Intellect_city - Halvings Bitcoin CycleWhat is halving?
The halving timer shows when the next Bitcoin halving will occur, as well as the dates of past halvings. This event occurs every 210,000 blocks, which is approximately every 4 years. Halving reduces the emission reward by half. The original Bitcoin reward was 50 BTC per block found.
Why is halving necessary?
Halving allows you to maintain an algorithmically specified emission level. Anyone can verify that no more than 21 million bitcoins can be issued using this algorithm. Moreover, everyone can see how much was issued earlier, at what speed the emission is happening now, and how many bitcoins remain to be mined in the future. Even a sharp increase or decrease in mining capacity will not significantly affect this process. In this case, during the next difficulty recalculation, which occurs every 2014 blocks, the mining difficulty will be recalculated so that blocks are still found approximately once every ten minutes.
How does halving work in Bitcoin blocks?
The miner who collects the block adds a so-called coinbase transaction. This transaction has no entry, only exit with the receipt of emission coins to your address. If the miner's block wins, then the entire network will consider these coins to have been obtained through legitimate means. The maximum reward size is determined by the algorithm; the miner can specify the maximum reward size for the current period or less. If he puts the reward higher than possible, the network will reject such a block and the miner will not receive anything. After each halving, miners have to halve the reward they assign to themselves, otherwise their blocks will be rejected and will not make it to the main branch of the blockchain.
The impact of halving on the price of Bitcoin
It is believed that with constant demand, a halving of supply should double the value of the asset. In practice, the market knows when the halving will occur and prepares for this event in advance. Typically, the Bitcoin rate begins to rise about six months before the halving, and during the halving itself it does not change much. On average for past periods, the upper peak of the rate can be observed more than a year after the halving. It is almost impossible to predict future periods because, in addition to the reduction in emissions, many other factors influence the exchange rate. For example, major hacks or bankruptcies of crypto companies, the situation on the stock market, manipulation of “whales,” or changes in legislative regulation.
---------------------------------------------
Table - Past and future Bitcoin halvings:
---------------------------------------------
Date: Number of blocks: Award:
0 - 03-01-2009 - 0 block - 50 BTC
1 - 28-11-2012 - 210000 block - 25 BTC
2 - 09-07-2016 - 420000 block - 12.5 BTC
3 - 11-05-2020 - 630000 block - 6.25 BTC
4 - 20-04-2024 - 840000 block - 3.125 BTC
5 - 24-03-2028 - 1050000 block - 1.5625 BTC
6 - 26-02-2032 - 1260000 block - 0.78125 BTC
7 - 30-01-2036 - 1470000 block - 0.390625 BTC
8 - 03-01-2040 - 1680000 block - 0.1953125 BTC
9 - 07-12-2043 - 1890000 block - 0.09765625 BTC
10 - 10-11-2047 - 2100000 block - 0.04882813 BTC
11 - 14-10-2051 - 2310000 block - 0.02441406 BTC
12 - 17-09-2055 - 2520000 block - 0.01220703 BTC
13 - 21-08-2059 - 2730000 block - 0.00610352 BTC
14 - 25-07-2063 - 2940000 block - 0.00305176 BTC
15 - 28-06-2067 - 3150000 block - 0.00152588 BTC
16 - 01-06-2071 - 3360000 block - 0.00076294 BTC
17 - 05-05-2075 - 3570000 block - 0.00038147 BTC
18 - 08-04-2079 - 3780000 block - 0.00019073 BTC
19 - 12-03-2083 - 3990000 block - 0.00009537 BTC
20 - 13-02-2087 - 4200000 block - 0.00004768 BTC
21 - 17-01-2091 - 4410000 block - 0.00002384 BTC
22 - 21-12-2094 - 4620000 block - 0.00001192 BTC
23 - 24-11-2098 - 4830000 block - 0.00000596 BTC
24 - 29-10-2102 - 5040000 block - 0.00000298 BTC
25 - 02-10-2106 - 5250000 block - 0.00000149 BTC
26 - 05-09-2110 - 5460000 block - 0.00000075 BTC
27 - 09-08-2114 - 5670000 block - 0.00000037 BTC
28 - 13-07-2118 - 5880000 block - 0.00000019 BTC
29 - 16-06-2122 - 6090000 block - 0.00000009 BTC
30 - 20-05-2126 - 6300000 block - 0.00000005 BTC
31 - 23-04-2130 - 6510000 block - 0.00000002 BTC
32 - 27-03-2134 - 6720000 block - 0.00000001 BTC
Análise Fundamentalista
Stock Rating [TrendX_]# OVERVIEW
This Stock Rating indicator provides a thorough evaluation of a company (NON-FINANCIAL ONLY) ranging from 0 to 5. The rating is the average of six core financial metrics: efficiency, profitability, liquidity, solvency, valuation, and technical ratings. Each metric encompasses several financial measurements to ensure a robust and holistic evaluation of the stock.
## EFFICIENCY METRICS
1. Asset-to-Liability Ratio : Measures a company's ability to cover its liabilities with its assets.
2. Equity-to-Liability Ratio : Indicates the proportion of equity used to finance the company relative to liabilities.
3. Net Margin : Shows the percentage of revenue that translates into profit.
4. Operating Expense : Reflects the costs required for normal business operations.
5. Operating Expense Ratio : Compares operating expenses to total revenue.
6. Operating Profit Ratio : Measures operating profit as a percentage of revenue.
7. PE to Industry Relative PE/PB : Compares the company's PE ratio to the industry average.
## PROFITABILITY METRICS
1. ROA : Indicates how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profit.
2. ROE : Measures profitability relative to shareholders' equity.
3. EBITDA : Reflects a company's operational profitability.
4. Free Cash Flow Margin : Shows the percentage of revenue that remains as free cash flow.
5. Revenue Growth : Measures the percentage increase in revenue over a period.
6. Gross Margin : Reflects the percentage of revenue exceeding the cost of goods sold.
7. Net Margin : Percentage of revenue that is net profit.
8. Operating Margin : Measures the percentage of revenue that is operating profit.
## LIQUIDITY METRICS
1. Current Ratio : Indicates the ability to cover short-term obligations with short-term assets.
2. Interest Coverage Ratio : Measures the ability to pay interest on outstanding debt.
3. Debt-to-EBITDA : Compares total debt to EBITDA.
4. Debt-to-Equity Ratio : Indicates the relative proportion of debt and equity financing.
## SOLVENCY METRICS
1. Altman Z-score : Predicts bankruptcy risk
2. Beneish M-score : Detects earnings manipulation.
3. Fulmer H-factor : Predicts business failure risk.
## VALUATION METRICS
1. Industry Relative PE/PB Comparison : Compares the company's PE and PB ratios to industry averages.
2. Momentum of PE, PB, and EV/EBITDA Multiples : Tracks the trends of PE, PB, and EV/EBITDA ratios over time.
## TECHNICAL METRICS
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI) : Measures the speed and change of price movements.
