NVIDIA - ready for the earnings?

22 de mai.

Regarding Nvidia, we maintain our view that Wave ((iv)) has concluded, and we are currently on the path to completing the overarching Wave 3. We anticipate this wave to reach between $1032 and $1300, which we consider the maximum potential target range for now.

We observed an accumulation phase from June 2023 to January 2024. This area might become significant again, possibly next year, as a zone for placing new entries. Currently, the market has left a lot of imbalances and shows very little volume on the way up because the price has been consistently surging.
With the earnings report due today, we can expect around 8.7% volatility in either direction, depending on the earnings outcome. It’s common to see even greater fluctuations than anticipated during such events. We will find out this evening after the market closes. For now, everything points towards the continuation of the upward trend.

Zooming in, it's clear that since reaching the 461.8% level, where we perfectly completed Wave ((iii)), we have seen the formation of Waves (i) and (ii) in the current move to complete wave ((v)). We anticipate expanding this upwards within the trend channel. Our tentative expectation is that the upcoming earnings report might outperform expectations, which would align with the chart’s indications.
If earnings exceed expectations, we could see a spike to a new all-time high, followed by a retracement marking Wave (iv) and then an overshooting Wave (v).
The target zones for Wave ((v)) are similar to those of Wave 3, lying between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci extensions. Specifically, we are looking at a range between $1123 and $1192.
After reaching these levels, we expect a significant pullback towards the Wave 4. This scenario would align with typical Elliott Wave patterns and provide opportunities for strategic entries and exits.