Ouro/Dólar AmericanoAtualizado 2.4 Today's latest analysis of gold
2.4 Today's latest analysis of gold
I. Core logic of news
Impact of trade policy
Trump announced a 25% tariff increase on Canada and Mexico, a 10% tariff increase on Chinese goods, and plans to impose new tariffs on the European Union.
Market reaction: The US dollar index jumped nearly 1% to 109.62 (a three-week high), suppressing the safe-haven demand for gold.
Contradiction: Geopolitical risks should have boosted gold, but the strengthening of the US dollar and interest rate expectations offset risk aversion.
Game between the US dollar and gold
The appreciation of the US dollar has led to an increase in the cost of buying gold with non-US currencies, weakening the attractiveness of gold.
Tariffs have pushed up inflation expectations, which may force the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates and increase the cost of holding gold (interest-free assets).
Key data focus
Non-farm payroll report (released on Friday): If the data is strong, it may strengthen the Fed's hawkish stance and further bearish on gold; if it is weak, it may ease the pressure on gold prices.
II. In-depth analysis of technical aspects
Trend pattern
Long-term trend: The bull market has not changed, and the pullback is regarded as a technical correction in the rise.
Medium-term trend: oscillating upward, but beware of the risk of profit-taking at high levels.
Short-term trend: daily high adjustment, pay attention to the breakthrough of key support and resistance.
Key price analysis
Resistance level:
Strong pressure: 2812-2817 US dollars (historical high area).
Support level:
Short-term: 2790 US dollars (intraday long and short watershed).
Strong support: 2770-2772 US dollars (Asian session low, technical buying intensive area).
Cycle pattern signal
4-hour chart: high "inverted V" callback, MACD top divergence, short-term needs to step back to confirm support.
1-hour chart: break the downward channel, RSI oversold area rebound, or repair before choosing the direction during the day.
3. Short-term operation strategy
Long order strategy (main line of thought)
Entry point:
Conservatives: give up long positions and wait for lows
Aggressives: 2780-2790 pullback, try long with a light position, stop loss 2775.
Target:
The first target is 2817, and the breakthrough is 2824.
Short order strategy (auxiliary idea)
Entry point:
2810--2815 to arrange short orders in batches, stop loss 2820+.
Target:
2790-2785 area to take profits.
Operation focus:
Pay attention to the effectiveness of 2790 support during the day, and arrange long orders after stabilization; if it rebounds to 2804-2817 under pressure, you can try short with a light position.
I will announce the specific strategy to you 1-2 hours after the US market opens.
I. Core logic of news
Impact of trade policy
Trump announced a 25% tariff increase on Canada and Mexico, a 10% tariff increase on Chinese goods, and plans to impose new tariffs on the European Union.
Market reaction: The US dollar index jumped nearly 1% to 109.62 (a three-week high), suppressing the safe-haven demand for gold.
Contradiction: Geopolitical risks should have boosted gold, but the strengthening of the US dollar and interest rate expectations offset risk aversion.
Game between the US dollar and gold
The appreciation of the US dollar has led to an increase in the cost of buying gold with non-US currencies, weakening the attractiveness of gold.
Tariffs have pushed up inflation expectations, which may force the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates and increase the cost of holding gold (interest-free assets).
Key data focus
Non-farm payroll report (released on Friday): If the data is strong, it may strengthen the Fed's hawkish stance and further bearish on gold; if it is weak, it may ease the pressure on gold prices.
II. In-depth analysis of technical aspects
Trend pattern
Long-term trend: The bull market has not changed, and the pullback is regarded as a technical correction in the rise.
Medium-term trend: oscillating upward, but beware of the risk of profit-taking at high levels.
Short-term trend: daily high adjustment, pay attention to the breakthrough of key support and resistance.
Key price analysis
Resistance level:
Strong pressure: 2812-2817 US dollars (historical high area).
Support level:
Short-term: 2790 US dollars (intraday long and short watershed).
Strong support: 2770-2772 US dollars (Asian session low, technical buying intensive area).
Cycle pattern signal
4-hour chart: high "inverted V" callback, MACD top divergence, short-term needs to step back to confirm support.
1-hour chart: break the downward channel, RSI oversold area rebound, or repair before choosing the direction during the day.
3. Short-term operation strategy
Long order strategy (main line of thought)
Entry point:
Conservatives: give up long positions and wait for lows
Aggressives: 2780-2790 pullback, try long with a light position, stop loss 2775.
Target:
The first target is 2817, and the breakthrough is 2824.
Short order strategy (auxiliary idea)
Entry point:
2810--2815 to arrange short orders in batches, stop loss 2820+.
Target:
2790-2785 area to take profits.
Operation focus:
Pay attention to the effectiveness of 2790 support during the day, and arrange long orders after stabilization; if it rebounds to 2804-2817 under pressure, you can try short with a light position.
I will announce the specific strategy to you 1-2 hours after the US market opens.
Trade ativo
Trade fechado: objetivo atingido
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2: Senior analysts, the best trading team。3: Full trend tracking, real-time verification of market analysis。
2: Senior analysts, the best trading team。3: Full trend tracking, real-time verification of market analysis。
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🚀FREE CRYPTO signals in Telegram:t.me/+YMfVDdutmcRlNDYx
2: Senior analysts, the best trading team。3: Full trend tracking, real-time verification of market analysis。
2: Senior analysts, the best trading team。3: Full trend tracking, real-time verification of market analysis。
Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não devem ser e não constituem conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, de negociação ou de qualquer outro tipo, fornecidas ou endossadas pela TradingView. Leia mais em Termos de uso.