1-hr US30: Slowed Upward Momentum Might Attract Sellers

9 de dez.

For the past couple of weeks the 45 000 level in the US30 has acted as resistance and since last week we registered a 400 point drop in the index. It is only normal to see a pullback after a massive bull rally, as many of the early buyers are selling to take profit. The strong bearish momentum, which currently dominates Dow Jones, is also confirmed by the Death Cross - a classic sell signal. A potential issue for short sellers however, is the rather low value of the RSI. This, added to the 400 point recent drop, might attract short term traders, who will want to "buy the dip". We would prefer to enter a sell, only after the value increases slightly, so we can achieve a better risk to reward. Looking at the current price action, the critical 50% Fibonacci retracement level seems like a possible resistance area, from where the US30 might continue to correct south. This zone corresponds to 44 800, or 200 points above the current market value.