On the last chart I mentioned that XMR could have broken upwards if the downtrend was beaten. Unfortunately, this was not the case and the 50% retrace took place instead.
While the support was broken, XMR has been tightly trading around that level, 140-160. If we combine the general setup now and assume market manipulators have filled up their bags, a series of bullish confirmations might take place over the next 2 weeks.
1. The resistance at 140-160 becomes support again.
2. The price starts trending above the kijun-sen.
3. The ichimoku trendlines cross into a bull configuration.
4. Volume starts picking up, and it breaks the wedge.
5. Indicators in general reach a neutral point and investors start a bullish feedback cycle with them.
My guess for a price target within the next two months, if the above-described series of events happen, is at least 500 USD.