Consolidation Midweek Rally #9 (Friday Nonfarm Payrolls)
On Monday, I observed the price reaching an old high, but I decided to wait until Wednesday to act. My reasoning was based on a daily fractal pattern, along with liquidity formed on Tuesday. I was targeting the Wednesday London session after 2:30 PM NY time, aiming for a return to the 15-minute order block (OB). The liquidity was taken, but the price only moved just under 50% of the Average Daily Range (ADR).
Considering that Wednesday marked the third consecutive bullish green candle, I anticipated Thursday would turn bearish, providing a better opportunity on Friday to secure a good number of pips. However, the same strategy I used on Wednesday didn’t yield the expected results.
This experience highlighted an important realization: Friday’s move was likely a liquidity run, signaling a strong possibility that the price might turn bearish. With the Commitment of Traders (COT) data showing the USD in a neutral position, this week’s developments will be critical in understanding their stance. There’s now a significant chance we could see a bearish month ahead, with Friday potentially marking the high of the week.
Considering that Wednesday marked the third consecutive bullish green candle, I anticipated Thursday would turn bearish, providing a better opportunity on Friday to secure a good number of pips. However, the same strategy I used on Wednesday didn’t yield the expected results.
This experience highlighted an important realization: Friday’s move was likely a liquidity run, signaling a strong possibility that the price might turn bearish. With the Commitment of Traders (COT) data showing the USD in a neutral position, this week’s developments will be critical in understanding their stance. There’s now a significant chance we could see a bearish month ahead, with Friday potentially marking the high of the week.
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Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não devem ser e não constituem conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, de negociação ou de qualquer outro tipo, fornecidas ou endossadas pela TradingView. Leia mais em Termos de uso.