees of freedom of the t-distribution.
Returns: (float): The t-statistic corresponding to the given p-value.
Notes:
- If `p` is outside the interval (0, 1), the function returns `na` as an error.
- The function uses binary search with a fixed number of iterations and a defined tolerance.
- The result is accurate to within the specified tolerance (default: 0.0001).
- Relies on the cumulative density function (CDF) `t_cdf` for the t-distribution.
Formula:
- Uses the cumulative density function (CDF) of the t-distribution to iteratively find the t-statistic.
Implementation details:
- `low` and `high` define the search interval for the t-statistic.
- The midpoint (`mid`) is iteratively refined until the difference between the cumulative probability
and the target p-value is smaller than the tolerance.
jarqueBera(n, s, k)
Parameters:
n (float) : (series float): Number of observations in the dataset.
s (float) : (series float): Skewness of the dataset.
k (float) : (series float): Kurtosis of the dataset.
Returns: (float): The Jarque-Bera test statistic.
Formula:
JB = n *
Notes:
- A higher JB value suggests that the data deviates more from a normal distribution.
- The test is asymptotically distributed as a chi-squared distribution with 2 degrees of freedom.
- Use this value to calculate a p-value to determine the significance of the result.
skewness(data)
Parameters:
data (float) : (series float): Input data series.
Returns: (float): The skewness value.
Notes:
- Handles missing values (`na`) by ignoring invalid points.
- Includes error handling for zero variance to avoid division-by-zero scenarios.
- Skewness is calculated as the normalized third central moment of the data.
kurtosis(data)
Parameters:
data (float) : (series float): Input data series.
Returns: (float): The kurtosis value.
Notes:
- Handles missing values (`na`) by ignoring invalid points.
- Includes error handling for zero variance to avoid division-by-zero scenarios.
- Kurtosis is calculated as the normalized fourth central moment of the data.
regression(y, x, lag)
Parameters:
y (float) : (series float): Dependent series (observed values).
x (float) : (series float): Independent series (explanatory variable).
lag (int) : (int): Number of lags applied to the independent series (x).
Returns: (tuple): Returns a tuple containing the following values:
- n: Number of valid observations.
- alpha: Intercept of the regression line.
- beta: Slope of the regression line.
- t_stat: T-statistic for the beta coefficient.
- p_value: Two-tailed p-value for the beta coefficient.
- r_squared: Coefficient of determination (R²) indicating goodness of fit.
- skew: Skewness of the residuals.
- kurt: Kurtosis of the residuals.
Notes:
- Handles missing data (`na`) by ignoring invalid points.
- Includes basic error handling for zero variance and division-by-zero scenarios.
- Computes residual-based statistics (skewness and kurtosis) for model diagnostics.
Percentile Momentum IndicatorInput Parameters:
lengthPercentile: Defines the period used to calculate the percentile values (default: 30).
lengthMomentum: Defines the period for calculating the Rate of Change (ROC) momentum (default: 10).
Core Logic:
Rate of Change (ROC): The script calculates the ROC of the closing price over the specified period (lengthMomentum).
Percentile Calculations: The script calculates two key percentiles:
percentile_upper (80th percentile of the high prices)
percentile_lower (20th percentile of the low prices)
Percentile Average: An average of the upper and lower percentiles is calculated (avg_percentile).
Trade Signals:
Buy Signal: Triggered when the ROC is positive, the close is above the percentile_lower, and the close is above the avg_percentile.
Sell Signal: Triggered when the ROC is negative, the close is below the percentile_upper, and the close is below the avg_percentile.
Trade State Management:
The script uses a binary state: 1 for long (buy) and -1 for short (sell).
The trade state is updated based on buy or sell signals.
Bar Coloring:
Bars are colored dynamically based on the trade state:
Green for long (buy signal).
Red for short (sell signal).
The same color is applied to the percentile and average percentile lines for visual consistency.
Nasan Hull-smoothed envelope The Nasan Hull-Smoothed Envelope indicator is a sophisticated overlay designed to track price movement within an adaptive "envelope." It dynamically adjusts to market volatility and trend strength, using a series of smoothing and volatility-correction techniques. Here's a detailed breakdown of its components, from the input settings to the calculated visual elements:
Inputs
look_back_length (500):
Defines the lookback period for calculating intraday volatility (IDV), smoothing it over time. A higher value means the indicator considers a longer historical range for volatility calculations.
sl (50):
Sets the smoothing length for the Hull Moving Average (HMA). The HMA smooths various lines, creating a balance between sensitivity and stability in trend signals.
mp (1.5):
Multiplier for IDV, scaling the volatility impact on the envelope. A higher multiplier widens the envelope to accommodate higher volatility, while a lower one tightens it.
p (0.625):
Weight factor that determines the balance between extremes (highest high and lowest low) and averages (sma of high and sma of low) in the high/low calculations. A higher p gives more weight to extremes, making the envelope more responsive to abrupt market changes.
Volatility Calculation (IDV)
The Intraday Volatility (IDV) metric represents the average volatility per bar as an exponentially smoothed ratio of the high-low range to the close price. This is calculated over the look_back_length period, providing a base volatility value which is then scaled by mp. The IDV enables the envelope to dynamically widen or narrow with market volatility, making it sensitive to current market conditions.
Composite High and Low Bands
The high and low bands define the upper and lower bounds of the envelope.
High Calculation
a_high:
Uses a multi-period approach to capture the highest highs over several intervals (5, 8, 13, 21, and 34 bars). Averaging these highs provides a more stable reference for the high end of the envelope, capturing both immediate and recent peak values.
b_high:
Computes the average of shorter simple moving averages (5, 8, and 13 bars) of the high prices, smoothing out fluctuations in the recent highs. This generates a balanced view of high price trends.
high_c:
Combines a_high and b_high using the weight p. This blend creates a composite high that balances between recent peaks and smoothed averages, making the upper envelope boundary adaptive to short-term price shifts.
Low Calculation
a_low and b_low:
Similar to the high calculation, these capture extreme lows and smooth low values over the same intervals. This approach creates a stable and adaptive lower bound for the envelope.
low_c:
Combines a_low and b_low using the weight p, resulting in a composite low that adjusts to price fluctuations while maintaining a stable trend line.
Volatility-Adjusted Bands
The final composite high (c_high) and composite low (c_low) bands are adjusted using IDV, which accounts for intraday volatility. When volatility is high, the bands expand; when it’s low, they contract, providing a visual representation of volatility-adjusted price bounds.
Basis Line
The basis line is a Hull Moving Average (HMA) of the average of c_high and c_low. The HMA is known for its smoothness and responsiveness, making the basis line a central trend indicator. The color of the basis line changes:
Green when the basis line is increasing.
Red when the basis line is decreasing.
This color-coded basis line serves as a quick visual reference for trend direction.
Short-Term Trend Strength Block
This component analyzes recent price action to assess short-term bullish and bearish momentum.
Conditions (green, red, green1, red1):
These are binary conditions that categorize price movements as bullish or bearish based on the close compared to the open and the close’s relationship with the exponential moving average (EMA). This separation helps capture different types of strength (above/below EMA) and different bullish or bearish patterns.
Composite Trend Strength Values:
Each of the bullish and bearish counts (above and below the EMA) is normalized, resulting in the following values:
green_EMAup_a and red_EMAup_a for bullish and bearish strength above the EMA.
green_EMAdown_a and red_EMAdown_a for bullish and bearish strength below the EMA.
Trend Strength (t_s):
This calculated metric combines the normalized trend strengths with extra weight to conditions above the EMA, giving more relevance to trends that have momentum behind them.