2. Supertrend : Trend-following indicator that identifies market trends.
3. Moving Average Golden-Cross : Occurs when a short-term MA crosses above mid-term and long-term MA which are determined by half-PI increment in smoothing period.
4. On-Balance Volume Golden-Cross : Measures cumulative buying and selling pressure.
[InvestorUnknown] Performance MetricsOverview
The Performance Metrics indicator is a tool designed to help traders and investors understand and utilize key performance metrics in their strategies. This indicator is inspired by the Rolling Risk-Adjusted Performance Ratios created by @EliCobra, but it offers enhanced usability and additional features to provide a more user-friendly code for understanding the calculations.
Features
Rolling Lookback:
Dynamic Lookback Calculation: The indicator automatically calculates the number of bars from the start of the asset's price history, up to a maximum of 5000 bars due to TradingView platform restrictions.
Adjustable Lookback Period: Users can manually set a lookback period or choose to use the rolling lookback feature for dynamic calculations.
RollingLookback() =>
x = bar_index + 1
y = x > 4999 ? 5000 : x > 1 ? (x - 1) : x
y
Trend Analysis
The Trend Analysis section in this indicator helps traders identify the direction of the market trend based on the balance of positive and negative returns over time. This is achieved by calculating the sums of positive and negative returns and optionally smoothing these values to provide a clearer trend signal.
Configuration: Enable smoothing if you want to reduce noise in the trend analysis. Choose between EMA and SMA for smoothing. Set the length for smoothing according to your preference for sensitivity (shorter lengths are more sensitive to changes, longer lengths provide smoother signals).
Interpretation:
- A positive trend difference (filled with green) indicates a bullish trend, suggesting more positive returns.
- A negative trend difference (filled with red) indicates a bearish trend, suggesting more negative returns.
- Colored bars provide a quick visual cue on the trend direction, helping to make timely trading decisions.
// The Trend Analysis section calculates and optionally smooths the sums of positive and negative returns.
// This helps identify the trend direction based on the balance of positive and negative returns over time.
Ps = Smooth ? Smooth_type == "EMA" ? ta.ema(pos_sum, Smooth_len) : ta.sma(pos_sum, Smooth_len) : pos_sum
Ns = Smooth ? Smooth_type == "EMA" ? ta.ema(neg_sum, Smooth_len) : ta.sma(neg_sum, Smooth_len) : neg_sum
// Calculate the difference between smoothed positive and negative sums
dif = Ps + Ns
Performance Metrics Table
Visual Table Display: Option to display a table on the chart with calculated performance metrics. This table includes comprehensive metrics like Mean Return, Positive and Negative Mean Return, Standard Deviation, Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, and Omega Ratio.
Performance Metrics Calculated
Mean Return:
Description: The average return over the lookback period.
Purpose: Helps in understanding the overall performance of the asset by providing a simple average of returns.
Positive Mean Return:
Description: The average of all positive returns over the lookback period.
Purpose: Highlights the average gain during profitable periods, giving insight into the asset's potential upside.
Negative Mean Return:
Description: The average of all negative returns over the lookback period.
Purpose: Focuses on the average loss during unprofitable periods, helping to assess the downside risk.
Standard Deviation (STDEV):
Description: A measure of volatility that calculates the dispersion of returns from the mean.
Purpose: Indicates the risk associated with the asset. Higher standard deviation means higher volatility and risk.
Sharpe Ratio:
Description: A risk-adjusted return metric that divides the mean return by the standard deviation of returns. It can be annualized if selected.
Purpose: Provides a standardized way to compare the performance of different assets by considering both return and risk. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance.
sharpe_ratio = mean_all / stddev_all * (Annualize ? math.sqrt(Lookback) : 1)
Sortino Ratio:
Description: Similar to the Sharpe Ratio but focuses only on downside volatility. It divides the mean return by the standard deviation of negative returns. It can be annualized if selected.
Purpose: Offers a better assessment of downside risk by ignoring upside volatility. A higher Sortino Ratio indicates a higher return per unit of downside risk.
sortino_ratio = mean_all / stddev_neg * (Annualize ? math.sqrt(Lookback) : 1)
Omega Ratio:
Description: The ratio of the probability-weighted average of positive returns to the probability-weighted average of negative returns.
Purpose: Measures the overall likelihood of positive returns compared to negative returns. An Omega Ratio greater than 1 indicates more frequent and/or larger positive returns compared to negative returns.
omega_ratio = (prob_pos * mean_pos) / (prob_neg * -mean_neg)
By calculating and displaying these metrics, the indicator provides a comprehensive view of the asset's performance, enabling traders and investors to make informed decisions based on both returns and risk-adjusted metrics.
Use Cases:
Performance Evaluation: Assesses an asset's performance by analyzing both returns and risk factors, giving a clear picture of profitability and volatility.
Risk Comparison: Compares the risk-adjusted returns of different assets or portfolios, aiding in identifying investments with superior risk-reward trade-offs.
Risk Management: Helps manage risk exposure by evaluating downside risks and overall volatility, enabling more informed and strategic investment decisions.
PE BandThe PE Band shows the highest and lowest P/E in the previous period with TTM EPS. If the current P/E is lower than the minimum P/E, it is considered cheap. In other words, higher than the maximum P/E is considered expensive.
