Strength Measurement -HTThe Strength Measurement -HT indicator is a tool designed to measure the strength and trend of a security using the Average Directional Index (ADX) across multiple time frames. This script averages the ADX values from five different time frames to provide a comprehensive view of the trend's strength, helping traders make more informed decisions.
Key Features:
Multi-Time Frame Analysis: The indicator calculates ADX values from five different time frames (5 minutes, 15 minutes, 30 minutes, 1 hour, and 4 hours) to offer a more holistic view of the market trend.
Trend Strength Visualization: The average ADX value is plotted as a histogram, with colors indicating the trend strength and direction, making it easy to visualize and interpret.
Reference Levels: The script includes horizontal lines at ADX levels 25, 50, and 75 to signify weak, strong, and very strong trends, respectively.
How It Works
Directional Movement Calculation: The script calculates the positive and negative directional movements (DI+) and (DI-) using the true range over a specified period (default is 14 periods).
ADX Calculation: The ADX value is derived from the smoothed moving average of the absolute difference between DI+ and DI-, normalized by their sum.
Multi-Time Frame ADX: ADX values are computed for the 5-minute, 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour time frames.
Average ADX: The script averages the ADX values from the different time frames to generate a single, comprehensive ADX value.
Trend Visualization: The average ADX value is plotted as a histogram with colors indicating:
Gray for weak trends (ADX < 25)
Green for strengthening trends (25 ≤ ADX < 50)
Dark Green for strong trends (ADX ≥ 50)
Light Red for weakening trends (ADX < 25)
Red for strong trends turning weak (ADX ≥ 25)
Usage
Trend Detection: Use the color-coded histogram to quickly identify the trend strength and direction. Green indicates a strengthening trend, while red signifies a weakening trend.
Reference Levels: Utilize the horizontal lines at ADX levels 25, 50, and 75 as reference points to gauge the trend's strength.
ADX < 25 suggests a weak trend.
ADX between 25 and 50 indicates a moderate to strong trend.
ADX > 50 points to a very strong trend.
Multi-Time Frame Insight: Leverage the averaged ADX value to gain insights from multiple time frames, helping you make more informed trading decisions based on a broader market perspective.
Feel free to explore and integrate this indicator into your trading strategy to enhance your market analysis and decision-making process. Happy trading!
Pesquisar nos scripts por "adx"
Donchian ForecastDonchian Forecast – multi-timeframe Donchian/ATR bias with ADX regime blending
Donchian Forecast is a multi-timeframe bias tool that turns classic Donchian channels into a normalized trend/mean-reversion “forecast” and a single bias value in .
It projects a short polyline path from the current price and shows how that path adapts when the market shifts from ranging to trending (via ADX).
---
Concept
1. Donchian position → direction
For each timeframe, the script measures where price sits inside its Donchian channel:
-1 = near channel low
0 = middle
+1 = near channel high
This Donchian position is multiplied by ATR to create a **price delta** (how far the forecast moves from current price).
2. Local behavior: trend vs mean-reversion around Donchian
The indicator treats the edges vs middle of the Donchian channel differently:
* By default, edges behave more “trend-like”, middle more “mean-reverting”.
* If you enable the reversed option, this logic flips (edges = mean-reverting, middle = trend-
like).
* This “local” behavior is controlled smoothly by the absolute Donchian position |pos| (not by hard zone switches).
3. Global ADX modulation (regime aware)
ADX is mapped from your chosen low → high thresholds into a signed factor in :
* ADX ≤ low → -1 (fully reversed behavior, more range/mean-reversion oriented)
* ADX ≥ high → +1 (fully normal behavior, more trend oriented)
* Values in between create a **smooth transition**.
* This global factor can:
* Keep the local behavior as is (trending regime),
* Flip it (range regime), or
* Neutralize it (indecisive regime).
4. Multi-timeframe aggregation (1x–12x chart timeframe)
* The script repeats the same logic across 12 horizons:
* 1x = chart timeframe
* 2x..12x = multiples of the chart timeframe (e.g., 5m → 10m, 15m, …; 1h → 2h, 3h, …).
* For each horizon it builds:
* Donchian position
* ATR-scaled delta (in price units)
* Locally + globally blended delta (after Donchian + ADX logic).
* These blended deltas are ATR-weighted and summed into a single bias in , which is then shown as Bias % in the on-chart table.
---
### What you see on the chart
* Forecast polyline
* Starting at the current close, the indicator draws a short chain of **up to 12 segments**:
* Segment 1: from current price → 1x projection
* Segment 2: 1x → 2x projection
* … up to 12x.
* Each segment is:
* Green when its blended delta is ≥ 0 (upward bias)
* Red when its blended delta is < 0 (downward bias)
* This is not future price, but a synthetic path showing how the Donchian/ATR/ADX model “expects” price to drift across multiple horizons.
* Bias table (top-center)
* `Bias: X.Y%`
* > 0% (green) → net upward bias across horizons
* < 0% (red) → net downward bias
* Magnitude (e.g., ±70–100%) ≈ strength of the directional skew.
* `ADX:` current ADX value (from your DMI settings).
* `ADXBlend:` the signed ADX factor in :
* +1 ≈ fully “trend-interpretation” of Donchian behavior
* 0 ≈ neutral / mixed regime
* -1 ≈ fully “reversed/mean-reversion interpretation”
---
Inputs & settings
Core Donchian / ATR
* Donchian Length – lookback for Donchian high/low on each horizon.
* Price Source – input series used for position inside the Donchian channel (default: close).
* ATR Length – ATR lookback for all horizons.
* ATR Multiplier – scales the size of each forecast step in price units (higher = longer segments / more aggressive forecast).
*Local behavior at high ADX
* Reversed local blend at high ADX?
* Off (default) – edges behave more trend-like, middle more mean-reverting.
* On – flips that logic (edges more mean-reverting, middle more trend-like).
* The actual effect is always modulated by the global ADX factor, so you can experiment with how the regime logic feels in different markets.
Global ADX blending
* DMI DI Length – period for the DI+ and DI- components.
* ADX Smoothing – smoothing length for ADX.
* ADX low (mean-rev zone) – below this level, the global factor pushes behavior toward reversal/range logic .
* ADX high (trend zone) – above this level, the global factor pushes behavior toward **trend logic**.
* Values between low and high create a smooth blend rather than a hard on/off switch.
---
How to use it (examples)
* Directional bias dashboard
* Use the Bias % as a compact summary of multi-horizon Donchian/ATR/ADX conditions:
* Consider only trades aligned with the sign of Bias (e.g., longs only when Bias > 0).
* Use the magnitude to filter for **strong vs weak** directional contexts.
* Regime-aware context
* Watch ADX and ADXBlend:
* High ADX & ADXBlend ≈ +1 → favor trend-continuation ideas.
* Low ADX & ADXBlend ≈ -1 → favor range/mean-reversion ideas.
* Around 0 → mixed/transition regimes; forecasts will be more muted.
* Visual sanity check for systems
* Overlay Donchian Forecast on your usual entries/exits to see:
* When your system trades **with** the multi-TF Donchian bias.
* When it trades **against** it (possible fade setups or no-trade zones).
This script does not generate entry or exit signals by itself. It is a contextual/forecast tool meant to sit on top of your own trading logic.
---
Notes
* Works on most symbols and timeframes; higher-timeframe multiples are built from the chart timeframe.
* The forecast line is a model-based projection, not a prediction or guarantee of future price.
* Always combine this with your own risk management, testing, and judgement. This is for educational and analytical purposes only and is not financial advice.
Meta-LR ForecastThis indicator builds a forward-looking projection from the current bar by combining twelve time-compressed “mini forecasts.” Each forecast is a linear-regression-based outlook whose contribution is adaptively scaled by trend strength (via ADX) and normalized to each timeframe’s own volatility (via that timeframe’s ATR). The result is a 12-segment polyline that starts at the current price and extends one bar at a time into the future (1× through 12× the chart’s timeframe). Alongside the plotted path, the script computes two summary measures:
* Per-TF Bias% — a directional efficiency × R² score for each micro-forecast, expressed as a percent.
* Meta Bias% — the same score, but applied to the final, accumulated 12-step path. It summarizes how coherent and directional the combined projection is.
This tool is an indicator, not a strategy. It does not place orders. Nothing here is trade advice; it is a visual, quantitative framework to help you assess directional bias and trend context across a ladder of timeframe multiples.
The core engine fits a simple least-squares line on a normalized price series for each small forecast horizon and extrapolates one bar forward. That “trend” forecast is paired with its mirror, an “anti-trend” forecast, constructed around the current normalized price. The model then blends between these two wings according to current trend strength as measured by ADX.
ADX is transformed into a weight (w) in using an adaptive band centered on the rolling mean (μ) with width derived from the standard deviation (σ) of ADX over a configurable lookback. When ADX is deeply below the lower band, the weight approaches -1, favoring anti-trend behavior. Inside the flat band, the weight is near zero, producing neutral behavior. Clearly above the upper band, the weight approaches +1, favoring a trend-following stance. The transitions between these regions are linear so the regime shift is smooth rather than abrupt.
You can shape how quickly the model commits to either wing using two exponents. One exponent controls how aggressively positive weights lean into the trend forecast; the other controls how aggressively negative weights lean into the anti-trend forecast. Raising these exponents makes the response more gradual; lowering them makes the shift more decisive. An optional switch can force full anti-trend behavior when ADX registers a deep-low condition far below the lower tail, if you prefer a categorical stance in very flat markets.
A key design choice is volatility normalization. Every micro-forecast is computed in ATR units of its own timeframe. The script fetches that timeframe’s ATR inside each security call and converts normalized outputs back to price with that exact ATR. This avoids scaling higher-timeframe effects by the chart ATR or by square-root time approximations. Using “ATR-true” for each timeframe keeps the cross-timeframe accumulation consistent and dimensionally correct.
Bias% is defined as directional efficiency multiplied by R², expressed as a percent. Directional efficiency captures how much net progress occurred relative to the total path length; R² captures how well the path aligns with a straight line. If price meanders without net progress, efficiency drops; if the variation is well-explained by a line, R² rises. Multiplying the two penalizes choppy, low-signal paths and rewards sustained, coherent motion.
The forward path is built by converting each per-timeframe Bias% into a small ATR-sized delta, then cumulatively adding those deltas to form a 12-step projection. This produces a polyline anchored at the current close and stepping forward one bar per timeframe multiple. Segment color flips by slope, allowing a quick read of the path’s direction and inflection.
Inputs you can tune include:
* Max Regression Length. Upper bound for each micro-forecast’s regression window. Larger values smooth the trend estimate at the cost of responsiveness; smaller values react faster but can add noise.
* Price Source. The price series analyzed (for example, close or typical price).
* ADX Length. Period used for the DMI/ADX calculation.
* ATR Length (normalization). Window used for ATR; this is applied per timeframe inside each security call.
* Band Lookback (for μ, σ). Lookback used to compute the adaptive ADX band statistics. Larger values stabilize the band; smaller values react more quickly.
* Flat half-width (σ). Width of the neutral band on both sides of μ. Wider flats spend more time neutral; narrower flats switch regimes more readily.
* Tail width beyond flat (σ). Distance from the flat band edge to the extreme trend/anti-trend zone. Larger tails create a longer ramp; smaller tails reach extremes sooner.
* Polyline Width. Visual thickness of the plotted segments.
* Negative Wing Aggression (anti-trend). Exponent shaping for negative weights; higher values soften the tilt into mean reversion.
* Positive Wing Aggression (trend). Exponent shaping for positive weights; lower values make trend commitment stronger and sooner.
* Force FULL Anti-Trend at Deep-Low ADX. Optional hard switch for extremely low ADX conditions.
On the chart you will see:
* A 12-segment forward polyline starting from the current close to bar\_index + 1 … +12, with green segments for up-steps and red for down-steps.
* A small label at the latest bar showing Meta Bias% when available, or “n/a” when insufficient data exists.
Interpreting the readouts:
* Trend-following contexts are characterized by ADX above the adaptive upper band, pushing w toward +1. The blended forecast leans toward the regression extrapolation. A strongly positive Meta Bias% in this environment suggests directional alignment across the ladder of timeframes.
* Mean-reversion contexts occur when ADX is well below the lower tail, pushing w toward -1 (or forcing anti-trend if enabled). After a sharp advance, a negative Meta Bias% may indicate the model projects pullback tendencies.
* Neutral contexts occur when ADX sits inside the flat band; w is near zero, the blended forecast remains close to current price, and Meta Bias% tends to hover near zero.
These are analytical cues, not rules. Always corroborate with your broader process, including market structure, time-of-day behavior, liquidity conditions, and risk limits.
Practical usage patterns include:
* Momentum confirmation. Combine a rising Meta Bias% with higher-timeframe structure (such as higher highs and higher lows) to validate continuation setups. Treat the 12th step’s distance as a coarse sense of potential room rather than as a target.
* Fade filtering. If you prefer fading extremes, require ADX to be near or below the lower ramp before acting on counter-moves, and avoid fades when ADX is decisively above the upper band.
* Position planning. Because per-step deltas are ATR-scaled, the path’s vertical extent can be mentally mapped to typical noise for the instrument, informing stop distance choices. The script itself does not compute orders or size.
* Multi-timeframe alignment. Each step corresponds to a clean multiple of your chart timeframe, so the polyline visualizes how successively larger windows bias price, all referenced to the current bar.
House-rules and repainting disclosures:
* Indicator, not strategy. The script does not execute, manage, or suggest orders. It displays computed paths and bias scores for analysis only.
* No performance claims. Past behavior of any measure, including Meta Bias%, does not guarantee future results. There are no assurances of profitability.
* Higher-timeframe updates. Values obtained via security for higher-timeframe series can update intrabar until the higher-timeframe bar closes. The forward path and Meta Bias% may change during formation of a higher-timeframe candle. If you need confirmed higher-timeframe inputs, consider reading the prior higher-timeframe value or acting only after the higher-timeframe close.
* Data sufficiency. The model requires enough history to compute ATR, ADX statistics, and regression windows. On very young charts or illiquid symbols, parts of the readout can be unavailable until sufficient data accumulates.
* Volatility regimes. ATR normalization helps compare across timeframes, but unusual volatility regimes can make the path look deceptively flat or exaggerated. Judge the vertical scale relative to your instrument’s typical ATR.
Tuning tips:
* Stability versus responsiveness. Increase Max Regression Length to steady the micro-forecasts but accept slower response. If you lower it, consider slightly increasing Band Lookback so regime boundaries are not too jumpy.
* Regime bands. Widen the flat half-width to spend more time neutral, which can reduce over-trading tendencies in chop. Shrink the tail width if you want the model to commit to extremes sooner, at the cost of more false swings.
* Wing shaping. If anti-trend behavior feels too abrupt at low ADX, raise the negative wing exponent. If you want trend bias to kick in more decisively at high ADX, lower the positive wing exponent. Small changes have large effects.
* Forced anti-trend. Enable the deep-low option only if you explicitly want a categorical “markets are flat, fade moves” policy. Many users prefer leaving it off to keep regime decisions continuous.
Troubleshooting:
* Nothing plots or the label shows “n/a.” Ensure the chart has enough history for the ADX band statistics, ATR, and the regression windows. Exotic or illiquid symbols with missing data may starve the higher-timeframe computations. Try a more liquid market or a higher timeframe.
* Path flickers or shifts during the bar. This is expected when any higher-timeframe input is still forming. Wait for the higher-timeframe close for fully confirmed behavior, or modify the code to read prior values from the higher timeframe.
* Polyline looks too flat or too steep. Check the chart’s vertical scale and recent ATR regime. Adjust Max Regression Length, the wing exponents, or the band widths to suit the instrument.
Integration ideas for manual workflows:
* Confluence checklist. Use Meta Bias% as one of several independent checks, alongside structure, session context, and event risk. Act only when multiple cues align.
* Stop and target thinking. Because deltas are ATR-scaled at each timeframe, benchmark your proposed stops and targets against the forward steps’ magnitude. Stops that are much tighter than the prevailing ATR often sit inside normal noise.
* Session context. Consider session hours and microstructure. The same ADX value can imply different tradeability in different sessions, particularly in index futures and FX.
This indicator deliberately avoids:
* Fixed thresholds for buy or sell decisions. Markets vary and fixed numbers invite overfitting. Decide what constitutes “high enough” Meta Bias% for your market and timeframe.
* Automatic risk sizing. Proper sizing depends on account parameters, instrument specifications, and personal risk tolerance. Keep that decision in your risk plan, not in a visual bias tool.
* Claims of edge. These measures summarize path geometry and trend context; they do not ensure a tradable edge on their own.
Summary of how to think about the output:
* The script builds a 12-step forward path by stacking linear-regression micro-forecasts across increasing multiples of the chart timeframe.
* Each micro-forecast is blended between trend and anti-trend using an adaptive ADX band with separate aggression controls for positive and negative regimes.
* All computations are done in ATR-true units for each timeframe before reconversion to price, ensuring dimensional consistency when accumulating steps.
* Bias% (per-timeframe and Meta) condenses directional efficiency and trend fidelity into a compact score.
* The output is designed to serve as an analytical overlay that helps assess whether conditions look trend-friendly, fade-friendly, or neutral, while acknowledging higher-timeframe update behavior and avoiding prescriptive trade rules.
Use this tool as one component within a disciplined process that includes independent confirmation, event awareness, and robust risk management.
Ruckard TradingLatinoThis strategy tries to mimic TradingLatino strategy.
The current implementation is beta.
Si hablas castellano o espanyol por favor consulta MENSAJE EN CASTELLANO más abajo.
It's aimed at BTCUSDT pair and 4h timeframe.
STRATEGY DEFAULT SETTINGS EXPLANATION
max_bars_back=5000 : This is a random number of bars so that the strategy test lasts for one or two years
calc_on_order_fills=false : To wait for the 4h closing is too much. Try to check if it's worth entering a position after closing one. I finally decided not to recheck if it's worth entering after an order is closed. So it is false.
calc_on_every_tick=false
pyramiding=0 : We only want one entry allowed in the same direction. And we don't want the order to scale by error.
initial_capital=1000 : These are 1000 USDT. By using 1% maximum loss per trade and 7% as a default stop loss by using 1000 USDT at 12000 USDT per BTC price you would entry with around 142 USDT which are converted into: 0.010 BTC . The maximum number of decimal for contracts on this BTCUSDT market is 3 decimals. E.g. the minimum might be: 0.001 BTC . So, this minimal 1000 amount ensures us not to entry with less than 0.001 entries which might have happened when using 100 USDT as an initial capital.
slippage=1 : Binance BTCUSDT mintick is: 0.01. Binance slippage: 0.1 % (Let's assume). TV has an integer slippage. It does not have a percentage based slippage. If we assume a 1000 initial capital, the recommended equity is 142 which at 11996 USDT per BTC price means: 0.011 BTC. The 0.1% slippage of: 0.011 BTC would be: 0.000011 . This is way smaller than the mintick. So our slippage is going to be 1. E.g. 1 (slippage) * 0.01 (mintick)
commission_type=strategy.commission.percent and commission_value=0.1 : According to: binance . com / en / fee / schedule in VIP 0 level both maker and taker fees are: 0.1 %.
BACKGROUND
Jaime Merino is a well known Youtuber focused on crypto trading
His channel TradingLatino
features monday to friday videos where he explains his strategy.
JAIME MERINO STANCE ON BOTS
Jaime Merino stance on bots (taken from memory out of a 2020 June video from him):
'~
You know. They can program you a bot and it might work.
But, there are some special situations that the bot would not be able to handle.
And, I, as a human, I would handle it. And the bot wouldn't do it.
~'
My long term target with this strategy script is add as many
special situations as I can to the script
so that it can match Jaime Merino behaviour even in non normal circumstances.
My alternate target is learn Pine script
and enjoy programming with it.
WARNING
This script might be bigger than other TradingView scripts.
However, please, do not be confused because the current status is beta.
This script has not been tested with real money.
This is NOT an official strategy from Jaime Merino.
This is NOT an official strategy from TradingLatino . net .
HOW IT WORKS
It basically uses ADX slope and LazyBear's Squeeze Momentum Indicator
to make its buy and sell decisions.
Fast paced EMA being bigger than slow paced EMA
(on higher timeframe) advices going long.
Fast paced EMA being smaller than slow paced EMA
(on higher timeframe) advices going short.
It finally add many substrats that TradingLatino uses.
SETTINGS
__ SETTINGS - Basics
____ SETTINGS - Basics - ADX
(ADX) Smoothing {14}
(ADX) DI Length {14}
(ADX) key level {23}
____ SETTINGS - Basics - LazyBear Squeeze Momentum
(SQZMOM) BB Length {20}
(SQZMOM) BB MultFactor {2.0}
(SQZMOM) KC Length {20}
(SQZMOM) KC MultFactor {1.5}
(SQZMOM) Use TrueRange (KC) {True}
____ SETTINGS - Basics - EMAs
(EMAS) EMA10 - Length {10}
(EMAS) EMA10 - Source {close}
(EMAS) EMA55 - Length {55}
(EMAS) EMA55 - Source {close}
____ SETTINGS - Volume Profile
Lowest and highest VPoC from last three days
is used to know if an entry has a support
VPVR of last 100 4h bars
is also taken into account
(VP) Use number of bars (not VP timeframe): Uses 'Number of bars {100}' setting instead of 'Volume Profile timeframe' setting for calculating session VPoC
(VP) Show tick difference from current price {False}: BETA . Might be useful for actions some day.
(VP) Number of bars {100}: If 'Use number of bars (not VP timeframe)' is turned on this setting is used to calculate session VPoC.
(VP) Volume Profile timeframe {1 day}: If 'Use number of bars (not VP timeframe)' is turned off this setting is used to calculate session VPoC.
(VP) Row width multiplier {0.6}: Adjust how the extra Volume Profile bars are shown in the chart.
(VP) Resistances prices number of decimal digits : Round Volume Profile bars label numbers so that they don't have so many decimals.
(VP) Number of bars for bottom VPOC {18}: 18 bars equals 3 days in suggested timeframe of 4 hours. It's used to calculate lowest session VPoC from previous three days. It's also used as a top VPOC for sells.
(VP) Ignore VPOC bottom advice on long {False}: If turned on it ignores bottom VPOC (or top VPOC on sells) when evaluating if a buy entry is worth it.
(VP) Number of bars for VPVR VPOC {100}: Number of bars to calculate the VPVR VPoC. We use 100 as Jaime once used. When the price bounces back to the EMA55 it might just bounce to this VPVR VPoC if its price it's lower than the EMA55 (Sells have inverse algorithm).
____ SETTINGS - ADX Slope
ADX Slope
help us to understand if ADX
has a positive slope, negative slope
or it is rather still.
(ADXSLOPE) ADX cut {23}: If ADX value is greater than this cut (23) then ADX has strength
(ADXSLOPE) ADX minimum steepness entry {45}: ADX slope needs to be 45 degrees to be considered as a positive one.
(ADXSLOPE) ADX minimum steepness exit {45}: ADX slope needs to be -45 degrees to be considered as a negative one.
(ADXSLOPE) ADX steepness periods {3}: In order to avoid false detection the slope is calculated along 3 periods.
____ SETTINGS - Next to EMA55
(NEXTEMA55) EMA10 to EMA55 bounce back percentage {80}: EMA10 might bounce back to EMA55 or maybe to 80% of its complete way to EMA55
(NEXTEMA55) Next to EMA55 percentage {15}: How much next to the EMA55 you need to be to consider it's going to bounce back upwards again.
____ SETTINGS - Stop Loss and Take Profit
You can set a default stop loss or a default take profit.
(STOPTAKE) Stop Loss % {7.0}
(STOPTAKE) Take Profit % {2.0}
____ SETTINGS - Trailing Take Profit
You can customize the default trailing take profit values
(TRAILING) Trailing Take Profit (%) {1.0}: Trailing take profit offset in percentage
(TRAILING) Trailing Take Profit Trigger (%) {2.0}: When 2.0% of benefit is reached then activate the trailing take profit.
____ SETTINGS - MAIN TURN ON/OFF OPTIONS
(EMAS) Ignore advice based on emas {false}.
(EMAS) Ignore advice based on emas (On closing long signal) {False}: Ignore advice based on emas but only when deciding to close a buy entry.
(SQZMOM) Ignore advice based on SQZMOM {false}: Ignores advice based on SQZMOM indicator.
(ADXSLOPE) Ignore advice based on ADX positive slope {false}
(ADXSLOPE) Ignore advice based on ADX cut (23) {true}
(STOPTAKE) Take Profit? {false}: Enables simple Take Profit.
(STOPTAKE) Stop Loss? {True}: Enables simple Stop Loss.
(TRAILING) Enable Trailing Take Profit (%) {True}: Enables Trailing Take Profit.
____ SETTINGS - Strategy mode
(STRAT) Type Strategy: 'Long and Short', 'Long Only' or 'Short Only'. Default: 'Long and Short'.
____ SETTINGS - Risk Management
(RISKM) Risk Management Type: 'Safe', 'Somewhat safe compound' or 'Unsafe compound'. ' Safe ': Calculations are always done with the initial capital (1000) in mind. The maximum losses per trade/day/week/month are taken into account. ' Somewhat safe compound ': Calculations are done with initial capital (1000) or a higher capital if it increases. The maximum losses per trade/day/week/month are taken into account. ' Unsafe compound ': In each order all the current capital is gambled and only the default stop loss per order is taken into account. That means that the maximum losses per trade/day/week/month are not taken into account. Default : 'Somewhat safe compound'.
(RISKM) Maximum loss per trade % {1.0}.
(RISKM) Maximum loss per day % {6.0}.
(RISKM) Maximum loss per week % {8.0}.
(RISKM) Maximum loss per month % {10.0}.
____ SETTINGS - Decimals
(DECIMAL) Maximum number of decimal for contracts {3}: How small (3 decimals means 0.001) an entry position might be in your exchange.
EXTRA 1 - PRICE IS IN RANGE indicator
(PRANGE) Print price is in range {False}: Enable a bottom label that indicates if the price is in range or not.
(PRANGE) Price range periods {5}: How many previous periods are used to calculate the medians
(PRANGE) Price range maximum desviation (%) {0.6} ( > 0 ): Maximum positive desviation for range detection
(PRANGE) Price range minimum desviation (%) {0.6} ( > 0 ): Mininum negative desviation for range detection
EXTRA 2 - SQUEEZE MOMENTUM Desviation indicator
(SQZDIVER) Show degrees {False}: Show degrees of each Squeeze Momentum Divergence lines to the x-axis.
(SQZDIVER) Show desviation labels {False}: Whether to show or not desviation labels for the Squeeze Momentum Divergences.
(SQZDIVER) Show desviation lines {False}: Whether to show or not desviation lines for the Squeeze Momentum Divergences.
