US market crash Every seven years, inflation will rise sharply, watch out for a stock market crash from mid-March to May
SIULUNG once said that 2022 is the cycle of US stocks falling every seven years, starting from 1966 and falling every seven years thereafter, including 1973 when the world suffered the "first oil crisis", 1980 when inflation caused the stock market to plunge, 1987 when the US stock market crashed, 1994 when the US interest rate hike caused the bond massacre, 2001 when the 9/11 incident caused the US stocks to plunge, and seven years later The financial tsunami in 2008, and the fall in Hong Kong A-shares in 2015, while US stocks also retreated by about 3,000 points. Believe it or not, US stocks also fell sharply as SIULUNG said.
Many people have asked why there is no March 2020. According to the Austrian economist Peter Schumpeter, there are three different types of cycles in the economy: long, medium and short. The short cycle is about 40 months, the three short cycles form a medium cycle and the 18 short cycles form a long cycle. The cycle affecting 2022 is the seven-year cycle, while the cycles affecting 2020 are the 30-year and 60-year cycles.
Bruce has many predictions for the future, as he mentioned earlier: "According to current market estimates, the most common forecast is for the US to raise interest rates four times in 2022, but Bruce strongly believes that there may be more than four times, and that the pace of tapering will exceed expectations. "Will interest rate hikes alone bring down the stock and property markets? We can't rule out the possibility that something like the first oil crisis will suddenly happen and push up inflation in the US, forcing the Fed to raise interest rates faster than everyone expects.
"According to the Ministry of Economic Development, Trade and Agriculture, Ukraine is the world's second largest exporter of barley, fourth largest exporter of corn and fifth largest exporter of wheat in the 2019-2020 market year. If the crisis does worsen, will energy and food prices rise sharply? And how will the Federal Reserve react? As SIULUNG said, if the US Fed misjudges inflation, will the US raise interest rates as it did in the 1970s?
Using the gold ratio, the NASDAQ has just rebounded after a 0.382 gold ratio pullback, which may indicate short term support at this position. The chart below shows that SIULUNG US stocks have already issued a sell signal, the last buy signal was issued in 2020, so be careful. If it falls below 0.382/12928 again, then the Nifty will head for the 0.5/0.618 gold ratio, which is 11717/10507.
And we have to be careful as there is a chance of a stock market crash in the mid-March to May 2022 cycle, so we have to be careful or options may be a suitable tool. Please follow me.
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