Spx Bounce
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ok we're getting a recovery rally, but be aware tomorrow they could sell down to create one more low which I would think would be a bear trap. I can't say it's THE "bottom" but we could be starting to make a bottoming pattern here. RSI needs a reset, watch NQ and tech especially for an outperformance rally if I'm correct.
Good luck!
Good luck!
Nota
if they sell the close, it may be like this. Nota
well damn they are selling it hard. If the idea is not correct, this is only 1 of 5 with 3 tomorrow/ overnight and 5 next week. Fooled me again if they don't save this overnight. Nota
NQ holding the line after AMZN earnings....Nota
they are holding the channel line - so far. That's nice and clear because if they hold it they will bounce and if they lose it tonight we're going lower. Nota
under 14150 on NQ overnight or tomorrow and we'll continue to sell.Nota
SPX futures just hit the 61.8 fib, if they are going to tank this overnight this is where it may stop... Nota
good morning, bounce held overnight but it's very weak. We could have one more low (red path on NQ) but if they can get over the middle trendline finally, we could rally hard today. I can't tell, but i do think we touch the trendline above regardless.... Nota
edit - i think we touch the "yellow" trendline regardless - good luckNota
they are getting close, If they reject from this level (about 14350 on NQ), we're going to make more lows. Nota
rejection so far from the yellow line, over it and it's bullish but right now looks bad. Nota
took a small short at the line, could be a black friday. tight stopsNota
looks like they are going to try hard to get over 14350 on nq but negative bearish divergences are building, one more attempt and failure should exhaust the bullsNota
last gasp attempt failed, that should be the high for today if we are going lower Nota
if they get another high it will be to take out stops i think. The struggle is similar to a few days ago where they dropped down and then kept making little higher highs only to fail once stops were out.Nota
ok maybe that's it? it's like trying to reel in a marlinNota
nope small time frame rsi pointing to another high Nota
they still don't look done at this battle line. I'm still thinking they ramp up to get above all the highs of today. Waiting with a small short, I will add if that happens. It's really getting ridiculous. Under 14300 and this will tank hard (NQ)this is what's forming on NQ, I still favor one more high but it could drop
Nota
lost it! waiting for a bounce then I'll add more Nota
i don't love the rsi here. I'm staying little for now. A fake breakdown could really ruin my day. Nota
tricks and traps Nota
5 minute rsi needs to get higher before a fall. Nota
they are going to push it hard to convince bears to drop positions, just waitNota
here she comes Nota
if you are bullish as I was yesterday, this is looking like a breakout and COULD keep going. Because of the pattern and RSI I don't think so, but I can be wrong for sure. Please tread carefully either way. Nota
RSI reset enough but a little higher makes sense. Adding shorts slowly. WIll drop them for sure above 14400 Nota
pushed it hard and close to 14400, shorts taken, Stops tight at 14430, hopefully I'm not wrong but I may be! If correct, the rest of the day is down, If wrong they get over 14400 on NQ Nota
last post till close, If wrong they keep pushing to over 14430 and I will lose. If correct it should sell down from here or maybe a wee bit higher. However, small time frame rsi is showing hidden bearish divergence and we are still forming lower highs. RSI on 30 minute is quite hot for a downtrend, so my logic tells me this is the peak. I will update later regardless if it's correct or not. GOod luck! Nota
bulls trying to hold the yellow line. I took some off in case they hold it but lowered stops for the rest. This is a decision point. Nota
decision made, should start to pick up speed, Nota
NQ in a channel, it's the clearest today for me so that's why I'm trading it. If it breaks the channel it's bearish. Could bounce to the high again and could also breakout so be aware of it. Nota
it could bounce to the high of the channel I meanNota
broke already, they are starting to panic Nota
still pretty early, target on NQ looks like target may be 4100, not sure. With panic it can go under. Starting to look like this again. youtube.com/watch?v=RLySXTIBS3cNota
channel now acting as resistance (for now.) Nota
NQ bear flag target 14075, maybe today, not sure. Nota
while we'll probably sell the close, be aware that SPX is in the head and shoulders target area 4100-4050Nota
spy - same thing Nota
if the close is a waterfall down it may be the end of the downtrend. Anything less and I think more selling for a few days next week.Nota
tis count on spy may be valid. I'm going home flat. Nota
tech is actually still positive on the day, I doubt it makes a lower low like SPY
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