PE Band consists of 2 lines.
- Firstly, the historical P/E value in "green" (if TTM EPS is positive) or "red" (if TTM EPS is negative) states will change according to the latest high or low price of TTM EPS, such as: :
After the second quarter of 2023 (end of June), how do prices from 1 July – 30 September reflect net profits? The program will get the highest and lowest prices during that time.
After the 3rd quarter of 2023 (end of September), how do prices from 1 Oct. - 31 Dec. reflect net profits? The program will get the highest and lowest prices during that time.
- Second, the blue line is the closing price divided by TTM EPS, which shows the current P/E.
Wolf DCA CalculatorThe Wolf DCA Calculator is a powerful and flexible indicator tailored for traders employing the Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy. This tool is invaluable for planning and visualizing multiple entry points for both long and short positions. It also provides a comprehensive analysis of potential profit and loss based on user-defined parameters, including leverage.
Features
Entry Price: Define the initial entry price for your trade.
Total Lot Size: Specify the total number of lots you intend to trade.
Percentage Difference: Set the fixed percentage difference between each DCA point.
Long Position: Toggle to switch between long and short positions.
Stop Loss Price: Set the price level at which you plan to exit the trade to minimize losses.
Take Profit Price: Set the price level at which you plan to exit the trade to secure profits.
Leverage: Apply leverage to your trade, which multiplies the potential profit and loss.
Number of DCA Points: Specify the number of DCA points to strategically plan your entries.
How to Use
1. Add the Indicator to Your Chart:
Search for "Wolf DCA Calculator" in the TradingView public library and add it to your chart.
2. Configure Inputs:
Entry Price: Set your initial trade entry price.
Total Lot Size: Enter the total number of lots you plan to trade.
Percentage Difference: Adjust this to set the interval between each DCA point.
Long Position: Use this toggle to choose between a long or short position.
Stop Loss Price: Input the price level at which you plan to exit the trade to minimize losses.
Take Profit Price: Input the price level at which you plan to exit the trade to secure profits.
Leverage: Set the leverage you are using for the trade.
Number of DCA Points: Specify the number of DCA points to plan your entries.
3. Analyze the Chart:
The indicator plots the DCA points on the chart using a stepline style for clear visualization.
It calculates the average entry point and displays the potential profit and loss based on the specified leverage.
Labels are added for each DCA point, showing the entry price and the lots allocated.
Horizontal lines mark the Stop Loss and Take Profit levels, with corresponding labels showing potential loss and profit.
Benefits
Visual Planning: Easily visualize multiple entry points and understand how they affect your average entry price.
Risk Management: Clearly see your Stop Loss and Take Profit levels and their impact on your trade.
Customizable: Adapt the indicator to your specific strategy with a wide range of customizable parameters.
Funding Rate [CryptoSea]The Funding Rate Indicator by is a comprehensive tool designed to analyze funding rates across multiple cryptocurrency exchanges. This indicator is essential for traders who want to monitor funding rates and their impact on market trends.
Key Features
Exchange Coverage: Includes data from major exchanges such as Binance, Bitmex, Bybit, HTX, Kraken, OKX, Bitstamp, and Coinbase.
Perpetual Futures and Spot Markets: Fetches and analyzes pricing data from both perpetual futures and spot markets to provide a holistic view.
Smoothing and Customization: Allows users to smooth funding rates using a moving average, with customizable MA lengths for tailored analysis.
Dynamic Candle Coloring: Option to color candles based on trading conditions, enhancing visual analysis.
In the example below, the indicator shows how the funding rate shifts with market conditions, providing clear visual cues for bullish and bearish trends.
How it Works
Data Integration: Uses a secure security fetching function to retrieve pricing data while preventing look-ahead bias, ensuring accurate and reliable information.
TWAP Calculation: Computes Time-Weighted Average Prices (TWAP) for both perpetual futures and spot prices, forming the basis for funding rate calculations.
Funding Rate Calculation: Determines the raw funding rate by comparing TWAPs of perpetual futures and spot prices, then applies smoothing to highlight significant trends.
Color Coding: Highlights the funding rate with distinct colors (bullish and bearish), making it easier to interpret market conditions at a glance.
In the example below, the indicator effectively differentiates between bullish and bearish funding rates, aiding traders in making informed decisions based on current market dynamics.
Application
Market Analysis: Enables traders to analyze the impact of funding rates on market trends, facilitating more strategic decision-making.
Trend Identification: Assists in identifying potential market reversals by monitoring shifts in funding rates.
Customizable Settings: Provides extensive input settings for exchange selection, MA length, and candle coloring, allowing for personalized analysis.
The Funding Rate Indicator by is a powerful addition to any trader's toolkit, offering detailed insights into funding rates across multiple exchanges to navigate the cryptocurrency market effectively.
M2 Global Liquidity Index
The M2 Global Liquidity Index calculates a composite index reflecting the aggregate liquidity provided by the M2 money supply of five major currencies: Chinese Yuan (CNY), US Dollar (USD), Euro (EUR), Japanese Yen (JPY), and British Pound (GBP). The M2 money supply includes cash, checking deposits, and easily convertible near money. By incorporating exchange rates (CNY/USD, EUR/USD, JPY/USD, GBP/USD), the script adjusts each country's M2 supply to a common base (USD) and sums them up to produce a global liquidity metric. This metric, plotted on a daily timeframe, provides an overview of the total liquidity available in these five significant economies.
Understanding the M2 money supply is crucial for assessing liquidity because it represents the amount of money readily available in an economy for spending and investment. Higher M2 levels generally indicate more liquidity, suggesting easier access to capital for businesses and consumers, potentially leading to economic growth. Conversely, lower M2 levels can signify tighter liquidity conditions, possibly resulting in constrained spending and investment.