Enhanced Trend Strength
avg_movement:
Calculates the average absolute price movement over the short_term_length, providing a measurement of recent price activity that scales with volatility.
enhanced_t_s:
Multiplies t_s by avg_movement, creating an enhanced trend strength value that reflects both directional strength and the magnitude of recent price movement.
min and max:
Minimum and maximum percentile thresholds, respectively, based on enhanced_t_s for controlling the color gradient in the fill area.
Fill Area
The fill area between plot_c_high and plot_c_low is color-coded based on the enhanced trend strength (enhanced_t_s):
Gradient color transitions from blue to green based on the strength level, with blue representing weaker trends and green indicating stronger trends.
This visual fill provides an at-a-glance assessment of trend strength across the envelope, with color shifts highlighting momentum shifts.
Summary
The indicator’s purpose is to offer an adaptive price envelope that reflects real-time market volatility and trend strength. Here’s what each component contributes:
Basis Line: A trend-following line in the center that adjusts color based on trend direction.
Envelope (c_high, c_low): Adapts to volatility by expanding and contracting based on IDV, giving traders a responsive view of expected price bounds.
Fill Area: A color-gradient region representing trend strength within the envelope, helping traders easily identify momentum changes.
Overall, this tool helps to identify trend direction, market volatility, and strength of price movements, allowing for more informed decisions based on visual cues around price boundaries and trend momentum.
M & W Checklistindicator to Validate & Grade M & W Patterns.
Indicator Inputs
Table Color Palette
• Position Valid : Positions the Valid Trade table on the chart.
• Position Grade : Positions the Grade table on the chart, hover over the Column 1 Row 1 for a description of the bands.
• Size: Text size for all tables.
• Text Color : Sets text color.
• Border Color : Sets the table border color for all tables.
• Background Color : Sets table backgroud color for all tables.
Valid Trade Table
Checkboxes to indicate if the trade is valid. Fail is displayed if unchecked, Pass if checked.
Grade Table
• S/R Level 1: distance between neckline and 1st resistance area in % of the total distance between neckline and take profit. This is not for road blocks but pivot points etc before the initial run up/down in price. I have this set to 30% , this means that if there is a pivot point between the neckline and 30% of the TP level I weight it negatively.
• S/R Level 2: distance between neckline and 1st resistance area in % of the total distance between neckline and take profit. This is not for road blocks but pivot points etc before the initial run up/down in price. I have this set to 50% , this means that if there is a pivot point between the neckline and 50% of the TP level 2 weight it negatively but less so than level 1.
• S/R Level 3: distance between neckline and 1st resistance area in % of the total distance between neckline and take profit. This is not for road blocks but pivot points etc before the initial run up/down in price. I have this set to 70% , this means that if there is a pivot point between the neckline and 70% of the TP level 3 weight it negatively but less so than level 1 & level 2.
• Checkboxes are self explanatory, they are binary options, all are weighted negatively if checked and are weighted positively if unchecked. Divergence values for weighting are neutral if unckecked & weighted positively if checked.
• The select options are neutral weighting if set to neutral , if set to For its weighted positive and set to Against weighted negatively.
Technical Specification of the Scoring and Band System
Overview
The scoring system is designed to evaluate a set of technical trade conditions, assigning weights to various criteria that influence the quality of the trade. The system calculates a total score based on both positive and negative conditions. Based on the final score, the system assigns a grade or band (A, B, or C) for positive scores, and a "Negative" label for negative scores.
Scoring System
The system calculates the score by evaluating a set of 12 conditions (gradeCondition1 to gradeCondition12). These conditions are manually input by the user via checkboxes or dropdowns in a technical indicator (written in Pine Script for TradingView). The score weights vary according to the relative importance of each condition.
Condition Breakdown and Weighting:
1. Divergences (GradeCondition1 & GradeCondition2):
◦ 1H Divergence: +5 points if condition is true.
◦ 4H Divergence: +10 points if condition is true (stronger weight than 1H).
2. Support/Resistance at Neckline (GradeCondition3):
◦ Negative if present: -15 points if true (carries significant negative weight).
3. RB near Entry (GradeCondition4):
◦ Very Negative: -20 points if true (this is a critical negative condition).
4. RB can Manage (GradeCondition5):
◦ Slightly Negative: -5 points if true.
5. Institutional Value Zones (GradeCondition6 to GradeCondition8):
◦ For the trade: +5 points.
◦ Against the trade: -5 points.
◦ Neutral: 0 points.
6. S/R between Neckline & Targets (GradeCondition9 to GradeCondition11):
◦ Level 1: -10 points if true, +7 points if false.
◦ Level 2: -7 points if true, +7 points if false.
◦ Level 3: -5 points if true, +7 points if false.
◦ Use fib tool or Gann Box to measure any S/R levels setup according to your preferences.
7. News Timing (GradeCondition12):
◦ News within 3 hours: -20 points if true (strong negative factor).
◦ No upcoming news: +10 points if false.
Scoring Calculation Formula:
totalScore = score1 + score2 + score3 + score4 + score5 + score6 + score7 + score8 + score9 + score10 + score11 + score12
Where:
• score1 to score12 represent the points derived from the conditions described above.
Coloring and Visual Feedback:
• Positive Scores: Displayed in green.
• Negative Scores: Displayed in red.
Band System
The Band System classifies the total score into different grades, depending on the final value of totalScore. This classification provides an intuitive ranking for trades, helping users quickly assess trade quality.
Band Classification:
• Band A: If the totalScore is 41 or more.
◦ Represents a highly favorable trade setup.
• Band B: If the totalScore is between 21 and 40.
◦ Represents a favorable trade setup with good potential.
• Band C: If the totalScore is between 1 and 20.
◦ Represents a trade setup that is acceptable but may have risks.
• Negative: If the totalScore is 0 or less.
◦ Represents a poor trade setup with significant risks or unfavorable conditions.
Band Calculation Logic (in Pine Script):
var string grade = ""
if (totalScore >= 41)
grade := "Band A"
else if (totalScore >= 21)
grade := "Band B"
else if (totalScore >= 1)
grade := "Band C"
else
grade := "Negative"
Technical Key Points:
• Highly Negative Conditions:
◦ The system penalizes certain conditions more heavily, especially those that suggest significant risks (e.g., News in less than 3 hours, RB near Entry).
• Positive Trade Conditions:
◦ Divergences, Institutional Value Zones in favor of the trade, and lack of significant nearby resistance all contribute positively to the score.
• Flexible System:
◦ The system can be adapted or fine-tuned by adjusting the weights of individual conditions according to trading preferences.
Use Case Example:
• If a trade has 1H and 4H Divergence, RB near Entry (negative), and no upcoming news:
◦ 1H Divergence: +5 points.
◦ 4H Divergence: +10 points.
◦ RB near Entry: -20 points.
◦ No news: +10 points.
◦ Total Score: 5 + 10 - 20 + 10 = 5 → Band C.
This modular and flexible scoring system allows traders to systematically evaluate trades and quickly gauge the trade's potential based on technical indicators
Summary:
Maximum Score: 61
Minimum Score: -97
These are the bounds of the score range based on the current logic of the script.
RSI (Kernel Optimized) | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new KDE Optimized RSI Indicator! This indicator adds a new aspect to the well-known RSI indicator, with the help of the KDE (Kernel Density Estimation) algorithm, estimates the probability of a candlestick will be a pivot or not. For more information about the process, please check the "HOW DOES IT WORK ?" section.
Features of the new KDE Optimized RSI Indicator :
A New Approach To Pivot Detection
Customizable KDE Algorithm
Realtime RSI & KDE Dashboard
Alerts For Possible Pivots
Customizable Visuals
❓ HOW TO INTERPRET THE KDE %
The KDE % is a critical metric that reflects how closely the current RSI aligns with the KDE (Kernel Density Estimation) array. In simple terms, it represents the likelihood that the current candlestick is forming a pivot point based on historical data patterns. a low percentage suggests a lower probability of the current candlestick being a pivot point. In these cases, price action is less likely to reverse, and existing trends may continue. At moderate levels, the possibility of a pivot increases, indicating potential trend shifts or consolidations.Traders should start monitoring closely for confirmation signals. An even higher KDE % suggests a strong likelihood that the current candlestick could form a pivot point, which could lead to a reversal or significant price movement. These points often align with overbought or oversold conditions in traditional RSI analysis, making them key moments for potential trade entry or exit.