EXTRA 3 - VOLUME PROFILE indicator
WARNING: This indicator works not on current bar but on previous bar. So in the worst case it might be VP from 4 hours ago. Don't worry, inside the strategy calculus the correct values are used. It's just that I cannot show the most recent one in the chart.
(VP) Print recent profile {False}: Show Volume Profile indicator
(VP) Avoid label price overlaps {False}: Avoid label prices to overlap on the chart.
EXTRA 4 - ZIGNALY SUPPORT
(ZIG) Zignaly Alert Type {Email}: 'Email', 'Webhook'. ' Email ': Prepare alert_message variable content to be compatible with zignaly expected email content format. ' Webhook ': Prepare alert_message variable content to be compatible with zignaly expected json content format.
EXTRA 5 - DEBUG
(DEBUG) Enable debug on order comments {False}: If set to true it prepares the order message to match the alert_message variable. It makes easier to debug what would have been sent by email or webhook on each of the times an order is triggered.
HOW TO USE THIS STRATEGY
BOT MODE: This is the default setting.
PROPER VOLUME PROFILE VIEWING: Click on this strategy settings. Properties tab. Make sure Recalculate 'each time the order was run' is turned off.
NEWBIE USER: (Check PROPER VOLUME PROFILE VIEWING above!) You might want to turn on the 'Print recent profile {False}' setting. Alternatively you can use my alternate realtime study: 'Resistances and supports based on simplified Volume Profile' but, be aware, it might consume one indicator.
ADVANCED USER 1: Turn on the 'Print price is in range {False}' setting and help us to debug this subindicator. Also help us to figure out how to include this value in the strategy.
ADVANCED USER 2: Turn on the all the (SQZDIVER) settings and help us to figure out how to include this value in the strategy.
ADVANCED USER 3: (Check PROPER VOLUME PROFILE VIEWING above!) Turn on the 'Print recent profile {False}' setting and report any problem with it.
JAIME MERINO: Just use the indicator as it comes by default. It should only show BUY signals, SELL signals and their associated closing signals. From time to time you might want to check 'ADVANCED USER 2' instructions to check that there's actually a divergence. Check also 'ADVANCED USER 1' instructions for your amusement.
EXTRA ADVICE
It's advised that you use this strategy in addition to these two other indicators:
* Squeeze Momentum Indicator
* ADX
so that your chart matches as close as possible to TradingLatino chart.
ZIGNALY INTEGRATION
This strategy supports Zignaly email integration by default. It also supports Zignaly Webhook integration.
ZIGNALY INTEGRATION - Email integration example
What you would write in your alert message:
||{{strategy.order.alert_message}}||key=MYSECRETKEY||
ZIGNALY INTEGRATION - Webhook integration example
What you would write in your alert message:
{ {{strategy.order.alert_message}} , "key" : "MYSECRETKEY" }
CREDITS
I have reused and adapted some code from
'Directional Movement Index + ADX & Keylevel Support' study
which it's from TradingView console user.
I have reused and adapted some code from
'3ema' study
which it's from TradingView hunganhnguyen1193 user.
I have reused and adapted some code from
'Squeeze Momentum Indicator ' study
which it's from TradingView LazyBear user.
I have reused and adapted some code from
'Strategy Tester EMA-SMA-RSI-MACD' study
which it's from TradingView fikira user.
I have reused and adapted some code from
'Support Resistance MTF' study
which it's from TradingView LonesomeTheBlue user.
I have reused and adapted some code from
'TF Segmented Linear Regression' study
which it's from TradingView alexgrover user.
I have reused and adapted some code from
"Poor man's volume profile" study
which it's from TradingView IldarAkhmetgaleev user.
FEEDBACK
Please check the strategy source code for more detailed information
where, among others, I explain all of the substrats
and if they are implemented or not.
Q1. Did I understand wrong any of the Jaime substrats (which I have implemented)?
Q2. The strategy yields quite profit when we should long (EMA10 from 1d timeframe is higher than EMA55 from 1d timeframe.
Why the strategy yields much less profit when we should short (EMA10 from 1d timeframe is lower than EMA55 from 1d timeframe)?
Any idea if you need to do something else rather than just reverse what Jaime does when longing?
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
FAQ1. Why are you giving this strategy for free?
TradingLatino and his fellow enthusiasts taught me this strategy. Now I'm giving back to them.
FAQ2. Seriously! Why are you giving this strategy for free?
I'm confident his strategy might be improved a lot. By keeping it to myself I would avoid other people contributions to improve it.
Now that everyone can contribute this is a win-win.
FAQ3. How can I connect this strategy to my Exchange account?
It seems that you can attach alerts to strategies.
You might want to combine it with a paying account which enable Webhook URLs to work.
I don't know how all of this works right now so I cannot give you advice on it.
You will have to do your own research on this subject. But, be careful. Automating trades, if not done properly,
might end on you automating losses.
FAQ4. I have just found that this strategy by default gives more than 3.97% of 'maximum series of losses'. That's unacceptable according to my risk management policy.
You might want to reduce default stop loss setting from 7% to something like 5% till you are ok with the 'maximum series of losses'.
FAQ5. Where can I learn more about your work on this strategy?
Check the source code. You might find unused strategies. Either because there's not a substantial increases on earnings. Or maybe because they have not been implemented yet.
FAQ6. How much leverage is applied in this strategy?
No leverage.
FAQ7. Any difference with original Jaime Merino strategy?
Most of the times Jaime defines an stop loss at the price entry. That's not the case here. The default stop loss is 7% (but, don't be confused it only means losing 1% of your investment thanks to risk management). There's also a trailing take profit that triggers at 2% profit with a 1% trailing.
FAQ8. Why this strategy return is so small?
The strategy should be improved a lot. And, well, backtesting in this platform is not guaranteed to return theoric results comparable to real-life returns. That's why I'm personally forward testing this strategy to verify it.
MENSAJE EN CASTELLANO
En primer lugar se agradece feedback para mejorar la estrategia.
Si eres un usuario avanzado y quieres colaborar en mejorar el script no dudes en comentar abajo.
Ten en cuenta que aunque toda esta descripción tenga que estar en inglés no es obligatorio que el comentario esté en inglés.
CHISTE - CASTELLANO
¡Pero Jaime!
¡400.000!
¡Tu da mun!
BB Breakout-Momentum + Reversion Strategies# BB Breakout-Momentum + Reversion Strategies
## Overview
This indicator combines two complementary Bollinger Band trading strategies that automatically adapt to market conditions. Strategy 1 capitalizes on trending markets with breakout-pullback-momentum setups, while Strategy 2 exploits mean reversion in ranging markets. Advanced filtering using ADX and BB Width ensures each strategy only fires in its optimal market environment.
---
## Strategy 1: Breakout → Pullback → Renewed Momentum (Long B / Short B)
### Best Market Conditions
- **Trending Markets**: ADX ≥ 25
- **High Volatility**: BB Width ≥ 1.0× average
- Directional price action with sustained momentum
### Entry Logic
**Long B (Bullish Breakout):**
1. **Initial Breakout**: Price breaks above upper Bollinger Band with strong momentum
2. **Controlled Pullback**: Price pulls back 1-12 bars but holds above lower band (stays in trend)
3. **Defended Zone**: Pullback creates a support zone based on swing lows (validated by multiple touches)
4. **Renewed Momentum**: Price reclaims with green candle, volume confirmation, bullish MACD
5. **Position Check**: Entry must have cushion below upper band and room to reach targets
**Short B (Bearish Breakdown):**
- Mirror logic for downtrends: breakdown below lower band, pullback stays below upper band, renewed selling pressure
### Risk Management
- **Stop Loss**: Lower of (zone floor/previous low) OR (1.5 × ATR from entry)
- **Targets**:
- T1: Entry + 0.85R (0.85 × 1.5 ATR)
- T2: Entry + 1.40R (1.40 × 1.5 ATR)
- T3: Entry + 2.50R (2.50 × 1.5 ATR)
- T4: Entry + 4.50R (4.50 × 1.5 ATR)
- Risk is calculated using ATR (ATRX = 1.5 ATR), stop uses tighter of structural level (ATRL) or ATRX
---
## Strategy 2: Bollinger Band Mean Reversion (Long R / Short R)
### Best Market Conditions
- **Ranging Markets**: ADX ≤ 20
- **Low Volatility**: BB Width ≤ 0.8× average
- Price oscillating around the mean without sustained trend
### Entry Logic
**Long R (Long Reversion):**
1. **Overextension**: Price breaks below lower Bollinger Band (2 consecutive closes)
2. **Snap Back**: Price crosses back above lower band (re-enters the range)
3. **Entry Window**: Within 2 candles of re-entry, look for:
- **Green candle** (close > open) confirming bullish strength
- Close above previous candle (close > close )
4. **Trigger**: First qualifying candle within 2-bar window executes the trade
**Short R (Short Reversion):**
1. **Overextension**: Price breaks above upper Bollinger Band (2 consecutive closes)
2. **Snap Back**: Price crosses back below upper band (re-enters the range)
3. **Entry Window**: Within 2 candles of re-entry, look for:
- **Red candle** (close < open) confirming bearish pressure
- Close below previous candle (close < close )
4. **Trigger**: First qualifying candle within 2-bar window executes the trade
### Risk Management
- **Stop Loss**: Lower of (previous high/low) OR (1.5 × ATR from entry)
- **Targets**: Same as Strategy 1 (0.85R, 1.4R, 2.5R, 4.5R based on 1.5 ATR)
- Betting on return to Bollinger Band basis (mean)
---
## Advanced Filtering System
### ADX Filter (Average Directional Index)
- **Purpose**: Measures trend strength vs choppy/ranging conditions
- **Trending**: ADX ≥ 25 → Enables Strategy 1 (Breakout)
- **Ranging**: ADX ≤ 20 → Enables Strategy 2 (Reversion)
- **Neutral**: ADX 20-25 → No signals (indecisive market)
### BB Width Filter
- **Purpose**: Confirms volatility expansion/contraction
- **Wide Bands**: Current width ≥ 1.0× 50-bar average → Trending environment
- **Narrow Bands**: Current width ≤ 0.8× 50-bar average → Ranging environment
- **Logic**: Both ADX and BB Width must agree on market state before signaling
### Combined Logic
- **Strategy 1 fires**: When BOTH ADX shows trending AND bands are wide
- **Strategy 2 fires**: When BOTH ADX shows ranging AND bands are narrow
- **Visual Display**: Table at bottom-right shows ADX value, BB Width ratio, and current market state
---
## Visual Elements
### Bollinger Bands
- **Gray line**: 20-period SMA (basis/mean)
- **Green line**: Upper band (basis + 2 standard deviations)
- **Red line**: Lower band (basis - 2 standard deviations)
### Strategy 1 Markers
- **Long B**: Green triangle below bar with "Long B" text
- **Short B**: Orange triangle above bar with "Short B" text
- **Defended Zones**: Green/red boxes showing pullback support/resistance areas
- **Targets**: Green/orange crosses showing T1-T4 and stop loss levels
### Strategy 2 Markers
- **Long R**: Blue label below bar with "Long R" text
- **Short R**: Purple label above bar with "Short R" text
- **Trade Levels**: Horizontal lines extending 50 bars forward
- Blue solid = Entry price
- Red dashed = Stop loss
- Green/Orange dotted = Targets (T1-T4)
### Market State Table
- **ADX**: Current value with color coding (green=trending, orange=ranging, gray=neutral)
- **BB Width**: Ratio vs 50-bar average (e.g., "1.15x" = 15% wider than average)
- **State**: TREND / RANGE / NEUTRAL classification
---
## Settings & Customization
### Bollinger Bands
- **BB Length**: 20 (default) - period for moving average
- **BB Std Dev**: 2.0 (default) - standard deviation multiplier
### ATR & Risk
- **ATR Length**: 14 (default) - period for Average True Range calculation
- All stop losses and targets are derived from 1.5 × ATR
### Trend/Range Filters
- **ADX Length**: 14 (default)
- **ADX Trending Threshold**: 25 (higher = stronger trend required)
- **ADX Ranging Threshold**: 20 (lower = tighter ranging condition)
- **BB Width Average Length**: 50 (period for comparing current width)
- **BB Width Trend Multiplier**: 1.0 (width must be ≥ this × average)
- **BB Width Range Multiplier**: 0.8 (width must be ≤ this × average)
- **Use ADX Filter**: Toggle on/off
- **Use BB Width Filter**: Toggle on/off
### Strategy 1 (Breakout-Momentum)
- **Breakout Lookback**: 15 bars (how far back to search for initial breakout)
- **Min Pullback Bars**: 1 (minimum consolidation period)
- **Max Pullback Bars**: 12 (maximum consolidation period)
- **Show Defended Zone**: Display support/resistance boxes
- **Show Signals**: Display Long B / Short B markers
- **Show Targets**: Display stop loss and target levels
### Strategy 2 (Reversion)
- **Show Signals**: Display Long R / Short R markers
- **Show Trade Levels**: Display entry, stop, and target lines
---
## How to Use This Indicator
### Step 1: Identify Market State
- Check the table in bottom-right corner
- **TREND**: Look for Strategy 1 signals (Long B / Short B)
- **RANGE**: Look for Strategy 2 signals (Long R / Short R)
- **NEUTRAL**: Wait for clearer conditions
### Step 2: Wait for Signal
- Signals only fire when ALL conditions are met (structural + momentum + filters + room-to-target)
- Signals are relatively rare but high-probability
### Step 3: Execute Trade
- **Entry**: Close of signal candle
- **Stop Loss**: Shown as red cross (Strategy 1) or red dashed line (Strategy 2)
- **Targets**: Scale out at T1, T2, T3, T4 or hold for maximum R:R
### Step 4: Management
- Consider moving stop to breakeven after T1
- Trail stop using swing lows/highs in Strategy 1
- Exit full position at T2-T3 in Strategy 2 (mean reversion has limited upside)
---
## Key Principles
### Why This Works
1. **Market Adaptation**: Uses right strategy for right conditions (trend vs range)
2. **Confluence**: Multiple confirmations required (structure + momentum + volatility + room)
3. **Risk-Defined**: Every trade has pre-calculated stop and targets based on ATR
4. **Probability**: Filters reduce noise and increase win rate by waiting for ideal setups
### Common Pitfalls to Avoid
- ❌ Taking signals in NEUTRAL market state (indicators disagree)
- ❌ Overriding the stop loss (it's calculated for a reason)
- ❌ Expecting signals on every swing (quality over quantity)
- ❌ Using Strategy 1 in ranging markets or Strategy 2 in trending markets
- ❌ Ignoring the room-to-target check (signal won't fire if targets are blocked)
### Complementary Analysis
This indicator works best when combined with:
- Higher timeframe trend analysis
- Key support/resistance levels
- Volume analysis
- Market structure (swing highs/lows)
- Risk management rules (position sizing, max daily loss, etc.)
---
## Technical Details
### Indicators Used
- **Bollinger Bands**: 20-period SMA ± 2 standard deviations
- **ATR**: 14-period Average True Range for volatility measurement
- **ADX**: 14-period Average Directional Index for trend strength
- **EMA**: 10 and 20-period exponential moving averages (Strategy 1 filter)
- **MACD**: 12/26/9 settings (Strategy 1 momentum confirmation)
- **Volume**: Compared to 15-bar average (Strategy 1 confirmation)
### Calculation Methodology
- **ATRL** (Structural Risk): Previous swing high/low or defended zone boundary
- **ATRX** (ATR Risk): 1.5 × 14-period ATR from entry price
- **Stop Loss**: Minimum of ATRL and ATRX (tightest protection)
- **Targets**: Always calculated from ATRX (consistent R-multiples)
- **BB Width Ratio**: Current BB width ÷ 50-period SMA of BB width
---
## Performance Notes
### Strengths
- Adapts to changing market conditions automatically
- Clear, objective entry and exit criteria
- Pre-defined risk on every trade
- Filters reduce false signals significantly
- Works across multiple timeframes and instruments
### Limitations
- Signals are infrequent (by design - quality over quantity)
- Requires patience to wait for all conditions to align
- May miss explosive moves if pullback doesn't form properly (Strategy 1)
- Ranging markets can transition to trending (Strategy 2 risk)
- Filters may delay entry in fast-moving markets
### Best Timeframes
- **Strategy 1**: 1H, 4H, Daily (needs time for proper pullback structure)
- **Strategy 2**: 15M, 30M, 1H (mean reversion works best intraday)
- Both strategies can work on any timeframe if market conditions are right
### Best Instruments
- **Liquid markets**: Major stocks, indices, forex pairs, liquid crypto
- **Sufficient volatility**: ATR should be meaningful relative to price
- **Clear trend/range cycles**: Markets that respect technical levels
---
## IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER
### Risk Warning
**TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.**
This indicator is provided for **educational and informational purposes only**. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice. You should not treat any of the indicator's content as such.
### No Guarantee of Profit
Past performance is not indicative of future results. No trading strategy, including this indicator, can guarantee profits or protect against losses. The market is inherently unpredictable and all trading involves risk.
### User Responsibility
- **Do Your Own Research**: Always conduct your own analysis before making trading decisions
- **Test First**: Backtest and paper trade this strategy before risking real capital
- **Risk Management**: Never risk more than you can afford to lose
- **Position Sizing**: Use appropriate position sizes relative to your account
- **Stop Losses**: Always use stop losses and respect them
- **Market Conditions**: Understand that market conditions change and past behavior may not repeat
### No Liability
The creator of this indicator accepts no liability for any financial losses incurred through the use of this tool. All trading decisions are made at your own risk. You are solely responsible for evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any trading systems, signals, or content provided.
### Not Financial Advice
This indicator does not take into account your personal financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, or specific needs. You should consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
### Technical Limitations
- Indicators can repaint or lag in real-time
- Past signals may look different than real-time signals
- Code bugs or errors may exist despite testing
- TradingView platform limitations may affect functionality
### Market Risks
- Markets can gap, causing stops to be executed at worse prices
- Slippage and commissions can significantly impact results
- High volatility can cause unexpected losses
- Counterparty risk exists in all leveraged products
---
## Version History
- **v1.0**: Initial release combining breakout-momentum and mean reversion strategies
- Includes ADX and BB Width filtering
- ATRL/ATRX risk calculation system
- 2-candle entry window for reversion trades
---
## Credits & License
This indicator combines concepts from classical technical analysis including Bollinger Bands (John Bollinger), ATR (Welles Wilder), and ADX (Welles Wilder). The specific implementation and combination of filters is original work.
**Use at your own risk. Trade responsibly.**
---
*For questions, suggestions, or to report bugs, please comment below or contact the author.*
**Remember: The best indicator is the one between your ears. Use this tool as part of a comprehensive trading plan, not as a standalone solution.**
Average Directional Index with MACombining the Average Directional Index (ADX) with a 14-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) can provide traders with a comprehensive approach to identify both the strength of a trend (through ADX) and the trend's direction (using EMA). Let's break down each component and then discuss how they can be combined:
Average Directional Index (ADX):
The ADX is a technical indicator that measures the strength or momentum of a trend, regardless of its direction. The ADX is derived from two other indicators:
Positive Directional Index (+DI): Measures the strength of upward price movement.
Negative Directional Index (-DI): Measures the strength of downward price movement.
14-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
The 14-period EMA is a trend-following indicator that gives more weight to recent price data compared to simple moving averages (SMAs). The EMA is calculated by taking the average of the last 14 closing prices, giving more importance to the most recent prices.
Combining ADX and EMA:
When combining ADX with a 14-period EMA:
ADX as a Filter:
Traders might use the ADX to filter out trades when the trend's strength is weak (e.g., ADX below 25) to avoid trading in sideways or choppy markets.
EMA for Trend Direction:
Traders can use the 14-period EMA to determine the trend direction.
A price above the 14-period EMA might indicate an uptrend, while a price below the EMA might suggest a downtrend.
Example Strategy:
Here's a simplified trading strategy combining ADX and EMA:
Trend Identification:
Buy when the price is above the 14-period EMA and the ADX indicates a strong uptrend (e.g., ADX > 25).
Sell or go short when the price is below the 14-period EMA and the ADX indicates a strong downtrend (e.g., ADX > 25).
Avoid Choppy Markets:
Avoid trading when the ADX is below a certain threshold (e.g., ADX < 25) to filter out sideways or range-bound markets.
Combining ADX and a 14-period EMA can provide traders with a balanced approach to identify both the strength and direction of a trend. However, it's essential to remember that no indicator or strategy can guarantee profits, and it's crucial to use risk management techniques and other tools to make informed trading decisions. Consider back testing this strategy on historical data and adjusting the parameters based on their trading style and risk tolerance.
Ultimate Scalping Tool[BullByte]Overview
The Ultimate Scalping Tool is an open-source TradingView indicator built for scalpers and short-term traders released under the Mozilla Public License 2.0. It uses a custom Quantum Flux Candle (QFC) oscillator to combine multiple market forces into one visual signal. In plain terms, the script reads momentum, trend strength, volatility, and volume together and plots a special “candlestick” each bar (the QFC) that reflects the overall market bias. This unified view makes it easier to spot entries and exits: the tool labels signals as Strong Buy/Sell, Pullback (a brief retracement in a trend), Early Entry, or Exit Warning . It also provides color-coded alerts and a small dashboard of metrics. In practice, traders see green/red oscillator bars and symbols on the chart when conditions align, helping them scalp or trend-follow without reading multiple separate indicators.
Core Components
Quantum Flux Candle (QFC) Construction
The QFC is the heart of the indicator. Rather than using raw price, it creates a candlestick-like bar from the underlying oscillator values. Each QFC bar has an “open,” “high/low,” and “close” derived from calculated momentum and volatility inputs for that period . In effect, this turns the oscillator into intuitive candle patterns so traders can recognize momentum shifts visually. (For comparison, note that Heikin-Ashi candles “have a smoother look because take an average of the movement”. The QFC instead represents exact oscillator readings, so it reflects true momentum changes without hiding price action.) Colors of QFC bars change dynamically (e.g. green for bullish momentum, red for bearish) to highlight shifts. This is the first open-source QFC oscillator that dynamically weights four non-correlated indicators with moving thresholds, which makes it a unique indicator on its own.
Oscillator Normalization & Adaptive Weights
The script normalizes its oscillator to a fixed scale (for example, a 0–100 range much like the RSI) so that various inputs can be compared fairly. It then applies adaptive weighting: the relative influence of trend, momentum, volatility or volume signals is automatically adjusted based on current market conditions. For instance, in very volatile markets the script might weight volatility more heavily, or in a strong trend it might give extra weight to trend direction. Normalizing data and adjusting weights helps keep the QFC sensitive but stable (normalization ensures all inputs fit a common scale).
Trend/Momentum/Volume/Volatility Fusion
Unlike a typical single-factor oscillator, the QFC oscillator fuses four aspects at once. It may compute, for example, a trend indicator (such as an ADX or moving average slope), a momentum measure (like RSI or Rate-of-Change), a volume-based pressure (similar to MFI/OBV), and a volatility measure (like ATR) . These different values are combined into one composite oscillator. This “multi-dimensional” approach follows best practices of using non-correlated indicators (trend, momentum, volume, volatility) for confirmation. By encoding all these signals in one line, a high QFC reading means that trend, momentum, and volume are all aligned, whereas a neutral reading might mean mixed conditions. This gives traders a comprehensive picture of market strength.
Signal Classification
The script interprets the QFC oscillator to label trades. For example:
• Strong Buy/Sell : Triggered when the oscillator crosses a high-confidence threshold (e.g. breaks clearly above zero with strong slope), indicating a well-confirmed move. This is like seeing a big green/red QFC candle aligned with the trend.
• Pullbacks : Identified when the trend is up but momentum dips briefly. A Pullback Buy appears if the overall trend is bullish but the oscillator has a short retracement – a typical buying opportunity in an uptrend. (A pullback is “a brief decline or pause in a generally upward price trend”.)
• Early Buy/Sell : Marks an initial swing in the oscillator suggesting a possible new trend, before it is fully confirmed. It’s a hint of momentum building (an early-warning signal), not as strong as the confirmed “Strong” signal.
• Exit Warnings : Issued when momentum peaks or reverses. For instance, if the QFC bars reach a high and start turning red/green opposite, the indicator warns that the move may be ending. In other words, a Momentum Peak is the point of maximum strength after which weakness may follow.
These categories correspond to typical trading concepts: Pullback (temporary reversal in an uptrend), Early Buy (an initial bullish cross), Strong Buy (confirmed bullish momentum), and Momentum Peak (peak oscillator value suggesting exhaustion).
Filters (DI Reversal, Dynamic Thresholds, HTF EMA/ADX)
Extra filters help avoid bad trades. A DI Reversal filter uses the +DI/–DI lines (from the ADX system) to require that the trend direction confirms the signal . For example, it might ignore a buy signal if the +DI is still below –DI. Dynamic Thresholds adjust signal levels on-the-fly: rather than fixed “overbought” lines, they move with volatility so signals happen under appropriate market stress. An optional High-Timeframe EMA or ADX filter adds a check against a larger timeframe trend: for instance, only taking a trade if price is above the weekly EMA or if weekly ADX shows a strong trend. (Notably, the ADX is “a technical indicator used by traders to determine the strength of a price trend”, so requiring a high-timeframe ADX avoids trading against the bigger trend.)
Dashboard Metrics & Color Logic
The Dashboard in the Ultimate Scalping Tool (UST) serves as a centralized information hub, providing traders with real-time insights into market conditions, trend strength, momentum, volume pressure, and trade signals. It is highly customizable, allowing users to adjust its appearance and content based on their preferences.
1. Dashboard Layout & Customization
Short vs. Extended Mode : Users can toggle between a compact view (9 rows) and an extended view (13 rows) via the `Short Dashboard` input.
Text Size Options : The dashboard supports three text sizes— Tiny, Small, and Normal —adjustable via the `Dashboard Text Size` input.
Positioning : The dashboard is positioned in the top-right corner by default but can be moved if modified in the script.
2. Key Metrics Displayed
The dashboard presents critical trading metrics in a structured table format:
Trend (TF) : Indicates the current trend direction (Strong Bullish, Moderate Bullish, Sideways, Moderate Bearish, Strong Bearish) based on normalized trend strength (normTrend) .
Momentum (TF) : Displays momentum status (Strong Bullish/Bearish or Neutral) derived from the oscillator's position relative to dynamic thresholds.
Volume (CMF) : Shows buying/selling pressure levels (Very High Buying, High Selling, Neutral, etc.) based on the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator.
Basic & Advanced Signals:
Basic Signal : Provides simple trade signals (Strong Buy, Strong Sell, Pullback Buy, Pullback Sell, No Trade).
Advanced Signal : Offers nuanced signals (Early Buy/Sell, Momentum Peak, Weakening Momentum, etc.) with color-coded alerts.
RSI : Displays the Relative Strength Index (RSI) value, colored based on overbought (>70), oversold (<30), or neutral conditions.
HTF Filter : Indicates the higher timeframe trend status (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) when using the Leading HTF Filter.