Market Cap / Revenue RatioA variation of the P/S ratio, this script takes the future estimated revenue of the current stock versus it's Market Cap. It then compares the aforementioned Market Cap:Revenue ratio against a market bellwether's corresponding ratio (MSFT by default) to determine the following:
- Light green when the ratio is extremely low (Stock is very undervalued)
- Green when the ratio is low (Stock's multiple is lower by 20-50%)
- Blue when the ratio is close to the benchmark (Stock is fairly valued to benchmark multiple)
- Red when the ratio is high (Stock's mulitple is higher by 50% or more)
- Dark red when the ratio is extremely high (Stock is very overvalued)
CONFIGURABLE
- Full Table: Show the entire calculation table
- Minimalist: Go minimal and show only the ratio and color code
- Show Benchmark Multiple: Show the multiple ratio calculated between the current stock and the benchmark stock (MSFT by default)
NOTES
- When calculating the Market Cap, TradingView sometimes under-reports the number of shares and thus skews the Market Cap too low. This seems to happen for stocks with multiple share classes like GOOGL so be mindful that the data can be wrong for these kinds of stocks. You can check on this by going into the Indicator's Settings and select Show Full Table which will show the number of shares outstanding reported by TradingView.
- For certain stocks such as foreign ADRs, there won't be a future revenue estimate so the script will automatically use the Total Revenue for the most recent Quarter in these cases
TASC 2024.06 REIT ETF Trading System█ OVERVIEW
This strategy script demonstrates the application of the Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) ETF trading system presented in the article by Markos Katsanos titled "Is The Price REIT?" from TASC's June 2024 edition of Traders' Tips .
█ CONCEPTS
REIT stocks and ETFs offer a simplified, diversified approach to real estate investment. They exhibit sensitivity to interest rates, often moving inversely to interest rate and treasury yield changes. Markos Katsanos explores this relationship and the correlation of prices with the broader market to develop a trading strategy for REIT ETFs.
The script employs Bollinger Bands and Donchian channel indicators to identify oversold conditions and trends in REIT ETFs. It incorporates the 10-year treasury yield index (TNX) as a proxy for interest rates and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as a benchmark for the overall market. The system filters trade entries based on their behavior and correlation with the REIT ETF price.
█ CALCULATIONS
The strategy initiates long entries (buy signals) under two conditions:
1. Oversold condition
The weekly ETF low price dips below the 15-week Bollinger Band bottom, the closing price is above the value by at least 0.2 * ATR ( Average True Range ), and the price exceeds the week's median.
Either of the following:
– The TNX index is down over 15% from its 25-week high, and its correlation with the ETF price is less than 0.3.
– The yield is below 2%.
2. Uptrend
The weekly ETF price crosses above the previous week's 30-week Donchian channel high.
The SPY ETF is above its 20-week moving average.
Either of the following:
– Over ten weeks have passed since the TNX index was at its 30-week high.
– The correlation between the TNX value and the ETF price exceeds 0.3.
– The yield is below 2%.
The strategy also includes three exit (sell) rules:
1. Trailing (Chandelier) stop
The weekly close drops below the highest close over the last five weeks by over 1.5 * ATR.
The TNX value rises over the latest 25 weeks, with a yield exceeding 4%, or its value surges over 15% above the 25-week low.
2. Stop-loss
The ETF's price declines by at least 8% of the previous week's close and falls below the 30-week moving average.
The SPY price is down by at least 8%, or its correlation with the ETF's price is negative.
3. Overbought condition
The ETF's value rises above the 100-week low by over 50%.
The ETF's price falls over 1.5 * ATR below the 3-week high.
The ETF's 10-week Stochastic indicator exceeds 90 within the last three weeks.
█ DISCLAIMER
This strategy script educates users on the system outlined by the TASC article. However, note that its default properties might not fully represent real-world trading conditions for an individual. By default, it uses 10% of equity as the order size and a slippage amount of 5 ticks. Traders should adjust these settings and the commission amount when using this script. Additionally, since this strategy utilizes compound conditions on weekly data to trigger orders, it will generate significantly fewer trades than other, higher-frequency strategies.
Profitability Power RatioProfitability Power Ratio
The Profitability Power Ratio is a financial metric designed to assess the efficiency of a company's operations by evaluating the relationship between its Enterprise Value (EV) and Return on Equity (ROE). This ratio provides insights into how effectively a company generates profits relative to its equity and overall valuation.
Qualities and Interpretations:
1. Efficiency Benchmark: The Profitability Power Ratio serves as a benchmark for evaluating how efficiently a company utilizes its equity capital to generate profits. A higher ratio indicates that the company is generating significant profits relative to its valuation, reflecting efficient use of invested capital.
2. Financial Health Indicator: This ratio can be used as an indicator of financial health. A consistently high or improving ratio over time suggests strong operational efficiency and sustainable profitability.
3. Investment Considerations: Investors can use this ratio to assess the attractiveness of an investment opportunity. A high ratio may signal potential for good returns, but it's important to consider the underlying reasons for the ratio's level to avoid misinterpretation.
4. Risk Evaluation: An excessively high Profitability Power Ratio could also signal elevated risk. It may indicate aggressive financial leveraging or unsustainable growth expectations, which could pose risks during economic downturns or market fluctuations.
Interpreting the Ratio:
1. Higher Ratio: A higher Profitability Power Ratio typically signifies efficient capital utilization and strong profitability relative to the company's valuation.
2. Lower Ratio: A lower ratio may suggest inefficiencies in capital allocation or lower profitability relative to enterprise value.
3. Benchmarking: Compare the company's ratio with industry peers and historical performance to gain deeper insights into its financial standing and operational efficiency.
Using the Indicator:
The Profitability Power Ratio is plotted on a chart to visualize trends and fluctuations over time. Users can customize the color of the plot to emphasize this metric and integrate it into their financial analysis toolkit for comprehensive decision-making.
Disclaimer: The Profitability Power Ratio is a financial metric designed for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Users should conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions based on this indicator. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All investments involve risks, and users are encouraged to consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making investment decisions.
Dividend-to-ROE RatioDividend-to-ROE Ratio Indicator
The Dividend-to-ROE Ratio indicator offers valuable insights into a company's dividend distribution relative to its profitability, specifically comparing the Dividend Payout Ratio (proportion of earnings as dividends) to the Return on Equity (ROE), a measure of profitability from shareholder equity.
