In regards to the idea itself.
The most recent daily candle closed below the neckline. I expect an initial steep drop next week OR a bounce back up to 415/416ish to retest new resistance levels then another drop down below closer to 403. Then heading to fill that gap (indicated with the blue lines)
For me to be fully confident in the trade I want a daily candle close below $410 i.e, where we are now.