VWAP : Shows the V olume-Weighted Average Price and whether the current price is above (bullish) or below (bearish) it.
ADX : Displays the Average Directional Index (ADX) value, with color highlighting whether it is rising (green) or falling (red).
Market Mode : Shows the selected market type (Crypto, Stocks, Options, Forex, Custom).
Regime : Indicates volatility conditions (High, Low, Moderate) based on the **ATR ratio**.
3. Filters Status Panel
A secondary panel displays the status of active filters, helping traders quickly assess which conditions are influencing signals:
- DI Reversal Filter: On/Off (confirms reversals before generating signals).
- Dynamic Thresholds: On/Off (adjusts buy/sell thresholds based on volatility).
- Adaptive Weighting: On/Off (auto-adjusts oscillator weights for trend/momentum/volatility).
- Early Signal: On/Off (enables early momentum-based signals).
- Leading HTF Filter: On/Off (applies higher timeframe trend confirmation).
4. Visual Enhancements
Color-Coded Cells : Each metric is color-coded (green for bullish, red for bearish, gray for neutral) for quick interpretation.
Dynamic Background : The dashboard background adapts to market conditions (bullish/bearish/neutral) based on ADX and DI trends.
Customizable Reference Lines : Users can enable/disable fixed reference lines for the oscillator.
How It(QFC) Differs from Traditional Indicators
Quantum Flux Candle (QFC) Versus Heikin-Ashi
Heikin-Ashi candles smooth price by averaging (HA’s open/close use averages) so they show trend clearly but hide true price (the current HA bar’s close is not the real price). QFC candles are different: they are oscillator values, not price averages . A Heikin-Ashi chart “has a smoother look because it is essentially taking an average of the movement”, which can cause lag. The QFC instead shows the raw combined momentum each bar, allowing faster recognition of shifts. In short, HA is a smoothed price chart; QFC is a momentum-based chart.
Versus Standard Oscillators
Common oscillators like RSI or MACD use fixed formulas on price (or price+volume). For example, RSI “compares gains and losses and normalizes this value on a scale from 0 to 100”, reflecting pure price momentum. MFI is similar but adds volume. These indicators each show one dimension: momentum or volume. The Ultimate Scalping Tool’s QFC goes further by integrating trend strength and volatility too. In practice, this means a move that looks strong on RSI might be downplayed by low volume or weak trend in QFC. As one source notes, using multiple non-correlated indicators (trend, momentum, volume, volatility) provides a more complete market picture. The QFC’s multi-factor fusion is unique – it is effectively a multi-dimensional oscillator rather than a traditional single-input one.
Signal Style
Traditional oscillators often use crossovers (RSI crossing 50) or fixed zones (MACD above zero) for signals. The Ultimate Scalping Tool’s signals are custom-classified: it explicitly labels pullbacks, early entries, and strong moves. These terms go beyond a typical indicator’s generic “buy”/“sell.” In other words, it packages a strategy around the oscillator, which traders can backtest or observe without reading code.
Key Term Definitions
• Pullback : A short-term dip or consolidation in an uptrend. In this script, a Pullback Buy appears when price is generally rising but shows a brief retracement. (As defined by Investopedia, a pullback is “a brief decline or pause in a generally upward price trend”.)
• Early Buy/Sell : An initial or tentative entry signal. It means the oscillator first starts turning positive (or negative) before a full trend has developed. It’s an early indication that a trend might be starting.
• Strong Buy/Sell : A confident entry signal when multiple conditions align. This label is used when momentum is already strong and confirmed by trend/volume filters, offering a higher-probability trade.
• Momentum Peak : The point where bullish (or bearish) momentum reaches its maximum before weakening. When the oscillator value stops rising (or falling) and begins to reverse, the script flags it as a peak – signaling that the current move could be overextended.
What is the Flux MA?
The Flux MA (Moving Average) is an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) applied to a normalized oscillator, referred to as FM . Its purpose is to smooth out the fluctuations of the oscillator, providing a clearer picture of the underlying trend direction and strength. Think of it as a dynamic baseline that the oscillator moves above or below, helping you determine whether the market is trending bullish or bearish.
How it’s calculated (Flux MA):
1.The oscillator is normalized (scaled to a range, typically between 0 and 1, using a default scale factor of 100.0).
2.An EMA is applied to this normalized value (FM) over a user-defined period (default is 10 periods).
3.The result is rescaled back to the oscillator’s original range for plotting.
Why it matters : The Flux MA acts like a support or resistance level for the oscillator, making it easier to spot trend shifts.
Color of the Flux Candle
The Quantum Flux Candle visualizes the normalized oscillator (FM) as candlesticks, with colors that indicate specific market conditions based on the relationship between the FM and the Flux MA. Here’s what each color means:
• Green : The FM is above the Flux MA, signaling bullish momentum. This suggests the market is trending upward.
• Red : The FM is below the Flux MA, signaling bearish momentum. This suggests the market is trending downward.
• Yellow : Indicates strong buy conditions (e.g., a "Strong Buy" signal combined with a positive trend). This is a high-confidence signal to go long.
• Purple : Indicates strong sell conditions (e.g., a "Strong Sell" signal combined with a negative trend). This is a high-confidence signal to go short.
The candle mode shows the oscillator’s open, high, low, and close values for each period, similar to price candlesticks, but it’s the color that provides the quick visual cue for trading decisions.
How to Trade the Flux MA with Respect to the Candle
Trading with the Flux MA and Quantum Flux Candle involves using the MA as a trend indicator and the candle colors as entry and exit signals. Here’s a step-by-step guide:
1. Identify the Trend Direction
• Bullish Trend : The Flux Candle is green and positioned above the Flux MA. This indicates upward momentum.
• Bearish Trend : The Flux Candle is red and positioned below the Flux MA. This indicates downward momentum.
The Flux MA serves as the reference line—candles above it suggest buying pressure, while candles below it suggest selling pressure.
2. Interpret Candle Colors for Trade Signals
• Green Candle : General bullish momentum. Consider entering or holding a long position.
• Red Candle : General bearish momentum. Consider entering or holding a short position.
• Yellow Candle : A strong buy signal. This is an ideal time to enter a long trade.
• Purple Candle : A strong sell signal. This is an ideal time to enter a short trade.
3. Enter Trades Based on Crossovers and Colors
• Long Entry : Enter a buy position when the Flux Candle turns green and crosses above the Flux MA. If it turns yellow, this is an even stronger signal to go long.
• Short Entry : Enter a sell position when the Flux Candle turns red and crosses below the Flux MA. If it turns purple, this is an even stronger signal to go short.
4. Exit Trades
• Exit Long : Close your buy position when the Flux Candle turns red or crosses below the Flux MA, indicating the bullish trend may be reversing.
• Exit Short : Close your sell position when the Flux Candle turns green or crosses above the Flux MA, indicating the bearish trend may be reversing.
•You might also exit a long trade if the candle changes from yellow to green (weakening strong buy signal) or a short trade from purple to red (weakening strong sell signal).
5. Use Additional Confirmation
To avoid false signals, combine the Flux MA and candle signals with other indicators or dashboard metrics (e.g., trend strength, momentum, or volume pressure). For example:
•A yellow candle with a " Strong Bullish " trend and high buying volume is a robust long signal.
•A red candle with a " Moderate Bearish " trend and neutral momentum might need more confirmation before shorting.
Practical Example
Imagine you’re scalping a cryptocurrency:
• Long Trade : The Flux Candle turns yellow and is above the Flux MA, with the dashboard showing "Strong Buy" and high buying volume. You enter a long position. You exit when the candle turns red and dips below the Flux MA.
• Short Trade : The Flux Candle turns purple and crosses below the Flux MA, with a "Strong Sell" signal on the dashboard. You enter a short position. You exit when the candle turns green and crosses above the Flux MA.
Market Presets and Adaptation
This indicator is designed to work on any market with candlestick price data (stocks, crypto, forex, indices, etc.). To handle different behavior, it provides presets for major asset classes. Selecting a “Stocks,” “Crypto,” “Forex,” or “Options” preset automatically loads a set of parameter values optimized for that market . For example, a crypto preset might use a shorter lookback or higher sensitivity to account for crypto’s high volatility, while a stocks preset might use slightly longer smoothing since stocks often trend more slowly. In practice, this means the same core QFC logic applies across markets, but the thresholds and smoothing adjust so signals remain relevant for each asset type.
Usage Guidelines
• Recommended Timeframes : Optimized for 1 minute to 15 minute intraday charts. Can also be used on higher timeframes for short term swings.
• Market Types : Select “Crypto,” “Stocks,” “Forex,” or “Options” to auto tune periods, thresholds and weights. Use “Custom” to manually adjust all inputs.
• Interpreting Signals : Always confirm a signal by checking that trend, volume, and VWAP agree on the dashboard. A green “Strong Buy” arrow with green trend, green volume, and price > VWAP is highest probability.
• Adjusting Sensitivity : To reduce false signals in fast markets, enable DI Reversal Confirmation and Dynamic Thresholds. For more frequent entries in trending environments, enable Early Entry Trigger.
• Risk Management : This tool does not plot stop loss or take profit levels. Users should define their own risk parameters based on support/resistance or volatility bands.
Background Shading
To give you an at-a-glance sense of market regime without reading numbers, the indicator automatically tints the chart background in three modes—neutral, bullish and bearish—with two levels of intensity (light vs. dark):
Neutral (Gray)
When ADX is below 20 the market is considered “no trend” or too weak to trade. The background fills with a light gray (high transparency) so you know to sit on your hands.
Bullish (Green)
As soon as ADX rises above 20 and +DI exceeds –DI, the background turns a semi-transparent green, signaling an emerging uptrend. When ADX climbs above 30 (strong trend), the green becomes more opaque—reminding you that trend-following signals (Strong Buy, Pullback) carry extra weight.
Bearish (Red)
Similarly, if –DI exceeds +DI with ADX >20, you get a light red tint for a developing downtrend, and a darker, more solid red once ADX surpasses 30.
By dynamically varying both hue (green vs. red vs. gray) and opacity (light vs. dark), the background instantly communicates trend strength and direction—so you always know whether to favor breakout-style entries (in a strong trend) or stay flat during choppy, low-ADX conditions.
The setup shown in the above chart snapshot is BTCUSD 15 min chart : Binance for reference.
Disclaimer
No indicator guarantees profits. Backtest or paper trade this tool to understand its behavior in your market. Always use proper position sizing and stop loss orders.
Good luck!
- BullByte
Relative Directional Index (RDI)🔍 Overview
The Relative Directional Index (RDI) is a hybrid tool that fuses the Average Directional and the Relative Strength Indices (ADX and RSI) into a single, highly visual interface. While the former captures trend strength, the latter reveals momentum shifts and potential exhaustion. Together, they can confirm trend structure, anticipate reversals, and sharpen the timing entries and exits.
📌 Why Combine ADX with RSI?
Most indicators focus on either trend-following (like ADX) or momentum detection (like RSI)—but rarely both. Each comes with trade-offs:
- ADX alone confirms trend strength but ignores momentum.
- RSI alone signals overbought/oversold, but lacks trend context.
The RDI resolves this by integrating both, offering:
- Smarter filters for trend entries
- Early warnings of momentum breakdowns
- More confident signal validation
🧠 Design Note: Fibonacci Harmony
All default values—5, 13, 21—are Fibonacci numbers. This is intentional, as these values reflect the natural rhythm of market cycles, and promote harmonic calibration between price action and indicator logic.
🔥 Key Features
✅ ADX Histogram
- Green bars = trend gaining strength
- Red bars = trend weakening
- Adjustable transparency for visual tuning
✅ ADX Line (Orange)
- Measures trend strength over time
- Rising = accelerating trend
- Falling = trend may be fading
✅ RSI Line (Lemon Yellow)
- Captures momentum surges and slowdowns
- Above 50 = bullish control
- Below 50 = bearish pressure
✅ Trend Strength Squares
- Bright green = strong uptrend
- Bright red = strong downtrend
- Faded colors = range-bound or indecisive
✅ ADX/RSI Crossover Markers
- Yellow square = RSI crosses above ADX → momentum building
- Orange square = ADX crosses above RSI → trend still dominant
✅ Customizable Reference Lines
- Yellow (50) = strong trend threshold
- Red (30) = weak trend zone
- Green (70) = overextended, potential exhaustion
_______________________________________________________
🎯 How to Trade with the RDI
The RDI helps traders identify momentum-supported trends, catch early reversals, and avoid false signals during consolidation.
✅ Trend Confirmation Entries
🔼 Bullish → Enter long on pullbacks or resistance breakouts
- ADX rising above 30
- RSI above 50
- Green trend square visible
🔽 Bearish → Enter short on breakdowns or failed retests
- ADX rising
- RSI below 50
- Red trend square visible
🧯 Exit if RSI crosses back against trend direction or ADX flattens
🚨 Reversal Setups Using Divergence
📈 Bullish Divergence → Long entry after confirmation (e.g. engulfing bar, volume spike)
- Price prints lower low
- RSI prints higher low
- Green triangle
📉 Bearish Divergence → Short entry on breakdown
- Price prints higher high
- RSI prints lower high
- Red triangle
Tip: Stronger if ADX is declining (fading trend strength)
🔂 Breakout Detection via Cross Markers
- Yellow square = RSI > ADX → breakout brewing
- Orange square = ADX > RSI → trend continuation likely
⏸️ Avoid Choppy Markets
- RSI between 45–55
- Faded trend squares
- Flat ADX below 20–30
🧠 Pro Tips
- Combine RDI with VWAPs, moving averages and/or pitchforks
- Watch for alignment between trend and momentum
- Use divergence markers as confirmation, not stand-alone triggers
_______________________________________________________
⚠️ Hidden Divergence (Optional)
The RDI includes optional hidden divergence detection. These signals suggest trend continuation but are off by default. Use with discretion—best in established trends, not sideways markets.
🙈 Hidden Bullish
- Price prints higher low
- RSI prints lower low
🙈 Hidden Bearish
- Price prints lower high
- RSI prints higher high
Adaptive Market Wave TheoryAdaptive Market Wave Theory
🌊 CORE INNOVATION: PROBABILISTIC PHASE DETECTION WITH MULTI-AGENT CONSENSUS
Adaptive Market Wave Theory (AMWT) represents a fundamental paradigm shift in how traders approach market phase identification. Rather than counting waves subjectively or drawing static breakout levels, AMWT treats the market as a hidden state machine —using Hidden Markov Models, multi-agent consensus systems, and reinforcement learning algorithms to quantify what traditional methods leave to interpretation.
The Wave Analysis Problem:
Traditional wave counting methodologies (Elliott Wave, harmonic patterns, ABC corrections) share fatal weaknesses that AMWT directly addresses:
1. Non-Falsifiability : Invalid wave counts can always be "recounted" or "adjusted." If your Wave 3 fails, it becomes "Wave 3 of a larger degree" or "actually Wave C." There's no objective failure condition.
2. Observer Bias : Two expert wave analysts examining the same chart routinely reach different conclusions. This isn't a feature—it's a fundamental methodology flaw.
3. No Confidence Measure : Traditional analysis says "This IS Wave 3." But with what probability? 51%? 95%? The binary nature prevents proper position sizing and risk management.
4. Static Rules : Fixed Fibonacci ratios and wave guidelines cannot adapt to changing market regimes. What worked in 2019 may fail in 2024.
5. No Accountability : Wave methodologies rarely track their own performance. There's no feedback loop to improve.
The AMWT Solution:
AMWT addresses each limitation through rigorous mathematical frameworks borrowed from speech recognition, machine learning, and reinforcement learning:
• Non-Falsifiability → Hard Invalidation : Wave hypotheses die permanently when price violates calculated invalidation levels. No recounting allowed.
• Observer Bias → Multi-Agent Consensus : Three independent analytical agents must agree. Single-methodology bias is eliminated.
• No Confidence → Probabilistic States : Every market state has a calculated probability from Hidden Markov Model inference. "72% probability of impulse state" replaces "This is Wave 3."
• Static Rules → Adaptive Learning : Thompson Sampling multi-armed bandits learn which agents perform best in current conditions. The system adapts in real-time.
• No Accountability → Performance Tracking : Comprehensive statistics track every signal's outcome. The system knows its own performance.
The Core Insight:
"Traditional wave analysis asks 'What count is this?' AMWT asks 'What is the probability we are in an impulsive state, with what confidence, confirmed by how many independent methodologies, and anchored to what liquidity event?'"
🔬 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION: HIDDEN MARKOV MODELS
Why Hidden Markov Models?
Markets exist in hidden states that we cannot directly observe—only their effects on price are visible. When the market is in an "impulse up" state, we see rising prices, expanding volume, and trending indicators. But we don't observe the state itself—we infer it from observables.
This is precisely the problem Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) solve. Originally developed for speech recognition (inferring words from sound waves), HMMs excel at estimating hidden states from noisy observations.
HMM Components:
1. Hidden States (S) : The unobservable market conditions
2. Observations (O) : What we can measure (price, volume, indicators)
3. Transition Matrix (A) : Probability of moving between states
4. Emission Matrix (B) : Probability of observations given each state
5. Initial Distribution (π) : Starting state probabilities
AMWT's Six Market States:
State 0: IMPULSE_UP
• Definition: Strong bullish momentum with high participation
• Observable Signatures: Rising prices, expanding volume, RSI >60, price above upper Bollinger Band, MACD histogram positive and rising
• Typical Duration: 5-20 bars depending on timeframe
• What It Means: Institutional buying pressure, trend acceleration phase
State 1: IMPULSE_DN
• Definition: Strong bearish momentum with high participation
• Observable Signatures: Falling prices, expanding volume, RSI <40, price below lower Bollinger Band, MACD histogram negative and falling
• Typical Duration: 5-20 bars (often shorter than bullish impulses—markets fall faster)
• What It Means: Institutional selling pressure, panic or distribution acceleration
State 2: CORRECTION
• Definition: Counter-trend consolidation with declining momentum
• Observable Signatures: Sideways or mild counter-trend movement, contracting volume, RSI returning toward 50, Bollinger Bands narrowing
• Typical Duration: 8-30 bars
• What It Means: Profit-taking, digestion of prior move, potential accumulation for next leg
State 3: ACCUMULATION
• Definition: Base-building near lows where informed participants absorb supply
• Observable Signatures: Price near recent lows but not making new lows, volume spikes on up bars, RSI showing positive divergence, tight range
• Typical Duration: 15-50 bars
• What It Means: Smart money buying from weak hands, preparing for markup phase
State 4: DISTRIBUTION
• Definition: Top-forming near highs where informed participants distribute holdings
• Observable Signatures: Price near recent highs but struggling to advance, volume spikes on down bars, RSI showing negative divergence, widening range
• Typical Duration: 15-50 bars
• What It Means: Smart money selling to late buyers, preparing for markdown phase
State 5: TRANSITION
• Definition: Regime change period with mixed signals and elevated uncertainty
• Observable Signatures: Conflicting indicators, whipsaw price action, no clear momentum, high volatility without direction
• Typical Duration: 5-15 bars
• What It Means: Market deciding next direction, dangerous for directional trades
The Transition Matrix:
The transition matrix A captures the probability of moving from one state to another. AMWT initializes with empirically-derived values then updates online:
From/To IMP_UP IMP_DN CORR ACCUM DIST TRANS
IMP_UP 0.70 0.02 0.20 0.02 0.04 0.02
IMP_DN 0.02 0.70 0.20 0.04 0.02 0.02
CORR 0.15 0.15 0.50 0.10 0.10 0.00
ACCUM 0.30 0.05 0.15 0.40 0.05 0.05
DIST 0.05 0.30 0.15 0.05 0.40 0.05
TRANS 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.15 0.15 0.10
Key Insights from Transition Probabilities:
• Impulse states are sticky (70% self-transition): Once trending, markets tend to continue
• Corrections can transition to either impulse direction (15% each): The next move after correction is uncertain
• Accumulation strongly favors IMP_UP transition (30%): Base-building leads to rallies
• Distribution strongly favors IMP_DN transition (30%): Topping leads to declines
The Viterbi Algorithm:
Given a sequence of observations, how do we find the most likely state sequence? This is the Viterbi algorithm—dynamic programming to find the optimal path through the state space.
Mathematical Formulation:
δ_t(j) = max_i × B_j(O_t)
Where:
δ_t(j) = probability of most likely path ending in state j at time t
A_ij = transition probability from state i to state j
B_j(O_t) = emission probability of observation O_t given state j
AMWT Implementation:
AMWT runs Viterbi over a rolling window (default 50 bars), computing the most likely state sequence and extracting:
• Current state estimate
• State confidence (probability of current state vs alternatives)
• State sequence for pattern detection
Online Learning (Baum-Welch Adaptation):
Unlike static HMMs, AMWT continuously updates its transition and emission matrices based on observed market behavior:
f_onlineUpdateHMM(prev_state, curr_state, observation, decay) =>
// Update transition matrix
A *= decay
A += (1.0 - decay)
// Renormalize row
// Update emission matrix
B *= decay
B += (1.0 - decay)
// Renormalize row
The decay parameter (default 0.85) controls adaptation speed:
• Higher decay (0.95): Slower adaptation, more stable, better for consistent markets
• Lower decay (0.80): Faster adaptation, more reactive, better for regime changes
Why This Matters for Trading:
Traditional indicators give you a number (RSI = 72). AMWT gives you a probabilistic state assessment :
"There is a 78% probability we are in IMPULSE_UP state, with 15% probability of CORRECTION and 7% distributed among other states. The transition matrix suggests 70% chance of remaining in IMPULSE_UP next bar, 20% chance of transitioning to CORRECTION."
This enables:
• Position sizing by confidence : 90% confidence = full size; 60% confidence = half size
• Risk management by transition probability : High correction probability = tighten stops
• Strategy selection by state : IMPULSE = trend-follow; CORRECTION = wait; ACCUMULATION = scale in
🎰 THE 3-BANDIT CONSENSUS SYSTEM
The Multi-Agent Philosophy:
No single analytical methodology works in all market conditions. Trend-following excels in trending markets but gets chopped in ranges. Mean-reversion excels in ranges but gets crushed in trends. Structure-based analysis works when structure is clear but fails in chaotic markets.
AMWT's solution: employ three independent agents , each analyzing the market from a different perspective, then use Thompson Sampling to learn which agents perform best in current conditions.
Agent 1: TREND AGENT
Philosophy : Markets trend. Follow the trend until it ends.
Analytical Components:
• EMA Alignment: EMA8 > EMA21 > EMA50 (bullish) or inverse (bearish)
• MACD Histogram: Direction and rate of change
• Price Momentum: Close relative to ATR-normalized movement
• VWAP Position: Price above/below volume-weighted average price
Signal Generation:
Strong Bull: EMA aligned bull AND MACD histogram > 0 AND momentum > 0.3 AND close > VWAP
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.75 + |momentum| × 0.4
Moderate Bull: EMA stack bull AND MACD rising AND momentum > 0.1
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.65 + |momentum| × 0.3
Strong Bear: EMA aligned bear AND MACD histogram < 0 AND momentum < -0.3 AND close < VWAP
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.75 + |momentum| × 0.4
Moderate Bear: EMA stack bear AND MACD falling AND momentum < -0.1
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.65 + |momentum| × 0.3
When Trend Agent Excels:
• Trend days (IB extension >1.5x)
• Post-breakout continuation
• Institutional accumulation/distribution phases
When Trend Agent Fails:
• Range-bound markets (ADX <20)
• Chop zones after volatility spikes
• Reversal days at major levels
Agent 2: REVERSION AGENT
Philosophy: Markets revert to mean. Extreme readings reverse.
Analytical Components:
• Bollinger Band Position: Distance from bands, percent B
• RSI Extremes: Overbought (>70) and oversold (<30)
• Stochastic: %K/%D crossovers at extremes
• Band Squeeze: Bollinger Band width contraction
Signal Generation:
Oversold Bounce: BB %B < 0.20 AND RSI < 35 AND Stochastic < 25
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.70 + (30 - RSI) × 0.01
Overbought Fade: BB %B > 0.80 AND RSI > 65 AND Stochastic > 75
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.70 + (RSI - 70) × 0.01
Squeeze Fire Bull: Band squeeze ending AND close > upper band
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.65
Squeeze Fire Bear: Band squeeze ending AND close < lower band
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.65
When Reversion Agent Excels:
• Rotation days (price stays within IB)
• Range-bound consolidation
• After extended moves without pullback
When Reversion Agent Fails:
• Strong trend days (RSI can stay overbought for days)
• Breakout moves
• News-driven directional moves
Agent 3: STRUCTURE AGENT
Philosophy: Market structure reveals institutional intent. Follow the smart money.
Analytical Components:
• Break of Structure (BOS): Price breaks prior swing high/low
• Change of Character (CHOCH): First break against prevailing trend
• Higher Highs/Higher Lows: Bullish structure
• Lower Highs/Lower Lows: Bearish structure
• Liquidity Sweeps: Stop runs that reverse
Signal Generation:
BOS Bull: Price breaks above prior swing high with momentum
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.70 + structure_strength × 0.2
CHOCH Bull: First higher low after downtrend, breaking structure
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.75
BOS Bear: Price breaks below prior swing low with momentum
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.70 + structure_strength × 0.2
CHOCH Bear: First lower high after uptrend, breaking structure
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.75
Liquidity Sweep Long: Price sweeps below swing low then reverses strongly
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.80
Liquidity Sweep Short: Price sweeps above swing high then reverses strongly
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.80
When Structure Agent Excels:
• After liquidity grabs (stop runs)
• At major swing points
• During institutional accumulation/distribution
When Structure Agent Fails:
• Choppy, structureless markets
• During news events (structure becomes noise)
• Very low timeframes (noise overwhelms structure)
Thompson Sampling: The Bandit Algorithm
With three agents giving potentially different signals, how do we decide which to trust? This is the multi-armed bandit problem —balancing exploitation (using what works) with exploration (testing alternatives).
Thompson Sampling Solution:
Each agent maintains a Beta distribution representing its success/failure history:
Agent success rate modeled as Beta(α, β)
Where:
α = number of successful signals + 1
β = number of failed signals + 1
On Each Bar:
1. Sample from each agent's Beta distribution
2. Weight agent signals by sampled probabilities
3. Combine weighted signals into consensus
4. Update α/β based on trade outcomes
Mathematical Implementation:
// Beta sampling via Gamma ratio method
f_beta_sample(alpha, beta) =>
g1 = f_gamma_sample(alpha)
g2 = f_gamma_sample(beta)
g1 / (g1 + g2)
// Thompson Sampling selection
for each agent:
sampled_prob = f_beta_sample(agent.alpha, agent.beta)
weight = sampled_prob / sum(all_sampled_probs)
consensus += agent.signal × agent.confidence × weight
Why Thompson Sampling?
