#5-4 THE MOST ACCURATE GOLD FORECAST IN THE WORLD para FX_IDC:XAUUSD de Binary_Forecasting_Service

#5-4 THE MOST ACCURATE GOLD FORECAST IN THE WORLD

SUMMARY - This is the 11/15/23, 15-min bar and 49-hour completely detailed, CONTINUOUS EVOLVING FORECAST for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. This the follow up to the what the PPI rugpull that destroyed our bullish dreams in #5-3. No matter, MQP returns to you with another "manipulated curve." What is a manipulated curve? It is when price action will take a route THAT IS NOT FORECAST-ABLE. That can only be "made up." Why? Because the price action is manipulated. How would one prove that? If price hits ALL BOXES, then I just proved it, AGAIN. We'll get into that another time.

WARNING - As a precaution, the first rule of trading is don't lose money. As a reminder, the second rule of trading is don't forget the first rule. As usual, this MUST be used with continuing notes posted the following 12-16 hours to supplement - not replace - your trading discipline and risk management. As of late, forecasts are once/twice per day to be continuously relevant. As always, when price action disagrees with forecast meaningfully and I do not respond in time, SCRAP THE FORECAST and trade defensively.

HOW TO USE - Blues are strong bull routes. Oranges are strong bear routes (none this time). The darker the color, the more likely price action will take that path.

DETAILS - Links for most recent and relevant posts are below for background and how we got here. I recommend that you replay them (especially if you are new to us) occasionally as frame of reference, but most importantly, as evidence that these forecasts help you cash day in and day out. Ask my readers.

IF MY FORECASTS HELP YOU MAKE REAL MONEY - Want more posts, more accuracy, and around the clock updates? Help me out by spreading the word to people you know PERSONALLY. Word of mouth is the best way help make this a thing. The more demand I have for this, the more posts on more tickers I will make. The current rates of followers and readership is really not worth it for me to keep going, bu I keep trying everyday to make you money. If you don't have friends because your wife say they are too much fun, well then I guess hit the boost/like button.

Nota

4:33 PM ET, This won't get exciting until midnight tonight. I will be back then. If I have to stay up ALL OF THURSDAY AND FRIDAY to deliver you the goods, so be it. (I won't actually be doing that, just saying for effect b/c I am SUPER EXCITED ABOUT THIS ONE).

Nota

6:00 PM If you followed my notes since 9/12. We've hit it out of the park every week. AND NONE OF THOSE TIMES... do I like my odds like i do this one.
a) it's going to be obvious once it gets going
b) it's 1960, I'll call 2050 for an even 90 by Friday 5PM ET, 4 CT (indludes extra hour aftermafket to nail 2050)

Nota

c) if you can be up a bit between now and then..
d) you ARE GOING TO MAKE serious dough
e) especially if you understand leverage

Nota

6:06 PM ET 1960.48, now to midnight i'll be a bit slow, BUT THE LOW IS NOW...
a) I'm talking within a point of it
b) so if you ARE NOT USING LEVERAGE, GET IN NOW!!

Nota

6:11 PM ET, look there are no guarantees in life.
a) but if you read my material
b) there's not that many times that I am THIS COMMITTED
c) but a stop at '58 and trail slowly all the way up

Nota

d) do it and send me a cake later or something

Nota

e) if you are conservative, wait until midnight or 1 AM
f) it will then be done with the first 1-2, 1-2 (first two stair cases)

Nota

8.17 PM STOPPED OUT '58 AND WAITING.

Nota

8.16 back in 57...

