In tandem with our expectations, we saw gold give up some of its gains after an impressive rally last month. Currently, it trades near $1,938 per troy ounce. Although we remain bullish in the long term, we are still unconvinced about a straight path higher in the short term/medium term. In fact, we believe gold has a chance of continuing lower, especially if the stock market starts weakening again. This view is also supported by technical indicators like RSI, Stochastic, and MACD on the daily chart, which are growing increasingly bearish. Consequently, we would not be surprised if gold dived below $1,920 and potentially tested an important psychological support at $1,900.
Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of XAUUSD and simple support/resistance levels derived from particular peaks and troughs.
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DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
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