• Automatic Exploration : Agents with few samples get occasional chances (high variance in Beta distribution)
• Bayesian Optimal : Mathematically proven optimal solution to exploration-exploitation tradeoff
• Uncertainty-Aware : Small sample size = more exploration; large sample size = more exploitation
• Self-Correcting : Poor performers naturally get lower weights over time
Example Evolution:
Day 1 (Initial):
Trend Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
Reversion Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
Structure Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
After 50 Signals:
Trend Agent: Beta(28,23) → samples ~0.55 (moderate confidence)
Reversion Agent: Beta(18,33) → samples ~0.35 (underperforming)
Structure Agent: Beta(32,19) → samples ~0.63 (outperforming)
Result: Structure Agent now receives highest weight in consensus
Consensus Requirements by Mode:
Aggressive Mode:
• Minimum 1/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 45%
• Use case: More signals, higher risk tolerance
Balanced Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 55%
• Use case: Standard trading
Conservative Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 65%
• Use case: Higher quality, fewer signals
Institutional Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 75%
• Additional: Session quality >0.65, mode adjustment +0.10
• Use case: Highest quality signals only
🌀 INTELLIGENT CHOP DETECTION ENGINE
The Chop Problem:
Most trading losses occur not from being wrong about direction, but from trading in conditions where direction doesn't exist . Choppy, range-bound markets generate false signals from every methodology—trend-following, mean-reversion, and structure-based alike.
AMWT's chop detection engine identifies these low-probability environments before signals fire, preventing the most damaging trades.
Five-Factor Chop Analysis:
Factor 1: ADX Component (25% weight)
ADX (Average Directional Index) measures trend strength regardless of direction.
ADX < 15: Very weak trend (high chop score)
ADX 15-20: Weak trend (moderate chop score)
ADX 20-25: Developing trend (low chop score)
ADX > 25: Strong trend (minimal chop score)
adx_chop = (i_adxThreshold - adx_val) / i_adxThreshold × 100
Why ADX Works: ADX synthesizes +DI and -DI movements. Low ADX means price is moving but not directionally—the definition of chop.
Factor 2: Choppiness Index (25% weight)
The Choppiness Index measures price efficiency using the ratio of ATR sum to price range:
CI = 100 × LOG10(SUM(ATR, n) / (Highest - Lowest)) / LOG10(n)
CI > 61.8: Choppy (range-bound, inefficient movement)
CI < 38.2: Trending (directional, efficient movement)
CI 38.2-61.8: Transitional
chop_idx_score = (ci_val - 38.2) / (61.8 - 38.2) × 100
Why Choppiness Index Works: In trending markets, price covers distance efficiently (low ATR sum relative to range). In choppy markets, price oscillates wildly but goes nowhere (high ATR sum relative to range).
Factor 3: Range Compression (20% weight)
Compares recent range to longer-term range, detecting volatility squeezes:
recent_range = Highest(20) - Lowest(20)
longer_range = Highest(50) - Lowest(50)
compression = 1 - (recent_range / longer_range)
compression > 0.5: Strong squeeze (potential breakout imminent)
compression < 0.2: No compression (normal volatility)
range_compression_score = compression × 100
Why Range Compression Matters: Compression precedes expansion. High compression = market coiling, preparing for move. Signals during compression often fail because the breakout hasn't occurred yet.
Factor 4: Channel Position (15% weight)
Tracks price position within the macro channel:
channel_position = (close - channel_low) / (channel_high - channel_low)
position 0.4-0.6: Center of channel (indecision zone)
position <0.2 or >0.8: Near extremes (potential reversal or breakout)
channel_chop = abs(0.5 - channel_position) < 0.15 ? high_score : low_score
Why Channel Position Matters: Price in the middle of a range is in "no man's land"—equally likely to go either direction. Signals in the channel center have lower probability.
Factor 5: Volume Quality (15% weight)
Assesses volume relative to average:
vol_ratio = volume / SMA(volume, 20)
vol_ratio < 0.7: Low volume (lack of conviction)
vol_ratio 0.7-1.3: Normal volume
vol_ratio > 1.3: High volume (conviction present)
volume_chop = vol_ratio < 0.8 ? (1 - vol_ratio) × 100 : 0
Why Volume Quality Matters: Low volume moves lack institutional participation. These moves are more likely to reverse or stall.
Combined Chop Intensity:
chopIntensity = (adx_chop × 0.25) + (chop_idx_score × 0.25) +
(range_compression_score × 0.20) + (channel_chop × 0.15) +
(volume_chop × i_volumeChopWeight × 0.15)
Regime Classifications:
Based on chop intensity and component analysis:
• Strong Trend (0-20%): ADX >30, clear directional momentum, trade aggressively
• Trending (20-35%): ADX >20, moderate directional bias, trade normally
• Transitioning (35-50%): Mixed signals, regime change possible, reduce size
• Mid-Range (50-60%): Price trapped in channel center, avoid new positions
• Ranging (60-70%): Low ADX, price oscillating within bounds, fade extremes only
• Compression (70-80%): Volatility squeeze, expansion imminent, wait for breakout
• Strong Chop (80-100%): Multiple chop factors aligned, avoid trading entirely
Signal Suppression:
When chop intensity exceeds the configurable threshold (default 80%), signals are suppressed entirely. The dashboard displays "⚠️ CHOP ZONE" with the current regime classification.
Chop Box Visualization:
When chop is detected, AMWT draws a semi-transparent box on the chart showing the chop zone. This visual reminder helps traders avoid entering positions during unfavorable conditions.
💧 LIQUIDITY ANCHORING SYSTEM
The Liquidity Concept:
Markets move from liquidity pool to liquidity pool. Stop losses cluster at predictable locations—below swing lows (buy stops become sell orders when triggered) and above swing highs (sell stops become buy orders when triggered). Institutions know where these clusters are and often engineer moves to trigger them before reversing.
AMWT identifies and tracks these liquidity events, using them as anchors for signal confidence.
Liquidity Event Types:
Type 1: Volume Spikes
Definition: Volume > SMA(volume, 20) × i_volThreshold (default 2.8x)
Interpretation: Sudden volume surge indicates institutional activity
• Near swing low + reversal: Likely accumulation
• Near swing high + reversal: Likely distribution
• With continuation: Institutional conviction in direction
Type 2: Stop Runs (Liquidity Sweeps)
Definition: Price briefly exceeds swing high/low then reverses within N bars
Detection:
• Price breaks above recent swing high (triggering buy stops)
• Then closes back below that high within 3 bars
• Signal: Bullish stop run complete, reversal likely
Or inverse for bearish:
• Price breaks below recent swing low (triggering sell stops)
• Then closes back above that low within 3 bars
• Signal: Bearish stop run complete, reversal likely
Type 3: Absorption Events
Definition: High volume with small candle body
Detection:
• Volume > 2x average
• Candle body < 30% of candle range
• Interpretation: Large orders being filled without moving price
• Implication: Accumulation (at lows) or distribution (at highs)
Type 4: BSL/SSL Pools (Buy-Side/Sell-Side Liquidity)
BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity):
• Cluster of swing highs within ATR proximity
• Stop losses from shorts sit above these highs
• Breaking BSL triggers short covering (fuel for rally)
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity):
• Cluster of swing lows within ATR proximity
• Stop losses from longs sit below these lows
• Breaking SSL triggers long liquidation (fuel for decline)
Liquidity Pool Mapping:
AMWT continuously scans for and maps liquidity pools:
// Detect swing highs/lows using pivot function
swing_high = ta.pivothigh(high, 5, 5)
swing_low = ta.pivotlow(low, 5, 5)
// Track recent swing points
if not na(swing_high)
bsl_levels.push(swing_high)
if not na(swing_low)
ssl_levels.push(swing_low)
// Display on chart with labels
Confluence Scoring Integration:
When signals fire near identified liquidity events, confluence scoring increases:
• Signal near volume spike: +10% confidence
• Signal after liquidity sweep: +15% confidence
• Signal at BSL/SSL pool: +10% confidence
• Signal aligned with absorption zone: +10% confidence
Why Liquidity Anchoring Matters:
Signals "in a vacuum" have lower probability than signals anchored to institutional activity. A long signal after a liquidity sweep below swing lows has trapped shorts providing fuel. A long signal in the middle of nowhere has no such catalyst.
📊 SIGNAL GRADING SYSTEM
The Quality Problem:
Not all signals are created equal. A signal with 6/6 factors aligned is fundamentally different from a signal with 3/6 factors aligned. Traditional indicators treat them the same. AMWT grades every signal based on confluence.
Confluence Components (100 points total):
1. Bandit Consensus Strength (25 points)
consensus_str = weighted average of agent confidences
score = consensus_str × 25
Example:
Trend Agent: +1 signal, 0.80 confidence, 0.35 weight
Reversion Agent: 0 signal, 0.50 confidence, 0.25 weight
Structure Agent: +1 signal, 0.75 confidence, 0.40 weight
Weighted consensus = (0.80×0.35 + 0×0.25 + 0.75×0.40) / (0.35 + 0.40) = 0.77
Score = 0.77 × 25 = 19.25 points
2. HMM State Confidence (15 points)
score = hmm_confidence × 15
Example:
HMM reports 82% probability of IMPULSE_UP
Score = 0.82 × 15 = 12.3 points
3. Session Quality (15 points)
Session quality varies by time:
• London/NY Overlap: 1.0 (15 points)
• New York Session: 0.95 (14.25 points)
• London Session: 0.70 (10.5 points)
• Asian Session: 0.40 (6 points)
• Off-Hours: 0.30 (4.5 points)
• Weekend: 0.10 (1.5 points)
4. Energy/Participation (10 points)
energy = (realized_vol / avg_vol) × 0.4 + (range / ATR) × 0.35 + (volume / avg_volume) × 0.25
score = min(energy, 1.0) × 10
5. Volume Confirmation (10 points)
if volume > SMA(volume, 20) × 1.5:
score = 10
else if volume > SMA(volume, 20):
score = 5
else:
score = 0
6. Structure Alignment (10 points)
For long signals:
• Bullish structure (HH + HL): 10 points
• Higher low only: 6 points
• Neutral structure: 3 points
• Bearish structure: 0 points
Inverse for short signals
7. Trend Alignment (10 points)
For long signals:
• Price > EMA21 > EMA50: 10 points
• Price > EMA21: 6 points
• Neutral: 3 points
• Against trend: 0 points
8. Entry Trigger Quality (5 points)
• Strong trigger (multiple confirmations): 5 points
• Moderate trigger (single confirmation): 3 points
• Weak trigger (marginal): 1 point
Grade Scale:
Total Score → Grade
85-100 → A+ (Exceptional—all factors aligned)
70-84 → A (Strong—high probability)
55-69 → B (Acceptable—proceed with caution)
Below 55 → C (Marginal—filtered by default)
Grade-Based Signal Brightness:
Signal arrows on the chart have transparency based on grade:
• A+: Full brightness (alpha = 0)
• A: Slight fade (alpha = 15)
• B: Moderate fade (alpha = 35)
• C: Significant fade (alpha = 55)
This visual hierarchy helps traders instantly identify signal quality.
Minimum Grade Filter:
Configurable filter (default: C) sets the minimum grade for signal display:
• Set to "A" for only highest-quality signals
• Set to "B" for moderate selectivity
• Set to "C" for all signals (maximum quantity)
🕐 SESSION INTELLIGENCE
Why Sessions Matter:
Markets behave differently at different times. The London open is fundamentally different from the Asian lunch hour. AMWT incorporates session-aware logic to optimize signal quality.
Session Definitions:
Asian Session (18:00-03:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Lower volatility, range-bound tendency, fewer institutional participants
• Quality Score: 0.40 (40% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Fade extremes, expect ranges, smaller position sizes
• Best For: Mean-reversion setups, accumulation/distribution identification
London Session (03:00-12:00 ET)
• Characteristics: European institutional activity, volatility pickup, trend initiation
• Quality Score: 0.70 (70% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Watch for trend development, breakouts more reliable
• Best For: Initial trend identification, structure breaks
New York Session (08:00-17:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Highest liquidity, US institutional activity, major moves
• Quality Score: 0.95 (95% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Best environment for directional trades
• Best For: Trend continuation, momentum plays
London/NY Overlap (08:00-12:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Peak liquidity, both European and US participants active
• Quality Score: 1.0 (100%—maximum quality)
• Strategy Implications: Highest probability for successful breakouts and trends
• Best For: All signal types—this is prime time
Off-Hours
• Characteristics: Thin liquidity, erratic price action, gaps possible
• Quality Score: 0.30 (30% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Avoid new positions, wider stops if holding
• Best For: Waiting
Smart Weekend Detection:
AMWT properly handles the Sunday evening futures open:
// Traditional (broken):
isWeekend = dayofweek == saturday OR dayofweek == sunday
// AMWT (correct):
anySessionActive = not na(asianTime) or not na(londonTime) or not na(nyTime)
isWeekend = calendarWeekend AND NOT anySessionActive
This ensures Sunday 6pm ET (when futures open) correctly shows "Asian Session" rather than "Weekend."
Session Transition Boosts:
Certain session transitions create trading opportunities:
• Asian → London transition: +15% confidence boost (volatility expansion likely)
• London → Overlap transition: +20% confidence boost (peak liquidity approaching)
• Overlap → NY-only transition: -10% confidence adjustment (liquidity declining)
• Any → Off-Hours transition: Signal suppression recommended
📈 TRADE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
The Signal Spam Problem:
Many indicators generate signal after signal, creating confusion and overtrading. AMWT implements a complete trade lifecycle management system that prevents signal spam and tracks performance.
Trade Lock Mechanism:
Once a signal fires, the system enters a "trade lock" state:
Trade Lock Duration: Configurable (default 30 bars)
Early Exit Conditions:
• TP3 hit (full target reached)
• Stop Loss hit (trade failed)
• Lock expiration (time-based exit)
During lock:
• No new signals of same type displayed
• Opposite signals can override (reversal)
• Trade status tracked in dashboard
Target Levels:
Each signal generates three profit targets based on ATR:
TP1 (Conservative Target)
• Default: 1.0 × ATR
• Purpose: Quick partial profit, reduce risk
• Action: Take 30-40% off position, move stop to breakeven
TP2 (Standard Target)
• Default: 2.5 × ATR
• Purpose: Main profit target
• Action: Take 40-50% off position, trail stop
TP3 (Extended Target)
• Default: 5.0 × ATR
• Purpose: Runner target for trend days
• Action: Close remaining position or continue trailing
Stop Loss:
• Default: 1.9 × ATR from entry
• Purpose: Define maximum risk
• Placement: Below recent swing low (longs) or above recent swing high (shorts)
Invalidation Level:
Beyond stop loss, AMWT calculates an "invalidation" level where the wave hypothesis dies:
invalidation = entry - (ATR × INVALIDATION_MULT × 1.5)
If price reaches invalidation, the current market interpretation is wrong—not just the trade.
Visual Trade Management:
During active trades, AMWT displays:
• Entry arrow with grade label (▲A+, ▼B, etc.)
• TP1, TP2, TP3 horizontal lines in green
• Stop Loss line in red
• Invalidation line in orange (dashed)
• Progress indicator in dashboard
Persistent Execution Markers:
When targets or stops are hit, permanent markers appear:
• TP hit: Green dot with "TP1"/"TP2"/"TP3" label
• SL hit: Red dot with "SL" label
These persist on the chart for review and statistics.
💰 PERFORMANCE TRACKING & STATISTICS
Tracked Metrics:
• Total Trades: Count of all signals that entered trade lock
• Winning Trades: Signals where at least TP1 was reached before SL
• Losing Trades: Signals where SL was hit before any TP
• Win Rate: Winning / Total × 100%
• Total R Profit: Sum of R-multiples from winning trades
• Total R Loss: Sum of R-multiples from losing trades
• Net R: Total R Profit - Total R Loss
Currency Conversion System:
AMWT can display P&L in multiple formats:
R-Multiple (Default)
• Shows risk-normalized returns
• "Net P&L: +4.2R | 78 trades" means 4.2 times initial risk gained over 78 trades
• Best for comparing across different position sizes
Currency Conversion (USD/EUR/GBP/JPY/INR)
• Converts R-multiples to currency based on:
- Dollar Risk Per Trade (user input)
- Tick Value (user input)
- Selected currency
Example Configuration:
Dollar Risk Per Trade: $100
Display Currency: USD
If Net R = +4.2R
Display: Net P&L: +$420.00 | 78 trades
Ticks
• For futures traders who think in ticks
• Converts based on tick value input
Statistics Reset:
Two reset methods:
1. Toggle Reset
• Turn "Reset Statistics" toggle ON then OFF
• Clears all statistics immediately
2. Date-Based Reset
• Set "Reset After Date" (YYYY-MM-DD format)
• Only trades after this date are counted
• Useful for isolating recent performance
🎨 VISUAL FEATURES
Macro Channel:
Dynamic regression-based channel showing market boundaries:
• Upper/lower bounds calculated from swing pivot linear regression
• Adapts to current market structure
• Shows overall trend direction and potential reversal zones
Chop Boxes:
Semi-transparent overlay during high-chop periods:
• Purple/orange coloring indicates dangerous conditions
• Visual reminder to avoid new positions
Confluence Heat Zones:
Background shading indicating setup quality:
• Darker shading = higher confluence
• Lighter shading = lower confluence
• Helps identify optimal entry timing
EMA Ribbon:
Trend visualization via moving average fill:
• EMA 8/21/50 with gradient fill between
• Green fill when bullish aligned
• Red fill when bearish aligned
• Gray when neutral
Absorption Zone Boxes:
Marks potential accumulation/distribution areas:
• High volume + small body = absorption
• Boxes drawn at these levels
• Often act as support/resistance
Liquidity Pool Lines:
BSL/SSL levels with labels:
• Dashed lines at liquidity clusters
• "BSL" label above swing high clusters
• "SSL" label below swing low clusters
Six Professional Themes:
• Quantum: Deep purples and cyans (default)
• Cyberpunk: Neon pinks and blues
• Professional: Muted grays and greens
• Ocean: Blues and teals
• Matrix: Greens and blacks
• Ember: Oranges and reds
🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL
Phase 1: Learning the System (Week 1)
Goal: Understand AMWT concepts and dashboard interpretation
Setup:
• Signal Mode: Balanced
• Display: All features enabled
• Grade Filter: C (see all signals)
Actions:
• Paper trade ONLY—no real money
• Observe HMM state transitions throughout the day
• Note when agents agree vs disagree
• Watch chop detection engage and disengage
• Track which grades produce winners vs losers
Key Learning Questions:
• How often do A+ signals win vs B signals? (Should see clear difference)
• Which agent tends to be right in current market? (Check dashboard)
• When does chop detection save you from bad trades?
• How do signals near liquidity events perform vs signals in vacuum?
Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2)
Goal: Tune system to your instrument and timeframe
Signal Mode Testing:
• Run 5 days on Aggressive mode (more signals)
• Run 5 days on Conservative mode (fewer signals)
• Compare: Which produces better risk-adjusted returns?
Grade Filter Testing:
• Track A+ only for 20 signals
• Track A and above for 20 signals
• Track B and above for 20 signals
• Compare win rates and expectancy
Chop Threshold Testing:
• Default (80%): Standard filtering
• Try 70%: More aggressive filtering
• Try 90%: Less filtering
• Which produces best results for your instrument?
Phase 3: Strategy Development (Weeks 3-4)
Goal: Develop personal trading rules based on system signals
Position Sizing by Grade:
• A+ grade: 100% position size
• A grade: 75% position size
• B grade: 50% position size
• C grade: 25% position size (or skip)
Session-Based Rules:
• London/NY Overlap: Take all A/A+ signals
• NY Session: Take all A+ signals, selective on A
• Asian Session: Only A+ signals with extra confirmation
• Off-Hours: No new positions
Chop Zone Rules:
• Chop >70%: Reduce position size 50%
• Chop >80%: No new positions
• Chop <50%: Full position size allowed
Phase 4: Live Micro-Sizing (Month 2)
Goal: Validate paper trading results with minimal risk
Setup:
• 10-20% of intended full position size
• Take ONLY A+ signals initially
• Follow trade management religiously
Tracking:
• Log every trade: Entry, Exit, Grade, HMM State, Chop Level, Agent Consensus
• Calculate: Win rate by grade, by session, by chop level
• Compare to paper trading (should be within 15%)
Red Flags:
• Win rate diverges significantly from paper trading: Execution issues
• Consistent losses during certain sessions: Adjust session rules
• Losses cluster when specific agent dominates: Review that agent's logic
Phase 5: Scaling Up (Months 3-6)
Goal: Gradually increase to full position size
Progression:
• Month 3: 25-40% size (if micro-sizing profitable)
• Month 4: 40-60% size
• Month 5: 60-80% size
• Month 6: 80-100% size
Scale-Up Requirements:
• Minimum 30 trades at current size
• Win rate ≥50%
• Net R positive
• No revenge trading incidents
• Emotional control maintained
💡 DEVELOPMENT INSIGHTS
Why HMM Over Simple Indicators:
Early versions used standard indicators (RSI >70 = overbought, etc.). Win rates hovered at 52-55%. The problem: indicators don't capture state. RSI can stay "overbought" for weeks in a strong trend.
The insight: markets exist in states, and state persistence matters more than indicator levels. Implementing HMM with state transition probabilities increased signal quality significantly. The system now knows not just "RSI is high" but "we're in IMPULSE_UP state with 70% probability of staying in IMPULSE_UP."
The Multi-Agent Evolution:
Original version used a single analytical methodology—trend-following. Performance was inconsistent: great in trends, destroyed in ranges. Added mean-reversion agent: now it was inconsistent the other way.
The breakthrough: use multiple agents and let the system learn which works . Thompson Sampling wasn't the first attempt—tried simple averaging, voting, even hard-coded regime switching. Thompson Sampling won because it's mathematically optimal and automatically adapts without manual regime detection.
Chop Detection Revelation:
Chop detection was added almost as an afterthought. "Let's filter out obviously bad conditions." Testing revealed it was the most impactful single feature. Filtering chop zones reduced losing trades by 35% while only reducing total signals by 20%. The insight: avoiding bad trades matters more than finding good ones.
Liquidity Anchoring Discovery:
Watched hundreds of trades. Noticed pattern: signals that fired after liquidity events (stop runs, volume spikes) had significantly higher win rates than signals in quiet markets. Implemented liquidity detection and anchoring. Win rate on liquidity-anchored signals: 68% vs 52% on non-anchored signals.
The Grade System Impact:
Early system had binary signals (fire or don't fire). Adding grading transformed it. Traders could finally match position size to signal quality. A+ signals deserved full size; C signals deserved caution. Just implementing grade-based sizing improved portfolio Sharpe ratio by 0.3.
🚨 LIMITATIONS & CRITICAL ASSUMPTIONS
What AMWT Is NOT:
• NOT a Holy Grail : No system wins every trade. AMWT improves probability, not certainty.
• NOT Fully Automated : AMWT provides signals and analysis; execution requires human judgment.
• NOT News-Proof : Exogenous shocks (FOMC surprises, geopolitical events) invalidate all technical analysis.
• NOT for Scalping : HMM state estimation needs time to develop. Sub-minute timeframes are not appropriate.
Core Assumptions:
1. Markets Have States : Assumes markets transition between identifiable regimes. Violation: Random walk markets with no regime structure.
2. States Are Inferable : Assumes observable indicators reveal hidden states. Violation: Market manipulation creating false signals.
3. History Informs Future : Assumes past agent performance predicts future performance. Violation: Regime changes that invalidate historical patterns.
4. Liquidity Events Matter : Assumes institutional activity creates predictable patterns. Violation: Markets with no institutional participation.
Performs Best On:
• Liquid Futures : ES, NQ, MNQ, MES, CL, GC
• Major Forex Pairs : EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
• Large-Cap Stocks : AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA (>$5B market cap)
• Liquid Crypto : BTC, ETH on major exchanges
Performs Poorly On:
• Illiquid Instruments : Low volume stocks, exotic pairs
• Very Low Timeframes : Sub-5-minute charts (noise overwhelms signal)
• Binary Event Days : Earnings, FDA approvals, court rulings
• Manipulated Markets : Penny stocks, low-cap altcoins
Known Weaknesses:
• Warmup Period : HMM needs ~50 bars to initialize properly. Early signals may be unreliable.
• Regime Change Lag : Thompson Sampling adapts over time, not instantly. Sudden regime changes may cause short-term underperformance.
• Complexity : More parameters than simple indicators. Requires understanding to use effectively.
⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE
Trading futures, stocks, options, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Adaptive Market Wave Theory, while based on rigorous mathematical frameworks including Hidden Markov Models and multi-armed bandit algorithms, does not guarantee profits and can result in significant losses.
AMWT's methodologies—HMM state estimation, Thompson Sampling agent selection, and confluence-based grading—have theoretical foundations but past performance is not indicative of future results.
Hidden Markov Model assumptions may not hold during:
• Major news events disrupting normal market behavior
• Flash crashes or circuit breaker events
• Low liquidity periods with erratic price action
• Algorithmic manipulation or spoofing
Multi-agent consensus assumes independent analytical perspectives provide edge. Market conditions change. Edges that existed historically can diminish or disappear.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, and broker execution environment. Paper trade extensively before risking capital. Start with micro position sizing.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing. Implement stop losses without exception.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge these risks and accept full responsibility for all trading decisions and outcomes.
"Elliott Wave was a first-order approximation of market phase behavior. AMWT is the second—probabilistic, adaptive, and accountable."
Initial Public Release
Core Engine:
• True Hidden Markov Model with online Baum-Welch learning
• Viterbi algorithm for optimal state sequence decoding
• 6-state market regime classification
Agent System:
• 3-Bandit consensus (Trend, Reversion, Structure)
• Thompson Sampling with true Beta distribution sampling
• Adaptive weight learning based on performance
Signal Generation:
• Quality-based confluence grading (A+/A/B/C)
• Four signal modes (Aggressive/Balanced/Conservative/Institutional)
• Grade-based visual brightness
Chop Detection:
• 5-factor analysis (ADX, Choppiness Index, Range Compression, Channel Position, Volume)
• 7 regime classifications
• Configurable signal suppression threshold
Liquidity:
• Volume spike detection
• Stop run (liquidity sweep) identification
• BSL/SSL pool mapping
• Absorption zone detection
Trade Management:
• Trade lock with configurable duration
• TP1/TP2/TP3 targets
• ATR-based stop loss
• Persistent execution markers
Session Intelligence:
• Asian/London/NY/Overlap detection
• Smart weekend handling (Sunday futures open)
• Session quality scoring
Performance:
• Statistics tracking with reset functionality
• 7 currency display modes
• Win rate and Net R calculation
Visuals:
• Macro channel with linear regression
• Chop boxes
• EMA ribbon
• Liquidity pool lines
• 6 professional themes
Dashboards:
• Main Dashboard: Market State, Consensus, Trade Status, Statistics
📋 AMWT vs AMWT-PRO:
This version includes all core AMWT functionality:
✓ Full Hidden Markov Model state estimation
✓ 3-Bandit Thompson Sampling consensus system
✓ Complete 5-factor chop detection engine
✓ All four signal modes
✓ Full trade management with TP/SL tracking
✓ Main dashboard with complete statistics
✓ All visual features (channels, zones, pools)
✓ Identical signal generation to PRO
✓ Six professional themes
✓ Full alert system
The PRO version adds the AMWT Advisor panel—a secondary dashboard providing:
• Real-time Market Pulse situation assessment
• Agent Matrix visualization (individual agent votes)
• Structure analysis breakdown
• "Watch For" upcoming setups
• Action Command coaching
Both versions generate identical signals . The Advisor provides additional guidance for interpreting those signals.