Interpretation:
1. Higher Ratio: A higher Dividend-to-ROE Ratio suggests a stable dividend policy, where a significant portion of earnings is returned to shareholders. This can indicate consistent dividend payments, often appealing to income-seeking investors.
2. Lower Ratio: Conversely, a lower ratio implies that the company retains more earnings for growth, potentially signaling a focus on reinvestment for future expansion rather than immediate dividend payouts.
3. Excessively High Ratio: An exceptionally high ratio may raise concerns. While it could reflect a generous dividend policy, excessively high ratios might indicate that a company is distributing more earnings than it can sustainably afford. This could potentially hinder the company's ability to reinvest in its operations, research, or navigate economic downturns effectively.
Utility and Applications:
The Dividend-to-ROE Ratio can be particularly useful in the following scenarios:
1. Income-Oriented Investors: For investors seeking consistent dividend income, a higher ratio signifies a company's commitment to distributing profits to shareholders, potentially aligning with income-oriented investment strategies.
2. Financial Health Assessment: Analysts and stakeholders can use this ratio to gauge a company's financial health and dividend sustainability. It provides insights into management's capital allocation decisions and strategic focus.
3. Comparative Analysis: When comparing companies within the same industry, this ratio helps in benchmarking dividend policies and identifying outliers with unusually high or low ratios.
Considerations:
1. Contextual Analysis: Interpretation should be contextualized within industry standards and the company's financial history. Comparing the ratio with peers in the same sector can provide meaningful insights.
2. Financial Health: It's crucial to evaluate this indicator alongside other financial metrics (like cash flow, debt levels, and profit margins) to grasp the company's overall financial health and sustainability of its dividend policy.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct thorough research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions based on this ratio.
CAPEX RatioUnderstanding the CAPEX Ratio: An Essential Financial Metric
Introduction
In the world of finance, understanding how companies allocate their resources and reinvest their earnings is crucial for investors and analysts. One fundamental metric used to assess a company's investment behavior is the CAPEX Ratio. This article delves into what the CAPEX Ratio signifies, its advantages, and how to interpret its implications.
What is the CAPEX Ratio?
The CAPEX Ratio, short for Capital Expenditure Ratio, is a financial indicator that measures the proportion of a company's capital expenditures (CAPEX) relative to various financial metrics such as revenue, free cash flow, net income, or total assets. CAPEX represents investments made by a company to acquire or maintain its physical assets.
Interpreting the Results
Each variant of the CAPEX Ratio provides unique insights into a company's financial strategy:
• CAPEX to Revenue Ratio: This ratio shows what portion of a company's revenue is being reinvested into capital investments. A higher ratio might indicate aggressive expansion plans or a need for infrastructure upgrades.
• CAPEX to Free Cash Flow Ratio: By comparing CAPEX with free cash flow, this ratio reveals how much of a company's available cash is dedicated to capital investments. It helps assess financial health and sustainability.
• CAPEX to Net Income Ratio: This ratio measures how much of a company's net income is being channeled back into capital expenditures. A high ratio relative to net income could signal a company's commitment to growth and development.
• CAPEX to Total Assets Ratio: This metric assesses the proportion of total assets being allocated towards capital expenditures. It provides a perspective on the company's investment intensity relative to its overall asset base.
Advantages of Using CAPEX Ratios
• Insight into Investment Strategy: Helps investors understand where a company is directing its resources.
• Evaluation of Financial Health: Indicates how efficiently a company is reinvesting profits or available cash.
• Comparative Analysis: Enables comparisons across companies or industries to gauge investment priorities.
How to Use the CAPEX Ratio
• Comparative Analysis: Compare the CAPEX Ratios over time or against industry peers to spot trends or outliers.
• Investment Decision-Making: Consider CAPEX Ratios alongside other financial metrics when making investment decisions.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the CAPEX Ratio is a valuable financial metric that offers deep insights into a company's investment behavior and financial health. By analyzing different variants of this ratio, investors and analysts can make informed decisions about a company's growth prospects and financial stability.
Institutional Activity Index [AlgoAlpha]🌟 Introducing the Institutional Activity Index by AlgoAlpha 🌟
Welcome to a powerful new indicator designed to gauge institutional trading activity! This cutting-edge tool combines volume analysis with price movement to derive a unique index that shines a spotlight on potential institutional moves in the market. 🎯📈
Key Features:
🔍 Normalization Period : Adjust the look-back period for normalization to tailor the sensitivity to your trading strategy.
📊 Moving Average Types : Choose from SMA, HMA, EMA, RMA, WMA, or VWMA to smooth the index and pinpoint trends.
🌈 Color-Coded Trends : Instant visual feedback on index trend direction with customizable up and down colors.
🔔 Alerts : Set alerts for when the index shows increasing activity, decreasing activity, or has reached a peak.
Quick Guide to Using the Institutional Activity Index:
1. 📝 Add the Indicator: Add the indicator to favorites. Adjust the normalization period, MA type, and peak detection settings to match your trading style.
2. 📈 Market Analysis: Similar to volume that reflects the amount of collective trading activity, this index reflects an estimate of the amount of trading activity by institutions. A higher value means that institutions are trading the asset more, this can mean selling or buying as the indicator does not indicate direction . Look out for peak signals, which may indicate that institutions have already secured positions in preparation for a move in price.
3. 🔔 Set Alerts: Enable alerts to notify you when there is a significant change in the activity levels or a new peak is detected, allowing for timely decisions without constant monitoring.
How It Works: 🛠
It is common knowledge that institutions trade with high amounts of capital, but employ tactics so as to not move the price significantly when entering on positions. This can be done by entering in times of high liquidity so that when an institution buys, there are enough sellers to cancel out the price movements and prevent a huge pump in price and vice versa. The Institutional Activity Index calculates liquidity by measuring the volume relative to the price range (close-open). This value is smoothed using median and a user defined moving average type and period, enhancing its clarity. If normalization is enabled, the index is adjusted relative to its range over a user-defined period, making the data comparable across different conditions.
