Índice S&P 500Atualizado SPX500: DT MTR OR A SUCCESSFUL NEW ALL-TIME HIGH...?
1. BX
2. 2Legged bear channel break UTL=DB w/ April 7 Low
3. Strong Leg up to testing 'BX'
4. Will this lead to the all-time high...? Will this be sold fiercely from test of 'BX'...?
5. The leg up(green) from the DB= very stong rally = High odds are that PBs could be bought immediately.
Should this fail, then selloff could be fierce!
Definitions
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UTL=UpTrendline = A line from the Lowest Low, upward and to the highest minor low point preceding the Highest High so that the line does not pass through prices in between
these two points.
DTL=DownTrendline = A line from the highest high point downward to the lowest minor high point preceding the lowest low so that the line does not pass through prices in between these two high points.
SX/BX =Sell Climax/Buy Climax
BO=Breakout
BOL=Breakout limit (Determined when price seize to make a new high/low in 5 bars since the last high/low following the initial rally/selloff after TL BO)
LH MTR = Lower High Major Trend Reversal = Leg up following the 'BOL' gets close to 'BX'
HH MTR=Higher High Major Trend Reversal = Leg up following the 'BOL' exceeds 'BX'
LLMTR = Lower Low Major Trend Reversal = Leg down following the 'BOL' exceeds 'SX'
HL MTR= Higher Low Major Trend Reversal =Legdown following the 'BOL' only gets close to 'SX'
TR = Trading Range (Tradable legs implied)
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The Logic
1. Trend trading until the weight of evidence tells of the absence of the trend.
2. And to trade the potential legs within the trading range, when price finally breaks the trendline, and enters into a tradable trading range, until there's a trading range breakout- continuation or reversal.
23 DAYS AGO....
Updating........
2. 2Legged bear channel break UTL=DB w/ April 7 Low
3. Strong Leg up to testing 'BX'
4. Will this lead to the all-time high...? Will this be sold fiercely from test of 'BX'...?
5. The leg up(green) from the DB= very stong rally = High odds are that PBs could be bought immediately.
Should this fail, then selloff could be fierce!
Definitions
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
UTL=UpTrendline = A line from the Lowest Low, upward and to the highest minor low point preceding the Highest High so that the line does not pass through prices in between
these two points.
DTL=DownTrendline = A line from the highest high point downward to the lowest minor high point preceding the lowest low so that the line does not pass through prices in between these two high points.
SX/BX =Sell Climax/Buy Climax
BO=Breakout
BOL=Breakout limit (Determined when price seize to make a new high/low in 5 bars since the last high/low following the initial rally/selloff after TL BO)
LH MTR = Lower High Major Trend Reversal = Leg up following the 'BOL' gets close to 'BX'
HH MTR=Higher High Major Trend Reversal = Leg up following the 'BOL' exceeds 'BX'
LLMTR = Lower Low Major Trend Reversal = Leg down following the 'BOL' exceeds 'SX'
HL MTR= Higher Low Major Trend Reversal =Legdown following the 'BOL' only gets close to 'SX'
TR = Trading Range (Tradable legs implied)
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
The Logic
1. Trend trading until the weight of evidence tells of the absence of the trend.
2. And to trade the potential legs within the trading range, when price finally breaks the trendline, and enters into a tradable trading range, until there's a trading range breakout- continuation or reversal.
23 DAYS AGO....
Updating........
Nota
Never fight a strong leg. Find reasons to join whenever possible ^_^Nota
Last wee I said.......The leg up(green) from the DB= very stong rally = High odds are that PBs could be bought immediately.
And Indeed the bulls bought the PBs immediately.
In this update, I illustrate the tight TR=Bull flag in which we're presently. And I believe that the bulls might carry this market beyond the BX pretty soon, regarding the underlying buying pressure.
Now, if that happens, a Measured Move , based on the height of the TR would carry price way above the All-time high.
