It looks like the corrective intermediate wave (C) completed its bearish course at1.1956. The recent attempt to push prices down brought the pair lower where it completed a corrective minor A,B,C at the round 1.22 level.
As part of intermediate wave (2), the minor three-wave corrected down to the 61.8% golden ratio of 1.1956 bottom and 1.2588 top at 1.21943 - to be more precise.
The current breakout could be the beginning of intermediate wave (3). Should the formation gets validated above 1.2588, the next stop for a breather would be near 1.2828 100% FE, then near 1.32. The structure suggests that once minor corrective low A and then B are taken out by bulls, chances of further upside would increase.
This opportunity would be invalidated below 1.1956 with short-term signs of failure appearing below 1.2194 (unless if this turns out as a double zig-zag or other corrective structure)
Expect short-term pullbacks for profit-taking
Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
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