In our last monthly chart update (linked below) we showed you the larger structure and the levels to look for. We mentioned that breaking above the 1835 will result in the price going to test the higher resistance levels and potentially the top of the trend. This level here is the last resistance level for bears to defend if this is to go anywhere below the 1835 level in the months ahead.
So now lets look at the weekly chart to get a longer term view of potential movement on Gold in the coming weeks/months. We can see the potential triangle which has broken to the upside with an engulfing candle and out of the range we had been trading in for the last couple of months. What we need to keep an eye on here is the next weekly candle, do we get another bullish candle closing above the support regions which have been illustrated on the chart? We have plotted in the weekly zones which show what you need to look for, breaks and close above or below levels! If we to speak technically on this chart then we would be looking for a 25-50% retracement on last weeks bullish candle, if we only get 25% or less there is still enough volume in the markets to drive this higher. In any case, most scenarios of trend and level breaks entail some form of retest. So are levels below here are 1850 which is a psychological level and below that the 1830-35 price region which we have said on numerous occasions has been used to propel the price in either direction.
Below is the monthly chart we have been using to keep us in the right direction coupled with Excalibur.
Please have a look at our previous post on the simple trading strategy. You can apply the same concept to the Weekly chart and look for the break and close of candle above/below weekly support and resistance levels.
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