Gold has shown incredible momentum since our bullish bat harmonic pattern analysis. In this chart, we assess a potentially bullish broadening top pattern on the hourly chart.
Bullish Evidence
- Based on Elliott Waves, we can count the completion of Impulse Waves (12345) - Inside the broadening top pattern, we can count Elliott Triangle Waves (ABCDE) - We have seen a bullish hammer candle form right before, demonstrating buyer interest
Bearish Evidence
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a downtrend, with the creation of lower highs and lower lows - The Moving Average Convergence Dviergence (MACD) shows increasing bearish histograms - The broadening top could also be a bearish pattern - We have strong resistance above the broadening top's ascending trend line resistance
What We Believe
Should the broadening top's trend line support hold - even better if the 0.236 Fibonacci support holds as well - we could see a potential breakout attempt for Gold. However, a break and close below the descending trend line support would confirm a bearish pattern.
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