Weekly Edge – Week 09 Reflection & Prepping for Week 10

### Weekly Edge – Week 09 Reflection & Prepping for Week 10

## Market Overview & Higher Timeframe Structure

### Quarterly Chart – Bullish Expansion Continues
- Q1 2025 remains bullish, trading above Q4 2024 and holding within the upper 50% of its overall range.
- The last six consecutive quarters have printed higher highs and higher lows, demonstrating strong momentum and breakout behavior.

### Monthly Chart (February Close) – Key Points of Interest (POIs)
- Imbalance POIs:
- 2780 aligns with the October 2024 short-term high (2790).
- 2730 serves as another imbalance level of interest.
- November 2024 high at 2760 remains untested on the monthly chart.
- Price Action Observations:
- February closed above January, reinforcing bullish continuation.
- Wick rejections at higher prices signal some resistance.
- These POIs provide opportunities for long continuation trades and short-term targets for potential pullbacks before continuation.

## Weekly Chart – First Bearish Close of 2025
- Week 09 printed the first bearish weekly candle of the year, closing below the last two weekly periods and engulfing both.
- Price traded into the weekly imbalance (2820–2860) and saw profit-taking into Friday’s close, showing intraday bullish sentiment.
- Despite the bearish close, weekly structure remains bullish overall, with no confirmed trend reversal yet.

## Daily Chart – Initial Structural Shift
- Break in structure to the downside:
- The daily range low of 2860 was taken out, and price closed below it.
- For a confirmed daily trend change from bullish to bearish, price needs to print a lower high followed by another lower low.
- Short-Term Intraday Bias:
- Looking for longs back into the recent consolidation range around 2860.
- Watching for short setups from POIs within the range, particularly if price prints a lower high.

### Key POI for Shorts
- 2900–2920 (Failed imbalance, now acting as an inversion level).
- This area sits within the premium end of the recent bearish swing and aligns with the most recent 4H consolidation before expanding to new lows.

## March Trading Focus & Community Themes

### Scaling In Model Success
- February’s execution of scaling in at springs and upthrusts worked well.

### Profit-Taking Optimization
- March’s priority is to refine systematic exits, balancing drawdown control while letting winners run.

### Market Structure & Multi-Time Frame Analysis
- Continuing to map structure across timeframes using hand-drawn charts.
- Improving recognition of daily swing trades aligned with lower timeframe setups.

### Exit Strategy Refinement
- Monitoring price action to develop clear exit rules.
- Ensuring profits are protected while allowing strong trades to run.

## Looking Ahead – Key Plans for Week 10
- Monitoring longs off the weekly imbalance high (2860) back into the daily POI.
- Tracking how price responds at 2900–2920 for potential short setups.
- Continuing to develop and optimize scaling, exits, and market structure recognition in March.

The focus remains on trading with clarity, confidence, and control.

#WeeklyEdge #HandDrawnCharts #ScalingIn #MarketStructure #TradeExecution