XAU/USD 05-09 August 2024 Weekly Analysis

Weekly Analysis:

Last week's weekly analysis missed as I was on holiday.

Since my last weekly analysis price has print further all time highs, which, as a result, as brought the CHoCH positioning closer to more recent price action.

Price has, as yet, failed to indicate bearish pullback following bullish BOS and iBOS.

The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line.

However, price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price.

Weekly Chart: captura

Daily Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Price has printed a bullish iBOS.

Price indicated bearish pullback phase initiation once it printed a bearish CHoCH.

Price then continued bearish, reacting at discount of internal 50% EQ denoted in blue.

Price has, thus far, failed to break and close above the weak internal high which could be an early indication that price will continue with it's bearish pullback phase in order to seek more liquidity.

Daily Chart: captura

H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.

However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high.

Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high.

Alternative scenario, price to target weak internal high.

H4 Chart: captura
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