Embrace this innovative tool to enhance your trading insights and strategies! 🚀✨
Fair Value Calculator V 1.0Fair Value Calculator V 1.0
This indicator calculates the fair value of a stock based on the revenue growth rate and net profit margin of a company, providing a quick estimate of its intrinsic worth. The calculation takes into account:
Current Revenue: The company's current revenue
5-Year Growth Rate: Expected revenue annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next 5 years
Average PE Ratio: The average Price-to-Earnings ratio for the next 5 years
Average Profit Margin: The average profit margin for the next 5 years
Share Outstanding: The total number of shares outstanding
Yearly Share Buyback Rate: The percentage of shares bought back by the company each year
Discount Rate: The rate used to calculate the present value of the fair value
Using these inputs, the indicator estimates the fair value of the stock, providing a valuable tool for investors and traders to make informed decisions.
Note: all values can be adjusted by the user by entering the desired value and selecting the item in the setup menu.
How it works
The indicator calculates the future revenue based on the current revenue and the expected revenue annual growth rate (CAGR).
It then estimates the future earnings using the average profit margin.
The future price is calculated using the exit value of the PE ratio.
The present value of the fair value is calculated using the discount rate.
The indicator adjusts the fair value based on the yearly share buyback rate.
Benefits
Provides a quick but valuable estimate of a stock's fair value based on the revenue growth and the expected profit.
Helps investors and traders identify undervalued or overvalued stocks.
Allows users to adjust inputs to suit their own assumptions and scenarios.
Note
This indicator is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Always do your own research and consider multiple perspectives before making investment decisions.
Crypto Realized Profits/Losses Extremes [AlgoAlpha]🌟🚀 Introducing the Crypto Realized Profits/Losses Extremes Indicator by AlgoAlpha 🚀🌟
Unlock the potential of cryptocurrency markets with our cutting-edge On-Chain Pine Script™ indicator, designed to highlight extreme realized profit and loss zones! 🎯📈
Key Features:
✨ Realized Profits/Losses Calculation: Uses real-time data from the blockchain to monitor profit and loss realization events.
📊 Multi-Crypto Compatibility: The Indicator is compatible on other Crypto tickers besides Bitcoin.
⚙️ Customizable Sensitivity: Adjust the look-back period, normalization period, and deviation thresholds to tailor the indicator to your trading style.
🎨 Visual Enhancements: Choose from a variety of colors for up and down trends, and toggle extreme profit/loss overlay for easy viewing.
🔔 Integrated Alerts: Set up alerts for high and extreme profit or loss conditions, helping you stay ahead of significant market movements.
🔍 How to Use:
🛠 Add the Indicator: Add the indicator to favorites. Customize settings like period lengths and deviation thresholds according to your needs.
📊 Market Analysis: Monitor the main oscillator and the bands to understand current profit and loss extremes in the market. When the oscillator is at the upper band, this means that the market is doing really well and traders/investors will be likely to take profit and cause a reversal. The opposite is true when the oscillator reaches the lower band. The main oscillator can also be used for trend analysis.
🔔 Set Alerts: Configure alerts to notify you when the market enters a zone of high profit or loss, or during trend changes, enabling timely decisions without constant monitoring.
How It Works:
The indicator calculates a normalized area under the RSI curve applied on on-chain data regarding the number of wallets in profit. It employs a custom "src" variable that aggregates data from the blockchain about profit and loss addresses, adapting to intraday or longer timeframes as needed. The main oscillator plots this normalized area, while the upper and lower bands are plotted based on a deviation metric to identify extreme conditions. Colored fills between these bands visually denote these zones. For interaction, the indicator plots bubbles for extreme profits or losses and provides optional bar coloring to reflect the current market trend.
🚀💹 Enjoy a comprehensive, customizable, and visually engaging tool that helps you stay ahead in the fast-paced crypto market!
US Net LiquidityAnalysis of US Net Liquidity: A Comprehensive Overview
Introduction:
The "US Net Liquidity" indicator offers a detailed analysis of liquidity conditions within the United States, drawing insights from critical financial metrics related to the Federal Reserve (FED) and other government accounts. This tool enables economists to assess liquidity dynamics, identify trends, and inform economic decision-making.
Key Metrics and Interpretation:
1. Smoothing Period: This parameter adjusts the level of detail in the analysis by applying a moving average to the liquidity data. A longer smoothing period results in a smoother trend line, useful for identifying broader liquidity patterns over time.
2. Data Source (Timeframe): Specifies the timeframe of the data used for analysis, typically daily (D). Different timeframes can provide varying perspectives on liquidity trends.
3. Data Categories:
- FED Balance Sheet: Represents the assets and liabilities of the Federal Reserve, offering insights into monetary policy and market interventions.
- US Treasury General Account (TGA): Tracks the balance of the US Treasury's general account, reflecting government cash management and financial stability.
- Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP): Highlights short-term borrowing and lending operations between financial institutions and the Federal Reserve, influencing liquidity conditions.
- Earnings Remittances to the Treasury: Indicates revenues transferred to the US Treasury from various sources, impacting government cash flow and liquidity.
4. Moving Average Length: Determines the duration of the moving average applied to the data. A longer moving average length smoothens out short-term fluctuations, emphasizing longer-term liquidity trends.
Variation Lookback Length: Specifies the historical period used to assess changes and variations in liquidity. A longer lookback length captures more extended trends and fluctuations.
Interpretation:
1. Data Retrieval: Real-time data from specified financial instruments (assets) is retrieved to calculate balances for each category (FED, TGA, RRP, Earnings Remittances).
2. Global Balance Calculation: The global liquidity balance is computed by aggregating the balances of individual categories (FED Balance - TGA Balance - RRP Balance - Earnings Remittances Balance). This metric provides a comprehensive view of net liquidity.
3. Smoothed Global Balance (SMA): The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is applied to the global liquidity balance to enhance clarity and identify underlying trends. A rising SMA suggests improving liquidity conditions, while a declining SMA may indicate tightening liquidity.
Insight Generation and Decision-Making:
1. Trend Analysis: By analyzing smoothed liquidity trends over time, economists can identify periods of liquidity surplus or deficit, which can inform monetary policy decisions and market interventions.
