Índice Nifty 50
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NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan 20-Feb-2025

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We will analyze three possible opening conditions and strategize accordingly. Key levels are marked for better decision-making.

🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens above 23,008 (last intraday resistance):

  1. [] Sustaining above 23,008 can lead to an upside move towards 23,158 - 23,191 (Profit Booking Zone). If price sustains above this, we may see further bullish momentum.
    [] Watch for rejection at 23,158-23,191—a reversal here could trigger selling pressure, providing a shorting opportunity with a target back to 23,008.
  2. Aggressive traders can look for quick scalping opportunities on breakouts with strict stop-loss.

    ✅ Trade Plan:
    ✔️ Buy on breakout & retest of 23,008, targeting 23,158 - 23,191.
    ✔️ Short if price rejects 23,158-23,191, aiming for 23,008.

    ⚠️ Risk Tip: If price consolidates near 23,008, avoid trading immediately—wait for a strong direction confirmation.

    🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,954 - 22,914)
    If NIFTY opens within the 22,914 - 22,954 zone (Opening Resistance/Support), this could act as a No Trade Zone due to potential choppiness.

    1. [] A decisive breakout above 22,954 can lead to a move towards 23,008 and higher levels.
      [] A breakdown below 22,886 (Opening Support) could trigger selling towards 22,795.

      ✅ Trade Plan:
      ✔️ Buy above 22,954, targeting 23,008 and 23,158.
      ✔️ Sell below 22,886, targeting 22,795.

      ⚠️ Risk Tip: Avoid trading inside the No Trade Zone (22,895 - 22,949) unless a clear breakout happens with strong volume.

      🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
      If NIFTY opens below 22,795, it signals weakness.

      1. [] Immediate support exists at 22,740 - 22,758 (Last Intraday Support). If this holds, expect a possible pullback towards 22,886 - 22,914.
        [] If 22,740 breaks, expect further downside towards 22,636 (Buyer’s Support).

        ✅ Trade Plan:
        ✔️ Buy near 22,740, targeting a pullback to 22,886 - 22,914.
        ✔️ Short below 22,740, targeting 22,636 and lower.

        ⚠️ Risk Tip: In a gap-down scenario, watch for consolidation before entering. A weak opening doesn’t always mean immediate selling—wait for confirmation.

        📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
        🛑 Always use a strict stop-loss to protect capital.
        🎯 Take partial profits at key levels to secure gains.
        🕰️ Avoid overtrading—wait for clear price action confirmation.
        💰 Use proper position sizing to manage risk.

        📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
        ✔️ Bullish Above: 23,008 → Target: 23,158 - 23,191.
        ✔️ Bearish Below: 22,886 → Target: 22,795 - 22,740.
        ✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,895 - 22,949 (Wait for breakout).

        Trade with a plan, manage risk wisely, and stay disciplined. ✅🚀

        ⚠️ Disclaimer
        I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trades. 📉📈

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