Gold moved pretty much sideways last week, building up strength to break the October high. The question is not whether the breakout will happen or not, but how deep the retracement will be. Will it be a deep retracement and the start of a choppy price action like last year or not?
Yields have been falling in recent weeks on expectations of a cut next year. With the projection from the FOMC Minutes stable at 5.25-5.5%, yields are likely to rise for a while, which could lead to choppy price action on gold.
Silver has formed a very strong candle, suggesting some bullish movement in gold. Silver is also approaching the reaction area. This is another indication that we may see a significant correction very soon or some kind of consolidation.
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