Taking you to school. - Dskyz, Trade with probability. Trade with consensus. Trade with AMWT.
Consolidation Zones Volume Delta | Flux ChartsGENERAL OVERVIEW:
The Consolidation Zones Volume Delta | Flux Charts indicator is designed to identify and visualize consolidation zones on the chart. Rather than only outlining areas of sideways price movement, the indicator analyzes volume activity occurring inside each consolidation zone. This is done by aggregating lower-timeframe volume data into the higher-timeframe consolidation range, allowing users to see how buying and selling activity evolves while price remains in a range.
What is the theory behind the indicator?:
The indicator is built around three core analytical concepts that guide how consolidation zones are detected and evaluated.
1. Consolidation as a structural phase
Periods of consolidation are characterized by reduced directional movement and compressed price ranges. During these phases, price action often alternates within a defined high–low boundary, creating a structure that can be objectively measured and tracked over time.
2. Volume behavior inside consolidation
While price may appear balanced within a consolidation range, volume activity inside that range can vary. The indicator evaluates volume contributions occurring within the vertical boundaries of the consolidation zone by using lower-timeframe data and weighting each candle’s volume based on its overlap with the zone. This produces an internal volume delta profile that reflects how buying and selling volume accumulates throughout the consolidation.
Delta behavior inside a zone may show:
Persistent dominance of buying or selling volume
Alternating shifts between buyers and sellers
Periods of relatively balanced participation
3. Markets consolidate in multiple ways, one detection method is not enough
Markets do not consolidate in a single, uniform way. To account for this, the indicator includes three distinct consolidation detection methods. Each method is calculated objectively, does not repaint, and targets a different type of sideways or low-expansion price behavior:
Candle Compression
ADX Low Trend Strength
Visual Range Boundaries
CONSOLIDATION ZONES VOLUME DELTA FEATURES:
The Consolidation Zones Volume Delta indicator includes 4 main features:
Consolidation Zones
Volume Delta
Standard Deviation Bands
Alerts
CONSOLIDATION ZONES:
🔹What is a Consolidation Zone?
A consolidation zone is a defined price range where market movement becomes compressed and price remains contained within clear upper and lower boundaries for a sustained period of time. During this phase, price does not establish a strong directional trend and instead oscillates within a relatively narrow range.
🔹Consolidation Zone Detection
The indicator automatically detects consolidation zones using three independent, rule-based methods. Each method evaluates a different market condition and can be selected individually depending on how you want consolidation to be defined. Regardless of the method used, all zones are calculated objectively and finalized once confirmed.
◇ Candles (Candle Compression)
The Candles method identifies consolidation by detecting periods of candle compression and reduced range expansion. A candle is considered part of a consolidation sequence when:
The candle body is small relative to its total range
The candle’s high–low range is smaller than the short-term Average True Range (ATR)
ATR is calculated using a 4-period average true range and is used as a volatility reference. If consecutive candles continue to meet these compression conditions, the indicator increments an internal count.
Under the Consolidation Candles section in the settings, you’ll find two controls.
Min. Consolidation Candles setting
This defines how many consecutive compressed candles are required before a consolidation zone is confirmed. Candle compression is determined using candle structure and short-term ATR, ensuring that only periods of reduced range expansion are counted. Once the minimum threshold is reached, the indicator creates a consolidation zone using the highest high and lowest low formed during the compressed sequence.
Mark Consolidation Candles
When enabled, the indicator highlights candles that meet the compression criteria, making it easy to visually identify which candles contributed to the formation of the consolidation zone.
◇ ADX (Low Trend Strength)
The ADX method identifies consolidation based on weak or declining trend strength rather than candle structure. This method uses the Average Directional Index (ADX) to determine when directional movement is reduced.
ADX is calculated using directional movement values that are smoothed over time. When ADX remains below a user-defined threshold, price is treated as being in a low-trend market. While this condition persists, the indicator tracks the highest high and lowest low formed during the low-trend period.
Under the ADX Settings section in the settings, you’ll find the following controls.
ADX Length
Defines the lookback period used to calculate directional movement for ADX.
ADX Smoothing
Controls the smoothing applied to the ADX calculation.
ADX Threshold
Sets the level below which ADX must remain for the market to be considered consolidating.
Consolidation Strength
Defines how many consecutive candles’ ADX must stay below the threshold before a consolidation zone is confirmed. Once this requirement is met, the indicator creates a consolidation zone using the accumulated high and low from the low-trend window.
Mark Candles Below Threshold
When enabled, the indicator highlights candles where ADX remains below the threshold.
◇ Visual Range
The Visual Range method identifies consolidation by detecting clearly defined horizontal price ranges where price remains contained for a sustained period of time. The indicator continuously tracks the rolling highest high and lowest low across recent candles. When price remains inside the same high–low boundaries without breaking above or below the range, an internal counter advances.
Under the Visual Range section in the settings, you’ll find the following control.
Min. Candles in Range
Defines how many consecutive candles must remain fully contained within the same high–low range before a consolidation zone is confirmed. Once this requirement is met, the indicator creates a consolidation zone using the established range boundaries.
🔹Consolidation Zone Settings
◇ Invalidation Method
Users can choose how Consolidation Zones are invalidated, selecting between Close Break or Wick Break.
Close Break: A Consolidation Zone is invalidated when a candle closes above/below the zone.
Wick Break: A Consolidation Zone is invalidated when a candle’s wick goes above/below the zone.
◇ Merge Overlapping Zones
When enabled, overlapping Consolidation Zones are automatically combined into one unified zone.
◇ Show Last
This setting determines how many Consolidation Zones are displayed on your chart. For example, setting this to 5 will display the 5 most recent zones.
VOLUME DELTA:
Delta Volume visualizes how buying and selling volume accumulates inside each consolidation zone. Instead of using the full candle volume, the indicator isolates only the volume that occurs within the vertical boundaries of the zone. This allows you to see whether bullish or bearish volume is dominating while price remains range-bound. The visualization updates in real time while the zone is active and reflects cumulative participation rather than individual candles.
🔹How Volume Delta is Calculated
Delta Volume is calculated using lower-timeframe data and applied to the higher-timeframe consolidation zone.
Each candle’s volume is split into bullish or bearish volume based on candle direction.
Lower-timeframe candles are pulled using the selected delta timeframe.
For each lower-timeframe candle, only the portion of volume that vertically overlaps the consolidation zone is counted.
Volume is weighted by the amount of overlap between the candle’s range and the zone’s range.
Bullish and bearish volume are accumulated over time to form a running, cumulative delta profile for the zone.
🔹Volume Delta Settings
◇ Enable
Turns the Delta Volume visualization on or off. Consolidation zones continue to plot when disabled.
◇ Show Delta %
Displays the percentage breakdown of bullish versus bearish volume inside the consolidation zone. Percentages are derived from cumulative volume totals.
◇ 3D Visual
When enabled, the delta blocks are extended diagonally using a depth offset derived from the instrument’s daily ATR. This creates visible side faces and top faces for the delta blocks, simulating depth without altering any calculations. The 3D effect is purely visual. It does not change how volume is calculated, weighted, or accumulated.
Users can control the intensity of the 3D effect choosing a value between 1 and 5. Increasing this value increases:
The horizontal offset of the delta blocks
The vertical depth projection applied to the volume faces
Higher values produce a more pronounced 3D appearance by pushing the delta visualization further away from the consolidation box. Lower values keep the visualization flatter and closer to the box boundaries. The depth scaling is normalized using ATR, so the effect adapts proportionally to the instrument’s volatility.
◇ Volume Delta Display Style
Controls how bullish and bearish volume are displayed inside the Consolidation Zone:
Horizontal: Volume is split top-to-bottom within the zone
Vertical: Volume is split left-to-right across the zone
◇ Timeframe
Defines the lower timeframe used for Volume Delta calculations. When a timeframe is selected, the indicator pulls lower-timeframe price and volume data and maps it into the higher-timeframe consolidation zone. Each lower-timeframe candle is evaluated individually. Only the portion of its volume that vertically overlaps the consolidation zone is included, and that volume is weighted based on the candle’s overlap with the zone’s price range. If the Timeframe field is left empty, the indicator defaults to using the chart’s current timeframe for delta calculations.
Using a lower timeframe increases the granularity of the delta calculation, allowing volume changes inside the zone to be measured more precisely. Using a higher timeframe produces a smoother, less granular delta profile.
Please Note: Delta rendering is automatically limited to available lower-timeframe data to prevent incomplete or distorted visuals when historical lower-timeframe volume is unavailable due to TradingView data limits.
STANDARD DEVIATION BANDS:
Standard Deviation Bands project measured price distance away from a confirmed consolidation zone using the size of that zone as the reference unit. Rather than calculating volatility from historical price dispersion, the bands are derived directly from the height of the consolidation range itself. Each band represents a fixed multiple of the consolidation zone’s height and is plotted symmetrically above and below the zone.
🔹How the bands are calculated
Once a consolidation zone is finalized, the indicator calculates the zone height as:
Zone Height = Zone High − Zone Low
This value becomes the base measurement for all deviation calculations. For each enabled band:
Upper bands are placed above the consolidation zone’s high
Lower bands are placed below the consolidation zone’s low
The distance of each band from the zone is calculated by multiplying the zone height by the selected band multiplier. These band levels are fixed relative to the consolidation zone and do not recalculate based on future price movement.
🔹Standard Deviation Band Settings
◇ Band 1
Enables the first deviation band above and below the consolidation zone. The Band 1 multiplier defines how far the band is placed from the zone in terms of zone height. For example, a multiplier of 1 plots the band one full zone height above and below the consolidation range.
◇ Band 2
Enables a second deviation band at a greater distance from the consolidation zone. Band 2 uses its own multiplier and is calculated independently of Band 1, allowing multiple expansion levels to be displayed simultaneously.
◇ Fill Bands
When enabled, the area between the consolidation zone and each deviation band is filled with a semi-transparent color. Upper fills apply to bands above the zone, and lower fills apply to bands below the zone. Fills are static and tied directly to the consolidation zone boundaries.
◇ Color Customization
Each deviation band has independent color controls for:
Upper band lines and fills
Lower band lines and fills
This allows users to visually distinguish between bullish and bearish extensions as well as between multiple deviation levels.
ALERTS:
Users can create alerts for the following:
New Consolidation Zone Formed
Consolidation Zone Break
UNIQUENESS:
This indicator combines multiple consolidation detection methods with lower-timeframe volume delta analysis inside each consolidation zone. It visualizes bullish and bearish volume using weighted overlap logic and optional 3D rendering for improved clarity. Users can choose how volume is displayed, apply structure-based deviation bands, and enable alerts for new zones and zone breaks. All features are rule-based, configurable, and designed to work together within a single framework.
Trend Catch STFR - whipsaw Reduced### Summary of the Setup
This trading system combines **SuperTrend** (a trend-following indicator based on ATR for dynamic support/resistance), **Range Filter** (a smoothed median of the last 100 candles to identify price position relative to a baseline), and filters using **VIX Proxy** (a volatility measure: (14-period ATR / 14-period SMA of Close) × 100) and **ADX** (Average Directional Index for trend strength). It's designed for trend trading with volatility safeguards.
- **Entries**: Triggered only in "tradeable" markets (VIX Proxy ≥ 15 OR ADX ≥ 20) when SuperTrend aligns with direction (green for long, red for short), price crosses the Range Filter median accordingly, and you're not already in that position.
- **Exits**: Purely price-based—exit when SuperTrend flips or price crosses back over the Range Filter median. No forced exits from low volatility/trend.
- **No Trade Zone**: Blocks new entries if both VIX Proxy < 15 AND ADX < 20, but doesn't affect open positions.
- **Overall Goal**: Enter trends with confirmed strength/volatility, ride them via price action, and avoid ranging/choppy markets for new trades.
This creates a filtered trend-following strategy that prioritizes quality entries while letting winners run.
### Advantages
- **Reduces Noise in Entries**: The VIX Proxy and ADX filters ensure trades only in volatile or strongly trending conditions, avoiding low-momentum periods that often lead to false signals.
- **Lets Winners Run**: Exits based solely on price reversal (SuperTrend or Range Filter) allow positions to stay open during temporary lulls in volatility/trend, potentially capturing longer moves.
- **Simple and Balanced**: Combines trend (SuperTrend/ADX), range (Filter), and volatility (VIX Proxy) without overcomplicating—easy to backtest and adapt to assets like stocks, forex, or crypto.
- **Adaptable to Markets**: The "OR" logic for VIX/ADX provides flexibility (e.g., enters volatile sideways markets if ADX is low, or steady trends if VIX is low).
- **Risk Control**: Implicitly limits exposure by blocking entries in calm markets, which can preserve capital during uncertainty.
### Disadvantages
- **Whipsaws in Choppy Markets**: As you noted, SuperTrend can flip frequently in ranging conditions, leading to quick entries/exits and small losses, especially if the Range Filter isn't smoothing enough noise.
- **Missed Opportunities**: Strict filters (e.g., requiring VIX ≥ 15 or ADX ≥ 20) might skip early-stage trends or low-volatility grinds, reducing trade frequency and potential profits in quiet bull/bear markets.
- **Lagging Exits**: Relying only on price flips means you might hold losing trades longer if volatility drops without a clear reversal, increasing drawdowns.
- **Parameter Sensitivity**: Values like VIX 15, ADX 20, or Range Filter's 100-candle lookback need tuning per asset/timeframe; poor choices could amplify whipsaws or over-filter.
- **No Built-in Risk Management**: Lacks explicit stops/targets, so it relies on user-added rules (e.g., ATR-based stops), which could lead to oversized losses if not implemented.
### How to Use It
This system can be implemented in platforms like TradingView (via Pine Script), Python (e.g., with TA-Lib or Pandas), or MT4/5. Here's a step-by-step guide, assuming TradingView for simplicity—adapt as needed. (If coding in Python, use libraries like pandas_ta for indicators.)
1. **Set Up Indicators**:
- Add SuperTrend (default: ATR period 10, multiplier 3—adjust as suggested in prior tweaks).
- Create Range Filter: Use a 100-period SMA of (high + low)/2, smoothed (e.g., via EMA if desired).
- Calculate VIX Proxy: Custom script for (ATR(14) / SMA(close, 14)) * 100.
- Add ADX (period 14, standard).
2. **Define Rules in Code/Script**:
- **Long Entry**: If SuperTrend direction < 0 (green), close > RangeFilterMedian, (VIX Proxy ≥ 15 OR ADX ≥ 20), and not already long—buy on bar close.
- **Short Entry**: If SuperTrend direction > 0 (red), close < RangeFilterMedian, (VIX Proxy ≥ 15 OR ADX ≥ 20), and not already short—sell short.
- **Exit Long**: If in long and (SuperTrend > 0 OR close < RangeFilterMedian)—sell.
- **Exit Short**: If in short and (SuperTrend < 0 OR close > RangeFilterMedian)—cover.
- Monitor No Trade Zone visually (e.g., plot yellow background when VIX < 15 AND ADX < 20).
3. **Backtest and Optimize**:
- Use historical data on your asset (e.g., SPY on 1H chart).
- Test metrics: Win rate, profit factor, max drawdown. Adjust thresholds (e.g., ADX to 25) to reduce whipsaws.
- Forward-test on demo account to validate.
4. **Live Trading**:
- Apply to a chart, set alerts for entries/exits.
- Add risk rules: Position size 1-2% of capital, stop-loss at SuperTrend line.
- Monitor manually or automate via bots—avoid overtrading; use on trending assets.
For the adjustments I suggested earlier (e.g., ADX 25, 2-bar confirmation), integrate them into entries only—test one at a time to isolate improvements. If whipsaws persist, combine 2-3 tweaks.
Chimera [theUltimator5]In myth, the chimera is an “impossible” hybrid—lion, goat, and serpent fused into one—striking to look at and formidable in presence. The word has come to mean a beautiful, improbable union of parts that shouldn’t work together, yet do.
Chimera is a dual-mode market context tool that blends a multi-input oscillator with classic ADX/DI trend strength, plus optional multi-timeframe “gap-line” tracking. Use it to visualize regime (trend vs. range), momentum swings around an adaptive midline, and higher timeframe (HTF) reference levels that auto-terminate on touch/cross.
Modes
1) Oscillator view
A smoothed composite of five common inputs—RSI, MACD (oscillator), Bollinger position, Stochastic, and an ATR/DI-weighted bias. Each is normalized to a comparable 0–100 style scale, averaged, and plotted as a candle-style oscillator (short vs. long smoothing, wickless for clarity). A dynamic midline with standard-deviation bands frames neutral → bearish/bullish zones. Colors ramp from neutral to your chosen Oversold/Overbought endpoints; consolidation can override to white.
Here is a description of the (5) signals used to calculate the sentiment oscillator:
RSI (14): Measures recent momentum by comparing average gains vs. losses. High = strength after advances; low = weakness after declines. (Z-score normalized to 0–100.)
MACD oscillator (12/26/9): Uses the difference between MACD and its signal (histogram) to gauge momentum shifts. Positive = bullish tilt; negative = bearish. (Z-score normalized.)
Bollinger Bands position (20, 2): Locates price within the bands (0–100 from lower → upper). Near upper suggests strength/expansion; near lower suggests weakness/contraction. (Then normalized.)
Stochastic (14, 3, 3): Shows where the close sits within the recent high-low range, smoothed via %D. Higher values = closes near highs; lower = near lows. (Scaled 0–100.)
ATR/DI composite (14): Volatility-weighted directional bias: (+DI − −DI) amplified by ATR as a % of price and its relative average. Positive = bullish pressure with volatility; negative = bearish. (Rank/scale normalized.)
All five are normalized and averaged into one composite, then smoothed (short/long) and compared to an adaptive midline with bands.
2) ADX view
Shows ADX, +DI, –DI with user-defined High Threshold. Transparency and color shift with regime. When ADX is strong, a directional “fire/ice” gradient fills the area between ADX and the high threshold, biased toward the dominant DI; when ADX is weak, a soft white fade highlights low-trend conditions.
HTF gap-line tracking (optional; both modes)
Detects “gap-like” reference levels after weak-trend consolidation flips into a sudden DI jump.
Anchors a line at the event bar’s open and auto-terminates upon first touch/cross (tick-size tolerance).
Auto-selects up to three higher timeframes suited to your chart resolution and prints non-overlapping lines with labels like 1H / 4H / 1D. Lower-priority duplicates are suppressed to reduce clutter.
Confirmation / repaint notes
Signals and lines finalize on bar close of the relevant timeframe.
HTF elements update only on the HTF bar close. During a forming bar they may appear transiently.
Line removal finalizes after the bar that produced the touch/cross closes.
Visual cues & effects
Oscillator candles: Open/High = long smoothing; Low/Close = short smoothing (no wicks).
Adaptive bands: Midline ± StdDev Multiplier × stdev of the blended series.
Consolidation tint: Optional white backdrop/candles when the consolidation condition is true (balance + low ADX).
Breakout VFX (optional): With strong DI/ADX and Bollinger breaks, renders a subtle “fire” flare above upper-band thrusts or “ice” shelf below lower-band thrusts.
Inputs (high-level)
Visual Style: Oscillator or ADX.
General (Oscillator): Lookback Period, Short/Long Smoothing, Standard Deviation Multiplier.
Color (Oscillator): Oversold/Overbought colors for gradient endpoints.
Plot (Oscillator): Show Candles, Show Slow MA Line, Show Individual Component (RSI/MACD/BB/Stoch/ATR).
Table (Oscillator): Show Information Table & position (compact dashboard of component values + status).
ADX / Gaps / VFX (both modes): ADX High Threshold, Highlight Backgrounds, Show Gap Labels, Visual Overlay Effects, and color choices for current-TF & HTF lines.
HTF selection: Automatic ladder (3 tiers) based on your chart timeframe.
Alerts (built-in)
Buy Signal – Primary: Oscillator exits oversold.
Sell Signal – Primary: Oscillator exits overbought.
Gap Fill Line Created (Any TF)
Gap Fill Line Terminated (Any TF)
ADX Crossed ABOVE/BELOW Low Threshold
ADX Crossed ABOVE/BELOW High Threshold
Consolidation Started
Alerts evaluate on the close of the relevant timeframe.
How to read it (quick guide)
Pick your lens: Oscillator for blended momentum around an adaptive midline; ADX for trend strength and DI skew.
Watch extremes & mean re-entries (Oscillator): Approaches to the top/bottom band show persistent momentum; returns toward the midline show normalization.
Check regime (ADX): Below Low = low-trend; above High = strong trend, with “fire/ice” bias toward +DI/–DI.
Track gap lines: Fresh labels mark new reference levels; lines auto-remove on first interaction. HTF lines add context but finalize only on HTF close.
The uniqueness from this indicator comes from multiple areas:
1. A unique multi-timeframe algorithm detects gap fill zones and plots them on the chart.
2. Visual effects for both visual modes were hand crafted to provide a visually stunning and intuitive interface.
3. The algorithm to determine sentiment uses a unique blend of weight and sensitivity adjustment to create a plot with elastic upper and lower bounds based off historical volatility and price action.
Market Zone Analyzer[BullByte]Understanding the Market Zone Analyzer
---
1. Purpose of the Indicator
The Market Zone Analyzer is a Pine Script™ (version 6) indicator designed to streamline market analysis on TradingView. Rather than scanning multiple separate tools, it unifies four core dimensions—trend strength, momentum, price action, and market activity—into a single, consolidated view. By doing so, it helps traders:
• Save time by avoiding manual cross-referencing of disparate signals.
• Reduce decision-making errors that can arise from juggling multiple indicators.
• Gain a clear, reliable read on whether the market is in a bullish, bearish, or sideways phase, so they can more confidently decide to enter, exit, or hold a position.
---
2. Why a Trader Should Use It
• Unified View: Combines all essential market dimensions into one easy-to-read score and dashboard, eliminating the need to piece together signals manually.
• Adaptability: Automatically adjusts its internal weighting for trend, momentum, and price action based on current volatility. Whether markets are choppy or calm, the indicator remains relevant.
• Ease of Interpretation: Outputs a simple “BULLISH,” “BEARISH,” or “SIDEWAYS” label, supplemented by an intuitive on-chart dashboard and an oscillator plot that visually highlights market direction.
• Reliability Features: Built-in smoothing of the net score and hysteresis logic (requiring consecutive confirmations before flips) minimize false signals during noisy or range-bound phases.
---
3. Why These Specific Indicators?
This script relies on a curated set of well-established technical tools, each chosen for its particular strength in measuring one of the four core dimensions:
1. Trend Strength:
• ADX/DMI (Average Directional Index / Directional Movement Index): Measures how strong a trend is, and whether the +DI line is above the –DI line (bullish) or vice versa (bearish).
• Moving Average Slope (Fast MA vs. Slow MA): Compares a shorter-period SMA to a longer-period SMA; if the fast MA sits above the slow MA, it confirms an uptrend, and vice versa for a downtrend.
• Ichimoku Cloud Differential (Senkou A vs. Senkou B): Provides a forward-looking view of trend direction; Senkou A above Senkou B signals bullishness, and the opposite signals bearishness.
2. Momentum:
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): Identifies overbought (above its dynamically calculated upper bound) or oversold (below its lower bound) conditions; changes in RSI often precede price reversals.
• Stochastic %K: Highlights shifts in short-term momentum by comparing closing price to the recent high/low range; values above its upper band signal bullish momentum, below its lower band signal bearish momentum.
• MACD Histogram: Measures the difference between the MACD line and its signal line; a positive histogram indicates upward momentum, a negative histogram indicates downward momentum.
3. Price Action:
• Highest High / Lowest Low (HH/LL) Range: Over a defined lookback period, this captures breakout or breakdown levels. A closing price near the recent highs (with a positive MA slope) yields a bullish score, and near the lows (with a negative MA slope) yields a bearish score.
• Heikin-Ashi Doji Detection: Uses Heikin-Ashi candles to identify indecision or continuation patterns. A small Heikin-Ashi body (doji) relative to recent volatility is scored as neutral; a larger body in the direction of the MA slope is scored bullish or bearish.
• Candle Range Measurement: Compares each candle’s high-low range against its own dynamic band (average range ± standard deviation). Large candles aligning with the prevailing trend score bullish or bearish accordingly; unusually small candles can indicate exhaustion or consolidation.
4. Market Activity:
• Bollinger Bands Width (BBW): Measures the distance between BB upper and lower bands; wide bands indicate high volatility, narrow bands indicate low volatility.
• Average True Range (ATR): Quantifies average price movement (volatility). A sudden spike in ATR suggests a volatile environment, while a contraction suggests calm.
• Keltner Channels Width (KCW): Similar to BBW but uses ATR around an EMA. Provides a second layer of volatility context, confirming or contrasting BBW readings.
• Volume (with Moving Average): Compares current volume to its moving average ± standard deviation. High volume validates strong moves; low volume signals potential lack of conviction.
By combining these tools, the indicator captures trend direction, momentum strength, price-action nuances, and overall market energy, yielding a more balanced and comprehensive assessment than any single tool alone.
---
4. What Makes This Indicator Stand Out
• Multi-Dimensional Analysis: Rather than relying on a lone oscillator or moving average crossover, it simultaneously evaluates trend, momentum, price action, and activity.
• Dynamic Weighting: The relative importance of trend, momentum, and price action adjusts automatically based on real-time volatility (Market Activity State). For example, in highly volatile conditions, trend and momentum signals carry more weight; in calm markets, price action signals are prioritized.
• Stability Mechanisms:
• Smoothing: The net score is passed through a short moving average, filtering out noise, especially on lower timeframes.
• Hysteresis: Both Market Activity State and the final bullish/bearish/sideways zone require two consecutive confirmations before flipping, reducing whipsaw.
• Visual Interpretation: A fully customizable on-chart dashboard displays each sub-indicator’s value, regime, score, and comment, all color-coded. The oscillator plot changes color to reflect the current market zone (green for bullish, red for bearish, gray for sideways) and shows horizontal threshold lines at +2, 0, and –2.
---
5. Recommended Timeframes
• Short-Term (5 min, 15 min): Day traders and scalpers can benefit from rapid signals, but should enable smoothing (and possibly disable hysteresis) to reduce false whipsaws.