Nota

Stop 56

Nota

** Typos from my phone
1) got back a bit before 9:17 PM, having phone troubles 1957.6
2) my stop i is '56
3) the has shifted just a bit
4) but the thesis is sound
5) again, not expecting a lot before midnight 1AM

Nota

6) I gotta tighten up here, did not see that long of a "1-2" coming
7) not sure what that means for the second 1-2, if I see something I'll add

Nota

11:10 PM ET, looks like this now:

Nota

12:14, yeah so 1963.xx and slowly getting up there...
a) I know i said something about staying up
b) but I am tired AF
c) so see you in the morning or if I wake up in the middle of 4 am something
d) goodnight

Nota

e) and another round of begging for support
f) if you this material and it helps you win
g) please tell some people you know personally about it
h) bc it would help make more
i) etc...
j thank you, and dont' try to short his move unless you are a professional

Nota

1:21 AM ET, 1964.xx, if you are waiting for another entry...
1) it looks like 3 AM now, but honestly just a guess now
2) this is bc the first "1-2" stair case took so much of the time
3) the wave structure is sloped up not sideways like it was before so

Nota

1:50 AM... just hit '67? let me see

Nota

a) so from my end...
b) if it checks down to 62-64, buy it
c) I'm not saying it will
d) I'm saying if it does, that's the last good spot get in
e) that's around 3 AM

Nota

f) bc the NEXT one is when checks DOWN TO 1975 from higher:

Nota

g) if you are a scalper by trade
h) long every retrace bc this will all the way up to Friday afternoon 2050

Nota

2:00 AM, I know this might be annoying...
a) it looks like it's going to 1971 BEFORE the next checkdown
b) in which case, the best you can hope for is ...
c) hold on

Nota

d) if it does move to '71 first, then the best you can hope for is '65-66

Nota

7:46 AM ET, I know it needs an update, just woke up, too tired, sorry. Until then, play defense.

Nota

8:21 AM, 65.XX sorry went back to sleep. Just woke up again.
1) for those that are new to us
2) when plan is off by a couple of hours, and I'm not available SCRAP plan..
3) I say this in the WARNING, but to be clear...
4) still looking structure now

Nota

8:36 AM ET.. it popped why I was looking. Had to watch my money first.

Nota

8:38 AM When I have massive trades on, I WILL ALWAYS WATCH MY MONEY FIRST. That's life

Nota

9:18 AM.. I have no reason to be concerned that this won''t play out.
a) first replay chart at top
b) right now...

Nota

c) that's what it looks like now
d) we are in third of 12 boxes, odds are strong we hit the next 4

Nota

e) and should move with respect to those trend lines, one by one

Nota

f) now:

Nota

g) in chart above, there are 3 boxes
1) the first box is price action is much slower dragging than anticpated
2) that has lead to extrapolations for the high to run into Monday
3) Ihat is the last box
4) THE MIDDLE BOX IS OUR CONCERN
5) the next high once 1975 breaks next is either
6) 2000-ish or 2010-ish
7) my math says 2010, but which EVER IT IS...
8) it will get hit IMMEDIATELY BY A 20-25 PT RETRACE
9) so? in my mind, it is 2010 then 1985/1990 then back up
10) could easily be 2000 then 1975/1980 then back up

Nota

11) sorry not very responsive this morning
12 over slept twice and then kids sick and blah blah

Nota

13) right on time:

Nota

14) the replay up top doesn't show i t yet bc sometimes it's low to load newest bars
15) but we hit the bottom left corner of 4th box, so 4 for 4

Nota

9:56 AM ET A FEW NOTES BEFORE I CHECK OUT
16) the response at 1983-84 is MAKING IT SEEM LIKE
17) that the first top will be at those two trend lines so 2000-ish, not 2010
18) but that's just an educated guess
19) second, I have to focus on my trade
20) AND WILL NOT BE POSTING ANYTHING UNTIL I SELL THE FIRST TOP

Nota

21) FWIW, I was practically begging everyone to get int this move last night at 1960
22) while being aware that 1958 could get hit
23) so I rebought.. whatever
24) the thing I will rarely BEG LIKE THAT for you to join me
25) bc I was stupid in the beginning and have to learn to be responsible with other people's life blood, sweat, and tears (money)

Nota

26) last thing... it's 10:13 AM ET, odds HIGHLY FAVOR that first top w/in 300-min or 2:15 PM ET
27) HOWEVER, experience with massive spikes is that they will surprise in HOW EARLY
28) considering it's been so late vs our ORIGINAL expectations in post #5, -1, -2, and -3
29) so even though the call right now is for 300 minutes
30) it could be HALF THAT so ... 150 so, plus 10:15, so by 12:45 PM ET, 1PM TO BE SAFE