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a widely used oscillator among traders. It outputs a value between 0 - 100 and gives a glimpse about the current momentum of the price action. This indicator then calculates the RSI for each candlesticks, and saves them into an array if the candlestick is a pivot. The low & high pivot RSIs' are inserted into two different arrays. Then the a KDE array is calculated for both of the low & high pivot RSI arrays. Explaining the KDE might be too much for this write-up, but for a brief explanation, here are the steps :
1. Define the necessary options for the KDE function. These are : Bandwidth & Nº Steps, Array Range (Array Max - Array Min)
2. After that, create a density range array. The array has (steps * 2 - 1) elements and they are calculated by (arrMin + i * stepCount), i being the index.
3. Then, define a kernel function. This indicator has 3 different kernel distribution modes : Uniform, Gaussian and Sigmoid
4. Then, define a temporary value for the current element of KDE array.
5. For each element E in the pivot RSI array, add "kernel(densityRange.get(i) - E, 1.0 / bandwidth)" to the temporary value.
6. Add 1.0 / arrSize * to the KDE array.
Then the prefix sum array of the KDE array is calculated. For each candlestick, the index closest to it's RSI value in the KDE array is found using binary search. Then for the low pivot KDE calculation, the sum of KDE values from found index to max index is calculated. For the high pivot KDE, the sum of 0 to found index is used. Then if high or low KDE value is greater than the activation threshold determined in the settings, a bearish or bullish arrow is plotted after bar confirmation respectively. The arrows are drawn as long as the KDE value of current candlestick is greater than the threshold. When the KDE value is out of the threshold, a less transparent arrow is drawn, indicating a possible pivot point.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
This indicator combines RSI & KDE Algorithm to get a foresight of possible pivot points. Pivot points are important entry, confirmation and exit points for traders. But to their nature, they can be only detected after more candlesticks are rendered after them. The purpose of this indicator is to alert the traders of possible pivot points using KDE algorithm right away when they are confirmed. The indicator also has a dashboard for realtime view of the current RSI & Bullish or Bearish KDE value. You can fully customize the KDE algorithm and set up alerts for pivot detection.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. RSI Settings
RSI Length -> The amount of bars taken into account for RSI calculation.
Source -> The source value for RSI calculation.
2. Pivots
Pivot Lengths -> Pivot lengths for both high & low pivots. For example, if this value is set to 21; 21 bars before AND 21 bars after a candlestick must be higher for a candlestick to be a low pivot.
3. KDE
Activation Threshold -> This setting determines the amount of arrows shown. Higher options will result in more arrows being rendered.
Kernel -> The kernel function as explained in the upper section.
Bandwidth -> The bandwidth variable as explained in the upper section. The smoothness of the KDE function is tied to this setting.
Nº Bins -> The Nº Steps variable as explained in the upper section. It determines the precision of the KDE algorithm.
Black-Scholes option price model & delta hedge strategyBlack-Scholes Option Pricing Model Strategy
The strategy is based on the Black-Scholes option pricing model and allows the calculation of option prices, various option metrics (the Greeks), and the creation of synthetic positions through delta hedging.
ATTENTION!
Trading derivative financial instruments involves high risks. The author of the strategy is not responsible for your financial results! The strategy is not self-sufficient for generating profit! It is created exclusively for constructing a synthetic derivative financial instrument. Also, there might be errors in the script, so use it at your own risk! I would appreciate it if you point out any mistakes in the comments! I would be even more grateful if you send the corrected code!
Application Scope
This strategy can be used for delta hedging short positions in sold options. For example, suppose you sold a call option on Bitcoin on the Deribit exchange with a strike price of $60,000 and an expiration date of September 27, 2024. Using this script, you can create a delta hedge to protect against the risk of loss in the option position if the price of Bitcoin rises.
Another example: Suppose you use staking of altcoins in your strategies, for which options are not available. By using this strategy, you can hedge the risk of a price drop (Put option). In this case, you won't lose money if the underlying asset price increases, unlike with a short futures position.
Another example: You received an airdrop, but your tokens will not be fully unlocked soon. Using this script, you can fully hedge your position and preserve their dollar value by the time the tokens are fully unlocked. And you won't fear the underlying asset price increasing, as the loss in the event of a price rise is limited to the option premium you will pay if you rebalance the portfolio.
Of course, this script can also be used for simple directional trading of momentum and mean reversion strategies!
Key Features and Input Parameters
1. Option settings:
- Style of option: "European vanilla", "Binary", "Asian geometric".
- Type of option: "Call" (bet on the rise) or "Put" (bet on the fall).
- Strike price: the option contract price.
- Expiration: the expiry date and time of the option contract.
2. Market statistic settings:
- Type of price source: open, high, low, close, hl2, hlc3, ohlc4, hlcc4 (using hl2, hlc3, ohlc4, hlcc4 allows smoothing the price in more volatile series).
- Risk-free return symbol: the risk-free rate for the market where the underlying asset is traded. For the cryptocurrency market, the return on the funding rate arbitrage strategy is accepted (a special function is written for its calculation based on the Premium Price).
- Volatility calculation model: realized (standard deviation over a moving period), implied (e.g., DVOL or VIX), or custom (you can specify a specific number in the field below). For the cryptocurrency market, the calculation of implied volatility is implemented based on the product of the realized volatility ratio of the considered asset and Bitcoin to the Bitcoin implied volatility index.
- User implied volatility: fixed implied volatility (used if "Custom" is selected in the "Volatility Calculation Method").
3. Display settings:
- Choose metric: what to display on the indicator scale – the price of the underlying asset, the option price, volatility, or Greeks (all are available).
- Measure: bps (basis points), percent. This parameter allows choosing the unit of measurement for the displayed metric (for all except the Greeks).
4. Trading settings:
- Hedge model: None (do not trade, default), Simple (just open a position for the full volume when the strike price is crossed), Synthetic option (creating a synthetic option based on the Black-Scholes model).
- Position side: Long, Short.
- Position size: the number of units of the underlying asset needed to create the option.
- Strategy start time: the moment in time after which the strategy will start working to create a synthetic option.
- Delta hedge interval: the interval in minutes for rebalancing the portfolio. For example, a value of 5 corresponds to rebalancing the portfolio every 5 minutes.
Post scriptum
My strategy based on the SegaRKO model. Many thanks to the author! Unfortunately, I don't have enough reputation points to include a link to the author in the description. You can find the original model via the link in the code, as well as through the search indicators on the charts by entering the name: "Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model". I have significantly improved the model: the calculation of volatility, risk-free rate and time value of the option have been reworked. The code performance has also been significantly optimized. And the most significant change is the execution, with which you can now trade using this script.
Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator### In-Depth Analysis of the "Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator" Indicator
---
#### Introduction to the Indicator
The "Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator" is an advanced yet user-friendly technical analysis tool designed to help traders across all levels of experience identify and follow market trends with precision. This indicator builds upon the fundamental principles of the Simple Moving Average (SMA), a cornerstone of technical analysis, to deliver a clear, visually intuitive overlay on the price chart. Through its strategic use of color-coding and customizable parameters, the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator provides traders with actionable insights into market dynamics, enhancing their ability to make informed trading decisions.
#### Core Concepts and Methodology
1. **Foundational Principle – Simple Moving Average (SMA):**
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is the heart of the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator. The SMA is a widely-used technical indicator that calculates the average price of an asset over a specified number of periods. By smoothing out price data, the SMA helps to reduce the noise from short-term fluctuations, providing a clearer picture of the overall trend.
