Volatility - Nothing New Under The Sun
Atualizado
Idea for Volatility:
- Wyckoff Cycle Mapped.
- Wave Frequencies synced.
- Cause and Effect determined.
- Greater Cycle:
- Bonds Volatility looks ready:
- China Credit Impulse turns negative, consequently the global credit impulse turns negative.
- Liquidity Flow: Credit > Bonds/Currencies > Commodities > Stocks.
Fighting the Fed:
- Reading the Curve:
- Data Suppression:
- Volatility Suppression:
- DXY is in a rising Trend:
- Decision point for the Dollar:
- Dollar is goosed, but Yen seems to be telling, as the Yen is seen as a haven currency and AUD is correlated to inflation:
- Yuan is very telling for the global economy:
- Bond yields (CN & US) are telling:
- Forecast suggests a Volatility spike this summer.
- It is likely that a greater explosion in Volatility will follow... speculating the date to be September Quad Witching 2022 (September 16, 2022).
It's Black Swan season... Look out for them, but they are never the cause. It is all about the Credit Cycle.
GLHF
- DPT
- Wyckoff Cycle Mapped.
- Wave Frequencies synced.
- Cause and Effect determined.
- Greater Cycle:
- Bonds Volatility looks ready:
- China Credit Impulse turns negative, consequently the global credit impulse turns negative.
- Liquidity Flow: Credit > Bonds/Currencies > Commodities > Stocks.
Fighting the Fed:
- Reading the Curve:
- Data Suppression:
- Volatility Suppression:
- DXY is in a rising Trend:
- Decision point for the Dollar:
- Dollar is goosed, but Yen seems to be telling, as the Yen is seen as a haven currency and AUD is correlated to inflation:
- Yuan is very telling for the global economy:
- Bond yields (CN & US) are telling:
- Forecast suggests a Volatility spike this summer.
- It is likely that a greater explosion in Volatility will follow... speculating the date to be September Quad Witching 2022 (September 16, 2022).
It's Black Swan season... Look out for them, but they are never the cause. It is all about the Credit Cycle.
GLHF
- DPT
Trade ativo
Speculating sizable volatility spike this summer, Fed enacts YCC/MMT/CBDCs for the bull trap, and the real volatility between Q4 2021-2022, looking at the relationship between SPX YoY returns trailing the Global Credit Impulse by about 12 months.Trade ativo
Wave 3 speculated for Nov. 30, 2021, Wave 5 speculated for Dec. 17, 2022.Trade ativo
COVID Evolutionary Curve confirms move: 
Trade ativo
VIX Contango suggests a big move building up: Trade ativo
Oversold, similar conditions to 2008 > 2010: Trade ativo
Wave 1 speculate by mid-July: 
Trade ativo
We are going to see a lot of bad events globally to 2023, not as catalysts for the market, but the other way around. Buckle up.
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