• Medium-Term (1 h, 4 h): Swing traders find a balance between responsiveness and reliability. Less smoothing is required here, and the default parameters (e.g., ADX length = 14, RSI length = 14) perform well.
• Long-Term (Daily, Weekly): Position traders tracking major trends can disable smoothing for immediate raw readings, since higher-timeframe noise is minimal. Adjust lookback lengths (e.g., increase adxLength, rsiLength) if desired for slower signals.
Tip: If you keep smoothing off, stick to timeframes of 1 h or higher to avoid excessive signal “chatter.”
---
6. How Scoring Works
A. Individual Indicator Scores
Each sub-indicator is assigned one of three discrete scores:
• +1 if it indicates a bullish condition (e.g., RSI above its dynamically calculated upper bound).
• 0 if it is neutral (e.g., RSI between upper and lower bounds).
• –1 if it indicates a bearish condition (e.g., RSI below its dynamically calculated lower bound).
Examples of individual score assignments:
• ADX/DMI:
• +1 if ADX ≥ adxThreshold and +DI > –DI (strong bullish trend)
• –1 if ADX ≥ adxThreshold and –DI > +DI (strong bearish trend)
• 0 if ADX < adxThreshold (trend strength below threshold)
• RSI:
• +1 if RSI > RSI_upperBound
• –1 if RSI < RSI_lowerBound
• 0 otherwise
• ATR (as part of Market Activity):
• +1 if ATR > (ATR_MA + stdev(ATR))
• –1 if ATR < (ATR_MA – stdev(ATR))
• 0 otherwise
Each of the four main categories shares this same +1/0/–1 logic across their sub-components.
B. Category Scores
Once each sub-indicator reports +1, 0, or –1, these are summed within their categories as follows:
• Trend Score = (ADX score) + (MA slope score) + (Ichimoku differential score)
• Momentum Score = (RSI score) + (Stochastic %K score) + (MACD histogram score)
• Price Action Score = (Highest-High/Lowest-Low score) + (Heikin-Ashi doji score) + (Candle range score)
• Market Activity Raw Score = (BBW score) + (ATR score) + (KC width score) + (Volume score)
Each category’s summed value can range between –3 and +3 (for Trend, Momentum, and Price Action), and between –4 and +4 for Market Activity raw.
C. Market Activity State and Dynamic Weight Adjustments
Rather than contributing directly to the netScore like the other three categories, Market Activity determines how much weight to assign to Trend, Momentum, and Price Action:
1. Compute Market Activity Raw Score by summing BBW, ATR, KCW, and Volume individual scores (each +1/0/–1).
2. Bucket into High, Medium, or Low Activity:
• High if raw Score ≥ 2 (volatile market).
• Low if raw Score ≤ –2 (calm market).
• Medium otherwise.
3. Apply Hysteresis (if enabled): The state only flips after two consecutive bars register the same high/low/medium label.
4. Set Category Weights:
• High Activity: Trend = 50 %, Momentum = 35 %, Price Action = 15 %.
• Low Activity: Trend = 25 %, Momentum = 20 %, Price Action = 55 %.
• Medium Activity: Use the trader’s base weight inputs (e.g., Trend = 40 %, Momentum = 30 %, Price Action = 30 % by default).
D. Calculating the Net Score
5. Normalize Base Weights (so that the sum of Trend + Momentum + Price Action always equals 100 %).
6. Determine Current Weights based on the Market Activity State (High/Medium/Low).
7. Compute Each Category’s Contribution: Multiply (categoryScore) × (currentWeight).
8. Sum Contributions to get the raw netScore (a floating-point value that can exceed ±3 when scores are strong).
9. Smooth the netScore over two bars (if smoothing is enabled) to reduce noise.
10. Apply Hysteresis to the Final Zone:
• If the smoothed netScore ≥ +2, the bar is classified as “Bullish.”
• If the smoothed netScore ≤ –2, the bar is classified as “Bearish.”
• Otherwise, it is “Sideways.”
• To prevent rapid flips, the script requires two consecutive bars in the new zone before officially changing the displayed zone (if hysteresis is on).
E. Thresholds for Zone Classification
• BULLISH: netScore ≥ +2
• BEARISH: netScore ≤ –2
• SIDEWAYS: –2 < netScore < +2
---
7. Role of Volatility (Market Activity State) in Scoring
Volatility acts as a dynamic switch that shifts which category carries the most influence:
1. High Activity (Volatile):
• Detected when at least two sub-scores out of BBW, ATR, KCW, and Volume equal +1.
• The script sets Trend weight = 50 % and Momentum weight = 35 %. Price Action weight is minimized at 15 %.
• Rationale: In volatile markets, strong trending moves and momentum surges dominate, so those signals are more reliable than nuanced candle patterns.
2. Low Activity (Calm):
• Detected when at least two sub-scores out of BBW, ATR, KCW, and Volume equal –1.
• The script sets Price Action weight = 55 %, Trend = 25 %, and Momentum = 20 %.
• Rationale: In quiet, sideways markets, subtle price-action signals (breakouts, doji patterns, small-range candles) are often the best early indicators of a new move.
3. Medium Activity (Balanced):
• Raw Score between –1 and +1 from the four volatility metrics.
• Uses whatever base weights the trader has specified (e.g., Trend = 40 %, Momentum = 30 %, Price Action = 30 %).
Because volatility can fluctuate rapidly, the script employs hysteresis on Market Activity State: a new High or Low state must occur on two consecutive bars before weights actually shift. This avoids constant back-and-forth weight changes and provides more stability.
---
8. Scoring Example (Hypothetical Scenario)
• Symbol: Bitcoin on a 1-hour chart.
• Market Activity: Raw volatility sub-scores show BBW (+1), ATR (+1), KCW (0), Volume (+1) → Total raw Score = +3 → High Activity.
• Weights Selected: Trend = 50 %, Momentum = 35 %, Price Action = 15 %.
• Trend Signals:
• ADX strong and +DI > –DI → +1
• Fast MA above Slow MA → +1
• Ichimoku Senkou A > Senkou B → +1
→ Trend Score = +3
• Momentum Signals:
• RSI above upper bound → +1
• MACD histogram positive → +1
• Stochastic %K within neutral zone → 0
→ Momentum Score = +2
• Price Action Signals:
• Highest High/Lowest Low check yields 0 (close not near extremes)
• Heikin-Ashi doji reading is neutral → 0
• Candle range slightly above upper bound but trend is strong, so → +1
→ Price Action Score = +1
• Compute Net Score (before smoothing):
• Trend contribution = 3 × 0.50 = 1.50
• Momentum contribution = 2 × 0.35 = 0.70
• Price Action contribution = 1 × 0.15 = 0.15
• Raw netScore = 1.50 + 0.70 + 0.15 = 2.35
• Since 2.35 ≥ +2 and hysteresis is met, the final zone is “Bullish.”
Although the netScore lands at 2.35 (Bullish), smoothing might bring it slightly below 2.00 on the first bar (e.g., 1.90), in which case the script would wait for a second consecutive reading above +2 before officially classifying the zone as Bullish (if hysteresis is enabled).
---
9. Correlation Between Categories
The four categories—Trend Strength, Momentum, Price Action, and Market Activity—often reinforce or offset one another. The script takes advantage of these natural correlations:
• Bullish Alignment: If ADX is strong and pointed upward, fast MA is above slow MA, and Ichimoku is positive, that usually coincides with RSI climbing above its upper bound and the MACD histogram turning positive. In such cases, both Trend and Momentum categories generate +1 or +2. Because the Market Activity State is likely High (given the accompanying volatility), Trend and Momentum weights are at their peak, so the netScore quickly crosses into Bullish territory.
• Sideways/Consolidation: During a low-volatility, sideways phase, ADX may fall below its threshold, MAs may flatten, and RSI might hover in the neutral band. However, subtle price-action signals (like a small breakout candle or a Heikin-Ashi candle with a slight bias) can still produce a +1 in the Price Action category. If Market Activity is Low, Price Action’s weight (55 %) can carry enough influence—even if Trend and Momentum are neutral—to push the netScore out of “Sideways” into a mild bullish or bearish bias.
• Opposing Signals: When Trend is bullish but Momentum turns negative (for example, price continues up but RSI rolls over), the two scores can partially cancel. Market Activity may remain Medium, in which case the netScore lingers near zero (Sideways). The trader can then wait for either a clearer momentum shift or a fresh price-action breakout before committing.
By dynamically recognizing these correlations and adjusting weights, the indicator ensures that:
• When Trend and Momentum align (and volatility supports it), the netScore leaps strongly into Bullish or Bearish.
• When Trend is neutral but Price Action shows an early move in a low-volatility environment, Price Action’s extra weight in the Low Activity State can still produce actionable signals.
---
10. Market Activity State & Its Role (Detailed)
The Market Activity State is not a direct category score—it is an overarching context setter for how heavily to trust Trend, Momentum, or Price Action. Here’s how it is derived and applied:
1. Calculate Four Volatility Sub-Scores:
• BBW: Compare the current band width to its own moving average ± standard deviation. If BBW > (BBW_MA + stdev), assign +1 (high volatility); if BBW < (BBW_MA × 0.5), assign –1 (low volatility); else 0.
• ATR: Compare ATR to its moving average ± standard deviation. A spike above the upper threshold is +1; a contraction below the lower threshold is –1; otherwise 0.
• KCW: Same logic as ATR but around the KCW mean.
• Volume: Compare current volume to its volume MA ± standard deviation. Above the upper threshold is +1; below the lower threshold is –1; else 0.
2. Sum Sub-Scores → Raw Market Activity Score: Range between –4 and +4.
3. Assign Market Activity State:
• High Activity: Raw Score ≥ +2 (at least two volatility metrics are strongly spiking).
• Low Activity: Raw Score ≤ –2 (at least two metrics signal unusually low volatility or thin volume).
• Medium Activity: Raw Score is between –1 and +1 inclusive.
4. Hysteresis for Stability:
• If hysteresis is enabled, a new state only takes hold after two consecutive bars confirm the same High, Medium, or Low label.
• This prevents the Market Activity State from bouncing around when volatility is on the fence.
5. Set Category Weights Based on Activity State:
• High Activity: Trend = 50 %, Momentum = 35 %, Price Action = 15 %.
• Low Activity: Trend = 25 %, Momentum = 20 %, Price Action = 55 %.
• Medium Activity: Use trader’s base weights (e.g., Trend = 40 %, Momentum = 30 %, Price Action = 30 %).
6. Impact on netScore: Because category scores (–3 to +3) multiply by these weights, High Activity amplifies the effect of strong Trend and Momentum scores; Low Activity amplifies the effect of Price Action.
7. Market Context Tooltip: The dashboard includes a tooltip summarizing the current state—e.g., “High activity, trend and momentum prioritized,” “Low activity, price action prioritized,” or “Balanced market, all categories considered.”
---
11. Category Weights: Base vs. Dynamic
Traders begin by specifying base weights for Trend Strength, Momentum, and Price Action that sum to 100 %. These apply only when volatility is in the Medium band. Once volatility shifts:
• High Volatility Overrides:
• Trend jumps from its base (e.g., 40 %) to 50 %.
• Momentum jumps from its base (e.g., 30 %) to 35 %.
• Price Action is reduced to 15 %.
Example: If base weights were Trend = 40 %, Momentum = 30 %, Price Action = 30 %, then in High Activity they become 50/35/15. A Trend score of +3 now contributes 3 × 0.50 = +1.50 to netScore; a Momentum +2 contributes 2 × 0.35 = +0.70. In total, Trend + Momentum can easily push netScore above the +2 threshold on its own.
• Low Volatility Overrides:
• Price Action leaps from its base (30 %) to 55 %.
• Trend falls to 25 %, Momentum falls to 20 %.
Why? When markets are quiet, subtle candle breakouts, doji patterns, and small-range expansions tend to foreshadow the next swing more effectively than raw trend readings. A Price Action score of +3 in this state contributes 3 × 0.55 = +1.65, which can carry the netScore toward +2—even if Trend and Momentum are neutral or only mildly positive.
Because these weight shifts happen only after two consecutive bars confirm a High or Low state (if hysteresis is on), the indicator avoids constantly flipping its emphasis during borderline volatility phases.
---
12. Dominant Category Explained
Within the dashboard, a label such as “Trend Dominant,” “Momentum Dominant,” or “Price Action Dominant” appears when one category’s absolute weighted contribution to netScore is the largest. Concretely:
• Compute each category’s weighted contribution = (raw category score) × (current weight).
• Compare the absolute values of those three contributions.
• The category with the highest absolute value is flagged as Dominant for that bar.
Why It Matters:
• Momentum Dominant: Indicates that the combined force of RSI, Stochastic, and MACD (after weighting) is pushing netScore farther than either Trend or Price Action. In practice, it means that short-term sentiment and speed of change are the primary drivers right now, so traders should watch for continued momentum signals before committing to a trade.
• Trend Dominant: Means ADX, MA slope, and Ichimoku (once weighted) outweigh the other categories. This suggests a strong directional move is in place; trend-following entries or confirming pullbacks are likely to succeed.
• Price Action Dominant: Occurs when breakout/breakdown patterns, Heikin-Ashi candle readings, and range expansions (after weighting) are the most influential. This often happens in calmer markets, where subtle shifts in candle structure can foreshadow bigger moves.
By explicitly calling out which category is carrying the most weight at any moment, the dashboard gives traders immediate insight into why the netScore is tilting toward bullish, bearish, or sideways.
---
13. Oscillator Plot: How to Read It
The “Net Score” oscillator sits below the dashboard and visually displays the smoothed netScore as a line graph. Key features:
1. Value Range: In normal conditions it oscillates roughly between –3 and +3, but extreme confluences can push it outside that range.
2. Horizontal Threshold Lines:
• +2 Line (Bullish threshold)
• 0 Line (Neutral midline)
• –2 Line (Bearish threshold)
3. Zone Coloring:
• Green Background (Bullish Zone): When netScore ≥ +2.
• Red Background (Bearish Zone): When netScore ≤ –2.
• Gray Background (Sideways Zone): When –2 < netScore < +2.
4. Dynamic Line Color:
• The plotted netScore line itself is colored green in a Bullish Zone, red in a Bearish Zone, or gray in a Sideways Zone, creating an immediate visual cue.
Interpretation Tips:
• Crossing Above +2: Signals a strong enough combined trend/momentum/price-action reading to classify as Bullish. Many traders wait for a clear crossing plus a confirmation candle before entering a long position.
• Crossing Below –2: Indicates a strong Bearish signal. Traders may consider short or exit strategies.
• Rising Slope, Even Below +2: If netScore climbs steadily from neutral toward +2, it demonstrates building bullish momentum.
• Divergence: If price makes a higher high but the oscillator fails to reach a new high, it can warn of weakening momentum and a potential reversal.
---
14. Comments and Their Necessity
Every sub-indicator (ADX, MA slope, Ichimoku, RSI, Stochastic, MACD, HH/LL, Heikin-Ashi, Candle Range, BBW, ATR, KCW, Volume) generates a short comment that appears in the detailed dashboard. Examples:
• “Strong bullish trend” or “Strong bearish trend” for ADX/DMI
• “Fast MA above slow MA” or “Fast MA below slow MA” for MA slope
• “RSI above dynamic threshold” or “RSI below dynamic threshold” for RSI
• “MACD histogram positive” or “MACD histogram negative” for MACD Hist
• “Price near highs” or “Price near lows” for HH/LL checks
• “Bullish Heikin Ashi” or “Bearish Heikin Ashi” for HA Doji scoring
• “Large range, trend confirmed” or “Small range, trend contradicted” for Candle Range
Additionally, the top-row comment for each category is:
• Trend: “Highly Bullish,” “Highly Bearish,” or “Neutral Trend.”
• Momentum: “Strong Momentum,” “Weak Momentum,” or “Neutral Momentum.”
• Price Action: “Bullish Action,” “Bearish Action,” or “Neutral Action.”
• Market Activity: “Volatile Market,” “Calm Market,” or “Stable Market.”
Reasons for These Comments:
• Transparency: Shows exactly how each sub-indicator contributed to its category score.
• Education: Helps traders learn why a category is labeled bullish, bearish, or neutral, building intuition over time.
• Customization: If, for example, the RSI comment says “RSI neutral” despite an impending trend shift, a trader might choose to adjust RSI length or thresholds.
In the detailed dashboard, hovering over each comment cell also reveals a tooltip with additional context (e.g., “Fast MA above slow MA” or “Senkou A above Senkou B”), helping traders understand the precise rule behind that +1, 0, or –1 assignment.
---
15. Real-Life Example (Consolidated)
• Instrument & Timeframe: Bitcoin (BTCUSD), 1-hour chart.
• Current Market Activity: BBW and ATR both spike (+1 each), KCW is moderately high (+1), but volume is only neutral (0) → Raw Market Activity Score = +2 → State = High Activity (after two bars, if hysteresis is on).
• Category Weights Applied: Trend = 50 %, Momentum = 35 %, Price Action = 15 %.
• Trend Sub-Scores:
1. ADX = 25 (above threshold 20) with +DI > –DI → +1.
2. Fast MA (20-period) sits above Slow MA (50-period) → +1.
3. Ichimoku: Senkou A > Senkou B → +1.
→ Trend Score = +3.
• Momentum Sub-Scores:
4. RSI = 75 (above its moving average +1 stdev) → +1.
5. MACD histogram = +0.15 → +1.
6. Stochastic %K = 50 (mid-range) → 0.
→ Momentum Score = +2.
• Price Action Sub-Scores:
7. Price is not within 1 % of the 20-period high/low and slope = positive → 0.
8. Heikin-Ashi body is slightly larger than stdev over last 5 bars with haClose > haOpen → +1.
9. Candle range is just above its dynamic upper bound but trend is already captured, so → +1.
→ Price Action Score = +2.
• Calculate netScore (before smoothing):
• Trend contribution = 3 × 0.50 = 1.50
• Momentum contribution = 2 × 0.35 = 0.70
• Price Action contribution = 2 × 0.15 = 0.30
• Raw netScore = 1.50 + 0.70 + 0.30 = 2.50 → Immediately classified as Bullish.
• Oscillator & Dashboard Output:
• The oscillator line crosses above +2 and turns green.
• Dashboard displays:
• Trend Regime “BULLISH,” Trend Score = 3, Comment = “Highly Bullish.”
• Momentum Regime “BULLISH,” Momentum Score = 2, Comment = “Strong Momentum.”
• Price Action Regime “BULLISH,” Price Action Score = 2, Comment = “Bullish Action.”
• Market Activity State “High,” Comment = “Volatile Market.”
• Weights: Trend 50 %, Momentum 35 %, Price Action 15 %.
• Dominant Category: Trend (because 1.50 > 0.70 > 0.30).
• Overall Score: 2.50, posCount = (three +1s in Trend) + (two +1s in Momentum) + (two +1s in Price Action) = 7 bullish signals, negCount = 0.
• Final Zone = “BULLISH.”
• The trader sees that both Trend and Momentum are reinforcing each other under high volatility. They might wait one more candle for confirmation but already have strong evidence to consider a long.
---
• .
---
Disclaimer
This indicator is strictly a technical analysis tool and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, including potential loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Traders should:
• Always backtest the “Market Zone Analyzer ” on their chosen symbols and timeframes before committing real capital.
• Combine this tool with sound risk management, position sizing, and, if possible, fundamental analysis.
• Understand that no indicator is foolproof; always be prepared for unexpected market moves.
Goodluck
-BullByte!
---
[blackcat] L2 Hann Ehanced DMILevel: 2
Background
Among the many indicators, it can be said that DMI is the only "super turning" indicator. This indicator can alone send out risk warning signals when extreme market conditions occur in the stock market, helping us to solve some problems.
If we can operate according to the instructions of DMI, firstly, we can avoid the mistake of buying stocks at the head. Secondly, in the process of falling fear of the market, we can follow the direction signal sent by DMI and catch every time on the way down. Opportunity to rebound to unwind.
If you look at the diagram of the DMI, you will think it is very complicated, because there are four lines in its diagram, and they are intertwined, and it is difficult to distinguish the complex signals in it. But don't worry about its complex structure, we will fully dissect this indicator.
Function
These four lines are: PDI, MDI, ADX and ADXR. The scale of the table is from 0-100, which means from very weak to very strong. The PDI curve and MDI curve on some software are called +DI curve and -DI curve , all have the same meaning.
PDI: Represents the position of multiple parties in the market.
In market movements, the higher the PDI, the stronger the current market. On the contrary, it is a weak market. The A-share market is easy to go to extremes. Therefore, we can see that in the past A-share market, the PDI sometimes fell to near zero, and at this time, it often indicated that a rebound and uptrend was about to start.
MDI: Represents the position of the bears in the market.
In the market movement, the higher the MDI goes, the weaker the current market is, and vice versa, it is a strong market. Before a big bull market comes, we can see the MDI drop to a position close to zero, and at this time, the bears in the market have no power to fight back.
The relationship between PDI and MDI:
In the operation of the market, PDI and MDI are intertwined with each other. If the PDI is above the MDI, the market at this time is a strong market. The MDI is above the PDI, which is a bear market. The closer the distance between the two, the market is in a stalemate of consolidation. On the contrary, the further apart the two lines are, the more obvious the unilateral nature of the market is, whether it is a bull market or a bear market. The so-called unilateral market means that there is no midway adjustment when it rises, and there is no rebound correction when it falls.
ADX: Fast steering pullback.
The difference between ADX and other analysis indicators is that whether it is rising or falling, as long as there is a unilateral market, it runs upwards, not like other indicators, the strong market runs upwards and the weak market runs downwards.
The thread is almost entwined with PDI and MDI in general market movement, which makes no sense at this time. However, once the market breaks out of the market and starts to go to extremes, whether the market is rising or falling, ADX will start to run upwards. At this time, ADX has a clear meaning, because DMI has begun to issue early warning of impending turn!
ADXR: slow pull back.
This line is matched to ADX and is a moving average of ADX values. When ADX goes up, ADXR goes up with it, just slower.
When a round of rapid decline ends, it usually needs to be corrected by a rebound, and ADX will take the lead in turning up. Once it crosses with ADXR, it is regarded as an effective breakthrough.
Numerical division. I set an input threshold for HEDMI, and users can set the optimal threshold to buy and sell according to different TFs.
When PDI crosses the threshold, no matter how strong the bull market is, we must beware of risks from happening at any time.
In order to distinguish more clearly, I slightly modified the formula of the system, and when this happens, the indicator will issue a green warning label, so as to avoid risks in time.
Comprehensive use of four lines:
If the four lines in the steering indicator DMI are intertwined below 50, it usually means that the market is in a state of mild consolidation at this time. The DMI indicator at this time is useless because it does not generate a strong pullback force. Don't worry about an unexpected turnaround in the market. As for the consolidation, it's not a turnaround, it's a breakout.
When PDI and MDI gradually separate, at this time, ADX and ADXR will also rise. At this time, the DIM that is usually messy like twine will be clearly separated. When rising, PDI rises along with ADX and ADXR, while MDI sinks weakly. On the contrary, when the market starts to fall, MDI will rise along with ADX and ADXR, and PDI will sink helplessly. At this time, the DMI will be like a "tiger's mouth", gradually opening its bloody mouth. The bigger the opening, the more lethal the bite.
Here comes a tactic, or technical trend, called double hooves, that is, PDI and MDI split, ADX and ADXR upward to produce golden forks, PDI and MDI are like the double front hooves of a horse, ADX and ADXR The golden fork is like the rear hooves of a steed ready to take off, and this trend of the four lines is like the four legs of a steed that is about to run.
If you think it is too complicated to look at DMI like this, then I can tell you the easiest way to judge, that is, just look at the PDI line. When the PDI line falls below 10, boldly buy the dip, because it is a dip, so you need to calculate the rebound At this time, combined with the golden section theory I often talk about, you can easily find the selling point by making the golden section of the downward trend for the previous trend.
This kind of bottom-hunting method uses the golden section theory, and basically there will be no losses. Remember that one thing is not to be greedy and strictly enforce discipline. This is bottom-hunting, and advancing with both hooves is chasing up. The two styles are different, and the operation styles are different. You also need to explore more in actual combat. Any kind of trick, if you practice it proficiently, it is a unique trick.
Remark
Hanning Window Enhanced DMI
Free and Open Source Indicator
Triple Standard Deviation＝＝日本語説明も併記 // Japanese discription is following ＝＝
■ Momentum Indicator (Triple Indication of Standard Deviation Volatilities)
■ Effective assets: All
■Example of utilization
1) Assume that a trend is generated at the timing when the yellow area chart (26) rises
2) Confirm the candlestick and if the price jumps out of the Bollinger band ± 1 σ, the trend toward that direction
3) If the closing price is confirmed within ± 1σ of the Bollinger band, close the position
■ Detailed explanation
Three standard deviation volatilities with different parameters are displayed at the same time. As represented by convergence divergence of Bollinger, it has a characteristic that it rises in the trend generation period and falls during the trend convergence period.
It develops color in a rising phase so that trend generation is easy to recognize, and fades in a falling phase.
Daily use is basic, but you can use it with the same parameters for other time feet.
The basic parameter (26) is displayed in yellow area for the most visibility.
The long-term parameter (52) is indicated by a yellow dot as an auxiliary element for judging the rising margin of the basic line.
The short-term parameter (13) is displayed as a line as an auxiliary element for recognizing the peak out of the basic line in advance.
In some cases, by changing short term (13) to super long term (100) you can recognize the major market price level once in several years.
Three periods The phrase "all lines" goes from "low position" to "rising together" is considered the strongest trend.
On the other hand, in the case where the short-term line rises backwards as the longer-term line goes down, it tends to end up with short-lived trends and failure to form trends.
If the trend speed is constant as a standard feature of calculating the standard deviation, the standard deviation may decrease even during trend continuation. Therefore, it is desirable to make a comprehensive judgment by comparing the shape of candlestick with the longer-term line.
Please note that there is no way to judge whether the trend suggested by this index rises or falls from this index, so it is necessary to confirm the main chart. (It is preferable to display parabolic or Bollinger band)
■ Remarks
It is an index created assuming that it is used as Triple STD-ADX in combination with Triple Smoothed ADX（to be posted later）.
■ About Triple STD-ADX
Triple Standard Deviation "and" Triple Smoothed ADX "are superimposed and displayed as" Screen (without scale) "to function as" Triple STD - ADX ".
The method of utilization is the same as Triple Standard Deviation and Triple Smoothed ADX, but by simultaneously displaying two momentum indicators with different calculation approaches with multiple parameters, we aim to mutually complement the cognitive power of trends.
STD (13, 26, 52, 100, 200) and ADX (7, 14, 26, 52, 100) correspond to reaction rates respectively.
By choosing different reaction rates you can expect to further increase reliability.
You can estimate the reliability of the trend most reliably in a situation where all six signals in total rise from low to high.