- In the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator, two SMAs are employed:
- **Primary SMA (oscValue):** This is applied to the closing price of the asset over a user-defined period (default is 14 periods). This SMA tracks the price closely and is sensitive to changes in market direction.
- **Smoothing SMA (oscV):** This second SMA is applied to the primary SMA, further smoothing the data and helping to filter out minor price movements that might otherwise be mistaken for trend reversals. The default period for this smoothing is 50, but it can be adjusted to suit the trader's preference.
2. **Color-Coding for Trend Visualization:**
- One of the most distinctive features of this indicator is its use of color to represent market trends. The indicator’s line changes color based on the relationship between the primary SMA and the smoothing SMA:
- **Bullish (Green):** The line turns green when the primary SMA is equal to or greater than the smoothing SMA, indicating that the market is in an upward trend.
- **Bearish (Red):** Conversely, the line turns red when the primary SMA falls below the smoothing SMA, signaling a downward trend.
- This color-coded system provides traders with an immediate, easy-to-interpret visual cue about the market’s direction, allowing for quick decision-making.
#### Detailed Explanation of Inputs
1. **Bullish Color (Default: Green #00ff00):**
- This input allows traders to customize the color that represents bullish trends on the chart. The default setting is green, a color commonly associated with upward market movement. However, traders can adjust this to any color that suits their visual preferences or matches their overall chart theme.
2. **Bearish Color (Default: Red RGB: 245, 0, 0):**
- The bearish color input determines the color of the line when the market is trending downwards. The default setting is a vivid red, signaling caution or selling opportunities. Like the bullish color, this can be customized to fit the trader’s needs.
3. **Line Thickness (Default: 5):**
- This setting controls the thickness of the line plotted by the indicator. The default thickness of 5 makes the line prominent on the chart, ensuring that the trend is easily visible even in complex or crowded chart setups. Traders can adjust the thickness to make the line thinner or thicker, depending on their visual preferences.
4. **Primary SMA Period (Value 1 - Default: 14):**
- The primary SMA period defines how many periods (e.g., days, hours) are used to calculate the moving average based on the asset’s closing prices. The default period of 14 is a balanced setting that offers a good mix of responsiveness and stability, but traders can adjust this depending on their trading style:
- **Shorter Periods (e.g., 5-10):** These make the indicator more sensitive, capturing trends more quickly but also increasing the likelihood of reacting to short-term price fluctuations or "noise."
- **Longer Periods (e.g., 20-50):** These smooth the data more, providing a more stable trend line that is less prone to whipsaws but may be slower to respond to trend changes.
5. **Smoothing SMA Period (Value 2 - Default: 50):**
- The smoothing SMA period determines how much the primary SMA is smoothed. A longer smoothing period results in a more gradual, stable line that focuses on the broader trend. The default of 50 is designed to smooth out most of the short-term fluctuations while still being responsive enough to detect significant trend shifts.
- **Customization:**
- **Shorter Smoothing Periods (e.g., 20-30):** Make the indicator more responsive, better for fast-moving markets or for traders who want to capture quick trends.
- **Longer Smoothing Periods (e.g., 70-100):** Enhance stability, ideal for long-term traders looking to avoid reacting to minor price movements.
#### Unique Characteristics and Advantages
1. **Simplicity and Clarity:**
- The Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator’s design prioritizes simplicity without sacrificing effectiveness. By relying on the widely understood SMA, it avoids the complexity of more esoteric indicators while still providing reliable trend signals. This simplicity makes it accessible to traders of all levels, from novices who are just learning about technical analysis to experienced traders looking for a straightforward, dependable tool.
2. **Visual Feedback Mechanism:**
- The indicator’s use of color to signify market trends is a particularly powerful feature. This visual feedback mechanism allows traders to assess market conditions at a glance. The clarity of the green and red color scheme reduces the mental effort required to interpret the indicator, freeing the trader to focus on strategy execution.
3. **Adaptability Across Markets and Timeframes:**
- One of the strengths of the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator is its versatility. The basic principles of moving averages apply equally well across different asset classes and timeframes. Whether trading stocks, forex, commodities, or cryptocurrencies, traders can use this indicator to gain insights into market trends.
- **Intraday Trading:** For day traders who operate on short timeframes (e.g., 1-minute, 5-minute charts), the oscillator can be adjusted to be more responsive, capturing quick shifts in momentum.
- **Swing Trading:** Swing traders, who typically hold positions for several days to weeks, will find the default settings or slightly adjusted periods ideal for identifying and riding medium-term trends.
- **Long-Term Trading:** Position traders and investors can adjust the indicator to focus on long-term trends by increasing the periods for both the primary and smoothing SMAs, filtering out minor fluctuations and highlighting sustained market movements.
4. **Minimal Lag:**
- One of the challenges with moving averages is lag—the delay between when the price changes and when the indicator reflects this change. The Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator addresses this by allowing traders to adjust the periods to find a balance between responsiveness and stability. While all SMAs inherently have some lag, the customizable nature of this indicator helps traders mitigate this effect to align with their specific trading goals.
5. **Customizable and Intuitive:**
- While many technical indicators come with a fixed set of parameters, the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator is fully customizable, allowing traders to tailor it to their trading style, market conditions, and personal preferences. This makes it a highly flexible tool that can be adjusted as markets evolve or as a trader’s strategy changes over time.
#### Practical Applications for Different Trader Profiles
1. **Day Traders:**
- **Use Case:** Day traders can customize the SMA periods to create a faster, more responsive indicator. This allows them to capture short-term trends and make quick decisions. For example, reducing the primary SMA to 5 and the smoothing SMA to 20 can help day traders react promptly to intraday price movements.
- **Strategy Integration:** Day traders might use the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator in conjunction with volume-based indicators to confirm the strength of a trend before entering or exiting trades.
2. **Swing Traders:**
- **Use Case:** Swing traders can use the default settings or slightly adjust them to smooth out minor price fluctuations while still capturing medium-term trends. This approach helps in identifying the optimal points to enter or exit trades based on the broader market direction.
- **Strategy Integration:** Swing traders can combine this indicator with oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to confirm overbought or oversold conditions, thereby refining their entry and exit strategies.
3. **Position Traders:**
- **Use Case:** Position traders, who hold trades for extended periods, can extend the SMA periods to focus on long-term trends. By doing so, they minimize the impact of short-term market noise and focus on the underlying trend.
- **Strategy Integration:** Position traders might use the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator in combination with fundamental analysis. The indicator can help confirm the timing of entries and exits based on broader economic or corporate developments.
4. **Algorithmic and Quantitative Traders:**
- **Use Case:** The simplicity and clear logic of the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator make it an excellent candidate for algorithmic trading strategies. Its binary output—bullish or bearish—can be easily coded into automated trading systems.
- **Strategy Integration:** Quant traders might use the indicator as part of a larger trading system that incorporates multiple indicators and rules, optimizing the SMA periods based on historical backtesting to achieve the best results.
5. **Novice Traders:**
- **Use Case:** Beginners can use the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator to learn the basics of trend-following strategies.
The visual simplicity of the color-coded line helps novice traders quickly understand market direction without the need to interpret complex data.
- **Educational Value:** The indicator serves as an excellent starting point for those new to technical analysis, providing a practical example of how moving averages work in a real-world trading environment.
#### Combining the Indicator with Other Tools
1. **Relative Strength Index (RSI):**
- The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. When combined with the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator, traders can look for instances where the RSI shows divergence from the price while the oscillator confirms the trend. This can be a powerful signal of an impending reversal or continuation.
