The Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is a popular and reliable reversal pattern that signals a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. Understanding and identifying this pattern can provide traders with profitable trading opportunities.
Anatomy of the Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern.
Left Shoulder: The price declines to a trough and subsequently rises. Head: The price falls again, forming a lower trough. Right Shoulder: The price rises once more before declining to a trough similar to the left shoulder.
Identifying the Pattern To accurately identify an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, look for the following characteristics:
Three Troughs: The head should be the lowest point, with the two shoulders on either side. Neckline: Draw a trendline connecting the peaks of the two shoulders. This line acts as a resistance level. Breakout Confirmation The pattern is confirmed once the price breaks above the neckline with increased volume. This breakout indicates a reversal of the previous downtrend and the start of a new uptrend.
Trading the Inverted Head and Shoulders Entry Point Enter a long position when the price closes above the neckline. To reduce false breakouts, consider waiting for a retest of the neckline as support.
Stop-Loss Place the stop-loss order below the right shoulder to limit potential losses. This level provides a cushion against false breakouts and unexpected market movements.
Target Price The target price can be estimated by measuring the distance from the head to the neckline and projecting this distance upward from the breakout point.
Example: Example Reference image of chart ONGC on Daily Time Frame shared below
Distance from Head to Neckline: 62 points Breakout Point: 280 points Target Price: 342 points
Practical Example of ONGC chart
The neckline is drawn connecting the two peaks at 280 level. A breakout occurs at 280 level with increased volume and now candle closed bullish at 288 levels with Good intensity of Volumes.
Key Points to Remember Volume: Volume should increase during the formation of the pattern, especially at the breakout point. Timeframe: The pattern can form over various timeframes, but it is more reliable over longer periods. Market Context: Always consider the broader market context and other technical indicators to confirm the pattern.
Conclusion The Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is a powerful tool for traders looking to capitalize on trend reversals. By understanding its structure and applying disciplined trading strategies, traders can enhance their ability to identify and profit from these patterns.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
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