Nota

11:16 AM ET 1986.XX TOPPING COMING, EXIT AND RE-ENTRY
1) 2000-ish
2) ROUGHLY 12:30-12:45 PM ET
3) this type of move has the check down sell off immediately right after
4) so basically 1980 by 2:30 PM ET, could be 1:30
5) THAT IS ALSO WHERE WE BUY FOR THE NEXT MOVE
6) next move is more unpredictable with 2-way vol but is should also be bigger
7) bc this rally was basically 1960 to what I see as 2000, so 40 pts
8) next rally - as of right now -is 1980-2040/50, so looks like 65
9) which also has me second thinking the first top coming, that it should be higher
10) but I don't really care
11) I'm not trying to nail the top
12) I"m trying to cash it and run
13) even if it is 2010, it's coming down to 1985-1990 anyway, who cares?

Nota

14) I make no recommendations on trying "to short the top", especially in the middle of a big run
15) if you do that, that's on you

Nota

16) 10:29 AM ET WARNING, WAVE STRUCTURE LOOKS SUSPICIOUS AF RIGHT NOW
17) I don't know what it means!!

Nota

11:51 AM ET.... 1981.xx
18) so 16) was typo time obviously
19) this move changes the whole look
20) I have A lot riding on this ... I don't have time to say what it means
21) just becareful and the rally should be far from over... I think

Nota

22) for reference, when I have time I say something is SUSPIPICIOUS AF...
23) that's not good for whatever we are doing

Nota

24) changes the whole look in note above means scrap the topping exit entry plan
25) cause it's not doing that

Nota

12:03 PM 1982.75 AT FIRST ASSESSMENT
1) it looks like the top for first rally has changed dramatically
2) it's going to be closer to 2010, now that this move from 1987-88 down to 1980-ish has happened
3) the top should be.. BEFORE NY CLOSE 4 PM ET IF FAST
4) BY 8PM ET IF SLOW
5) if I know more I will post more if I have time
6) again I stress that in these big moments for me I HAVE SO MUCH EXTREME LEVERAGE that the swings value would make most peop sick just from looking
7) for this reason, even if I try to post a lot, then say I won't but still do anyway...
8) in the most intense 2-way price action, I am liable to disappear for hours
9) just to warn you

Nota

12:17 PM while we wait for price to do something during this slow break....
1) going to take another opportunity to beg for your help
2) look, this isn't even the best that I can do
3) in terms of forecasting, bc I'm only getting better
4) if you've been w/ me since 9/12 since I started doing this EVERY SINGLE DAY
5) in order to GET IT RIGHT once and for all
6) I've help you win, day in day out
7) so if you like this type of forecasting, help me out by telling some one you KNOW PERSONALLY
8) as long as they are not children or a dog or something, bc they can't help me any
9) that's it, have a good one

Nota

12:27 PM ET
1) so replay chart at top, we are 4 for 4 boxes
2) we are heading to finish 5-6-7
3) but we maybe slower than the hi-lights a little bit
4) this chart is a day old, it isn't perfect
5) but we should follow through 5-6-7 in that pattern where dark blues are

Nota

6) but where boxes 7, and 8-9 differ from the rest
7) is they have two dark routes
8) bc at the time, it was 55/45 or 60/50 the lower route would win by a bit
9) but now, it's 75/25
10) as it its RIGHT NOW, it should take lower slower route
11) and while should hit 7-8-9, will only hit THE LOWER HALVES OF those boxes
12) that's a wrap, gotta get back to hedging

Nota

12:40 PM ET, newest extrapolations HAVE A MUCH WIDER TIME FRAME 2010 top
1) it could be as late as 10-11 PM ET
2) will post more if I know something

Nota

3) in fact that's the minority favorite right now
4) that means that 10:30 PM ET 2010 target is 40/60 VS FIELD
5) but it's "the favorite" because other 2 target times are 30 each of that 60
6) so that means 10:30 PM the favorite bc it's more likely than each of those times
7) but not both of them