■Sample: STD-ADX Trade Signal
========================================================
■ モメンタム指標（標準偏差ボラティリティの3連表示）
■ 有効アセット：すべて
■ 活用の一例
１）黄色のエリアチャート（26）が上昇したタイミングでトレンド発生を想定
２）ローソク足を確認し、ボリンジャーバンド±1σの外に価格が飛び出している場合はその方向へのトレンドと認識
３）ボリンジャーバンド±1σ以内で終値が確定した場合にはポジションクローズ
■ 詳細説明
パラメーターの異なる３つの標準偏差ボラティリティを同時に表示します。ボリンジャーの収束発散に代表されるように、トレンド発生期に上昇しトレンド収束期に低下する特性を持ちます。
トレンド発生を認識しやすいように上昇局面で発色し、下降局面で退色します。
活用は日足が基本ですが、他の時間足に対しても同一パラメーターで使用することができます。
基本パラメーター（26）は最も視認しやすいように黄色のエリア表示にしています。
長期パラメーター（52）は基本線の上昇余力を判断するための補助要素として黄色の丸点で表示しています。
短期パラメーター（13）は基本線のピークアウトを先行して認識するための補助要素としてラインで表示にしています。
場合によって、短期(13)を超長期（100）に変更することで数年に一度のレベルの大相場が認識できます。
3期間「全てのライン」が「低い位置」から「揃って上昇」する局面を最も強いトレンドと考えます。
一方、より長期のラインが低下する中、より短期のラインが逆行して上昇するケースでは、短命のトレンドやトレンド形成失敗に終わることが多くなります。
標準偏差の計算上の特徴としてトレンドの速度が一定の場合にトレンド継続中も標準偏差が低下することがあります。そのため、ローソク足の形状とより長期のラインを見比べて総合的に判断することが望ましいです。
なお、本指標が示唆するトレンドが上昇か下降かは本指標からは判断する術はないため、必ずメインチャートを確認する必要があります。（パラボリックやボリンジャーバンドを表示すると好適）
■備考
追って掲載するTriple Smoothed ADXと併用して、Triple STD-ADXとして使用することを想定して作成した指標です。
■Triple STD-ADXについて
「Triple Standard Deviation」と「Triple Smoothed ADX」を一方を「スクリーン（スケールなし）」として重ねて表示させることで「Triple STD-ADX」として機能します。
活用方法はTriple Standard DeviationやTriple Smoothed ADXと同じですが、算出アプローチの異なる２つのモメンタム指標を複数パラメーターで同時に表示させることで、トレンドの認識力を相互に補完する狙いがあります。
反応速度はそれぞれSTD（13,26,52,100,200)とADX（7,14,26,52,100)がほぼ対応します。
異なる反応速度を選択することで信頼度をさらに高めることを期待できます。
合計6本のシグナル全てが低い位置から揃って上昇する局面でトレンドの信頼性を最も高く見積もることができます。
Hull DMI - MattesHull DMI - Mattes
A Directional Movement Index enhanced with Hull Moving Average smoothing for refined trend detection.
This indicator reimagines the classic Directional Movement Index (DMI) by incorporating Hull Moving Average (HMA) smoothing on high and low prices. It calculates the +DI and -DI components based on changes in these hulled values, then derives the ADX for trend strength. The core plot displays the difference between +DI and -DI, colored to indicate bullish (blue) or bearish (purple) dominance when ADX is rising. Additionally, it overlays colored candles on the price chart to visually represent the prevailing trend direction.
Key Features:
Hull-Smoothed Inputs: Applies HMA to highs and lows before computing directional changes, reducing noise and lag compared to standard DMI.
Customizable Lengths: Adjustable periods for HMA, DI, and ADX smoothing to suit various timeframes and assets.
Trend Visualization: Plots DI difference with dynamic coloring and overlays trend-colored candles for at-a-glance analysis.
Alert Conditions: Built-in alerts for long (bullish) and short (bearish) signals when conditions shift.
How It Differs from Standard DMI/ADX:
Unlike the traditional DMI, which uses raw price changes and true range, this version employs Hull Moving Averages on highs and lows for smoother, more responsive directional calculations. This minimizes whipsaws in choppy markets while preserving sensitivity to genuine trends. The ADX is integrated to filter signals, ensuring color changes and alerts only occur during strengthening trends, setting it apart from basic oscillator-based indicators. Why It's Useful:
Enhanced Trend Identification: The HMA smoothing provides clearer signals in volatile environments, helping traders spot emerging trends earlier.
Visual Clarity: Colored DI plot and candle overlays make it easy to interpret market bias without cluttering the chart.
Versatility: Suitable for stocks, forex, crypto, and more; excels in trend-following strategies or as a filter for other systems.
Risk Management Aid: By focusing on ADX-confirmed moves, it reduces false signals, potentially improving win rates in systematic trading.
This Hull DMI variant offers several practical advantages that can directly improve trading decisions and performance:
Reduced Lag with Smoother Signals: By applying Hull Moving Average smoothing to highs and lows, the indicator responds faster to genuine trend changes than the standard DMI while filtering out much of the noise that causes false signals in ranging or choppy markets. Traders get earlier entries into trending moves without excessive whipsaws.
Built-in Trend Strength Filter: The optional ADX confirmation (enabled by default) ensures bullish signals and blue coloring only activate when trend strength is increasing (ADX rising). This helps traders avoid entering long positions during weakening or sideways trends, focusing capital on higher-probability setups.
Clear Visual Bias at a Glance: The single oscillator line (+DI – -DI) centered on zero, combined with dynamic blue/purple coloring and full candle overlay on the price chart, instantly shows the dominant trend direction. No need to interpret multiple lines—traders can quickly assess market bias across multiple charts or timeframes.
Versatile Across Markets and Styles: Works effectively on stocks, forex, futures, and cryptocurrencies. Trend-following traders can use it standalone for entries/exits, swing traders can use it for bias confirmation, and scalpers/day traders benefit on lower timeframes due to the reduced lag.
Improved Risk Management: By prioritizing ADX-confirmed directional moves, the indicator naturally filters low-conviction setups. This can lead to higher win rates and better risk-reward ratios when used systematically, especially when combined with proper stop-loss placement below/above recent swings.
Easy Integration: Built-in alert conditions and simple long/short logic make it straightforward to incorporate into automated strategies, watchlists, or as a confirming filter alongside other indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, volume profile).
Customizable Sensitivity: Separate inputs for Hull length, DI period, and ADX smoothing allow traders to optimize the indicator for specific assets, volatility regimes, or personal trading horizons—making it adaptable rather than one-size-fits-all.
Signals & Interpretation
The oscillator plots the difference between +DI and -DI (positive = bullish dominance, negative = bearish).
Bullish Signal (Long): +DI crosses above -DI, and (if ADX confirmation enabled) ADX is rising — triggers blue coloring, candle overlay, and long alert.
Bearish Signal (Short): -DI crosses above +DI — triggers purple coloring, candle overlay, and short alert.
Zero line acts as neutrality; crossings indicate potential trend shifts.
Best used in trending markets; ADX rising filter helps avoid whipsaws.
// Example Usage in Strategy
strategy("Hull DMI Strategy Example", overlay=true)
if L
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
if S
strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short)
Great Inventions Require great care
Disclaimer: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always backtest thoroughly on your specific assets and timeframes, and consult a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred from its use.
Aj's DikFat Adjusted ADXRAj's DikFat Adjusted ADXR
This indicator is designed to plot the Average Directional Index (ADX) and Average Directional Movement Rating (ADXR) on the chart. The ADX and ADXR are both used to measure the strength of a trend in the market. The script allows you to customize several parameters, including the ADX Length and the Moving Average Method used for smoothing the directional movement indicators.
Key Features:
- ADX Length : Defines the number of periods over which the ADX is calculated. This value can be adjusted by the user to suit different trading styles and timeframes.
- Moving Average Method : Choose between several smoothing methods, including Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Wilder's Moving Average, Weighted Moving Average (WMA), Hull Moving Average (HMA), or a Super Smooth Moving Average.
- Directional Indicators : The script calculates the +DI and -DI, which represent the positive and negative directional indicators respectively. These are then used to calculate the ADX.
- ADXR : The ADXR is calculated as the average of the current ADX value and the ADX value from 14 periods ago, providing a more smoothed representation of the trend strength.
How Traders Use ADX and ADXR:
- ADX : A rising ADX indicates an increasing trend strength, while a falling ADX suggests a weakening trend. A value above 25 is often considered an indication of a strong trend.
- ADXR : This indicator smooths the ADX over time, helping traders identify persistent trends. The ADXR can help filter out noise and provide a clearer picture of the trend's health.
Please note that this script and its indicators are designed to be used as tools for analysis, not as guarantees of market outcomes. Adjustments to the moving average method or ADX length can change the behavior of the indicators based on market conditions.
Dynamo
╭━━━╮
╰╮╭╮┃
╱┃┃┃┣╮╱╭┳━╮╭━━┳╮╭┳━━╮
╱┃┃┃┃┃╱┃┃╭╮┫╭╮┃╰╯┃╭╮┃
╭╯╰╯┃╰━╯┃┃┃┃╭╮┃┃┃┃╰╯┃
╰━━━┻━╮╭┻╯╰┻╯╰┻┻┻┻━━╯
╱╱╱╱╭━╯┃
╱╱╱╱╰━━╯
Overview
Dynamo is built to be the Swiss-knife for price-movement & strength detection, it aims to provide a holistic view of the current price across multiple dimensions. This is achieved by combining 3 very specific indicators(RSI, Stochastic & ADX) into a single view. Each of which serve a different purpose, and collectively provide a simple, yet powerful tool to gauge the true nature of price-action.
Background
Dynamo uses 3 technical analysis tools in conjunction to provide better insights into price movement, they are briefly explained below:
Relative Strength Index(RSI)
RSI is a popular indicator that is often used to measure the velocity of price change & the intensity of directional moves. RSI computes the relative strength of the current price by comparing the security’s bullish strength versus bearish strength for a given period, i.e. by comparing average gain to average loss.
It is a range bound(0-100) variable that generates a bullish reading if average gain is higher, and a bullish reading if average loss is higher. Values over 50 are generally considered bullish & values less than 50 indicate a bearish market. Values over 70 indicate an overbought condition, and values below 30 indicate oversold condition.
Stochastic
Stochastic is an indicator that aims to measure the momentum in the market, by comparing most recent closing price of the security to its price range for a given period. It is based on the assumption that price tends to close near the recent high in an up trend, and it closes near the recent low during a down trend.
It is also range bound(0-100), values over 80 indicate overbought condition and values below 20 indicate oversold condition.
Average Directional Index(ADX)
ADX is an indicator that can quantify trend strength, it is derived from two underlying indices, known as Directional Movement Index(DMI). +DMI represents strength of the up trend, and -DMI represents strength of the down trend, and ADX is the average of the two.
ADX is non-directional or trend-neutral, which means, it does not follow the direction of the price, instead ADX will rise only when there is a strong trend, it does not matter if it’s an up trend or a down trend. Typical ranges of ADX are 25-50 for a strong trend, anything below 25 is considered as no trend or weak trend. ADX can frequently shoot upto higher values, but it generally finds exhaustion levels around the 60-75 range.
About the script
All these indicators are very powerful tools, but just like any other indicator they have their limitations. Stochastic & ADX can generate false signals in volatile markets, meaning price wouldn’t always follow through with what’s being indicated. ADX may even fail to generate a signal in less volatile markets, simply because it is based on moving averages, it tends to react slower to price changes. RSI can also lose it’s effectiveness when markets are trending strong, as it can stay in the overbought or oversold ranges for an extended period of time.
Dynamo aims to provide the trader with a much broader perspective by bringing together these contrasting indicators into a single simplified view. When Stochastic becomes less reliable in highly volatile conditions, one can cross validate their deduction by looking at RSI patterns. When RSI gets stuck in overbought or oversold range, one can refer to ADX to get better picture about the current trend. Similarly, various combinations of rules & setups can be formulated to get a more deterministic view, when working with either of these indicators.
There many possible use cases for a tool like this, and it totally depends on how you want to use it. An obvious option is to use it to trigger signals only after it has been confirmed by two or more indicators, for example, RSI & Stochastic make a great combination for cross-over or cross-under strategies. Some of the other options include trend detection, strength detection, reversals or price rejection points, possible duration of a trend, and all of these can very easily be translated into effective entry and exit points for trades.
How to use it
Dynamo is an easy-to-use tool, just add it to your chart and you’re good to start with your market analysis. Output consists of three overlapping plots, each of which tackle price movement from a slightly different angle.
Stochastic: A momentum indicator that plots the current closing price in relation to the price-range over a given period of time.
Can be used to detect the direction of the price movement, potential reversals, or duration of an up/down move.
Plotted as grey coloured histograms in the background.
Relative Strength Index(RSI): RSI is also a momentum indicator that measures the velocity with which the price changes.
Can be used to detect the speed of the price movement, RSI divergences can be a nice way to detect directional changes.
Plotted as an aqua coloured line.
Average Directional Index(ADX): ADX is an indicator that is used to measure the strength of the current trend.
Can be used to measure how strong the price movement is, both up and down, or to establish long terms trends.
Plotted as an orange coloured line.
Features
Provides a well-rounded view of the market movement by amalgamating some of the best strength indicators, helping traders make better informed decisions with minimal effort.
Simplistic plots that aim to convey clean signals, as a result, reducing clutter on the chart, and hopefully in the trader's head too.
Combines different types of indicators into a single view, which leads to an optimised use of the precious screen real-estate.
Final Note
Dynamo is designed to be minimalistic in functionality and in appearance, as it is being built to be a general purpose tool that is not only beginner friendly, but can also be highly-configurable to meet the needs of pro traders.
Thresholds & default values for the indicators are only suggestions based on industry standards, they may not be an exact match for all markets & conditions. Hence, it is advisable for the user to test & adjust these values according their securities and trading styles.
The chart highlights one of many possible setups using this tool, and it can used to create various types of setups & strategies, but it is also worth noting that the usability & the effectiveness of this tool also depends on the user’s understanding & interpretation of the underlying indicators.
Lastly, this tool is only an indicator and should only be perceived that way. It does not guarantee anything, and the user should do their own research before committing to trades based on any indicator.
CHOP Zone Entry Strategy + DMI/PSAR ExitThis is a Strategy with associated visual indicators and Long/Short and Reverse/Close Position Alerts for the Choppiness Index (CHOP) . It is used to determine if the market is choppy (trading sideways) or not choppy (trading within a trend in either direction). CHOP is not directional, so a DMI script was ported into this strategy to allow for trend confirmation and direction determination; it consists of an Average Directional Index (ADX) , Plus Directional Indicator (+DI) and Minus Directional Indicator (-DI) . In addition, a Parabolic SAR is also included to act as a trailing stop during any strong trends.
Development Notes
---------------------------
This indicator, and most of the descriptions below, were derived largely from the TradingView reference manual. Feedback and suggestions for improvement are more than welcome, as well are recommended Input settings and best practices for use.
www.tradingview.com
www.tradingview.com
www.tradingview.com
Recommend using the below DMI and PSAR indicators in conjunction with this script to fully visualize and understand how entry and exit conditions are chosen. Variable inputs should correlate between the scripts for uniformity and visual compatibility.
THANKS to LazyBear and his Momentum Squeeze script for helping me quickly develop a momentum state model for coloring the Chop line by trend.
Strategy Description
---------------------------
CHOP produces values that determine whether the market is choppy or trending . The closer the value is to 100 , the higher the choppiness levels , while the closer it is to 0 , the stronger the market is trending . Territories for both levels, and their associated upper and lower thresholds, are popularly defined using the Fibonacci Retracements, 61.8 and 38.2.
Basic Use
---------------------------
CHOP is often used to confirm the market condition to help you stay out of sideways markets and only enter when there is movement or imminent explosions. When readings are above the upper threshold, continued sideways movement may be expected, while readings below the lower threshold are typically indicative of a continuing trend. It is also used to anticipate upcoming trendiness changes, with the general belief that extended periods of consolidation (sideways movement) are followed by extended periods of strong, trending, directional movement, and vice versa.
One limitation in this index is that you must be cautious in deciding whether the range or trend will likely continue, or if it will reverse.
Confidence in price action and trend is higher when two or more indicators are in agreement -- while this strategy combines CHOP with both DMI and PSAR, we would still recommend pairing with other indicators to determine entry or exit trade opportunities.
Recommend also choosing 'Once Per Bar Close' when creating alerts.
Inputs
---------------------------
Strategy Direction - an option to only trade Short, Long, Both, or only in the direction of the Trend (Follow Trend is the Default).
Sensitivity - an incremental variable to test whether the past n candles are in the same trend state before triggering a delayed long or short alert (1 is the Default). Can help filter out noise and reduces active alerts.
Show Chop Index - two visual styles are provided for user preference, a visible Chop line with a background overlay, or a compact column and label only view.
Chop Lookback Period - the time period to be used in calculating CHOP (14 is the Default).
Chop Offset - changing this number will move the CHOP either forwards or backwards relative to the current market (0 is the Default).
Smooth Chop Line and Length - if enabled, the entered time period will be used in calculating a smooth average of the index (Enabled and 4 are the Defaults).
Color Line to Trend Direction - toggles whether the index line is colored to visually depict the current trend direction (Enabled is the Default).
Color Background - toggles the visibility of a background color based on the index state (Enabled is the Default).
Enable DMI Option - if enabled, then entry will be confirmed by and dependent on the ADX Key Level, with any close or reversal confirmed by both ADX and +/-DI to determine whether there is a strong trend present or not (Enabled is the Default).
ADX Smoothing - the time period to be used in calculating the ADX which has a smoothing component (14 is the Default).
DI Length - the time period to be used in calculating the DI (14 is the Default).
ADX Key Level - any trade with the ADX above the key level is a strong indicator that it is trending (23 to 25 is the suggested setting).
Enable PSAR Option - enables trailing stop loss orders (Enabled is the Default).
PSAR Start - the starting value for the Acceleration Force (0.015 is our chosen Default, 0.02 is more common).
PSAR Increment - the increment in which the Acceleration Force will move (0.001 is our chosen Default, 0.02 is more common).
PSAR Max Value - the maximum value of the Acceleration Factor (0.2 is the Default).
Color Candles Option - an option to transpose the CHOP condition levels to the main candle bars. Note that the outer red and green border will still be distinguished by whether each individual candle is bearish or bullish during the specified timeframe.
Note too that if both DMI and PSAR are deselected, then close determinations will default to a CHOP reversal strategy (e.g., close long when below 38.2 and close short when above 61.8). Though if either DMI or PSAR are enabled, then the CHOP reversal for close determination will automatically be disabled.
Indicator Visuals
---------------------------
For the candle colors, black indicates tight chop (45 to 55), yellow is loose chop (38.2 to 45 and 55 to 61.8), dark purple is trending down (< 38.2), and dark blue is trending up (> 61.8).
The background color has additional shades to differentiate a wider range of more levels…
• < 30 is dark purple
• 30 to 38.2 is purple
• 38.2 to 45 is light purple
• 45 to 55 is black
• 55 to 61.8 is light blue
• 61.8 to 70 is blue
• > 70 is dark blue
Long, Short, Close, and Reverse labels are plotted on the Chop line, which itself can be colored based on the trend. The chop line can also be hidden for a clean and compact, columnar view, which is my preferred option (see example image below).
Visual cues are intended to improve analysis and decrease interpretation time during trading, as well as to aid in understanding the purpose of this strategy and how its inclusion can benefit a comprehensive trading plan.
DMI and Trend Strength
---------------------------
To analyze trend strength, the focus should be on the ADX line and not the +DI or -DI lines. An ADX reading above 25 indicates a strong trend , while a reading below 20 indicates a weak or non-existent trend . A reading between those two values would be considered indeterminable. Though what is truly a strong trend or a weak trend depends on the financial instrument being examined; historical analysis can assist in determining appropriate values.
DMI exits trade when ADX is below the user selected key level (e.g., default is 25) and when the +/- DI lines cross (e.g., -DI > +DI exits long position and +DI > -DI exits short position).
PSAR and Trailing Stop
---------------------------
PSAR is a time and price based indicator that excels at measuring direction and duration, though not the actual strength of a trend, which is why we use this in conjunction with DMI. It is also included in this script as a trailing stop option to maximize gains during strong trends and to mitigate any false ADX strengthening signals.
This creates a parabola that is located below the candle during a Bullish trend and above during a Bearish trend. A buy or reversal is signaled when the price crosses above or below the Parabolic SAR.
Long/Short Entry
---------------------------
1. CHOP must be over 61.8 (long) or under 38.2 (short).
2. If DMI is enabled, then the ADX signal line must be above the user selected Key Level (default is 25).
3. If Sensitivity is selected, then that past candle must meet the criteria in step 1, as well as all the intermediate candles in between.
4. If "Follow Trend" is selected and PSAR is enabled, then a long position can only open when the momentum and PSAR are in an uptrend, or short when both are in a downtrend, to include all intermediate candles if the Sensitivity option is set on a past candle.
Close/Reverse
---------------------------
1. If DMI is enabled, then a close flag will be raised when the ADX signal drops below the Key Level (of 25), and -DI crosses over +DI (if long), or +DI crosses over -DI (if short).
2. If PSAR is enabled, then a close flag will be raised when the current trend state is opposite the last state.
3. If both DMI and PSAR are disabled, then a close flag will be raised if the Chop line drops under 38.2 (if long) or goes over 61.8 (if short).
4. If a Long or Short Entry is triggered on the same candle as any of the above close flags, then the position will be reversed, else the position will be closed.
Strategy Alerts
---------------------------
1. Long Entry
2. Short Entry
3. Reverse
4. Close
The provided backtest result is based on a position sizing of 10% equity with 100k initial capital. When testing SPX, disabling the DMI performed the best, but EURUSD performed poorly without it enabled, and TSLA had a small reduction in net profit. Timeframe likewise differed between commodities with TSLA performing best at 30M, SPX at 15M, and EURUSD at 4H. I do not plan on using this as a standalone strategy, but I also was expecting better results with the inclusion of EMI and PSAR to compliment the CHOP. Key elements of this script will likely be included in future, more holistic strategies.
Disclaimer
---------------------------
Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting. This post and the script are not intended to provide any financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
No known repainting, though there may be if an offset is introduced in the Inputs. I did my best not to code any other variables that repaint, but cannot fully attest to this fact.
Pulse Volume Commitment [JOAT]
Pulse Volume Commitment - Three-Dimensional Momentum Analysis
Introduction and Purpose
Pulse Volume Commitment is an open-source oscillator indicator that analyzes price action through three distinct dimensions: Quantity (candle count), Quality (body structure), and Commitment (volume-weighted quality). The core problem this indicator solves is that simple bullish/bearish candle counts miss important context. A market can have more green candles but still be weak if those candles have small bodies and low volume.
This indicator addresses that by requiring all three dimensions to align before generating strong signals, filtering out weak moves that lack conviction.
Why These Three Dimensions Work Together
Each dimension measures a different aspect of market conviction:
1. Quantity - Counts bullish vs bearish candles over the lookback period. Tells you WHO is winning the candle count battle.
2. Quality - Scores candles by body size relative to total range. Full-bodied candles (small wicks) indicate stronger conviction than doji-like candles. Tells you HOW decisively price is moving.
3. Commitment - Weights quality scores by volume. High-quality candles on high volume indicate institutional participation. Tells you WHETHER smart money is involved.
When all three align (e.g., more bullish candles + bullish quality + bullish commitment), the signal is significantly more reliable.
How the Calculations Work
Quantity Analysis:
int greenCount = 0
int redCount = 0
for i = 0 to lookbackPeriod - 1
if close > open
greenCount += 1
if close < open
redCount += 1
bool quantityBull = greenCount > redCount
Quality Analysis (body-to-range scoring):
for i = 0 to lookbackPeriod - 1
float candleBody = close - open // Signed (positive = bull)
float candleRange = high - low
float bodyQuality = candleRange > 0 ? (candleBody / candleRange * 100) * candleRange : 0.0
sumBodyQuality += bodyQuality
bool qualityBull = sumBodyQuality > 0
Signal Types
FULL BULL - All three dimensions bullish (Quantity + Quality + Commitment)
FULL BEAR - All three dimensions bearish
LEAN BULL/BEAR - 2 of 3 dimensions agree
MIXED - No clear consensus
STRONG BUY/SELL - Full confluence + ADX confirms trending market
ADX Integration
The indicator includes ADX (Average Directional Index) to filter signals:
- ADX >= 20 = TRENDING market (signals more reliable)
- ADX < 20 = RANGING market (signals may whipsaw)
Strong signals only trigger when full confluence occurs in a trending environment.
Dashboard Information
Quantity - BULL/BEAR/FLAT with green/red candle ratio
Quality - Directional bias based on body quality scoring
Commit - Volume-weighted commitment reading
ADX - Trend strength (TRENDING/RANGING)
Signal - Confluence status (FULL BULL/FULL BEAR/LEAN/MIXED)
Action - STRONG BUY/STRONG SELL/WAIT
How to Use This Indicator
For High-Conviction Entries:
1. Wait for FULL BULL or FULL BEAR confluence
2. Confirm ADX shows TRENDING
3. Enter when Action shows STRONG BUY or STRONG SELL
For Filtering Weak Setups:
1. Avoid entries when signal shows MIXED
2. Be cautious when ADX shows RANGING
3. Require at least 2 of 3 dimensions to agree
For Divergence Analysis:
1. Watch for Quantity bullish but Commitment bearish (distribution)
2. Watch for Quantity bearish but Commitment bullish (accumulation)
Input Parameters
Lookback Period (9) - Bars to analyze for all three dimensions
ADX Smoothing (14) - Period for ADX calculation
ADX DI Length (14) - Period for directional indicators
Timeframe Recommendations
15m-1H: Good for intraday momentum analysis
4H-Daily: Best for swing trading confluence
Lookback period may need adjustment for different timeframes
Limitations
Lookback period affects signal responsiveness vs reliability tradeoff
Volume data quality varies by exchange
ADX filter may cause missed entries in early trends
Works best on liquid instruments with consistent volume
Open-Source and Disclaimer
This script is published as open-source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 for educational purposes.
This indicator does not constitute financial advice. Confluence signals do not guarantee profitable trades. Always use proper risk management.
- Made with passion by officialjackofalltrades
Market Outlook Score (MOS)Overview
The "Market Outlook Score (MOS)" is a custom technical indicator designed for TradingView, written in Pine Script version 6. It provides a quantitative assessment of market conditions by aggregating multiple factors, including trend strength across different timeframes, directional movement (via ADX), momentum (via RSI changes), volume dynamics, and volatility stability (via ATR). The MOS is calculated as a weighted score that ranges typically between -1 and +1 (though it can exceed these bounds in extreme conditions), where positive values suggest bullish (long) opportunities, negative values indicate bearish (short) setups, and values near zero imply neutral or indecisive markets.
