Retail & Banker Net PositionsIn any market there are two major sets of participants, Retail traders (like you & I) who command relatively small amounts of capital and typically enter and exits positions quickly, and then Institutional Traders (sometimes referred to as whales) who command large amounts of capital and dictate the overall trend of the market but enter and exit positions slowly.
In this indicator we look at the distinct volume of these two sets of traders and use the net positions of this volume to determine if they are net long (Buying) in the market or net short (Selling).
When each set of traders are on opposite sides of the market (Retail are selling & Institutions are buying for example) it usually results in a battle and choppy price action... the majority of these battles are won by the Institutions as their large sums of money dictate the overall direction markets move.
Some of the best opportunities are when both sets of traders are on the same side of the market & this is where we see real momentum enter the market with quick price moves.
Happy trading =)
Retail
BTC Coinbase Premium TrendBTC Coinbase (institutional trader) vs. Binance (retail trader) Premium
Positive values: Coinbase trading at a premium (institutions more bullish than retail)
Negative values: Coinbase trading at a discount (institutions more bearish than retail)
Retail PositioningThis script tries to estimate how inclined may retail traders be to open a position based on popular indicators RSI, Stochastic, Ichimoku, Bollinger Bands, MACD, and 200 EMA. Conditions are:
Plus values
• RSI above 70
• %K above 70 or even
• Conversion line above baseline and price above the cloud
• High above the upper band
• MACD above the signal line
Each condition gives 1 point if true or 2 points if it is also above 200 EMA
Minus values
• RSI below 30
• %K below 30 or even
• Conversion line below baseline and price below the cloud
• Low below the upper band
• MACD below the signal line
Each condition gives -1 point if true or -2 points if it is also below 200 EMA
I still consider the script as in development, so if you have some ideas on how it could be improved or traded, let me know.
BitMEX Funding Visual by Mcrypt28This is a modified script originating from user m59 that better visually represents the BitMEX funding trend over time. Green indicates the funding is positive (longs pay shorts every 8 hours to maintain their position) and red indicates the funding is negative (shorts pay longs). The darker the color means the higher the rate. The unproven theory is that the funding helps to identify what retail investors are doing at a given time. Thus, in downtrends as the negative funding is drying up, a low may be near. In uptrends, as the funding remains negative, retail is generally bearish and continues to sell as institutional investors likely are absorbing. Vice versa for when the funding is positive. In any market in general, money flows from the many to the few. That means whatever retail is doing is generally the opposite of what will be the actual outcome. One more modifier to the m59 script is that volume is factored into the calculation which will impact which threshold (opacity on the chart) it falls within.
If you'd like to chart the BitMEX funding yourself, I'd recommend checking out the source from m59's indicator as that is more likely to stay up to date if BitMEX makes any changes to the way funding is calculated. The source if this is protected for that reason.