2. Forecasting: Understanding liquidity dynamics aids in economic forecasting, particularly in predicting market liquidity, interest rate movements, and financial stability.
3. Policy Implications: Insights derived from this analysis tool can guide policymakers in formulating effective monetary policies, managing government cash flow, and ensuring financial stability.
Conclusion:
The "US Net Liquidity" analysis tool serves as a valuable resource for economists, offering a data-driven approach to understanding liquidity dynamics within the US economy. By interpreting key metrics and trends, economists can make informed decisions and contribute to macroeconomic stability and growth.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on real-time financial data and should be used for informational purposes only. It is not intended as financial advice or a substitute for professional expertise.
[Comparative CPI SGM]Code Explanation
User Inputs:
len: Defines the period over which CPI changes are calculated, with selectable options of 12, 6, and 3 months.
CP1 and CP2: These are the economic zones whose CPI data are being compared. The options include CPI from various regions like the EU, USA, UK, etc.
Calculating and Comparing Changes:
Calculates the annual change for each CPI and then computes the difference between these two changes.
Trading Utility
In trading, CPI variations are key indicators of inflation within different economic regions. Monetary policy decisions by central banks, heavily influenced by these data, significantly impact financial markets, especially in forex and bond markets.
Monetary Policy Forecasting:
If inflation in one region is significantly higher than in another, the central bank might raise interest rates, potentially strengthening that region's currency.
Currency Trading Strategy:
Traders might use this indicator to speculate on currency pair movements. For example, if US CPI is rising faster than the EU CPI, this might suggest a potential appreciation of the USD against the EUR.
Macroeconomic Analysis:
Understanding where inflation pressures are strongest can guide longer-term investment decisions, such as choosing between emerging and developed markets.
[BT] NedDavis Series: CPI Minus 5-Year Moving Average🟧 GENERAL
The script works on the Monthly Timeframe and has 2 main settings (explained in FEATURES ). It uses the US CPI data, reported by the Bureau of Labour Statistics.
🔹Functionality 1: The main idea is to plot the distance between the CPI line and the 5 year moving average of the CPI line. This technique in mathematics is called "deviation from the moving average". This technique is used to analyse how has CPI previously acted and can give clues at what it might do in the future. Economic historians use such analysis, together with specific period analysis to predict potential risks in the future (see an example of such analysis in HOW TO USE section. The mathematical technique is a simple subtraction between 2 points (CPI - 5yr SMA of CPI).
▶︎Interpretation for deviation from a moving average:
Positive Deviation: When the line is above its moving average, it indicates that the current value is higher than the average, suggesting potential strength or bullish sentiment.
Negative Deviation: Conversely, when the line falls below its moving average, it suggests weakness or bearish sentiment as the current value is lower than the average.
▶︎Applications:
Trend Identification: Deviations from moving averages can help identify trends, with sustained deviations indicating strong trends.
Reversal Signals: Significant deviations from moving averages may signal potential trend reversals, especially when combined with other technical indicators.
Volatility Measurement: Monitoring the magnitude of deviations can provide insights into market volatility and price movements.
Remember the indicator is applying this only for the US CPI - not the ticker you apply the indicator on!
🔹Functionality 2: It plots on a new pane below information about the Consumer Price Index. You can also find the information by plotting the ticker symbol USACPIALLMINMEI on TradingView, which is a Monthly economic data by the OECD for the CPI in the US. The only addition you would get from the indicator is the plot of the 5 year Simple Moving Average.
🔹What is the US Consumer Price Index?
Measures the change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers;
Traders care about the CPI because consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate;
It is measured as the average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics;
FEATURES OF INDICATOR
1) The US Consumer Price Index Minus the Five Year Moving Average of the same.
As shown on the picture above and explained in previous section. Here a more detailed view.
2) The actual US Consumer Price Index (Annual Rate of change) and the Five year average of the US Consumer Price Index. Explained above and shown below:
To activate 2) go into settings and toggle the check box.
HOW TO USE
It can be used for a fundamental analysis on the relationship between the stock market, the economy and the Feds decisions to hike or cut rates, whose main mandate is to control inflation over time.
I have created this indicator to show my analysis in this idea:
What does a First Fed Rate cut really mean?
CREDITS
I have seen such idea in the past posted by the institutional grade research of NedDavis and have recreated it for the TradingView platform, open-source for the community.
HTF Matrix TableThis is a Higher Time Frame Table like the Intra-Day Table that I also have available.
ICT stresses time and liquidity levels in his teachings. This table helps to easily locate these key Time-based price levels. You can use these levels to determine your directional bias and to help generate your narrative for where the market is going.
This indicator creates a table that gives you the price for the following liquidity levels:
*Price* - Current Price
PMH - Previous Month High
PMO - Previous Month Open
PM MT - Previous Month Mean Threshold (Midpoint of candle body)
(Calculated by:
if pmo > pmc
pm_mt := ((pmo-pmc)/2)+pmc
if pmo < pmc
pm_mt := ((pmc-pmo)/2)+pmo)
PMC - Previous Month Close
PML - Previous Month Low
PWH - Previous Week High
PWO - Previous Week Open
PW MT - Previous Week Mean Threshold (Midpoint of candle body)
Calculated by:
if pwo > pwc
pw_mt := ((pwo-pwc)/2)+pwc
if pwo < pwc
pw_mt := ((pwc-pwo)/2)+pwo)
PWC - Previous Week Close
PWL - Previous Week Low
PDO - Previous Day Open
PDH - Previous Day High
PDL - Previous Day Low
PDC - Previous Day Close
PDEQ - Equilibrium of the previous day's range.
(Calculated by math.abs(((pdh-pdl)/2)+pdl))
PDH2 - Two Days Back High
PDL2 - Two Days Back Low
PDH3 - Three Days Back High
PDL3 - Three Days Back Low
Gives you the opening price for the following times:
Midnight Open
NY Open
Lets you set the time for the Asia and London sessions and will give the high and low for those two sessions.
Asia High
Asia Low
London High
London Low
Ability to hide either the table or lines.
The levels are sorted descending in price in the table, with the background colored based on their relation to price. The prices are also plotted on the chart based on the range you specify in relation to the current price. These lines are also colored based on their relation to price.