Nota

12:58 PM ET, could be starting now ?
1) odds increasing
2) not sure yet

Nota

3) 2 mins later, it looks like it's going to build another stair case between 1982-1988
4) it's 1983.xx as I am typing
5) this "build" will take all the ay to 2:30 PM, or should take that long
6) the spike up and up UNLIKELY to start before that
7) this as shifted the 4 PM as the high into minority favorite 40/60

Nota

8) NO THAT'S WRONG.. MISREAD IT
9) it's 7PM, not 4 PM

Nota

10) as a note tor respect market whims for newbies
11) stuff changes ALL THE TIME...
12) remember yesterday?, was expecting it THEN after PPI but when 1965 broke, I called 55, 50, 43, 30, even 28
13) all of that POSSIBLE until disproven
14) so just things look like so much IN OUR FAVOR NOW...
15) crazy stuff happen LITERALLY ALL THE TIME
16) so if you use my forecasts, please read the notes I give, bc it can be entire opposite to what the top chart look like

Nota

17) 1:41 PM odds rising of a high AFTER NY CLOSE
18) BUT BEFORE AFTER MARKET CLOSE
19) so that's between 4 PM TO 5 PM ET
20) if it attempts this
21) 2-way vol SHOULD BE higher than the the rally this morning
22) meaning there MAYBE 2 OF 8-12 pt swing
23) so be aware

Nota

24) 1:51 PM STARTING TO LOOK BAD.. I THINK I AM SUSPCIOUS

Nota

25) bulls need to push up here to 88 or 89 to stop the bears from taking it down
26) I think bulls still have edge... but it's not a big one like 60/40

Nota

2:10 PM ET 1983.XX it should move now... but its not

Nota

27) can't read this right.. bc it's not exactly bearish either
28 it's just for some reason not moving

Nota

29) ok so 2:16 its just too weird for me to call
30) I have to play defense here so out until I get this right

Nota

31) so 2:19 PM and 83.xx bulss have 2 small stair cases and a big stair case
32) if they move to ... 86-87 and build a FOURTH stair case,
33) then then the following move should be all the way up
er) and in that scnario maybe WITHOUT 2-way vol bc of the 4 steps already...

Nota

35) but that fourth stair case would be a big one too

Nota

36) 2:30 NO FREAKING IDEA WHAT IT WANTS: SO HERE:

Nota

37) don't know what odds are, but it's saying RIGHT NOW... that orange should win..
38) but understand that CHANGES W/ A 1.5 PT MOVE EITHER DIRECTION

Nota

39) 2:36 PM ET gotta errands to go do... will post from my phone, but you know how that is...
40 ) but overall picture is sound it DOESN'T HAVE A REASON to go down here
41) but price DOESN'T NEED ANY REASON TO DO ANYTHING
42) so a decent stop in...
43) from my end if I guess.. NOTHING HAPPENS UNTIL 7PM AND LATER..
44) it, will just rotate between 82 and 87 over
45) bc it's out of time for a real break out setup before close or even in after market
46) that's a stretch...
48) so 6PM is open, nothing likely until 7PM
49) ALL OF THIS is based on NOW, could change meaninfully in 10 minutes, be aware

Nota

50) a 2-way contrarian signal?
51) replay chart at top.. the last 2 times it got away from the boxes, rally was next
52) but YOU DIDN'T KNOW that until it happened
53) hey, nobody walks around saying this is easy, even the people really good at it

Nota

54) is manipulated? hehe.. only if I HIT ALL THE BOXES
55) it looks like we MAY MISS BOX 5.. we don't know yet
56) my bet is that markets were manipulated, it will start rising again 5 MINUTES AFTER NY CLOSES, so 4:05 PM ET

Nota

57) it would be nice if price help me out by hitting box 5, cause we're half past it now

Nota

58) I did say put a decent stop in.. it's 3:49 PM and 1981.xx AND
59) IT STRONG BUY from my end with like '79 stop is perfect
60) next 20 hours should look like tihs:

Nota

61) the hardest call ?
62) trying calling a quad top BEFORE the rally...
63) if hits, unreal you know?
64) I actually see 2 big tops followed by 2 smaller tops
65) either way, some version of a quad top

Nota

66) maybe more vol LIKE THIS:

Nota

4:11 PM and hasn't moved off 1980.96.
1) dead stop should be 1980
2) if it hits, wait a while to see what it wants to do
3) I just don't even see why it should get that low, but IT HAPPENS ALL THE THE TIME
4) like they know where your stops are
5) that's fine though, WAIT, and get in again

Nota

6) 4:26 PM ET, next high should be 2004-2006 at 8PM ET

Nota

4:44 PM, so compressed now, so this is the ONLY WAY, OR IT'S NOT HAPPENING:

Nota

5:04 PM so next 9 hours first:

Nota

1) I am feeling like gap up to 83-84 for the 6 PM open
2) so see you at 7 or something, of 4 tops come at 8 PM

Nota

6:02 PM stopped out and back in and stopped out again. And back in again.

Nota

3) turned out to be a gap down...

Nota

4) I had stops so tight bc of suspicion of machine dirven shenannigans

Nota

6:40 PM 1981.67, there goes 8, and 9 PM. It's just not moving. Once it gets to 84 it should push up hard.... but got to get there first.

Nota

6:44, maybe 9:30 just maybe

Nota

7:30 this should be the last dip
a) next is - on 2min bars - 2 stair cases
b) then curve all the way up, still thinking 9:30 or 9:45

Nota

7:54 PM 83.84 building second stair case.
a) after that the move past 84/85 will continue all the way
b) still on for 9:30?
c) I think so

Nota

8:00 Pm 85.xx so I guess the small one WAS the second one?
a) who knew?
b) really you have to know all your fractals
c) but they don't always act the same..

Nota

d) it will react to THESE 4 TREND LINES AS PRICE TOPS
e) hold on a minute

Nota

f) the obvious ones:

Nota

g) the other ones:

Nota

8:07 PM ET, so 2-min bars w those four lines look like this vs the "newest extrapolation"

Nota

8:13 PM ET, so then:

Nota

a) so here is 15 sec bar now:

b) see the big lines moved?
c) that's ok bc we have the pattern
d) does that it that much??
e) yes it does, so be accurate when you make your lines
f) that's why I like IDC's XAUUSD ticker, they are so accurate
g but a mess to deal with on small bars though

Nota

h) so when we move up next near the the top
i) that's what that pattern is when I post again so you can see what happens
j) sometimes NOTHING HAPPENS
k) MOST OF THE TIME - especially we trade against machines now - they matter precisely
l) the machines love trend lines for sure

Nota

8:34 PM 83.24, a reallly big check down for that move...
a) still bullish bc over all trend is so strong
b) but a reminder to be suspicious

Nota

8:50 I'm trying to find a reason why it's doing that...
c) it's so unexpected
d) but not at "worrisome spot"
e) I sort of understand, but don't know to extent it matters
f) so still looking

Nota

9:06 PM, all around weird things to know
a) what that move said is that THE HIGH we expect END OF FRIDAY IS NOT THE HIGH
b) that high should be Sunday night into Monday 2-3 AM
c) that's the "tail end"
d) still don't know what that means NOW
e) but ultimately between now and then, theres's still 60 to go (2045-1985) or more
f) the issue again is WHAT SHOULD IT LOOK LIKE bc these things don't move like the way we like them to
g) so I'll be back with more

Nota

9:31 PM, Well that was the good news. T
h) the bad news is that it's going to be an irregular wave to 2004-10, whatever it is. i) what is irregular?
j) irregular is something zig zag, stupid looking, but ultimately will get there

Nota

k) I do this by looking through ratios and look for which one has a stupid configuration
l) that one is responsible fore weird price action, especially in rallies like this

Nota

10:01 PM ET... so the first extrapolation of 3AM high I know will be too slow...
a) so I am guessing 1 AM or earlier but leaning earlier bc...
b) this has a potential for RUN-AWAY REVERSE STICK-SAVE
c) meaning the pattern earlier had out high around 2004-2010...
d) this is SPECIFICALLY HAS RUN-AWAY POTENTIAL because IT HAS TO LOOK A SPECIFIC WAY
e) AND IT DOES...
f) that does not mean that it will run away
g) it just means that if it gets past 2004, start watching for a 20pt pt move up AND BACK DOWN in 8 minutes or less