TR occuring in late trends are often times final flags. And so, I believe that the market might be shortlived above the all-time high and pullback fast into the TR once more.
Nota
Might PB somewhere near 2109.806667, but logically speaking, there's no reason to book profit yetNota
SPX500: Most important PA here, we broke above the ealier high of day. Otherwise, nothing for the bears, atm s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/1/11q3Zj2G.pngNota
A close below MA wud be interesting though.Im still holding long. Stop @ 2106.6
Good buy here, if u're not in w/ me from the lows, I guess. Stop below MA Kul.
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Nota
Moved stop to below last 2 bars low, for fear of DT s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/o/OnqXYJYu.png
Nota
Looks DT. But wud prefrr mkt take me out instead s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/s/sTFMqHcf.pngNota
Great job! s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/t/TxyjshB7.pngNota
I think the bears entered, but they've work to do to cvonvince us.Buy Zone. Swing stop below lows.
Aggressive stop to be deermined
at a good signal for long if.... s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/5/5rky1k7c.png
Nota
50:50 mkt now. We have evidence of short,, but we're also in a buy zone s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/i/iRKVVmKe.pngNota
Luks bulls stepped in on buyzoneLuks buy; luks sell. Im sitting on ma hands for now
But that quick rise up also luks that was a PB for the bears
Interesting!
I think Yellen is speaking now
I sensed it from the disturbance in price action
Nota
Sellers gearing up.......I think s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/o/oJPW0Uy7.png
Nota
Possible DB, But Trend here now = Down until the evidence of bulls prove otherwiseLooks good enough buying pressure here. s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/o/OgBSZnGI.png
Nota
Charcter of mkt now = TR luks gud buy here. But stop way down below
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Nota
1H: Uptrend Intact, PB. I need a signal to go in soon s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/t/t6sIhr4w.pngNota
5min, posible buy soon. Might also wait for a second chance buy = tight stop then s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/3/3KcVaOcB.pngGood signal. Hence I update stop
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Nota
CRITICAL barrier ahead: High of day so far s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/0/0Mbc98AF.pngNota
When taken out.......Oh, We did....??? s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/g/g3YgQzQT.png
Nota
SPX500: Hahaha, there we go! s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/m/M1OvrNkq.pngRISK FREE here s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/p/PPaizpEA.png
Nota
Confluence of measure moves s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/o/OeoZZzjE.png careful here....trend cud changewe might deep pull to MA priorbears rearing ugly heads here, I feel it....I might add to long if i see my signal
Nota
Loads of buy signals = a possible bull flag s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/o/OlpkcD8n.png bears are present, but lacking strenth here
Nota
Non Trending day=TR Stopped out on trailing stop. s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/i/iurgYPDm.png
No loss day ;)
54 points cummulative
Nota
2016-06-07Missed SPX Trade, but not too late. If I get signal soon, I'll update. Lest better push it to NYT
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Nota
SPX500: Technically.... Trend still up s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/c/Cvfk7lvb.pngNota
bears showed action, but failed to close below MABut how far can the bulls carry this...? Wedge Top above s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/v/vkFQh9at.pngNota
1hr, limited upside. . 5mins showing some seller action s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/b/BRNXyul4.pngNota
Trade Add on s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/z/zvoY5P1Y.pngNota
Nice TP !great show of strenght ! s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/y/YujSdqtM.pngNota
Wedge Top = Limited upside s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/m/mlC5yyAN.pngNota
Very tight uptrend. signs of overbought s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/t/tvRnvrFr.pngNota
More buys , but careful this time.... s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/r/rIijthBm.pngNota
No visible top yet . But might be soon coming s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/z/zpg97WYN.pngNota
Understanding price bars movments is key to managing trades, and not getting chickened out anytime soon s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/o/OzQOcU7p.pngBut possible wedge bottom s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/w/wcKGWWoS.png
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Nota
Im bearish SP, but on 5mins Holding short, 2117.18s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/d/d2Ifl0l0.png
Could be shortlived = managing stop nowNO TPIm out for coffee. brb
Nota
s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/o/oq2vAdHc.png Moving stops down.