This indicator is particularly useful for traders seeking a holistic "outlook" score to gauge potential entry points or market bias. It overlays on a separate pane (non-overlay mode) and visualizes the score through horizontal threshold lines and dynamic labels showing the numeric MOS value along with a simple trading decision ("Long", "Short", or "Neutral"). The script avoids using the plot function for compatibility reasons (e.g., potential TradingView bugs) and instead relies on hline for static lines and label.new for per-bar annotations.
Key features:
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Incorporates slope data from 5-minute, 15-minute, and 30-minute charts to capture short-term trends.
Trend and Strength Integration: Uses ADX to weight trend bias, ensuring stronger signals in trending markets.
Momentum and Volume: Includes RSI momentum impulses and volume deviations for added confirmation.
Volatility Adjustment: Factors in ATR changes to assess market stability.
Customizable Inputs: Allows users to tweak periods for lookback, ADX, and ATR.
Decision Labels: Automatically classifies the MOS into actionable categories with visual labels.
This indicator is best suited for intraday or swing trading on volatile assets like stocks, forex, or cryptocurrencies. It does not generate buy/sell signals directly but can be combined with other tools (e.g., moving averages or oscillators) for comprehensive strategies.
Inputs
The script provides three user-configurable inputs via TradingView's input panel:
Lookback Period (lookback):
Type: Integer
Default: 20
Range: Minimum 10, Maximum 50
Purpose: Defines the number of bars used in slope calculations for trend analysis. A shorter lookback makes the indicator more sensitive to recent price action, while a longer one smooths out noise for longer-term trends.
ADX Period (adxPeriod):
Type: Integer
Default: 14
Range: Minimum 5, Maximum 30
Purpose: Sets the smoothing period for the Average Directional Index (ADX) and its components (DI+ and DI-). Standard value is 14, but shorter periods increase responsiveness, and longer ones reduce false signals.
ATR Period (atrPeriod):
Type: Integer
Default: 14
Range: Minimum 5, Maximum 30
Purpose: Determines the period for the Average True Range (ATR) calculation, which measures volatility. Adjust this to match your trading timeframe—shorter for scalping, longer for positional trading.
These inputs allow customization without editing the code, making the indicator adaptable to different market conditions or user preferences.
Core Calculations
The MOS is computed through a series of steps, blending trend, momentum, volume, and volatility metrics. Here's a breakdown:
Multi-Timeframe Slopes:
The script fetches data from higher timeframes (5m, 15m, 30m) using request.security.
Slope calculation: For each timeframe, it computes the linear regression slope of price over the lookback period using the formula:
textslope = correlation(close, bar_index, lookback) * stdev(close, lookback) / stdev(bar_index, lookback)
This measures the rate of price change, where positive slopes indicate uptrends and negative slopes indicate downtrends.
Variables: slope5m, slope15m, slope30m.
ATR (Average True Range):
Calculated using ta.atr(atrPeriod).
Represents average volatility over the specified period. Used later to derive volatility stability.
ADX (Average Directional Index):
A detailed, manual implementation (not using built-in ta.adx for customization):
Computes upward movement (upMove = high - high ) and downward movement (downMove = low - low).
Derives +DM (Plus Directional Movement) and -DM (Minus Directional Movement) by filtering non-relevant moves.
Smooths true range (trur = ta.rma(ta.tr(true), adxPeriod)).
Calculates +DI and -DI: plusDI = 100 * ta.rma(plusDM, adxPeriod) / trur, similarly for minusDI.
DX: dx = 100 * abs(plusDI - minusDI) / max(plusDI + minusDI, 0.0001).
ADX: adx = ta.rma(dx, adxPeriod).
ADX values above 25 typically indicate strong trends; here, it's normalized (divided by 50) to influence the trend bias.
Volume Delta (5m Timeframe):
Fetches 5m volume: volume_5m = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "5", volume, lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on).
Computes a 12-period SMA of volume: avgVolume = ta.sma(volume_5m, 12).
Delta: (volume_5m - avgVolume) / avgVolume (or 0 if avgVolume is zero).
This measures relative volume spikes, where positive deltas suggest increased interest (bullish) and negative suggest waning activity (bearish).
MOS Components and Final Calculation:
Trend Bias: Average of the three slopes, normalized by close price and scaled by 100, then weighted by ADX influence: (slope5m + slope15m + slope30m) / 3 / close * 100 * (adx / 50).
Emphasizes trends in strong ADX conditions.
Momentum Impulse: Change in 5m RSI(14) over 1 bar, divided by 50: ta.change(request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "5", ta.rsi(close, 14), lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on), 1) / 50.
Captures short-term momentum shifts.
Volatility Clarity: 1 - ta.change(atr, 1) / max(atr, 0.0001).
Measures ATR stability; values near 1 indicate low volatility changes (clearer trends), while lower values suggest erratic markets.
MOS Formula: Weighted average:
textmos = (0.35 * trendBias + 0.25 * momentumImpulse + 0.2 * volumeDelta + 0.2 * volatilityClarity)
Weights prioritize trend (35%) and momentum (25%), with volume and volatility at 20% each. These can be adjusted in code for experimentation.
Trading Decision:
A variable mosDecision starts as "Neutral".
If mos > 0.15, set to "Long".
If mos < -0.15, set to "Short".
Thresholds (0.15 and -0.15) are hardcoded but can be modified.
Visualization and Outputs
Threshold Lines (using hline):
Long Threshold: Horizontal dashed green line at +0.15.
Short Threshold: Horizontal dashed red line at -0.15.
Neutral Line: Horizontal dashed gray line at 0.
These provide visual reference points for MOS interpretation.
Dynamic Labels (using label.new):
Placed at each bar's index and MOS value.
Text: Formatted MOS value (e.g., "0.2345") followed by a newline and the decision (e.g., "Long").
Style: Downward-pointing label with gray background and white text for readability.
This replaces a traditional plot line, showing exact values and decisions per bar without cluttering the chart.
The indicator appears in a separate pane below the main price chart, making it easy to monitor alongside price action.
Usage Instructions
Adding to TradingView:
Copy the script into TradingView's Pine Script editor.
Save and add to your chart via the "Indicators" menu.
Select a symbol and timeframe (e.g., 1-minute for intraday).
Interpretation:
Long Signal: MOS > 0.15 – Consider bullish positions if supported by other indicators.
Short Signal: MOS < -0.15 – Potential bearish setups.
Neutral: Between -0.15 and 0.15 – Avoid trades or wait for confirmation.
Watch for MOS crossings of thresholds for momentum shifts.
Combine with price patterns, support/resistance, or volume for better accuracy.
Limitations and Considerations:
Lookahead Bias: Uses barmerge.lookahead_on for multi-timeframe data, which may introduce minor forward-looking bias in backtesting (use with caution).
No Alerts Built-In: Add custom alerts via TradingView's alert system based on MOS conditions.
Performance: Tested for compatibility; may require adjustments for illiquid assets or extreme volatility.
Backtesting: Use TradingView's strategy tester to evaluate historical performance, but remember past results don't guarantee future outcomes.
Customization: Edit weights in the MOS formula or thresholds to fit your strategy.
This indicator distills complex market data into a single score, aiding decision-making while encouraging users to verify signals with additional analysis. If you need modifications, such as restoring plot functionality or adding features, provide details for further refinement.
Smart Trend Lines [The_lurker]
Smart Trend Lines
A multi-level trend classifier that detects bullish and bearish conditions using a methodology based on drawing trend lines—main, intermediate, and short-term—by identifying peaks and troughs. The tool highlights trend strength by applying filters such as the Average Directional Index (ADX) (A), Relative Strength Index (RSI) (R), and Volume (V), making it easier to interpret trend strength. The filter markers (V, A, R) in the Smart Trend Lines indicator are powerful tools for assessing the reliability of breakouts. Breakouts containing are the most reliable, as they indicate strong volume support, trend strength, and favorable momentum. Breakouts with partial filters (such as or ) require additional confirmation, while breakouts without filters ( ) should be avoided unless supported by other strong signals. By understanding the meaning of each filter and the market context.
Core Functionality
1. Trend Line Types
The indicator generates three distinct trend line categories, each serving a specific analytical purpose:
Main Trend Lines: These are long-term trend lines designed to capture significant market trends. They are calculated based on pivot points over a user-defined period (default: 50 bars). Main trend lines are ideal for identifying macro-level support and resistance zones.
Mid Trend Lines: These are medium-term trend lines (default: 21 bars) that focus on intermediate price movements. They provide a balance between short-term fluctuations and long-term trends, suitable for swing trading strategies.
Short Trend Lines: These are short-term trend lines (default: 9 bars) that track rapid price changes. They are particularly useful for scalping or day trading, highlighting immediate support and resistance levels.
Each trend line type can be independently enabled or disabled, allowing traders to tailor the indicator to their preferred timeframes.
2. Breakout Detection
The indicator employs a robust breakout detection system that identifies when the price crosses a trend line, signaling a potential trend reversal or continuation. Breakouts are validated using the following filters:
ADX Filter: The Average Directional Index (ADX) measures trend strength. A user-defined threshold (default: 20) ensures that breakouts occur during strong trends, reducing false signals in range-bound markets.
RSI Filter: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) identifies overbought or oversold conditions. Breakouts are filtered based on RSI thresholds (default: 65 for overbought, 35 for oversold) to avoid signals in extreme market conditions.
Volume Filter: Breakouts are confirmed only when trading volume exceeds a moving average (default: 20 bars) and aligns with the breakout direction (e.g., higher volume on bullish breakouts when the candle closes higher).
Breakout events are marked with labels on the chart, indicating the type of trend line broken (Main, Mid, or Short) and the filters satisfied (Volume, ADX, RSI). Alerts are triggered for each breakout, providing real-time notifications.
3. Customization Options
The indicator offers extensive customization through input settings, organized into logical groups for ease of use:
Main Trend Line Settings
Length: Defines the number of bars used to calculate pivot points (default: 50).
Bullish Color: Color for upward-sloping (bullish) main trend lines (default: green).
Bearish Color: Color for downward-sloping (bearish) main trend lines (default: red).
Style: Line style options include solid, dashed, or dotted (default: solid).
Mid Trend Line Settings
Length: Number of bars for mid-term pivot points (default: 21).
Show/Hide: Toggle visibility of mid trend lines (default: enabled).
Bullish Color: Color for bullish mid trend lines (default: lime).
Bearish Color: Color for bearish mid trend lines (default: maroon).
Style: Line style (default: dashed).
Short Trend Line Settings
Length: Number of bars for short-term pivot points (default: 9).
Show/Hide: Toggle visibility of short trend lines (default: enabled).
Bullish Color: Color for bullish short trend lines (default: teal).
Bearish Color: Color for bearish short trend lines (default: purple).
Style: Line style (default: dotted).
General Display Settings
Break Check Price: Selects the price type for breakout detection (Close, High, or Low; default: Close).
Show Previous Trendlines: Option to display historical main trend lines (default: disabled).
Label Size: Size of breakout labels (Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, Huge; default: Small).
Filter Settings
ADX Threshold: Minimum ADX value for trend strength confirmation (default: 25).
Volume MA Period: Period for the volume moving average (default: 20).
RSI Filter: Enable/disable RSI filtering (default: enabled).
RSI Upper Threshold: Upper RSI limit for overbought conditions (default: 65).
RSI Lower Threshold: Lower RSI limit for oversold conditions (default: 35).
4. Technical Calculations
The indicator relies on several technical calculations to ensure accuracy:
Pivot Points: Pivot highs and lows are detected using the ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow functions, with separate lengths for Main, Mid, and Short trend lines.
Slope Calculation: The slope of each trend line is calculated as the change in price divided by the change in bar index between two pivot points.
ADX Calculation: ADX is computed using a 14-period Directional Movement Index (DMI), with smoothing over 14 bars.
RSI Calculation: RSI is calculated over a 14-period lookback using the ta.rsi function.
Volume Moving Average: A simple moving average (SMA) of volume is used to determine if current volume exceeds the average.
5. Strict Mode Validation
To ensure the reliability of trend lines, the indicator employs a strict mode check:
For bearish trend lines, all prices between pivot points must remain below the projected trend line.
For bullish trend lines, all prices must remain above the projected trend line.
Post-pivot break checks ensure that no breakouts occur between pivot points, enhancing the validity of the trend line.
6. Trend Line Extension
Trend lines are dynamically extended forward until a breakout occurs. The extension logic:
Projects the trend line using the calculated slope.
Continuously validates the extension using strict mode checks.
Stops extension upon a breakout, fixing the trend line at the breakout point.
7. Alerts and Labels
Labels: Breakout labels are placed above (for bearish breakouts) or below (for bullish breakouts) the price bar. Labels include:
A prefix indicating the trend line type (B for Main, M for Mid, S for Short).
A suffix showing satisfied filters (e.g., for Volume, ADX, and RSI).
Alerts: Each breakout triggers a one-time alert per bar close, with a descriptive message indicating the trend line type and filters met.
Detailed Code Breakdown
1. Initialization and Inputs
The script begins by defining the indicator with indicator('Smart Trend Lines ', overlay = true), ensuring it overlays on the price chart. Input settings are grouped into categories (Main, Mid, Short, General Display, Filters) for user convenience. Each input includes a tooltip in both English and Arabic, enhancing accessibility.
2. Technical Indicator Calculations
Volume MA: Calculated using ta.sma(volume, volPeriod) to compare current volume against the average.
ADX: Computed using custom dirmov and adx functions, which calculate the Directional Movement Index and smooth it over 14 periods.
RSI: Calculated with ta.rsi(close, rsiPeriod) over 14 periods.
Price Selection: The priceToCheck function selects the price type (Close, High, or Low) for breakout detection.
3. Pivot Detection
Pivot points are detected using ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow for each trend line type. The lookback period is set to the respective trend line length (e.g., 50 for Main, 21 for Mid, 9 for Short).
4. Trend Line Logic
For each trend line type (Main, Mid, Short):
Bearish Trend Lines: Identified when two consecutive pivot highs form a downward slope. The script validates the trend line using strict mode and post-pivot break checks.
Bullish Trend Lines: Identified when two consecutive pivot lows form an upward slope, with similar validation.
Trend lines are drawn using line.new, with separate lines for the initial segment (between pivots) and the extended segment (from the second pivot forward).
5. Breakout Detection and Labeling
Breakouts are detected when the selected price crosses the trend line level. The script checks:
Volume conditions (above average and aligned with candle direction).
ADX condition (above threshold).
RSI condition (within thresholds if enabled). Labels are created with label.new, and alerts are triggered with alert.
6. Trend Line Extension
The extendTrendline function dynamically updates the trend line’s endpoint unless a breakout occurs. It uses strict mode checks to ensure the trend line remains valid.
7. Previous Trend Lines
If enabled, previous main trend lines are stored in arrays (previousBearishStartLines, previousBullishTrendLines, etc.) and displayed on the chart, providing historical context.
Disclaimer:
The information and publications are not intended to be, nor do they constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations provided or endorsed by TradingView.
Smart Liquidity Wave [The_lurker]"Smart Liquidity Wave" هو مؤشر تحليلي متطور يهدف لتحديد نقاط الدخول والخروج المثلى بناءً على تحليل السيولة، قوة الاتجاه، وإشارات السوق المفلترة. يتميز المؤشر بقدرته على تصنيف الأدوات المالية إلى أربع فئات سيولة (ضعيفة، متوسطة، عالية، عالية جدًا)، مع تطبيق شروط مخصصة لكل فئة تعتمد على تحليل الموجات السعرية، الفلاتر المتعددة، ومؤشر ADX.
فكرة المؤشر
الفكرة الأساسية هي الجمع بين قياس السيولة اليومية الثابتة وتحليل ديناميكي للسعر باستخدام فلاتر متقدمة لتوليد إشارات دقيقة. المؤشر يركز على تصفية الضوضاء في السوق من خلال طبقات متعددة من التحليل، مما يجعله أداة ذكية تتكيف مع الأدوات المالية المختلفة بناءً على مستوى سيولتها.
طريقة عمل المؤشر
1- قياس السيولة:
يتم حساب السيولة باستخدام متوسط حجم التداول على مدى 14 يومًا مضروبًا في سعر الإغلاق، ويتم ذلك دائمًا على الإطار الزمني اليومي لضمان ثبات القيمة بغض النظر عن الإطار الزمني المستخدم في الرسم البياني.
يتم تصنيف السيولة إلى:
ضعيفة: أقل من 5 ملايين (قابل للتعديل).
متوسطة: من 5 إلى 20 مليون.
عالية: من 20 إلى 50 مليون.
عالية جدًا: أكثر من 50 مليون.
هذا الثبات في القياس يضمن أن تصنيف السيولة لا يتغير مع تغير الإطار الزمني، مما يوفر أساسًا موثوقًا للإشارات.
2- تحليل الموجات السعرية:
يعتمد المؤشر على تحليل الموجات باستخدام متوسطات متحركة متعددة الأنواع (مثل SMA، EMA، WMA، HMA، وغيرها) يمكن للمستخدم اختيارها وتخصيص فتراتها ، يتم دمج هذا التحليل مع مؤشرات إضافية مثل RSI (مؤشر القوة النسبية) وMFI (مؤشر تدفق الأموال) بوزن محدد (40% للموجات، 30% لكل من RSI وMFI) للحصول على تقييم شامل للاتجاه.
3- الفلاتر وطريقة عملها:
المؤشر يستخدم نظام فلاتر متعدد الطبقات لتصفية الإشارات وتقليل الضوضاء، وهي من أبرز الجوانب المخفية التي تعزز دقته:
الفلتر الرئيسي (Main Filter):
يعمل على تنعيم التغيرات السعرية السريعة باستخدام معادلة رياضية تعتمد على تحليل الإشارات (Signal Processing).
يتم تطبيقه على السعر لاستخراج الاتجاهات الأساسية بعيدًا عن التقلبات العشوائية، مع فترة زمنية قابلة للتعديل (افتراضي: 30).
يستخدم تقنية مشابهة للفلاتر عالية التردد (High-Pass Filter) للتركيز على الحركات الكبيرة.
الفلتر الفرعي (Sub Filter):
يعمل كطبقة ثانية للتصفية، مع فترة أقصر (افتراضي: 12)، لضبط الإشارات بدقة أكبر.
يستخدم معادلات تعتمد على الترددات المنخفضة للتأكد من أن الإشارات الناتجة تعكس تغيرات حقيقية وليست مجرد ضوضاء.
إشارة الزناد (Signal Trigger):
يتم تطبيق متوسط متحرك على نتائج الفلتر الرئيسي لتوليد خط إشارة (Signal Line) يُقارن مع عتبات محددة للدخول والخروج.
يمكن تعديل فترة الزناد (افتراضي: 3 للدخول، 5 للخروج) لتسريع أو تبطيء الإشارات.
الفلتر المربع (Square Filter):
خاصية مخفية تُفعّل افتراضيًا تعزز دقة الفلاتر عن طريق تضييق نطاق التذبذبات المسموح بها، مما يقلل من الإشارات العشوائية في الأسواق المتقلبة.
4- تصفية الإشارات باستخدام ADX:
يتم استخدام مؤشر ADX كفلتر نهائي للتأكد من قوة الاتجاه قبل إصدار الإشارة:
ضعيفة ومتوسطة: دخول عندما يكون ADX فوق 40، خروج فوق 50.
عالية: دخول فوق 40، خروج فوق 55.
عالية جدًا: دخول فوق 35، خروج فوق 38.
هذه العتبات قابلة للتعديل، مما يسمح بتكييف المؤشر مع استراتيجيات مختلفة.
5- توليد الإشارات:
الدخول: يتم إصدار إشارة شراء عندما تنخفض خطوط الإشارة إلى ما دون عتبة محددة (مثل -9) مع تحقق شروط الفلاتر، السيولة، وADX.
الخروج: يتم إصدار إشارة بيع عندما ترتفع الخطوط فوق عتبة (مثل 109 أو 106 حسب الفئة) مع تحقق الشروط الأخرى.
تُعرض الإشارات بألوان مميزة (أزرق للدخول، برتقالي للضعيفة والمتوسطة، أحمر للعالية والعالية جدًا) وبثلاثة أحجام (صغير، متوسط، كبير).
6- عرض النتائج:
يظهر مستوى السيولة الحالي في جدول في أعلى يمين الرسم البياني، مما يتيح للمستخدم معرفة فئة الأصل بسهولة.
7- دعم التنبيهات:
تنبيهات فورية لكل فئة سيولة، مما يسهل التداول الآلي أو اليدوي.
%%%%% الجوانب المخفية في الكود %%%%%
معادلات الفلاتر المتقدمة: يستخدم المؤشر معادلات رياضية معقدة مستوحاة من معالجة الإشارات لتنعيم البيانات واستخراج الاتجاهات، مما يجعله أكثر دقة من المؤشرات التقليدية.
التكيف التلقائي: النظام يضبط نفسه داخليًا بناءً على التغيرات في السعر والحجم، مع عوامل تصحيح مخفية (مثل معامل التنعيم في الفلاتر) للحفاظ على الاستقرار.
التوزيع الموزون: الدمج بين الموجات، RSI، وMFI يتم بأوزان محددة (40%، 30%، 30%) لضمان توازن التحليل، وهي تفاصيل غير ظاهرة مباشرة للمستخدم لكنها تؤثر على النتائج.
الفلتر المربع: خيار مخفي يتم تفعيله افتراضيًا لتضييق نطاق الإشارات، مما يقلل من التشتت في الأسواق ذات التقلبات العالية.
مميزات المؤشر
1- فلاتر متعددة الطبقات: تضمن تصفية الضوضاء وإنتاج إشارات موثوقة فقط.
2- ثبات السيولة: قياس السيولة اليومي يجعل التصنيف متسقًا عبر الإطارات الزمنية.
3- تخصيص شامل: يمكن تعديل حدود السيولة، عتبات ADX، فترات الفلاتر، وأنواع المتوسطات المتحركة.
4- إشارات مرئية واضحة: تصميم بصري يسهل التفسير مع تنبيهات فورية.
5- تقليل الإشارات الخاطئة: الجمع بين الفلاتر وADX يعزز الدقة ويقلل من التشتت.
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView.
#### **What is the Smart Liquidity Wave Indicator?**
"Smart Liquidity Wave" is an advanced analytical indicator designed to identify optimal entry and exit points based on liquidity analysis, trend strength, and filtered market signals. It stands out with its ability to categorize financial instruments into four liquidity levels (Weak, Medium, High, Very High), applying customized conditions for each category based on price wave analysis, multi-layered filters, and the ADX (Average Directional Index).
#### **Concept of the Indicator**
The core idea is to combine a stable daily liquidity measurement with dynamic price analysis using sophisticated filters to generate precise signals. The indicator focuses on eliminating market noise through multiple analytical layers, making it an intelligent tool that adapts to various financial instruments based on their liquidity levels.
#### **How the Indicator Works**
1. **Liquidity Measurement:**
- Liquidity is calculated using the 14-day average trading volume multiplied by the closing price, always based on the daily timeframe to ensure value consistency regardless of the chart’s timeframe.
- Liquidity is classified as:
- **Weak:** Less than 5 million (adjustable).
- **Medium:** 5 to 20 million.
- **High:** 20 to 50 million.
- **Very High:** Over 50 million.
- This consistency in measurement ensures that liquidity classification remains unchanged across different timeframes, providing a reliable foundation for signals.
2. **Price Wave Analysis:**
- The indicator relies on wave analysis using various types of moving averages (e.g., SMA, EMA, WMA, HMA, etc.), which users can select and customize in terms of periods.
- This analysis is integrated with additional indicators like RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MFI (Money Flow Index), weighted specifically (40% waves, 30% RSI, 30% MFI) to provide a comprehensive trend assessment.
3. **Filters and Their Functionality:**
- The indicator employs a multi-layered filtering system to refine signals and reduce noise, a key hidden feature that enhances its accuracy:
- **Main Filter:**
- Smooths rapid price fluctuations using a mathematical equation rooted in signal processing techniques.
- Applied to price data to extract core trends away from random volatility, with an adjustable period (default: 30).
- Utilizes a technique similar to high-pass filters to focus on significant movements.
- **Sub Filter:**
- Acts as a secondary filtering layer with a shorter period (default: 12) for finer signal tuning.
- Employs low-frequency-based equations to ensure resulting signals reflect genuine changes rather than mere noise.
- **Signal Trigger:**
- Applies a moving average to the main filter’s output to generate a signal line, compared against predefined entry and exit thresholds.
- Trigger period is adjustable (default: 3 for entry, 5 for exit) to speed up or slow down signals.
- **Square Filter:**
- A hidden feature activated by default, enhancing filter precision by narrowing the range of permissible oscillations, reducing random signals in volatile markets.
4. **Signal Filtering with ADX:**
- ADX is used as a final filter to confirm trend strength before issuing signals:
- **Weak and Medium:** Entry when ADX exceeds 40, exit above 50.
- **High:** Entry above 40, exit above 55.
- **Very High:** Entry above 35, exit above 38.
- These thresholds are adjustable, allowing the indicator to adapt to different trading strategies.
5. **Signal Generation:**
- **Entry:** A buy signal is triggered when signal lines drop below a specific threshold (e.g., -9) and conditions for filters, liquidity, and ADX are met.
- **Exit:** A sell signal is issued when signal lines rise above a threshold (e.g., 109 or 106, depending on the category) with all conditions satisfied.
- Signals are displayed in distinct colors (blue for entry, orange for Weak/Medium, red for High/Very High) and three sizes (small, medium, large).
6. **Result Display:**
- The current liquidity level is shown in a table at the top-right of the chart, enabling users to easily identify the asset’s category.
7. **Alert Support:**
- Instant alerts are provided for each liquidity category, facilitating both automated and manual trading.
#### **Hidden Aspects in the Code**
- **Advanced Filter Equations:** The indicator uses complex mathematical formulas inspired by signal processing to smooth data and extract trends, making it more precise than traditional indicators.
- **Automatic Adaptation:** The system internally adjusts based on price and volume changes, with hidden correction factors (e.g., smoothing coefficients in filters) to maintain stability.
- **Weighted Distribution:** The integration of waves, RSI, and MFI uses fixed weights (40%, 30%, 30%) for balanced analysis, a detail not directly visible but impactful on results.
- **Square Filter:** A hidden option, enabled by default, narrows signal range to minimize dispersion in high-volatility markets.
#### **Indicator Features**
1. **Multi-Layered Filters:** Ensures noise reduction and delivers only reliable signals.
2. **Liquidity Stability:** Daily liquidity measurement keeps classification consistent across timeframes.
3. **Comprehensive Customization:** Allows adjustments to liquidity thresholds, ADX levels, filter periods, and moving average types.
4. **Clear Visual Signals:** User-friendly design with easy-to-read visuals and instant alerts.
5. **Reduced False Signals:** Combining filters and ADX enhances accuracy and minimizes clutter.
#### **Disclaimer**
The information and publications are not intended to be, nor do they constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations provided or endorsed by TradingView.
