Today, Netflix's (NFLX) price plunged below the Head & Shoulders neckline, with a pronounced downward move. This breach substantially elevates the likelihood of an extended bearish phase, potentially materializing as a significant sell-off leading into the forthcoming fall season. Projections indicate a retracement towards the 0.5 Fib Extension level, where the price could test support at the mean price of $323.87. This mean price represents the average of the comprehensive bull run, which initiated from the May 2022 low of $162.73 and culminated at a peak of $485, the recent July 2023 top. However, the price could find support at the bottom parallel of the uptrend channel around $370 first before reaching the mean average price target.
Moreover, the recent FOMC minutes revealed the Fed's continued hawkish view on inflation and the possibility of further rate hikes.
We can also expect more fiscal tightening and an inflation resurgence to fuel the coming downtrends across most of the equities markets, especially big tech and crypto. This is particularly noteworthy as the economy could begin to contract due to overly tightened fiscal conditions, along with the looming threat of another Government shutdown in October. Additionally, credit usage, debt levels, and debt interest amounts are all increasing at a faster pace as we progress under these economic conditions.
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