PREPWORK FOR 9/30 DRAFT 2
HEADER - This is a theoretical followup to previous post, PREPWORK FOR 9/30.
SUMMARY - The first 4 BOXES ARE ALL CONDITIONAL. This means that I don't want to talk about this until price really does make it through BOX 4.
DETAILS - See previous post for how we got here.
SUMMARY - The first 4 BOXES ARE ALL CONDITIONAL. This means that I don't want to talk about this until price really does make it through BOX 4.
DETAILS - See previous post for how we got here.
Comentário:
9/26 6:33 PM ET 1901.XX
a) it's getting late for the move to start
b) so in effect, odds are disappearing
c) if it moved before 2 PM, it would need to hit 1925-ish by WED 3PM
d) if it moves now, it needs 1928-ish
e) if it moves at midnight, it would need 1931-1932
f) why?
g) in order to keep regression waves "in order"
h) while BOX 1 have barely started, odds of regressions staying in order are not looking good
a) it's getting late for the move to start
b) so in effect, odds are disappearing
c) if it moved before 2 PM, it would need to hit 1925-ish by WED 3PM
d) if it moves now, it needs 1928-ish
e) if it moves at midnight, it would need 1931-1932
f) why?
g) in order to keep regression waves "in order"
h) while BOX 1 have barely started, odds of regressions staying in order are not looking good
Comentário:
7:14 PM ET, PRICE DOESN'T STAY IN THIS ELLIPSE FOR A LONG TIME:
a) so it usually doesn't go down this far while red wave remains over gray wave
b) that is unless it spikes up again
c) or gets pushed slowly to 1875 area
b) that is unless it spikes up again
c) or gets pushed slowly to 1875 area
Comentário:
4:40 AM ET 9/27
1) took blue route
2) wants 1885
1) took blue route
2) wants 1885
Comentário:
3) bulls putting in fight for 1904
4] but too little too late to make a difference
4] but too little too late to make a difference
Comentário:
5) 7:36 AM ET, 1893.xx
6) first signs of a bottom at 1892.5
7) today's max vol for bulls is 1910-1915
8) there is opportunity, but no action yet
6) first signs of a bottom at 1892.5
7) today's max vol for bulls is 1910-1915
8) there is opportunity, but no action yet
Comentário:
12:30 PM ET 1876.XX
1) multiple short and intermediate 2 standard deviations bollingers going off
2) it is EXTREMELY out of bounds
3) but I am too scared to do anything about it
1) multiple short and intermediate 2 standard deviations bollingers going off
2) it is EXTREMELY out of bounds
3) but I am too scared to do anything about it
Comentário:
4) on normal vol basis we don't get to 1875 until 10/05 and 10/06
Comentário:
5) but what's so cool about today is I have a way to catch even this move now
6) I just need 10 screens going all the time
6) I just need 10 screens going all the time
Comentário:
7)
Comentário:
8) that's almost 3 standard deviations on the 14-day
9) I'm itching to buy here but haven't pulled the trigger
9) I'm itching to buy here but haven't pulled the trigger
Comentário:
10) 1:40 PM ET 1873.XX, obviously DRAFT 2 has been dead, but I got AN AMAZING DRAFT 3!
11) so I think I got what it wants to do
12) this part took a while bc it wasn't possible until it did what it did today
13) which is get under 1885 AND HELD AND KEPT DROPPING
14) so we are in for another leg down by 10/13
15) this time 1760s is first look
16) I don't have the path down yet but it's gonna get ugly
11) so I think I got what it wants to do
12) this part took a while bc it wasn't possible until it did what it did today
13) which is get under 1885 AND HELD AND KEPT DROPPING
14) so we are in for another leg down by 10/13
15) this time 1760s is first look
16) I don't have the path down yet but it's gonna get ugly
Comentário:
17) minutes later..
18) so there are 2 legit targets, first 1775
18) so there are 2 legit targets, first 1775
Comentário:
19) I'm trying to disprove 1675
Comentário:
20) oh my god God.. it's 1635, I checked and double checked
Comentário:
21) so it's 1775 and 1635
22) I am so excited I can't contain myself...
23) why?
24) that's 240 down from 1875
25) and no one is going to see it coming unless they have this technique
22) I am so excited I can't contain myself...
23) why?
24) that's 240 down from 1875
25) and no one is going to see it coming unless they have this technique
Comentário:
26) stay with me for DRAFT 3
27) from 10/01 to 10/13 I will provide around the clock 20 hours a day updates
27) from 10/01 to 10/13 I will provide around the clock 20 hours a day updates
Comentário:
28) let's make big BIG MONEY!
Comentário:
29) 9/27, 2/06 PM
30) so 1775-1800 first, then 1630
31) THIS IS 200% LEGIT!
32) I am not pulling your leg
30) so 1775-1800 first, then 1630
31) THIS IS 200% LEGIT!
32) I am not pulling your leg
Comentário:
33) 9/27 7:43 PM ET 1876.XX
34) it looks like a liquid crisis pattern
35) so first thing is, fractal math in my head says we should go to 1840s
36) and then bounce back up to 1875-ish
37) then we crash continuously
34) it looks like a liquid crisis pattern
35) so first thing is, fractal math in my head says we should go to 1840s
36) and then bounce back up to 1875-ish
37) then we crash continuously
Comentário:
38) I don't have DRAFT 3 READY
39) I intend to have it ready before Sunday open on 10/0
39) I intend to have it ready before Sunday open on 10/0
Comentário:
Typo, 10/01.
Comentário:
9/27 10:29 PM ET - THIS POST HAS ENDED - HERE IS DRAFT 3:
a) the bollingers say price has been out of bounds since 1903
b) but it keeps falling
c) DRAFT 2 could be dead right now the way things look