2. **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):**
- The MACD is another popular trend-following momentum indicator. By using it alongside the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator, traders can confirm the strength of a trend and identify potential entry and exit points with greater confidence. For example, a bullish crossover on the MACD that coincides with the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator turning green can be a strong buy signal.
3. **Volume Indicators:**
- Volume is often considered the fuel behind price movements. Using volume indicators like the On-Balance Volume (OBV) or Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) in conjunction with the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator can help traders confirm the validity of a trend. A trend identified by the oscillator that is supported by increasing volume is typically more reliable.
4. **Fibonacci Retracement:**
- Fibonacci retracement levels are used to identify potential reversal levels in a trending market. When the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator indicates a trend, traders can use Fibonacci retracement levels to find potential entry points that align with the broader trend direction.
#### Implementation in Different Market Conditions
1. **Trending Markets:**
- The Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator excels in trending markets, where it provides clear signals on the direction of the trend. In a strong uptrend, the line will remain green, helping traders stay in the trade for longer periods. In a downtrend, the red line will signal the continuation of bearish conditions, prompting traders to stay short or avoid long positions.
2. **Sideways or Range-Bound Markets:**
- In range-bound markets, where price oscillates within a confined range without a clear trend, the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator may produce more frequent changes in color. While this could indicate potential reversals at the range boundaries, traders should be cautious of false signals. It may be beneficial to pair the oscillator with a volatility indicator to better navigate such conditions.
3. **Volatile Markets:**
- In highly volatile markets, where prices can swing rapidly, the sensitivity of the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator can be adjusted by modifying the SMA periods. A shorter SMA period might capture quick trends, but traders should be aware of the increased risk of whipsaws. Combining the oscillator with a volatility filter or using it in a higher time frame might help mitigate some of this risk.
#### Final Thoughts
The "Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator" is a versatile, easy-to-use indicator that stands out for its simplicity, visual clarity, and adaptability. It provides traders with a straightforward method to identify and follow market trends, using the well-established concept of moving averages. The indicator’s customizable nature makes it suitable for a wide range of trading styles, from day trading to long-term investing, and across various asset classes.
By offering immediate visual feedback through color-coded signals, the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator simplifies the decision-making process, allowing traders to focus on execution rather than interpretation. Whether used on its own or as part of a broader technical analysis toolkit, this indicator has the potential to enhance trading strategies and improve overall performance.
Its accessibility and ease of use make it particularly appealing to novice traders, while its adaptability and reliability ensure that it remains a valuable tool for more experienced market participants. As markets continue to evolve, the Uptrick: Trend SMA Oscillator remains a timeless tool, rooted in the fundamental principles of technical analysis, yet flexible enough to meet the demands of modern trading.
Timeframe Continuity Oscillator [TFO]This indicator is used to visualize timeframe continuity - a core concept of "The Strat" - along with some added logic for potential range limiters.
When discussing timeframe continuity, typically we are evaluating several timeframes to see if price is trading above or below the current open of each respective timeframe. If we are concerned with the 15m, 4h, and 1D for example, and price is trading above the current open of each of those timeframes, we can say that we have full timeframe continuity (FTFC) up. Conversely, if price is trading below the current open of each of those timeframes, we can say that we have FTFC down.
We can visualize this with an oscillator of sorts, where the zero line is anchored to the open price of the highest timeframe that we're concerned with. Using the prior example, this would be the 1D timeframe. As long as price is above the current 1D open, it is impossible to have FTFC down; and as long as price is below the current 1D open, it is impossible to have FTFC up. This is why we base the oscillator's values off of the highest timeframe's open (the values are simply how far price has traded from this open) - any value greater than zero tells us that there is potential to have FTFC up, and any value less than zero tells us that there is potential to have FTFC down.
There are a few ways we chose to visualize this data. First, we can choose the "Binary" option which simply uses one solid bullish color above the zero line, and one solid bearish color below the zero line.
Second, we can choose the "Gradient" option to help describe whether we have FTFC up or down. Values above the zero line will be a mix of the bullish color and mid color, where the mid color indicates no timeframe continuity up and the bullish color indicates FTFC up - sort of like a color spectrum of timeframe continuity to describe how many timeframes are in agreement. Similarly, values below the zero line will be a mix of the bearish color and the mid color, where the mid color again indicates no timeframe continuity down and the bearish color indicates FTFC down.
Lastly, we can choose the "FTFC Only" option which will only color the histogram bars as bullish if there is FTFC up, or bearish if there is FTFC down.
One more feature that we added is these upper and lower bands that aim to help describe the potential upper and lower limits that price may travel, relative to the highest timeframe's open. This is done by taking the standard deviation of some defined lookback period, for example, 2 standard deviations of the previous 10 weeks, assuming 1W is the highest timeframe enabled.
The concept is similar to that of an ADR (average daily range) as it can be used to estimate maximum range extensions for the largest timeframe. The arrows you see are plotted once the value exceeds either band - alerts can be enabled for these events as well through any alert() function call.
Machine Learning: Multiple Logistic Regression
Multiple Logistic Regression Indicator
The Logistic Regression Indicator for TradingView is a versatile tool that employs multiple logistic regression based on various technical indicators to generate potential buy and sell signals. By utilizing key indicators such as RSI, CCI, DMI, Aroon, EMA, and SuperTrend, the indicator aims to provide a systematic approach to decision-making in financial markets.
How It Works:
Technical Indicators:
The script uses multiple technical indicators such as RSI, CCI, DMI, Aroon, EMA, and SuperTrend as input variables for the logistic regression model.
These indicators are normalized to create categorical variables, providing a consistent scale for the model.
Logistic Regression:
The logistic regression function is applied to the normalized input variables (x1 to x6) with user-defined coefficients (b0 to b6).
The logistic regression model predicts the probability of a binary outcome, with values closer to 1 indicating a bullish signal and values closer to 0 indicating a bearish signal.
Loss Function (Cross-Entropy Loss):
The cross-entropy loss function is calculated to quantify the difference between the predicted probability and the actual outcome.
The goal is to minimize this loss, which essentially measures the model's accuracy.
// Error Function (cross-entropy loss)
loss(y, p) =>
-y * math.log(p) - (1 - y) * math.log(1 - p)
// y - depended variable
// p - multiple logistic regression
Gradient Descent:
Gradient descent is an optimization algorithm used to minimize the loss function by adjusting the weights of the logistic regression model.
The script iteratively updates the weights (b1 to b6) based on the negative gradient of the loss function with respect to each weight.
// Adjusting model weights using gradient descent
b1 -= lr * (p + loss) * x1
b2 -= lr * (p + loss) * x2
b3 -= lr * (p + loss) * x3
b4 -= lr * (p + loss) * x4
b5 -= lr * (p + loss) * x5
b6 -= lr * (p + loss) * x6
// lr - learning rate or step of learning
// p - multiple logistic regression
// x_n - variables
Learning Rate:
The learning rate (lr) determines the step size in the weight adjustment process. It prevents the algorithm from overshooting the minimum of the loss function.
Users can set the learning rate to control the speed and stability of the optimization process.
Visualization:
The script visualizes the output of the logistic regression model by coloring the SMA.
Arrows are plotted at crossover and crossunder points, indicating potential buy and sell signals.
Lables are showing logistic regression values from 1 to 0 above and below bars
Table Display:
A table is displayed on the chart, providing real-time information about the input variables, their values, and the learned coefficients.
This allows traders to monitor the model's interpretation of the technical indicators and observe how the coefficients change over time.
How to Use:
Parameter Adjustment:
Users can adjust the length of technical indicators (rsi_length, cci_length, etc.) and the Z score length based on their preference and market characteristics.
Set the initial values for the regression coefficients (b0 to b6) and the learning rate (lr) according to your trading strategy.
Signal Interpretation:
Buy signals are indicated by an upward arrow (▲), and sell signals are indicated by a downward arrow (▼).
