Ishares ETF de títulos do Tesouro Americano de 20 anos
Educacional
Atualizado

Unified Global Charting III: Time

58
From the GFC in 08/9 we can observe a circa 4 year cycle for TLT (high to high)

In this idea i plan to turn our attention to time

I have used the fibonacci time (trend based) tool to further subdivide this

Let's see what else time/cycle analysis can tell us about goverment bonds

G.R.I. Dec '21

Nota
Here i want to mainly consider the white major trendlines and white major time intervals snapshot
Nota
TLT has made a major high every 3-4 years
Nota
It also makes a major low every 3-4 years snapshot
Nota
so we had major lows circa 2010/2014/2017
snapshot
Nota
However, the 2017 low failed and we had to wait 18 months for it to resume a new uptrend which we could have predicted with a modified pitchfork
Nota
snapshot
Nota
The last TLT cycle ran from mid 2016 till the corona drop snapshot
Nota
Accordingly the next cycle should run to a high in 2023

snapshot
Nota
Is the cycle low IN for TLT- i believe so but we can't rule out one more low , time-wise...
snapshot

Aviso legal

As informações e publicações não devem ser e não constituem conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, de negociação ou de qualquer outro tipo, fornecidas ou endossadas pela TradingView. Leia mais em Termos de uso.