Microsoft potentiality starting a downtrend?

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Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:MSFT)

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NASDAQ:MSFT Microsoft Corp.

MSFT has been in a range for a few weeks. Then a breakout to the down and a retest of the break.
If it doesn't break the $102 area it can fall back to $94 and if it breaks down that level I believe a downtrend is confirmed.

Also notice the RSI(14) spend a lot of time in the BEAR ZONE.

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Also a possible 0.38 fib retracement on the weekly chart:

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Or 50% retrace if you take it from the most recent high:

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With the above said, those weekly hammers are questionable...

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After a doji on the daily (indecision), today the price rallied above and seems to have broken through.

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