To me it would make the most sense to see the S&P500 up into the first weeks of FEB and a decline into FEB 18-22.
I'll explain why.
If history is any guide for the future, then the Elliot Wave pattern that we saw in the period of AUG 24-SEP 29 could pop up again, a wave iv. That time, it lasted 25 bars/36 calendar days. (The bigger picture is a ABC corrective pattern since May 2015 (wave IV)).
This minor wave iv and v pattern may also take 25 trading days, or roughly 35 calendar days, to play out. So that would indicate FEB18-22. The Russell 2000 confirms this scenario, click here tripstrading.com/2016/01/16/us-markets-russell2000-and-sp500/
Support was tested last Friday (orange) and closed well above 1857. So use that level as stop loss for now. Target is the 1940-60 area for wave iv up. Target for wave v down is 1850 --> A = C = Red Support Line.
Please keep in mind that the markets don't always do as I would like them to. So think for yourself and never follow someone blindly.
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