The color-coded SMA provides a visual representation of the logistic regression output by color.
Table Information:
Monitor the table for real-time information on the input variables, their values, and the learned coefficients.
Keep an eye on the learning rate to ensure a balance between model adjustment speed and stability.
Backtesting and Validation:
Before using the script in live trading, conduct thorough backtesting to evaluate its performance under different market conditions.
Validate the model against historical data to ensure its reliability.
TimeSeriesRecurrencePlotLibrary "TimeSeriesRecurrencePlot"
In descriptive statistics and chaos theory, a recurrence plot (RP) is a plot showing, for each moment i i in time, the times at which the state of a dynamical system returns to the previous state at `i`, i.e., when the phase space trajectory visits roughly the same area in the phase space as at time `j`.
```
A recurrence plot (RP) is a graphical representation used in the analysis of time series data and dynamical systems. It visualizes recurring states or events over time by transforming the original time series into a binary matrix, where each element represents whether two consecutive points are above or below a specified threshold. The resulting Recurrence Plot Matrix reveals patterns, structures, and correlations within the data while providing insights into underlying mechanisms of complex systems.
```
~starling7b
___
Reference:
en.wikipedia.org
github.com
github.com
github.com
github.com
juliadynamics.github.io
distance_matrix(series1, series2, max_freq, norm)
Generate distance matrix between two series.
Parameters:
series1 (float) : Source series 1.
series2 (float) : Source series 2.
max_freq (int) : Maximum frequency to inpect or the size of the generated matrix.
norm (string) : Norm of the distance metric, default=`euclidean`, options=`euclidean`, `manhattan`, `max`.
Returns: Matrix with distance values.
method normalize_distance(M)
Normalizes a matrix within its Min-Max range.
Namespace types: matrix
Parameters:
M (matrix) : Source matrix.
Returns: Normalized matrix.
method threshold(M, threshold)
Updates the matrix with the condition `M(i,j) > threshold ? 1 : 0`.
Namespace types: matrix
Parameters:
M (matrix) : Source matrix.
threshold (float)
Returns: Cross matrix.
rolling_window(a, b, sample_size)
An experimental alternative method to plot a recurrence_plot.
Parameters:
a (array) : Array with data.
b (array) : Array with data.
sample_size (int)
Returns: Recurrence_plot matrix.
BTC Supply in Profits and Losses (BTCSPL) [AlgoAlpha]Description:
🚨The BTC Supply in Profits and Losses (BTCSPL) indicator, developed by AlgoAlpha, offers traders insights into the distribution of INDEX:BTCUSD addresses between profits and losses based on INDEX:BTCUSD on-chain data.
Features:
🔶Alpha Decay Adjustment: The indicator provides the option to adjust the data against Alpha Decay, this compensates for the reduction in clarity of the signal over time.
🔶Rolling Change Display: The indicator enables the display of the rolling change in the distribution of Bitcoin addresses between profits and losses, aiding in identifying shifts in market sentiment.
🔶BTCSPL Value Score: The indicator optionally displays a value score ranging from -1 to 1, traders can use this to carry out strategic dollar cost averaging and reverse dollar cost averaging based on the implied value of bitcoin.
🔶Reversal Signals: The indicator gives long-term reversal signals denoted as "▲" and "▼" for the price of bitcoin based on oversold and overbought conditions of the BTCSPL.
🔶Moving Average Visualization: Traders can choose to display a moving average line, allowing for better trend identification.
How to Use ☝️ (summary):
Alpha Decay Adjustment: Toggle this option to enable or disable Alpha Decay adjustment for a normalized representation of the data.
Moving Average: Toggle this option to show or hide the moving average line, helping traders identify trends.
Short-Term Trend: Enable this option to display the short-term trend based on the Aroon indicator.
Rolling Change: Choose this option to visualize the rolling change in the distribution between profits and losses.
BTCSPL Value Score: Activate this option to show the BTCSPL value score, ranging from -1 to 1, 1 implies that bitcoin is extremely cheap(buy) and -1 implies bitcoin is extremely expensive(sell).
Reversal Signals: Gives binary buy and sell signals for the long term
IU Probability CalculatorHow This Script Works:
1. This script calculate the probability of price reaching a user-defined price level within one candle with the help Normal Distribution Probability Table.
2. Normal Distribution Probability Table is use for calculating probability of events, it's very powerful for calculation of probability and this script is fully based on that table.
3. It takes the Average True Range value or Standard Deviation value of past user-defined length bar.
4. After that it take this formula z = ( price_level - close ) / (ATR or Standard Deviation) and return the value for z, for the bearish side it take z = (close - price level) / (ATR or Standard Deviation ) formula.
5. Once we have the z it look into Normal Distribution Probability Table and match the value.
6. Now the value of z is multiple buy 100 in order to make it look in percentage term.
7. After that this script subtract the final value with 100 because probability always comes under 100%
8. finally we plot the probability at the bottom of the chart the red line indicates "The probability of price not reaching that price level", While the green line indicates "Probability of price Reaching that level " .
9. This script will work fine for both of the directions
How This Is Useful For The User:
1. With this script user can know the probability of price reaching the certain level within one candle for both Directions .
2. This is useful while creating options hedging strategies
3. This can be helpful for deciding stop loss level.
4. It's useful for scalpers for managing their traders and it can be use by binary option traders.
Math NeuronThis open source script uses the mathematical rules of a classic two-input neuron with two weights and one bias(x * w1 + y*w2 + b).
The two inputs are the rsi (length 14) of close and volume, The result that we try to anticipate is the development of a pivot high or a pivot low (high or low candle are the max or min of the previous n° )
The activation function is sigmoid(binary results).
Liquidity Levels/Voids (VP) [LuxAlgo]The Liquidity Levels/Voids (VP) is a script designed to detect liquidity voids & levels by measuring traded volume at all price levels on the market between two swing points and highlighting the distribution of the liquidity voids & levels at specific price levels.
🔶 USAGE
Liquidity is a fundamental market force that shapes the trajectory of assets.
The creation of a liquidity level comes as a result of an initial imbalance of supply/demand, which forms what we know as a swing high or swing low. As more players take positions in the market, these are levels that market participants will use as a historical reference to place their stops. When the levels are then re-tested, a decision will be made. The binary outcome here can be a breakout of the level or a reversal back to the mean.
Liquidity voids are sudden price changes that occur in the market when the price jumps from one level to another with little trading activity (low volume), creating an imbalance in price. The price tends to fill or retest the liquidity voids area, and traders understand at which price level institutional players have been active.
Liquidity voids are a valuable concept in trading, as they provide insights about where many orders were injected, creating this inefficiency in the market. The price tends to restore the balance.
🔶 SETTINGS
The script takes into account user-defined parameters and detects the liquidity voids based on them, where detailed usage for each user-defined input parameter in indicator settings is provided with the related input's tooltip.
🔹 Liquidity Levels / Voids
Liquidity Levels/Voids: Color customization option for Unfilled Liquidity Levels/Voids.
Detection Length: Lookback period used for the calculation of Swing Levels.
Threshold %: Threshold used for the calculation of the Liquidity Levels & Voids.
Sensitivity: Adjusts the number of levels between two swing points, as a result, the height of a level is determined, and then based on the above-given threshold the level is checked if it matches the liquidity level/void conditions.
Filled Liquidity Levels/Voids: Toggles the visibility of the Filled Liquidity Levels/Voids and color customization option for Filled Liquidity Levels/Voids.
🔹 Other Features
Swing Highs/Lows: Toggles the visibility of the Swing Levels, where tooltips present statistical information, such as price, price change, and cumulative volume between the two swing levels detected based on the detection length specified above, Coloring options to customize swing low and swing high label colors, and Size option to adjust the size of the labels.
