Vol Steepness versus Spot

Por YaKa

Spot on new local high and vol curve is steep: likely to be close to top.

Spot on new local low and vol curve very inverted: likely to be close to bottom.

This is not a precise metric but is just an extra component.

Now: the vol curve is relatively flat, there is not much to extract.. the option curve is rather neutral as to which time bucket is the riskiest.

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