This indicator does not give you anything but the price at a specific time, you must determine your own bias and narrative based on the levels that are given.
The indicator runs on the seconds chart.
Smart Money Liquidity Heatmap [AlgoAlpha]🌟📈 Introducing the Smart Money Liquidity Heatmap by AlgoAlpha! 🗺️🚀
Dive into the depths of market liquidity with our innovative Pine Script™ indicator designed to illuminate the trading actions of smart money! This meticulously crafted tool provides an enhanced visualization of liquidity flow, highlighting the dynamics between smart and retail investors directly on your chart! 🌐🔍
🙌 Key Features of the Smart Money Liquidity Heatmap:
🖼️ Visual Clarity: Uses vibrant heatmap colors to represent liquidity concentrations, making it easier to spot significant trading zones.
🔧 Customizable Settings: Adjust index periods, volume flow periods, and more to tailor the heatmap to your trading strategy.
📊 Dynamic Ratios: Computes the ratio of smart money to retail trading activity, providing insights into who is driving market movements.
👓 Transparency Options: Modify color intensity for better visibility against various chart backgrounds.
🛠 How to Use the Smart Money Liquidity Heatmap:
1️⃣ Add the Indicator:
Add the indicator to favourites. Customize settings to align with your trading preferences, including periods for index calculation and volume flow.
2️⃣ Market Analysis:
Monitor the heatmap for high liquidity zones signalled by the heatmap. These are potential areas where smart money is actively engaging, providing crucial insights into market dynamics.
Basic Logic Behind the Indicator:
The Smart Money Liquidity Heatmap utilizes the Smart Money Interest Index Indicator and operates by differentiating between the trading behaviors of informed (smart money) and less-informed (retail) traders. It calculates the differences between specific volume indices—Positive Volume Index (PVI) for retail investors and Negative Volume Index (NVI) for institutional players—and their respective moving averages, highlighting these differences using the Relative Strength Index (RSI) over user-specified periods. This calculation generates a ratio that is then normalized and compared against a threshold to identify areas of high institutional trading interest, visually representing these zones on your chart as vibrant heatmaps. This enables traders to visually identify where significant trading activities among smart money are occurring, potentially signalling important buying or selling opportunities.
🎉 Elevate your trading experience with precision, insight, and clarity by integrating the Smart Money Liquidity Heatmap into your toolkit today!
[Global Contraction Expansion Index SGM]Script Features
Dynamic Period Choice: The user can adjust the calculation period (period) for relative performance, allowing flexibility according to specific market analysis needs.
Sector Selection: The script takes into account different economic sectors through well-known ETFs like QQQ (technology), XLF (financial), XLY (consumer discretionary), XLV (healthcare), XLI (industrial) and XLE (energy). This diversification helps gain a general overview of economic health across different market segments.
Relative Performance Calculation: For each sector, the script calculates the relative performance using a simple moving average (SMA) of the price change over the specified period. This helps identify price trends adjusted for normal market fluctuations.
GCEI Index: The GCEI Index is calculated as the average of the relative performance of all sectors, multiplied by 100 to express it as a percentage. This provides an overall indicator of sectoral economic performance.
Crossover Signals: The script detects and marks points where the overall index (GCEI) crosses its own exponential moving average (emaGCEI), indicating potential changes in the overall trend of market performance.
Visualization: Results are visualized through graphs, where positive and negative regions are colored differently. Fills between the zero line and the index curves make it easy to see periods of contraction or expansion
When this index diverges from the SP500, it may be a sign that the technology sector is outperforming other sectors.
[Forex Fondamental Overview SGM]Fundamental analysis tool designed for currency trading in financial markets. The script generates a dashboard that displays key economic indicators for two selected currencies. Here is what makes this script particularly interesting for a trader:
1. Direct comparison between two currencies: The script allows you to choose two currencies (from a predefined list) and directly compare their key economic indicators such as interest rate, GDP growth, debt-to-GDP ratio, unemployment rate, inflation (CPI and PPI), and the services and manufacturing PMI indices. This gives you immediate insight into the economic strengths and weaknesses of each currency, which is crucial for making informed trading decisions.
2. Automatic data updating: Indicator values are updated automatically using security requests (request.security) that pull the most recent data available. This means you don't need to manually update data or check multiple sources; the script takes care of that for you.
3. Currency Relative Strength Calculation: The script calculates a strength index for each currency based on its economic indicators, and then it determines a relative strength index for the currency pair. This allows you to quickly see which currency is currently strongest, providing a basis for "buy strength, sell weakness" trading strategies.
4. Intuitive visualization: Results are presented in clear tables with colored indicators, making the information quickly digestible. For example, the background color changes depending on the relative strength of the currency pair, giving you an immediate visual signal of the overall trend.
5. Adaptability to different trading strategies: Whether you are a swing trader, a day trader, or a scalper, understanding the economic state of currencies can help you align your trading positions with underlying macroeconomic trends. This script gives you this information without requiring detailed economic analysis on your part.
In short, this script is a powerful tool for any Forex trader who wants to integrate fundamental analysis into their trading routine without bothering with the complexity of tracking and analyzing a multitude of economic indicators manually.
PPN - Token compare to USDT/BTCThis simple indicator allows you to easily view the price of a selected cryptocurrency token in either USDT or BTC on TradingView charts. By adding this indicator to your chart, you can quickly compare the price of the token to either USDT (Tether) or BTC (Bitcoin).
**Features:**
- Choose between displaying the token price in USDT or BTC.
- Automatically detects the current trading pair and adjusts the display accordingly.
- Uses data from the BINANCE exchange to fetch real-time prices.
**How to Use:**
1. Add the indicator to your TradingView chart.
2. Select the desired ticker ending (USDT or BTC) in the indicator settings.
3. Pin the indicator to a new scale (More -> Pin to Scale -> New scale or no scale (fullscreen).
**Note:** This indicator is intended for informational purposes only and should not be used as the sole basis for making trading decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
---
Feel free to use and modify! <3
Message me on TradingView if you have any suggestions!