🔹 Display Options
Mode: Controls the lookback length of detection and visualization.
# Bars: Lookback length customization, in case Mode is set to Present.
🔶 RELATED SCRIPTS
Liquidity-Voids-FVG
Buyside-Sellside-Liquidity
Swing-Volume-Profiles
Liquidation Ranges + Volume/OI Dots [Kioseff Trading]Hello!
Introducing a multi-faceted indicator "Liquidation Ranges + Volume Dots" - this indicator replicates the volume dot tools found on various charting platforms and populates a liquidation range on crypto assets!
Features
Volume/OI dots populated according to user settings
Size of volume/OI dots corresponds to degree of abnormality
Naked level volume dots
Fixed range capabilities for volume/OI dots
Visible time range capabilities for volume/OI dots
Lower timeframe data used to discover iceberg orders (estimated using 1-minute data)
S/R lines drawn at high volume/OI areas
Liquidation ranges for crypto assets (10x - 100x)
Liquidation ranges are calculated using a popular crypto exchange's method
# of violations of liquidation ranges are recorded and presented in table
Pertinent high volume/OI price areas are recorded and presented in table
Personalized coloring for volume/OI dots
Net shorts / net long for the price range recorded
Lines shows reflecting net short & net long increases/decreases
Configurable volume/OI heatmap (displayed between liquidation ranges)
And some more (:
Liquidation Range
The liquidation range component of the indicator uses a popular crypto exchange's calculation (for liquidation ranges) to populate the chart for where 10x - 100x leverage orders are stopped out.
The image above depicts features corresponding to net shorts and net longs.
The image above shows features corresponding to liquidation zones for the underlying coin.
The image above shows the option to display volume/oi delta at the time the corresponding grid was traded at.
The image above shows an instance of using the "fixed range" feature for the script.
*The average price of the range is calculated to project liquidation zones.
*Heatmap is calculated using OI (or volume) delta.
Huge thank you to Pine Wizard @DonovanWall for his range filter code!
Price ranges are automatically detected using his calculation (:
Volume / OI Dots
Similar to other charting platforms, the volume/OI dots component of the indicator distinguishes "abnormal" changes in volume/OI; the detected price area is subsequently identified on the chart.
The detection method uses percent rank and calculates on the last bar of the chart. The "agelessness" of detection is contingent on user settings.
The image above shows volume dots in action; the size of each volume dot corresponds to the amount of volume at the price area.
Smaller dots = lower volume
Larger dots = higher volume
The image above exemplifies the highest aggression setting for volume/OI dot detection.
The table oriented top-right shows the highest volume areas (discovered on the 1-minute chart) for the calculated period.
The open interest change and corresponding price level are also shown. Results are listed in descending order but can also be listed in order of occurrence (most relevant).
Additionally, you can use the visible time range feature to detect volume dots.
The feature shows and explains how the visible range feature works. You select how many levels you want to detect and the script will detect the selected number of levels.
For instance, if I select to show 20 levels, the script will find the 20 highest volume/OI change price areas and distinguish them.
The image above shows a narrower price range.
The image above shows the same price range; however, the script is detecting the highest OI change price areas instead of volume.
* You can also set a fixed range with this feature
* Naked levels can be used
Additionally, you can select for the script to show only the highest volume/ OI change price area for each bar. When active, the script will successively identify the highest volume / OI change price area for the most recent bars.
Naked Levels
The image above shows and explains how naked levels can be detected when using the script.
And that's pretty much it!
Of course, there're a few more features you can check out when you use the script that haven't been explained here (:
Thank you again to @DonovanWall
Thank you to @Trendoscope for his binary insertion sort library (:
Thank you to @PineCoders for their time library
Thank you for checking this out!
DarkWaveColorThemesLibrary "DarkWaveColorThemes"
Description:
A simple, binary color-theming library that provides you with easy-access 'bullish and bearish' colors which you can use to make your indicators more aesthetically pleasing. These color themes were developed to help the community make indicators look excellent with ease.
Functions:
1. getThemeColor(themeName, colorType)
Description:
This function returns a color (either a 'Bullish' or 'Bearish' color, depending on your 'colorType' parameter input) according to the theme you have supplied as the 'themeName' parameter.
Parameters:
themeName (string) : Specify the theme you want to reference. Options include: 'DarkWave', 'Synthwave', 'DarkWave Crypto', 'Crystal Pool', 'Aquafarer', 'Mystic Armor', 'Futurist', 'Electric Zest', 'Stealth Ride', 'Long Trader', 'Short Trader', 'Emerald Glow', 'Gold Heist', 'Floral', 'Cobalt Twilight', and 'Sunrise'.
colorType (string) : Specify which color you want to reference from the theme. Options include: 'Bullish' and 'Bearish'.
Returns:
Your specified color type according to your specified theme.
Arbitrary Price Point Probability (APPP)The "Arbitrary Price Point Probability" indicator is designed to calculate the probability of a given price point occurring within a certain range of prices. The indicator uses statistical analysis to determine the likelihood of a specific price point appearing based on the market data.
The indicator works by taking the input price, which is the price point for which the probability is being calculated. The indicator then calculates the mean and standard deviation of the prices over a certain period specified by the user. The length of the period for calculating the mean and standard deviation is also specified by the user.
Once the mean and standard deviation have been calculated, the indicator uses them to calculate the probability of the input price point occurring within the range of prices over the specified period. The indicator does this by calculating the z-score, which is the number of standard deviations between the input price point and the mean price. The z-score is then used to calculate the probability using a t-distribution probability density function.
The t-distribution probability density function used by the indicator is a mathematical function that describes the likelihood of obtaining a particular value from a t-distribution. A t-distribution is a statistical distribution used when the sample size is small, and the population standard deviation is unknown.
The indicator also uses a binary search algorithm to find the t-value for a given confidence level. The t-value is the number of standard deviations from the mean at which the confidence interval is set. The confidence level is set by the user, and the default value is 99%.
Overall, the "Arbitrary Price Point Probability" indicator is a useful tool for traders who want to determine the probability of a particular price point occurring within a certain range of prices. The indicator can be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to make more informed trading decisions.
Delta-Agnostic Correlation Coefficient (alt)Calculate a sort of correlation between two symbols based only on the sign of their changes, regardless of the amplitude of price change.
When positive, the two symbols tend to move together. When negative, the symbols move in opposite directions.
Since there is no significance calculation, and that the result is binary, keep in mind that correlation will always tend to go towards 1 or -1 even when there is no correlation. To reduce this issue, an EMA or SMA is applied to smooth out transitions: SMA smoothes over the selected length period but adds lag, whereas EMA smoothes amplitude without any additional lag. Hence, to know if the correlation is true or not, try to look at the amplitude and the number of consecutive days the correlation is maintained (both quantities are related), because when the correlation is spurious, it will tend to switch more or less alternatively between 1 and -1 and hence will hover around 0, whereas if the correlation is true, it will get further away from 0 and closer to 1 or -1.
In addition, since there is some time lag for the correlation to switch sign, the area is colored to know the current candle's correlation, regardless of past data's correlation: blue is a positive correlation (1), yellow is negative. The coloring can allow to know a trend reversal early on, but it's noisy.
Finally, symbols with closing days are better accounted for, with the correlation set to 0 on closed days (e.g., on week-ends), and the area is then colored in gray to signal that there is no new correlation data.
This is an improved fork over the original indicator by alexjvale, please show him some love if you like this work:
Candlestick Pattern Criteria and Analysis Indicator█ OVERVIEW
Define, then locate the presence of a candle that fits a specific criteria. Run a basic calculation on what happens after such a candle occurs.
Here, I’m not giving you an edge, but I’m giving you a clear way to find one.
IMPORTANT NOTE: PLEASE READ:
THE INDICATOR WILL ALWAYS INITIALLY LOAD WITH A RUNTIME ERROR. WHEN INITIALLY LOADED THERE NO CRITERIA SELECTED.
