GLOBAL UPDATE:- -all major market on friday rallied after us jobs data -remember jobs data was bad -but the important part was jobs created on lower wages -wages and average earnings have fallen down -plus the pmi data came negative -rising jobs+falling wages was cheered by the market -it indicates soft landing -so now looking the charts on friday of us mkt clearly we see symmetrical pattern on index -dxy+usd/inr+US-10y all fell majorly -positives for banks today -soft crude shall also help the market
INDIAN MARKETS -we bearly were able to hold supports -remember we are falling despecite of global markets rallying -we have started seeing lower high formation on nifty index and banknifty index -until this pattern of lower high formation is taken out we will fall and eventually break the low -today we need to see follow through in buying -a close above 18030-18120 will go a long way in helping -note like i said in previous conversation other asian markets are now undervalued -so fpi money moving out of india is inevitable -fii sell figures are back -its good they are selling and bring long/short exposure down -only thing we have to do is defend the low -today result season kicks off
NIFTY INDEX -we had a crucial stop at 17770 as we were holding positional longs -according to the data today rally can see selling pressure at higher levels -but a clear trend will emerge sooner -previous bottom:17770 current bottom:17795 -it seems like a double bottom pattern -a break close above 18300 will ensure double bottom -a break below 17770 will lead to break swing lower high and lower low formation -i am still bullish until our final support breaks -but will do positional sizing when market closes below 18300 -weekly chart we have inside bar pattern in nifty -its important to watch closing data
BANKNIFTY INDEX -banknifty index looking at daily chart defending the rising trendline -pattern emerging is of a climax wedge top on daily chart -a close below 41600 is a end game for longs in banknifty -today banknifty will have support and will rally due to short-covering -it remains to be seen if the rally sustains -banknifty on downside if 41600 breaks exit longs for good -on the upside a close above 42800-43000 is needed to reach a climax top -again like nifty inside bar in weekly chart
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