As of December 12, 2024, gold is trading around $2,717 per ounce, continuing its upward trend amid declining U.S. inflation and expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. Geopolitical tensions and a weakening USD further support the rise in gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
Market Trend:
Primary Trend: Bullish. Key Support Levels: $2,700 (50-day MA) and $2,696 (50% Fibonacci retracement). Resistance Level: $2,732 (previous high).
Scenario 1: Continued Uptrend (Breakout)
If price breaks above the $2,732 resistance with high volume, it may target $2,750. Trading Strategy: Enter long positions upon a close above $2,732. Set Stop Loss at $2,720. Take Profit 1: $2,750. Take Profit 2: $2,760. Scenario 2: Rejection at Resistance
If price fails to break $2,732 and shows reversal patterns, a correction to $2,710 or $2,700 may occur. Trading Strategy: Enter short positions near $2,732 upon bearish reversal signals like a Pin Bar or Doji. Set Stop Loss at $2,740. Take Profit 1: $2,710. Take Profit 2: $2,700. Scenario 3: Pullback to Support and Rebound
A pullback to the $2,700 support that holds may offer buying opportunities in line with the uptrend. Trading Strategy: Enter long positions at $2,700. Set Stop Loss at $2,688. Take Profit 1: $2,732. Take Profit 2: $2,750. Recommendations for Traders:
Prudent Risk Management:
Limit risk per trade to no more than 2% of account equity. Monitor Economic News:
Key data such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions or CPI reports significantly impact gold prices. Await Confirmatory Signals:
Avoid impulsive trades; enter positions only upon clear signals at critical price levels
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