The price of gold is on a path of recovery, reclaiming recent losses and showing signs of resilience in the market. Several factors are contributing to this trend, making gold an asset of interest for investors.
Technical Analysis: From a technical perspective, gold has experienced a rebound from the level of $1997.70. This level serves as a resistance area, and the price has started a possible reversal. Analysts are eyeing two key targets in this rebound: the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the deeper 50.2% Fibonacci retracement from the previous swing low before to starts a new Bullush impulse over the $2000
Geopolitical Tensions: One of the key drivers of gold demand is geopolitical tensions, and the ongoing conflict in the Middle East is no exception. Geopolitical uncertainties often drive investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold. The escalation of tensions in the Middle East has the potential to increase the demand for gold as a hedge against uncertainty.
Chinese Influence: China, a major player in the global economy, has the power to influence market sentiment. The disclosure of China's plan to authorize slightly over 1 trillion yuan in additional sovereign debt issuance has had a positive impact on market sentiment. Additionally, positive discussions between the US and China during their first meeting of the economic working group have contributed to an improved market sentiment.
US Dollar and Treasury Yields: The US Dollar has been facing a correction, and this can be attributed to the downbeat performance of US Treasury yields. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been on a four-day losing streak, hovering around 105.50. The 10-year Treasury yield, which had peaked at 5.02%, reversed course, dropping to 4.84% in the latest update. A declining US bond yield tends to weaken the US Dollar, providing support for gold prices, and there's potential for gold to reach the $2,000 mark if this trend continues.
Challenges to Gold Prices: While geopolitical tensions, positive economic developments, and a weaker US Dollar are driving gold's recovery, there are also challenges. The current risk-on sentiment in the market, driven by diplomatic efforts to ease tensions in the Israel-Hamas Gaza Strip, could pose a hurdle for gold prices. Market risk aversion tends to diminish when geopolitical tensions ease, impacting the demand for safe-haven assets.
In conclusion, gold's recent price recovery is influenced by a combination of technical factors, geopolitical tensions, global economic developments, and the performance of the US Dollar and Treasury yields. As these factors continue to evolve, gold's price trajectory remains dynamic and subject to change. Investors will closely monitor these elements for insights into the future direction of gold prices.
Short positions below 2020.000 with targets at 1928.000 & 1905.000 in extension.
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