XAU/USD 28 October - 01 November 2024 Weekly Analysis

Weekly Analysis:

Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.

Price has continued its surge, reaching new all-time highs with no signs yet of bearish pullback phase initiation.

The initial indication of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price's ongoing ascent has now positioned CHoCH significantly closer to most recent price action.

Weekly Chart: captura

Daily Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Price has sustained its upward surge since printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), driven by softer U.S. macroeconomic data and heightened geopolitical tensions.

Following bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated, though there are currently no signs of it materialising. The first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which is marked by a blue dotted line.

Price could potentially achieve new highs, bringing the bearish CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price action. This proximity would provide a realistic opportunity for price to signal the initiation of a bearish pullback phase.

Daily Chart: captura

H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Gold’s rally persists amid the Fed’s dovish tone and heightened geopolitical tensions, solidifying its safe-haven appeal.

Price has printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling—but not yet confirming—the start of a bearish pullback phase.

Intraday Expectation: Despite the bearish CHoCH, price has yet to pull back into the internal 50% EQ discount. We could see a reaction at the H4 supply level before any confirmation of bearish pullback initiation.

Technical Note: The strong high at 2,758.525 is anticipated to remain protected. However, with CHoCH positioning on the daily timeframe somewhat distant, price may print a bullish iBOS in the near term to align with the daily timeframe’s movement.

H4 Chart: captura
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