BOUNCE FOLLOWED BY LOWER PRICES FORECASTED

12 de nov.

While the higher degree long-term outlook for this dividend giant is bullish, the short-term outlook is not likely to bring new all-time highs. Earlier this year we anticipated new all-time highs, but that changed when KO hit it’s 63.18 low last week. What changed the forecast was the technicals surrounding that low. While the price action is currently cooked to the downside, there are no clear indications of a reversal, with the weekly RSI indicating more room to the downside, and the MACD supporting that theory. This tells us to turn to the most telling indicator, which is volume, which indicates there is still strength to the downside. That said, we know the market does not move in straight lines and a strong bounce off the 63.18 low is likely. We currently forecast that bounce to target the round number zone of 70, forming a B-Wave rejection of higher prices, that will be followed by a C-wave, which will likely target the weekly point of control around 60. With that in mind, C-waves can truncate their targets, especially when the ticket involved is a popular long-term dividend target like KO, and we are talking about a long-term low that will create a significant buying opportunity. That said, if you can deal with the near-term volatility, the 63 zone may not be a bad entry zone.