Nota

h) newest extrapolations has this top leaning midnight so 120 minutes out
i) gotta do it a few more times to have a better estimate

Nota

11:05 PM ET 1986.XX
1) sigh... I don't know
2) there's a window, put price has to jump through it...
3) and that means buyers... and if no one's buying it up...
4) it could go sideways until morning
5) already skipped 3 setups since the morning
6) why not 1 more? what's the difference
7) so if it's going to do it, it would go to '89 check down
8) 92-94 check down
9) 98, 04, 08, be done or spike up and down in minutes
10) but it has about 60 minutes to make that move to 98 so that's 11 up
11) I don't see a sign it will or it won't that's it
12) so I'm going to put hedges and go to bed..

Nota

11:56 PM ET SMH... there's literally no resons left...w ... t ...f?
13) I'm going to watch for another 30 min or so...
14) bc I've done ALL THE MATH there is to do?
15) why is this thingg stuck at 1986?
16) what is so special about 1986?

Nota

17) I guess it was a good year?
18) not for gold was it?
19) should I check that too?
20) what in the world??

Nota

1:04 AM ET --- 1984.52 CANCEL EVERYTHING
a) this is dead
b) something else is up
c) I don't know what
d) I will know soon

Nota

1:28 AM ET.. one of the ratios have perfect look at 1950
a) after 3 rejections at 1986-87
b) something has changed...
c) so that's it

Nota

d) it is 1:43 AM ET as I type:
e) this thing has a perfect setup for 1970 in about 120-135 minutes
f) that is to say it's screaming 1970 by 4:00 AM... I'm thinking 3:30

Nota

g) it's 2:20 AM and this thing wants to straight to 1956.... , it's still 1983.00 as I'm typing
h) crazy, let's see if it hits

Nota

2:45 AM ET... move to 1986... bought 2 extra hours THAT NEED TO SEE 1990 AND HOLD AND KEEP GOING:

Nota

a) I am going to bed
b) be very careful either way
c) my opinion as of RIGHT NOW is that this thing is going to 1956 in the morning
d) that can be stopped by pushing up to 1990 AND HOLD AND KEEP GOING...
e) otherwise, there is a perfect set of curves waiting for this thing to go down
f) good night

Nota

4:30 AM, looking in 1991.xx has to keep going to reset the curves..
a) no stalling
b) targets are 2000, 2012, 2038

Nota

8:18 AM ET
a) this post has ended
b) working on new format/drating

Nota

c) don't have time to get out something nice bc I'm also trading
d) but basically heading for 1956 bc rejection at 1993
e) I warned last night that could not stall at 1990 to reset curves

Nota

f) so extrapolations now show fall to 1970 area and bounce
g) the high vol floor for 9:45 is 1950, but unlikely to hit today
h) that's a wrap on an otherwise uneventful? Friday
i) you never know with 5 Fed speakers line up until 10:30 or something

Nota

12:39 PM ET... so 79 held
a) doesn't mean lot
b) still likely to come down more on Monday
c) so it looks like checkdown ahead of Fed minutes on Tuesday
d) this looks promising so far
e) bc it sets up another rally, odds even next time around as long 65 holds on Monday
f) it can 55 if it wants to, as long Monday closes 65
g ) don't have anything else to add for while
h) have a good weekend

Trade fechado manualmente

THIS POST HAS ENDED ... HERE IS A SNEAK PEEK AT #5-5.
1) it's actually the same as #5-4, in the sense that probably get a another entry 60-65
2) it should be Monday morning
3) if you didn't play with us yesterday, come kick it here on Monday
4) this time, we're going to nail this rally like a college girl

Nota

a. in chart above, we FINALLY GOING to get this 1965-1950 rally
b. arrow above is entry
c. black box above is Thanksgiving , I'm not sure how that change the plan, it may or may not

Nota

AND FINALLY LINK FOR #5-5 (A WORKING DRAFT)

#5-5 THE MOST ACCURATE GOLD FORECAST IN THE WORLD

Binary_Forecasting_Service

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