This is what we live for!
It pays to always hang in there, when it seems nothing is going on
Good night, all
Im out!
Nota
SPX500: 2016-06-08 02:56AM CATs3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/v/vnIjNqif.png
Nota
SPX500: Projecting 2124.08 Should we successfully take out the high of today so far. Otherwise, today luks a TR day so far. We hava wedge bottom ongoing on 5minss3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/m/mZl9IGnH.png
Nota
Im intereestd in buying on stop. Will update soons3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/u/uoU2nlrl.png
Nota
Just eneded bull has tail above. Im a bit careful here s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/x/x5aUqZGe.pngNota
3 CTB = Move stop up. A bit of confidence here. But tails above. But todays's high is the trouble here. Low probs s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/6/6skhC7sa.pngNota
Ugly PA here. Still in TR Im out here. Will buy again. = No Loss s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/x/XwLut4O0.png
Nota
Getting ready for in again.... ;: Not yet .Good buy, But for now.... Waiting on Today's high Takeout first. s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/e/e9dVNgot.png
Nota
Im flat , atmNota
Tiny DT....????Tis amazing what a tiny DT can do!
Am I glad i exited earlier long....??? No bear trend though. I still think that Buy Mode Activated
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Nota
Possible DB ...?? s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/0/0NWn8Tqg.pngNota
Possible long here, but very bad signal s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/e/evRs1kkx.pngNota
TR but one more push up likely here s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/3/3KZRY5Kh.pngNota
Im checking out soon for a break. I really am TIRED!!!Hmmm. TR day. Very slow start. Do not give up. We know days like these. Speaking to myselfNota
Good buy. But loads of reasons why I;m not in yet. s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/z/ztxCTGyf.pngNota
Off to play w/ my wife. brbNota
When I first heard that " price bars speak to you" , I never understood then s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/u/UrUZkm2B.pngNota
Isnt this funny!My internet goes off, and i miss the sweet long that was. s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/6/6Ylo2Ox1.png
Nota
I hate the devil who switched my internet off. Damn! s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/d/DdNkNT57.pngNota
U labour for the party, and u don get to partake in it when hot. You know how that feels.....? >( )<Nota
Tomorrow is definitely another day.GOOD NIGHT!
:agree:
Nota
Should this breakdown occur, I see 2100.0 next s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/n/nvRf9S2k.pngNota
SPY: 2016-06-10Nota
I like the bulls actions here but not yet buy for me. Same goes for USDJPY s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/g/gtU829lr.pngNota
A possible buy zone ....s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/b/bXzvLTdF.pngNota
Low probability long, that oneDB wud be great
Staying aside for now
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Nota
It might not come . I'll buy above 20 s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/n/Nxa7V8Wh.png
Nota
DB https://expected......https://s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/3/31m1S6fN.pngNota
Sweet short. I missedWedge Bottom????
Expecting bounce here, but that wud be lot of hard work from the bulls
MM target overspill
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Nota
SPY: SMA(Sell Mode still Activated) until enough buying pressures3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/w/WWCWNl2N.png
Nota
Good buying pressure here, But not eneough. Im still waiting to add my long s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/j/JrORvmtG.pngNota
touching upper channelMove stops s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/d/DSauJcc0.pngNota
Risk free s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/n/NoLxPnhW.pngNota
Book somethingNota
Book allNota
Kepp stop to entryNota
hold it to next weekNota
How do u manage a trade?Nota
I'M FLAT!!Nota
Visit "NAKED TRADING ROOM" , where I call live SPY trades, during NY open.Chatroom link: tradingview.com/chat/
Nota
Enjoy your weekend!Nota
SPY: 2016-06-14Turn to NAKED TRADING ROOM todai, and lets have fun!
tradingview.com/chat/
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