If you do not select a criteria or run a search for a criteria that doesn’t exist, you will get a runtime error. If you want to force the chart to load anyway, enable the debug panel at the bottom of the settings menu.
Who this is for:
- People who want to engage in TradingView for tedious and challenging data analysis related to candlestick measurement and occurrence rate and signal bar relationships with subsequent bars. People who don’t know but want to figure out what a strong bullish bar or a strong bearish bar is.
Who this is not for:
- People who want to be told by an indicator what is good or bad or buy or sell. Also, not for people that don’t have any clear idea on what they think is a strong bullish bar or a strong bearish bar and aren’t willing to put in the work.
Recommendation: Use on the candle resolution that accurately reflects your typical holding period. If you typically hold a trade for 3 weeks, use 3W candles. If you hold a trade for 3 minutes, use 3m candles.
Tldr; Read the tool tips and everything above this line. Let me know any issues that arise or questions you have.
█ CONCEPTS
Many trading styles indicate that a certain candle construct implies a bearish or bullish future for price. That said, it is also common to add to that idea that the context matters. Of course, this is how you end up with all manner of candlestick patterns accounting for thousands of pages of literature. No matter the context though, we can distill a discretionary trader's decision to take a trade based on one very basic premise: “A trader decides to take a trade on the basis of the rightmost candle's construction and what he/she believes that candle construct implies about the future price.” This indicator vets that trader’s theory in the most basic way possible. It finds the instances of any candle construction and takes a look at what happens on the next bar. This current bar is our “Signal Bar.”
█ GUIDE
I said that we vet the theory in the most basic way possible. But, in truth, this indicator is very complex as a result of there being thousands of ways to define a ‘strong’ candle. And you get to define things on a very granular level with this indicator.
Features:
1. Candle Highlighting
When the user’s criteria is met, the candle is highlighted on the chart.
The following candle is highlighted based on whether it breaks out, breaks down, or is an inside bar.
2. User-Defined Criteria
Criteria that you define include:
Candle Type: Bull bars, Bear bars, or both
Candle Attributes
Average Size based on Standard Deviation or Average of all potential bars in price history
Search within a specific price range
Search within a specific time range
Clarify time range using defined sessions and with or without weekends
3. Strike Lines on Candle
Often you want to know how price reacts when it gets back to a certain candle. Also it might be true that candle types cluster in a price region. This can be identified visually by adding lines that extend right on candles that fit the criteria.
4. User-Defined Context
Labeled “Alternative Criteria,” this facet of the script allows the user to take the context provided from another indicator and import it into the indicator to use as a overriding criteria. To account for the fact that the external indicator must be imported as a float value, true (criteria of external indicator is met) must be imported as 1 and false (criteria of external indicator is not met) as 0. Basically a binary Boolean. This can be used to create context, such as in the case of a traditional fractal, or can be used to pair with other signals.
If you know how to code in Pinescript, you can save a copy and simply add your own code to the section indicated in the code and set your bull and bear variables accordingly and the code should compile just fine with no further editing needed.
Included with the script to maximize out-of-the-box functionality, there is preloaded as alternative criteria a code snippet. The criteria is met on the bull side when the current candle close breaks out above the prior candle high. The bear criteria is met when the close breaks below the prior candle. When Alternate Criteria is run by itself, this is the only criteria set and bars are highlighted when it is true. You can qualify these candles by adding additional attributes that you think would fit well.
Using Alternative Criteria, you are essentially setting a filter for the rest of the criteria.
5. Extensive Read Out in the Data Window (right side bar pop out window).
As you can see in the thumbnail, there is pasted a copy of the Data Window Dialogue. I am doubtful I can get the thumbnail to load up perfectly aligned. Its hard to get all these data points in here. It may be better suited for a table at this point. Let me know what you think.
The primary, but not exclusive, purpose of what is in the Data Window is to talk about how often your criteria happens and what happens on the next bar. There are a lot of pieces to this.
Red = Values pertaining to the size of the current bar only
Blue = Values pertaining or related to the total number of signals
Green = Values pertaining to the signal bars themselves, including their measurements
Purple = Values pertaining to bullish bars that happen after the signal bar
Fuchsia = Values pertaining to bearish bars that happen after the signal bar
Lime = Last four rows which are your percentage occurrence vs total signals percentages
The best way I can explain how to understand parts you don’t understand otherwise in the data window is search the title of the row in the code using ‘ctrl+f’ and look at it and see if it makes more sense.
█ [b}Available Candle Attributes
Candle attributes can be used in any combination. They include:
[*}Bodies
[*}High/Low Range
[*}Upper Wick
[*}Lower Wick
[*}Average Size
[*}Alternative Criteria
Criteria will evaluate each attribute independently. If none is set for a particular attribute it is bypassed.
Criteria Quantity can be in Ticks, Points, or Percentage. For percentage keep in mind if using anything involving the candle range will not work well with percentage.
Criteria Operators are “Greater Than,” “Less Than,” and “Threshold.” Threshold means within a range of two numbers.
█ Problems with this methodology and opportunities for future development:
#1 This kind of work is hard.
If you know what you’re doing you might be able to find success changing out the inputs for loops and logging results in arrays or matrices, but to manually go through and test various criteria is a lot of work. However, it is rewarding. At the time of publication in early Oct 2022, you will quickly find that you get MUCH more follow through on bear bars than bull bars. That should be obvious because we’re in the middle of a bear market, but you can still work with the parameters and contextual inputs to determine what maximizes your probability. I’ve found configurations that yield 70% probability across the full series of bars. That’s an edge. That means that 70% of the time, when this criteria is met, the next bar puts you in profit.
#2 The script is VERY heavy.
Takes an eternity to load. But, give it a break, it’s doing a heck of a lot! There is 10 unique arrays in here and a loop that is a bit heavy but gives us the debug window.
#3 If you don’t have a clear idea its hard to know where to start.
There are a lot of levers to pull on in this script. Knowing which ones are useful and meaningful is very challenging. Combine that with long load times… its not great.
#4 Your brain is the only thing that can optimize your results because the criteria come from your mind.
Machine learning would be much more useful here, but for now, you are the machine. Learn.
#5 You can’t save your settings.
So, when you find a good combo, you’ll have to write it down elsewhere for future reference. It would be nice if we could save templates on custom indicators like we can on some of the built in drawing tools, but I’ve had no success in that. So, I recommend screenshotting your settings and saving them in Notion.so or some other solid record keeping database. Then you can go back and retrieve those settings.
#6 no way to export these results into conditions that can be copy/pasted into another script.
Copy/Paste of labels or tables would be the best feature ever at this point. Because you could take the criteria and put it in a label, copy it and drop it into another strategy script or something. But… men can dream.
█ Opportunities to PineCoders Learn:
1. In this script I’m importing libraries, showing some of my libraries functionality. Hopefully that gives you some ideas on how to use them too.
The price displacement library (which I love!)
Creative and conventional ways of using debug()
how to display arrays and matrices on charts
I didn’t call in the library that holds the backtesting function. But, also demonstrating, you can always pull the library up and just copy/paste the function out of there and into your script. That’s fine to do a lot of the time.
2. I am using REALLY complicated logic in this script (at least for me). I included extensive descriptions of this ? : logic in the text of the script. I also did my best to bracket () my logic groups to demonstrate how they fit together, both for you and my future self.
3. The breakout, built-in, “alternative criteria” is actually a small bit of genius built in there if you want to take the time to understand that block of code and think about some of the larger implications of the method deployed.
As always, a big thank you to TradingView and the Pinescript community, the Pinescript pros who have mentored me, and all of you who I am privileged to help in their Pinescripting journey.
"Those who stay will become champions" - Bo Schembechler
